Fever&spear
@FADCLDN
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@rivkahbrown
This is the wrong take. None of today’s events help the Palestinian cause and it’s Che t shirt level politics to support militancy in 2023.
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@alexhallhall
@MermaidsPurseJ
There was an episode of a sitcom where an older white make character decides to “prove” there’s nothing wrong with banter by telling everyone they’re allowed to say whatever they want about him - after a few minutes of being mocked for his divorce & impotence he starts crying.
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@ashley_e_johnso
@PaulGorford
@LAbdelaaty
@StevePeers
And what’s more the no of refugees in Germany is dwarfed by the number Turkey took. Events of the last 8 yrs suggest that European countries would face social &/or political collapse if they had to take the numbers of refugees which Turkey, Pakistan or Iran have in last 40 yrs.
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@benwansell
@jamesjohnson252
@BethRigby
Speaking as a rich middle aged man working in finance - a demographic Tories used to care about - a choice between a party that wants to conscript my kids and a party that wants to give them the vote isn’t a hard choice. It’s comically easy for people to prefer Labour in 2024.
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@lrozen
@JasonMBrodsky
Or for those of us who work in financial markets, this is a damp squib event. It means Saudi is going to import more Chinese goods. That’s about it. A rather desperate attempt by Saudi to ingratiate themselves with China. As usual the only tool Saudi has is financial.
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@DuncanWeldon
@Birdyword
I’m poor but British poor so I don’t have any washing machines. I just get my manservant to take my dirty clothes to the river and clean them with some pebbles.
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@akkhan81
@jasonhickel
It makes perfect sense if you see the world divided between a walled garden/villa on one hand and a jungle on the other. Jefferson’s view of democracy was that it was the model of government for the chosen race & class who formed the “nation”, not the majority of people.
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@Sime0nStylites
He still cost every British uni a wedge of money this year as applications have dropped and aspirant students made other plans
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@lisaocarroll
Since Abramovich lost his U.K. visa, he gained Israeli citizenship & he has been coming to the U.K. under the 6 month visa free travel that Israeli passport holders have. He could be excluded on security grounds but that will need to go before a judge if he challenges.
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@nils_gilman
Arguably you’re walking into the trap Lee Atwater liked to set: “Democrats deny having close links with radicals”…on the news, as nauseam.
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@93vintagejones
Assuming this is correct, why is this bad? According to MAC 4 out of 5 foreign students leave within 5 years of the issue of the visa. Unless you’re a racist why would the sheer presence of a foreign person in the country be a bad thing?
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@dsquareddigest
So you don’t think the financial regulation model of “there’s ultimately a named human whose neck is on the line” model is a universal way forward?
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@tzimmer_history
@ardenthistorian
I also note that she’s a member of the Jefferson society and in my experience most debaters are basically unpopular outside of the debating world. And debating tactics aren’t appropriate to classrooms & are rightly stamped down on so substantive academic discussion can occur.
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@nils_gilman
I follow current affairs & I literally have no idea who these people are. I don’t disagree but disavowal could be ineffective too because GOP just start plucking names & demanding disavowal as with the GWOT, Ground Zero mosques etc etc. And news cycle just is “disavowals”.
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@stephenkb
I suspect a lot of this is driven by Rishi himself & his self image. On some level he genuinely believes Starmer is past it while he’s a dynamic business leader & that he’s smarter than Starmer because he got into Oxford. This is going to get very messy the more we see of Rishi.
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@joshglancy
@AllyFogg
You seem to welcome “war” as a restorative for the legitimacy & technical capability of western power…that’s..”interesting”
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@MazMHussain
I think there’s a distinction between liberal interventionists & liberal internationalists. The former see liberal values as a justification for forward foreign policies by western/northern states (eg R2P). The latter want international institutions & law to have a greater role.
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@yarbatman
Yeah Iranians just go to funerals as a cultural act, a hobby almost, the way English people play cricket and Scottish people wear kilts. Great point. Not total fucking bullshit at all. Genius.
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@davidallengreen
It’s possible to believe Bercow handled the chamber & his constitutional duties as speaker well while also believing he behaved monstrously & possibly unlawful in other aspects of his job (eg as a line manager of HoC staff).
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@369_wizard
@amcguiri
@Israel_katz
“Radical Islam” is a very modern concept & pointing out alleged periods of intolerance & persecution in Andalusia is whataboutery and/or rhubarb. You’re just an “anti-Islam” advocate so not sure what the point of talking to you is.
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@jamesrbuk
@RobDotHutton
There’s some things we can do about certain fee paid schools in London & Southern England too. Those kids are really suffering from a lack of mixing. Plus, does anyone have data on if there’s a problem? It strikes me the kids are alright…adults not so much…
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@kamilkazani
It’s very interesting that the rise of the dominance of the service economy has resulted in most elite educated individuals having absolutely zero idea of the basics of the manufacturing/industrial world.
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@mattyglesias
@JeffreyASachs
The students aren’t more left wing. They’re less religious on average but otherwise they’re not left at all: see what they choose to do with their lives. The go to McKinsey or Goldmans. Elite college grads rarely become middle school history teachers.
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@BeijingPalmer
Yes Dirtbag politics lends itself to the right because it trades on cynicism and there not being solutions certainly not collective ones or ones that rely on cooperation. Or also underlies the journey from the left to just populist grifting that some have undertaken.
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@hheimweh
@93vintagejones
The government’s own migration advisory committee has said 4 out of 5 student visa holders leave the country by 5 years after the issue of the visa so the situation here is clearly very different to what you describe
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@VGCatano
@ClarissaOakes2
@_cingraham
That’s what’s going on isn’t it - the reason the student activist was (in her own words) “blindsided” is because she didn’t read the syllabus & hence know the content warning & probably only heard about it AFTER her complaint, but can’t admit it.
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@dsquareddigest
Exactly this. It’s like complaining King Abdullah has 300 mill stashed at CS: it’s a central plank of western esp British & US policy to keep Abdullah on his throne, for him to be enriched so he plays ball & for him to use corruption to maintain his domestic support.
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@Polaaraksa
@JaneAusten1813
@maxseddon
Because he’s trying to get Russians to take a stand against Putin. That means a message needs to go out to Russians, not Ukrainians. And the message needs to NOT say Russians are evil or bad but to couch things in Russia’s history. It’s revealing you’re not getting this.
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@93vintagejones
I didn’t make an accusation - yet. Explain why it’s bad for a foreigner to be in the country for a limited period of time? You seem to treat it as self evident.
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@jeuasommenulle
I’ve been told by a former colleague at LME that nickel was suspended due to fears of inability to source metal for physical settlement.
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@Samfr
@Guy_Stallard
Also, 16-18 applies to children. We can’t get away from the fact that this is compulsory labour for law abiding adults outside of a time of national emergency
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The film’s are crap?
The decline of Marvel is surprising: for a long time, the brand seemed invincible. Disney insiders suggest several causes for the slump 👇
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@N_dee_eigh
@AlexanderMcCoy4
Almost everyone I knew both considers Iraq both a failure & sort of denies proven facts about civilian deaths. They consider it a policy failure because there was no victory but don’t consider civilian deaths. And they go out of their way to avoid evidence that contradicts them.
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@369_wizard
@amcguiri
@Israel_katz
How tolerant was medieval European Christianity? Would it make any sense to say that was “Radical Christianity”? Nope. “Radical Islam” meaning extreme political movements that exist today is a 20th Century onwards phenomenon: they don’t share material beliefs with medieval people
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@thhamilton
There are valid arguments against VAT on school fees but all of those arguments are just arguments against “ad valorem sales taxes”. So sure, let’s abolish VAT. But if we’re keeping it, a luxury product like private schools don’t deserve a carve out, any more than caviar does.
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@ByMikeBaker
@Snowden
He didn’t call it wrong. He got stuck in Russia because the US cancelled his passport mid air.
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@akmaciver
Tony Blair called himself a socialist. The only people who care about this are aggressive centrists who work in comms, politics & the media ie no more than about 600 people who used to wield a lot of influence and now don’t
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What if nobody is bad at maths? | Mathematics | The Guardian
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@adamkotsko
I went to a moderately elite college (from an impoverished background & with far left views) eager to debate & found myself surrounded by people who found my earnestness & politicalness boring & annoying. I made the tactical choice to have friends. I was 18, so sue me.
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@tzimmer_history
@ardenthistorian
This supports what I’ve said elsewhere. She seemed to think the very fact that she had opinions would get applause or membership of a team. Having opinions rarely gets you the former & never gets you the latter. And for the former, it’s the majority opinion (whatever it is).
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@stephenkb
Going through some names it’s absolutely remarkable how many of the Labour selections are 1. state school (mostly selective or elite) 2. Oxbridge (specifically PPE) 3. public affairs/political research job (whether it’s government or the City or a trade union) 3. male 4. white.
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@dsquareddigest
There’s a lot of social resentment driving this. In terms sanctions, AML, dirty finance etc, private schools aren’t exactly key. Yet the news last night did a piece on Russians at private schools. Journalists are focused on positional goods they’ve lost out on over last 20 yrs.
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@RickPetree
@chantler_jaki
@TepiZep
@SecBlinken
The counterfactual is impossible to know at this stage. Would Biden/Blinken get more out of Israel by withholding aid? Or less? We know Israel planned a full ethnic cleansing of Gaza (see the FT) which got cancelled. And we know Blinken’s intelligent, humane & principled.
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@dsquareddigest
@DXWQC
Plus the way the Law of the Medes and the Persians works, you need a big rock to chisel the laws into - where’s he proposing we keep the rock? I nominate Vauxhall.
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@duncanrobinson
Something about him seems quite immature which isn’t really a surprise considering how little experience of working life he has & how cosseted he is by money he didn’t earn. His seminal experiences of struggle & decision making ARE from when he was a late teenager.
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@ProducerOllie
@TimesRadio
But 16-18 are…currently children in law. 18 year olds are adults. Why/when/how are legal adults who haven’t broken any law to be compelled to do a form of labour ?
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@mattholehouse
Unless the pattern of surviving MPs after the GE is particularly corporate or liberal or One Nation, the Tories are just ripe to become a fully identitarian party
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@nils_gilman
Sure and he got ahead of it. But he almost invented that as opposed to responding to GOP attacks. So what do you suggest Kamala Harris invents in order to “repudiate”?
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@dsquareddigest
And he still has a Sunday morning TV he uses to help Tory ministers make announcements - it’s insane
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@dsquareddigest
@nadezhda04
Also, who is going to win this? It’s like a team with fast fluent attacking players going up against Atletico & choosing to play physical defensively with professional fouls. Maybe Atletico deserve it but you don’t beat them by playing the game they want.
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@esaravalle
@dsquareddigest
Iran is the clear example where once a nexus with law enforcement was established, it works to prevent sanctions as a tool for behaviour change but instead acts as a barrier to switching from warfare or tacit regime change to diplomacy.
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@yarbatman
Everyone in the world has funerals. It’s the most universal aspect of humanity dumbo. There’s nothing unique about Iran on this - funerals are not more or less significant in Iran than anywhere else. And all states use funerals for political reasons. See Thatcher in 2013.
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@sharghzadeh
Consider how late it took modern western societies to find anything culturally desirable in their own working class communities - and MENA societies are decades behind where western societies were when they did that
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@campbellclaret
@TheNewEuropean
Tho presumably in some cases you would prefer dictatorship to prevail over democracy? Like Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Egypt?
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@dsquareddigest
Let’s just follow the Dutch model and give all non monetary powers to a water quango
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@lionel_trolling
Yeah but they had to do false flags onside for war. You don’t need false flags to get voters on side now: half the voters now think war is Band of Brothers LARP
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A good thread - I agree with all of this, Raisi was core to Khamanei’s succession planning not necessarily the front runner to become Leader himself. His key function behind assured loyalty to the status quo was linking his father in law with Mojtaba.
My two cents: I take speculation of Ebrahim Raisi and Mojtaba Khamenei's candidacy for the Leadership of Iran with a grain of salt.
Raisi's rapid elevation has created this aura around him, but there's little other evidence, and he has performed quite poorly as president. 1/
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@briankturner101
@Historian_Steve
In a pedagogical terms we’re going to see a return to more examinations & a greater emphasis on tutorials and debate. Literature review papers will be out (not that I ever had to do one).
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@emilysheffield
@stephenpollard
It was 6 years including a 2 year period as financial services attache to the British Embassy in DC, which is always a BoE secondee
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@IsabelOakeshott
@MrBrendanCox
If you honestly want to make this argument then at least don’t be dishonest about. The head of MI6 doesn’t sit on his phone tweeting. The tweet would have come from a press office which runs the Twitter account.
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@alon_mizrahi
Wrong, it happened in the Iranian province of Azerbaijan! It was internal in Iran.
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@dhnexon
@EmmaMAshford
There’s pretty huge differences in terms of intent, goals & scale between 1. genocide 2. complete indifference to mass civilian death. Genocide has a very very specific legal meaning & few actions are genocidal. In contrast, many actions are war crimes because of low thresholds.
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@Tilley101
Cofnas was also in complete violation of scholarly & scientific values - this was a guy who responded to geneticists saying his claims of black people being genetically “faster” with pictures of Usain Bolt
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@Wkrs
@Sime0nStylites
@JonnElledge
Let’s just say, there’s something “up” with people who come out of PPE at Oxford thinking they’re the cleverest person in the world ever (see also Cameron & Truss - even Heath was insufferable)
@benwansell
This isn’t necessarily an Oxbridge thing, it seems very PPE specific.
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Raisi has been core to the succession plans of the Iranian hardliners esp the Khamanei family circle since 2017 if not before - they will be discombobulated if he’s dead. And Khamanei is an 85 year old, likely with some cognitive problems, with a record of he procrastinating. 1/2
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@LapGong
@aljhlester
@stephenlondoner
@KemiBadenoch
@Telegraph
@DalrympleWill
@nfergus
You don’t need to show cost benefit analysis for reparations! You just need to show 1. wrongdoing & 2. damage! If I beat & rob you and the secondary consequences for that lead to you ultimately being no worse off than if I hadn’t, I remain morally culpable for beating & theft.
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@SpinningHugo
@alanbeattie
@alexmassie
@yuanyi_z
If we’re going to be specific, he’s not a Tory in the sense of being a conservative or a traditional Tory but a kind of very right wing nationalist, as much interested in ‘Western’ chauvinism focused on the US & Israel as the UK. Both Cameron & Rory Stewart have described it. 1/2
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@NGrossman81
@mattyglesias
Yeah exactly. Maybe the word “large” was doing too much work but I thought Rogin had 40Klbs in mind not 6klb. 6k is like 3000 meals. One day’s food for 1000 people. Maybe he meant “lots of small flights” but I honestly think he’s dumb enough to believe there’s a drone 747.
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@Alea_
@Sime0nStylites
I think the think tank angle is massively under appreciated. Newspapers have never been more irrelevant; less powerful than TV & this is the 1st post TV election as
@stephenkb
has said. But influencing policy is now possible through think tank blogs & substacks pieces.
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@brokenbottleboy
Of course it is. He’s pretty much saying “the Russians might do an honour killing on their kids, like Dem Islams do”
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@yarbatman
He’s been a key figure/pawn in their plans since at least 2017. And by IRI standards he was young - 63. So the constituency that wants no change to status quo will be disrupted by this, they don’t have a plan B on the stocks. And they’ll be competition within operators.
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@HughRBrechin
@dmk1793
I expect he genuinely believes he would have met & seduced her just as well if, instead of university & postgraduate business school, he had got Level 1 hair & beauty and met her as a customer. So there’s that.
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@jdportes
This explanation of “why Putin is bad” is special: “any honest appraisal of Putin’s Russia would reveal that its religiosity is weak, immigration substantial, and the Eurasianism of Putin and Alexandr Dugin would readily trade cultural homogeneity for more territory”
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@Williamw1
@dsquareddigest
…preference for rentier capitalism which isn’t as prevalent in places like Germany. Dodgy foreign money comes to the UK because we’re set up as a rentier society (because being a rentier is the English dream); we aren’t a rentier society because of dodgy foreign money. 2/2
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@DublinClarke
It’s relevant that her husband is from a Protestant background, & the stock position of middle class Protestants who weren’t supportive of sectarian politics was Rodney King esque “why can’t we all get along?” dismissing it all as stupidity rather then having substantive roots.
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@EdwardGLuce
Who do you think is refusing to support the US because of Iraq? I know Japan takes a dim view of Iraq but not sure that translates into “not supporting”?
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@dcsandbrook
So would an article on the Danelaw belong in a journal about Anglo-Saxon England? Early Medieval England (referring to a geographic concept) is more precise hence optimal…
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@sfrantzman
@glcarlstrom
We know that Russia is very unhappy with ICC since they issued a warrant for Putin last year. And we know China is also unhappy about the Putin warrant as it means ICC now claims global jurisdiction. But being on the same side as China & Russia isn’t a good look for Israel.
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@LeeDavidEvansUK
But this was considered a contrarian position in the Tory party at the time! It’s revealing that Boris was also deemed contrarian for saying this stuff - because it’s core to Labour goals!
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@Miss_Snuffy
@ProudlyPastoral
It isn’t being proposed as a school activity, it’s being proposed as compulsion on 18 year olds post school. There is no moral basis for that. If this is about learning, do it at school.
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