Ben Ogorek
@BenOgorek
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Statistician. Creator of Chrome extensions "XCoach" (needs fixing due to the switch to ) and "TextLinks" (URL mnemonic links) both free in the store.
Durham, NC
Joined June 2019
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@nominalthoughts
I'm just surprised that American Crime Story: The People vs OJ Simpson doesn't come up all the time. It was so good.
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@uncle_deluge
Sounds like the tests are accurate for what they are, but what they are is something very different than what they're marketed as.
From Scientific American
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@WillRinehart
I deleted all social media in 2016 and came groveling back 2 years later. Those second time LinkedIn connection requests are super awkward.
It wasn't the pandemic but I can relate to the lonliness. Things got real quiet. This is our world now.
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@bubu4ubu
@AnneNotation
You've got to make 6 BLTs and eat them every day from tupperware containers. I don't make the rules.
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@LTF_01
@RandyTreibel
Just plugged some numbers into an online calculator, and if it's even close to right, that is a scarcity mindset
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@tommyvonarb
Dude he's got like 8000 hours of content. That he's on hiccups sounds about right.
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@jonathanbfine
Woah I can't believe the Joker 2 script already leaked.
"I started to protest by presenting myself to the public in a way I knew they'd hate. I started wearing American-brand athleisure, Nike Air Max 97s, and oversize hoodies."
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All the data scientists who escaped to be data engineers, all roads lead back.
See you in hell.
Data engineers often become bored of data engineering!
After a while of SQL + Python + airflow, you start thinking all pipelines are the same and it’s copy and paste work.
Some strategies to help with this:
- become more end-to-end
Maybe that means building a dashboard. Maybe
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@Rainmaker1973
@NathanpmYoung
When this video blew up a solid two years ago, I learned from the commenters that the video is closer to illustrating Orthogonal, aka "Deming" Regression
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@TheFigen
I watched that documentary. Chimps actually have better short term memory than us and we might have traded it for language
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@LTF_01
@xlr8harder
@RandyTreibel
@xlr8harder
said it's 10 times, which would still be 36 cents if the guy sat in the coffeeshop for 6 hours with his laptop plugged in. I mean I get that margins are tight, but...
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@paulg
If they had just framed it as "evidence pointing towards a natural origin," then could more plausibly update their beliefs. Their jointly calling it a "conspiracy theory" smells like fish.
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@DustinGinsberg
@gaslightyourmom
Yeah I saw a documentary about it. She just wanted the bills paid but the judgement was a day's worth of coffee sales: 2.7M. She wasn't allowed to talk about the settlement to explain in any way. She mentioned Toby Keith's mocking lyric really hurt her, as she was a fan.
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@lisatomic5
Probably not the answer you're looking for, but,
"Simply believing that our brains have expended a lot of effort might be enough to make us lethargic."
Apparently the excess caloric expenditure of thinking hard is minimal. This is a decade old, though.
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@Jbn3ex
Their inflation is falling and a fiscal surplus is pulling money out of the system so I don't know what they're going on about
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And who's to say he was wrong? I wonder what would Jeff Bezos be doing now if Amazon bit the dust in 1996. Would he be an ordinary guy or would he have found something else that would shoot to the moon?
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@MicrowaveHyena
@TheCriticalDri2
Ha the fact that they didn't have the foresight to start a cinematic universe is probably part of what made it good
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"Bayesians also suffer multiple looks bias" is my response to
@f2harrell
's "Continuous Learning from Data..." article. I'm trying to start a conversation about when Bayesian methods protect you, since the answer can't be "always."
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@tunguz
World's simplest database, from Designing Data-Intensive Applications (p70).
Two bash fns, one text file called "database":
1) set:
echo "$1,$2" >> database
2) get:
grep "^$1," database | sed -e "s/^$1,//" | tail -n 1
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@billionsmustliv
@LTF_01
@xlr8harder
@RandyTreibel
I know Starbucks has to be a "third safe space" or whatever, but if you can require that people buy something then 10 people sitting there with laptops for 6 hours is $3.60 at the highest estimate UK energy estimate. You can sell more coffee than that!
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@DanielW_Kiwi
This is going to sound sarcastic but part of "lowering your blood pressure" is being calm when they're taking it. I found a little mental routine that knocked 20 points off my systolic.
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@Actualwebutante
I disagree on this one. The "big move" is escaping the mess you made in the current place and lying to yourself that you won't make one again in the next place.
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@Carnage4Life
On Twitter, I've noticed that technical people asking questions care more about who's answering their question than the content of the reply. Now that a magical AI being is the one answering, I would expect happy customers.
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@PeterHotez
@shasha55
If that's known, why isn't it in that paper? There's only talk of "plausible" intermediate hosts.
Also, you're going to need a bigger boat than kernel density estimation to dispel lab leak.
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@momin_rayhan
@ohadsamet
Went to Palo Alto house party and took a date who worked in real estate. It was a very nice house, but not extravagant. On the way home, I asked about occupations you'd have to have to afford it. She said, "You can't buy that house by working." Looked it up: a trust bought it.
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@ryxcommar
These two comments kind of sum up the debate. Curious if there is any truth to it but I'd guess it's the travel adrenaline and novelty
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The smugness of these headlines. I couldn't finish the thread.
🧵THREAD🧵
Do you remember how bad the media’s “Covid lab leak” - the hypothesis that the virus came from a lab - coverage was?
I thought I did. But it was a more dramatic example of uniform media malpractice than even I remembered.
So I revisited it. Buckle in, it’s long. ⤵️
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@lexfridman
My favorite part of his conversation with Andrew was when he discussed Twitter, and I agreed with everything he said. But Sam is so far along in his meditation journey, I just have to ask, why didn't it help him with Twitter? (e.g. "Take a breath. These are just pixels of light")
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@mattyglesias
I also think the "one-way friend" thing is not healthy. I'm feeling the arterial plaque build up right now as I reply guy to my public intellectual one-way friend with a near zero chance of reply 😅
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I've got a good feeling about tomorrow's US CPI report...
But...
I'd have a *much better* feeling if this airport wrap didn't cost 14 dollars on Friday.
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@davidschraer
@DavidKlion
And 500,000 to 1,000,000 passed through "re-education camps" where they were "tortured and abused"
Resettling everyone is a fantasy
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@svpino
It's not about productivity. It's about not wanting to jump in the cockpit of an F117-A to type alphanumeric characters.
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@wafoli
I was complaining that European airports didn't have water fountains and a guy assured me they did.
To be fair, the Madrid airport had a few, but at each one there was a lifesize icon of a person drinking. These were instructions for how to use it, no doubt.
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@Grilledchops
@RitaPanahi
"Publically denounce X or else" is more about power and compliance than X itself.
I could tell you, "publically denounce The Golden State Killer," and demand to see a tweet on your timeline. If I got it, that's power.
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@WillManidis
Wow that sounds like what Steve Jobs outlined in "The lost interview" (on Netflix years ago):
Stage 1. Product people create amazing product
Stage 2. Innovation slows down and sales & marketing moves the numbers
Stage 3. Sales & marketing take over & product suffers
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A wise man once told me,
"Make it work,
then make it better"
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@hubermanlab
We all know about functional alcoholics. But what about functional THC-o-holics? (sorry) I know one, so I know they exist.
How does being a chronic Cannabis user affect productivity and the life lived, especially in comparison to alcohol?
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@DurRobert
@amarillo_limon_
@toddrjones
I think it was
@isbellHFh
who commented on this on Lex. The point isn’t to maximize the chance of getting a great faculty member, it’s to minimize the chance of getting a bad one. No one gets fired for hiring from MIT.
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Discussion in AI/ML on whether lack of parameter identification & causal structure (termed "underspecification") is a problem. Thought that was "feature not a bug"! FYI
@lexfridman
@yudapearl
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This dosearch
#rstats
package is pretty cool. You specify what you have and what you want. You don't need the joint distribution as an input like causaleffect. With generality comes the cost of exponential-time search. FYI
@PHuenermund
#causaltwitter
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@BadDataTakes
In the context of dating apps, this is absolutely the right way to make this graph. Don't argue with me I'm a statistician.
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@arpitrage
Yeah there's an apartment under construction near me that just doesn't move. I saw they finally put the drywall up after like 6 months looking at metal studs.
Any chance it's going to be like a coin pusher and dump a bunch of supply all at once?
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@CharlesFLehman
Yeah the fake scientific consensus was an absolute disaster, but do you really need a scientist to tell you something's going on?
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@jessesingal
Not that kids are reading Sapolky's Behave, but your tweet made me think of this review
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Given Aaron Swartz basicaly died trying to do this, it's kind of wild we don't talk about Sci Hub more.
Sci Hub is a "pirate" website with 88M research papers freely available.
Using it is not advisable. We should all try to make billion-dollar acdemic publishers richer.
Here's a thread on integrating Zotero with Sci Hub to get free articles.
PLEASE DON'T DO THIS 😉
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@antoniogm
I noticed that in Guadalajara. Nice people. Pleasant surroundings. Feels safe. But then you walk past a semi fancy pasta restaurant and there’s a security guard from seal team 6 with a sub machine gun.
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@ggreenwald
It has really bothered me as well. In addition to journalists, epidemiologists have also have been selectively critical based on politics. It’s jet fuel for conspiracy theories.
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@JeffDean
@TensorFlow
Jeff when did you first get into machine learning? Did you know this stuff when you were coding MapReduce?
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@TheSeanFaber
@Codie_Sanchez
I'd imagine suceeding as a blogger in today's world is at least as difficult as suceeding as a YouTuber.
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@LHSummers
@tylercowen
There was a study that showed that when the walks to the baggage claim were longer, the complaints about waiting time for bags went to zero. Apparently a principle of designing for waits is to keep people doing something, like walking. (Not saying that's the reason)
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@ChrisJBakke
I think people forget how fast you could change channels with 80s to 90s cable tv. You could sit down on the couch - without a plan - and rapid fire through all the channels three times in fifteen minutes.
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@tunguz
visidata for terminal data viewing and scrolling. But I honestly use the lightweight clone I built with friends (didn't know it was a clone when we built it), datascroller
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@BattriesNotIncl
@AvatarDomy
Interesting question posed as to whether the dog has an idea that it performed well, or whether it is merely reacting to its owner’s excitement
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@mattyglesias
Sapolsky's Behave p474. "Other studies show that women have higher rates than men of public conformity and lower rates of private conformity."
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Just published my latest article "Do-Calculus and Continuous Distributions" in
@TDataScience
.
@PHuenermund
and
@eliasbareinboim
, I used one of your example DAGs. Let me know if you have feedback!
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@adamrisom
Wanderer has 17 followers. Bier has a quarter million. He could tweet that he ate an M&M and get a thousand likes. Case closed.
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@Noahpinion
Hey can I just admit that I'm not that smart and need somebody to help me out with this?
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@rlmcelreath
Adjusting for speed, the gas pedal does nothing!
(This example came up in the "but causation does cause correlation" fiasco a while back)
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A week after getting fully comfortable with Docker, I learn there is something called Nix. It also solves the "works on my machine" problem, but without having to mess with containers. Uses Merke trees (also used in cryptocurrency).
This R-focused Nix totorial looks really good!
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@galexybrane
Even Time magazine is talking about original antigenic sin and how advice to take the booster was never evidence-based for people under 65. It's gonna get interesting.
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@musicstruggles1
@ryxcommar
Old music is now a bigger revenue generator than new music, and I believe that's unprecedented.
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@EverydayBastiat
Be careful. Last time there was a news story about a nurse relaying patients' dying words, it turned out to be misinformation itself.
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If I could trade all my statistical knowledge for this quality of vocal articulation and gesturing, I ...
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@kearneymw
To see how companies like facebook and Lyft "version control" data, see this video on "Functional Data Engineering" Basically it's save all your data every day and use date-partitioning.
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@docmilanfar
People are talking about correlation but good luck with that when there's no variation in level of ice 🤣
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@hpmacd
This is punching down. The kid's an engineer at WaPo, not a staff writer, and he's got 1 follower on Medium.
If I had to steel-man it, though the under-eating is hard to relate to, I'd point out that "the freshman 15" is common and not great for human health. Maybe alts are good
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@PradyuPrasad
What does it mean that the US as a country produced less "stuff" for two quarters in a row?
We are poorer for it, right? Even if everyone has jobs?
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@0interestrates
He said Devin created unnecessary files with bugs and fixed those bugs, which the demo focused on. That part sounded pretty damning.
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@JessieSunPsych
As a recovering tightwad whose lived in some miserable places, get the nice place. It's an investment in your mood, mental health, and quality of life.
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@Actualwebutante
Come to think of it I knew a guy in high school who always wanted to move to NYC, and finally did it, and it was good for him.
I think it's that 3rd or 4th move, as you're getting ready to roll the dice like a gambler, where you should ask yourself some questions.
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@txsalth2o
When I disagreed with "I think all of this will make people less willing to work remotely." OP got 55 likes and 6 retweets; my reply got 0 and 0. Truth knows neither like nor retweet😂
@sbuss
Bold prediction! I hate it too but I think the opposite, that convenience and privacy will win out. People have been pushing back against open layouts, want their cubes back. Well here’s your cube.
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@predict_addict
Keep these takes coming, but there has to be some flexibility in interpretating "arose." They didn't use "invented," and it sounds like SVMs really didn't take off until the 90s.
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@predict_addict
I still think about the box diagrams at the beginning. He absolutely has a point with "nature is complicated and if you try to model it, you're probably going to fail." But I do want to model the box. I appreciate the framework all the same.
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@mattyglesias
Some MMT people were speculating that the higher interest rates would fuel growth instead of limit it. Could there be any truth it?
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