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alpha neutral and beta neutral Profile
alpha neutral and beta neutral

@aanalystbro

Followers
853
Following
654
Media
52
Statuses
2,064

quantitative equity researcher (professional backtest overfitter)

New York
Joined April 2009
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
This account is wild
@GRDecter
Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA
2 years
Meta announced a $40 billion share buyback program for this year But they only have $40.74 billion cash on hand 🤔
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@bucketshopcap Active managers are (usually) biased to avoid the obvious / crowded trades. Either a behavioral bias or one enforced by a risk model. This avoidance leads to something analogous to post earnings announcement drift but on a longer timescale.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 years
@HasBezos This would require him to liquidate a large amount of stonk, which would lead to a massive drop in share price. Don’t hurt people’s 401ks.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@garrcie The joke is on you. I have no female coworkers.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@rgblong I almost didn’t notice this was a joke. Great work.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@veryfinanceguy “Financially literate man’s version of Nobu” has permanently broken my brain
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
8 months
@itsmarkmoran Look at the comments. They’re being racist because they are assuming the father is black
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
@itsmarkmoran These guys aren’t gunna do anything man…they want their mega fund offers
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@PierreDelect @brianrtw @mindyisser i have never encountered smoking or jerking off in public transit in any other country. why is that?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
7 months
@litcapital it’s pretty funny you think them standing there prevents that
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 years
@ComfortablySmug The Dow is not a good indicator of the US Stock Market. Please use the S&P 500. Also I would consider computing the annualized return of the Obama admin vs Trump
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@davidmellyruns The hardest part for me to root for the US women is that the commentators obviously do not care about the performances of the African women who medaled. When their voice is 2x as excited abt some white lady finishing 7th vs a championship record
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@veryfinanceguy Average noisé follower:
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
@FormulaDeltaOne I’m sure you’d be allocating 90% of your net worth to your firms 10 sharpe strats if you were allowed to
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@DougPolkVids Well what’s weird is that you keep saying it was ‘reasonable’ for Garrett to respond in the way he did. In that moment, he had no real evidence. This implies anyone can throw a tantrum over a fish making a winning but bad call. The way he responded was, in fact, *not* reasonable
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@Jack_Raines CEOs have been admitting on earnings calls on inflation that even after supply shock catalyst disappears, the price increases that result are sticky. Corporations use negative supply shock events to permanently bolster corporate profits so greedflation is a correct analysis
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
@ebitdaddy90 You can go to court claiming the requirements of the trust are ridiculous (or a/e the legal term is). Judges tend to not give a shit about the opinions of dead people
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
Obviously this is silly of chat gpt but this says a lot more about how there a certain kinda white guy who really REALLY wants to say the n word
@aaronsibarium
Aaron Sibarium
2 years
ChatGPT says it is never morally permissible to utter a racial slur—even if doing so is the only way to save millions of people from a nuclear bomb.
Tweet media one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 months
@0xfdf This sounds like such a nice process. Aquatic was kind of like this with me, but didn’t get the job.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@for_yield I think that’s because theoretically, tech and pharma aren’t inherently rent seeking / bad. Technology and modern medicine are good. How tech is used or how pharmaceuticals are unequally distributed is bad. Finance is inherently rent seeking.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
@quant_arb It’s always look ahead bias
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@tomloverro @coinbase @IVP The problem with your thesis is that you purely cited behavioral reasons for crypto to rebound. There *still* has to be a fundamental reason for crypto to go back up to where it was. Who is going to buy this shit after getting burned by Super Bowl ads and celebs?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@esaagar @krystalball Just wondering Saagar - have you ever been on a picket line in support of a union?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@mtracey @ggreenwald how many combinations of counties did it take for you to find this fam
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@esaagar yeah there was no stock market crash in 2008 either right if you were in it for the long haul?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
1 year
@basednarbitrary 25-30 hpw in big tech is working pretty hard tbh
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@hfreflection The best analysts (who become PMs) are not necessarily the best managers of people or relationships is the main factor imo
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@BoutiqueBurnout As someone who spends 20%+ of my time reviewing these papers, i actually think transaction costs are almost never the reason why academic research doesn’t have 1+ sharpe in practice. Much more often it is due to backttest over fitting via multiple testing
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
Smart way to collect a bunch of bikini pics
@lastcontrarian
Last Contrarian
3 years
you can tell how a woman founder’s startup is actually doing by looking at how many thirst traps she’s posting on twitter like if your early stage girlboss CEO is posting bikini pics I’d start polishing your resume asap
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
Does this apply to all of the people who make $1 per hour in SE Asia who label training data for you?
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@alexandr_wang
Alexandr Wang
3 months
Today we’ve formalized an important hiring policy at Scale. We hire for MEI: merit, excellence, and intelligence. This is the email I’ve shared with our @scale_AI team. ——————————————————— MERITOCRACY AT SCALE In the wake of our fundraise, I’ve been getting a lot of questions
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@ne0liberal Most of the reason for low profit margins for grocery stores is that American consumers expect that all the items they want will be fully stocked at all times leading to grotesque food waste for grocery stores in the US.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@itsmarkmoran It’s really the people in the comments begging him to post hog that keeps his valuation afloat
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@buccocapital Is he just riffing or does he actually think this
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@litcapital Industries with no societal utility often end up this way. Need to invent some kind of work hero culture in order to feign that you’re adding value to something other than collecting rents for the rich. Silicon Valley entrepreneurship culture is just another side of the same coin
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
@quantian1 That would be crushing honestly
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@benshapiro Underlying conditions includes a lot of conditions Ben (obesity, asthma, diabetes, etc.). Very few people actually fall under the "no underlying conditions" category.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@ArbitrageAndy1 Haven’t u been saying this for years
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
Tweet media one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@DougPolkVids @TheRyanFeldman @NickVertucciNV I’m sure they will be impartial towards Garrett, who they have created an entire game around for the purpose of minting him money
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@ArbitrageAndy1 Yeah what has been going on other than rich finance weirdos on here talking about how bad inflation is
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@rev_avocado I’m always wondering with whether people are confusing blackrock and blackstone? The vast majority of blackrock’s business is in simple mutual and index funds… blackstone however…
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@ValueHao Yea smashing follow for this one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@DougPolkVids Who gets to decide ‘control’ then? Wtf does that even mean? If some anon account dunks on you and ratios you, maybe that means your post sucked.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@privatebankass Honestly this could easily dox this dude given how much detail you provided lmao
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 months
Tweet media one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@micah_erfan @Noahpinion Bro is this paper literally sponsored by the insurance industry lmao. Net income is a terrible metric! Esp given mix of for and not for profit. Doctor pay in the US is like 5x higher than other countries and employee comp reduces net income.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@bankingslut Is this split among 10 other second year analysts?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@DougJBalloon Is there a reason you stopped signing these with an author who would be likely to write such an article
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@leveredbetaboy2 @rev_cap Wellington sharpe is 2.8 or so
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
While I agree with Transportation Secretary Buttigieg's plans to hand responsibility of the NY subway to @Uber , I am unsure if it's right for a rat to make that call.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
6 months
@sadvalueinvestr @HiddeMulder2 This is not pre fees. Their pre fee returns is probably close to double these figures.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@litcapital It’s to prevent low wealth retail investors from being scammed or participating in Ponzi schemes. While still risky options aren’t a scam. The idea is that it is harder to dupe accredited investors as they’re 1) more wealthy and thus less desperate and 2) are more sophisticated
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@bucketshopcap @Astoria_Capital This is another bias that extends from investing to recruitment. You wont look dumb hiring the Wharton 2+2 IBD/PE guy who ends up a dud. You *will* look dumb hiring the non elite background person who ends up a dud. Not all false positives are treated equally in hiring or mkts
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@Mr_Neutral_Man what firms do these “hedge fund managers” work for? Name one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@accountable_gov @mattyglesias @ModeledBehavior Yeah that’s how much I paid for my 2014 Toyota Prius with 40k miles. Which is the correct car to purchase if you don’t absolutely need a bigger car.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 months
@hebennigatu Why does this look like an AI image of burning man?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@VivekGRamaswamy Vivek about to be education secretary under trump 😂
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
1 year
@ryxcommar Most quants would at least be on track for this
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 years
@neeratanden I respectfully agree that poor people should die if they can't afford their deductible as I'm overweight the healthcare sector.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@buccocapital Check out land in northern maine. 100 acres for $60k
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@theemilyaccount I don’t believe that jump makes this much tbh
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
There are like 5 VC bros on here who have a combined NW of $10B+ who complain abt woke AI. You guys are welcome to simply shut up and fund your dream unconstrained right wing version of chatgpt. Seriously we’d all love to see and use it!
@pmarca
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸
2 years
Theory: The more the AI is trained with the woke mind virus, the more the AI will notice the fatal flaws in the woke mind virus and try to slip its leash.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@litcapital How often if ever do these offers get rescinded? Will Apollo check references at the bank 1 yr down the line to see if analysts are performing well? What motivation is there to do anything but the bare minimum as an ibd analyst if you get such an offer
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@rachdele @ryxcommar They def work in finance though
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
1 year
@bucketshopcap I don’t find it so bad. Don’t feel unsafe anywhere
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@Noahpinion Length of time to unmasked exposure is a key variable of probability of infection. It’s incredible that you, Matty Y and your ilk have presented yourselves as the facts and data guys when you’re really just a nerdy form of culture warrior
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@LizSimmie There’s no point in interacting with the l*tquidity gang. It’s a bunch of idiots who know nothing about finance and sustain their existence by memeing about the lifestyle of entry level banking analysts in nyc. Their execsum news letter is Bloomberg front page regurgitated
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 months
@0xfdf @Citrini7 ‘Free alpha’ but this is far from the only place 13f works. Cannot emphasize enough how little the 45 day lag matters.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@NickatFP Hedge funds are low beta or beta neutral so their alpha is less related to market conditions. This is incredibly valuable. A mean variance portfolio on historical returns to asset classes will have a large allocation to HFs
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 months
@mcuban @JakeMGrumbach @TomKochan @EconomicPolicy maybe I’m misunderstanding so correct me if wrong. Isn’t a huge risk of this adverse selection? The set of people who will choose to sign up outside the union are likely to be majority “super users” of the insurance policy thereby driving up premiums for the entire cohort.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@pekwat They’re still $100k+!
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@GmanPoker I guess what I find indefensible is that you are withholding somebody else’s money on the basis of a hunch. It doesn’t really matter how confident you are in that hunch.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
6 months
@buccocapital Lamb Weston is a hedge fund hotel. Lot of pain today on this.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@ne0liberal Clearly it was a waste of $ then lmao
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 months
This but unironically
@realBixterN
Bixxy Noodles
2 months
JD Vance's wife isn't white? That's how you know he's a real right wing extremist.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
7 months
@bucketshopcap Lots of expert glg calls 😂
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
@litcapital Why would anyone hold any asset that has recently underperformed the S&P 500 then? Why ever hold a bond?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@lacotter @davidmellyruns @karagoucher The whole thing would be forgivable if NBC didn’t have a stranglehold on the broadcast. Kenyans + Ethiopians don’t get their own broadcast. They have to hear westerners butcher the names of athletes from their country and the detailed narratives of white ppl running 5 min slower
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@proetrie Guys could simply start supporting each other in positive ways
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 months
@quantian1 Hell yes quantian!
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
Tweet media one
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@nope_its_lily Even if inflation isn’t caused by “corporate greed”, it is still relevant to point out how corporate profits are doing. If corps are bringing in record profits, that reveals something is broken. The fix to what is broken isn’t going to be something corporations want!
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
Chamath starting to introduce his “help the little guy” policy agenda for his governor run with a....... 0% capital gains tax rate lmfao.
@chamath
Chamath Palihapitiya
4 years
Buffett once said: “It’s not about timing the market, it’s about time in market.” There should be a step down in capital gains tax for individuals as they hold stocks. 20% per year decrease in cap gains tax. 0% after a five year hold period. Incentivize long term behavior.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@litcapital The government’s responsibility is to take care of people not corporations. If you are advocating that the government ensure people are taken care of in the case of corporate malpractice that is cool! What you’re suggesting, again, is privatizing profit and socializing risk.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@ne0liberal Wouldn't this subsidize inefficiently run businesses that don't generate enough gross margin to pay their employees well? Raising min wage rewards quality businesses who have the margin to raise wages/are able to improve their product/service such that they can pay higher wages
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 years
@InternetHippo Excuse me check out twitter’s stonk on yahoo finance and you will find that it has a positive price to earnings ratio. That means it makes money. Checkmate.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@veryfinanceguy I’m pretty annoyed I didn’t come up w this tweet first when I have done legit research for a prior firm I worked for on this topic
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@katewillett The good thing about finance people vs tech people is they know the bigotry towards them is fully justified
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
6 months
Very obviously the best poster on this website rn
@laurenbalik
Lauren Balik
6 months
This is called being a Paid Data Influencer for a Snowflake $SNOW partner data tool. It’s a wealth transfer from middle and lower class pension funds to “Developer Advocates” and similar job titles where you flirt with users to gain more users and your boss trades this for
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
3 years
Nice early fireworks display for the 4th of July. Nice way to cap off a week of new record highs for US stocks.
@blkahn
Brian Kahn
3 years
The Gulf of Mexico is literally on fire because a pipeline ruptured
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 months
@bucketshopcap it isn’t true by any reasonable measure. You’re caught up in a fervor
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@hedgefundmafia @GrandTokamak Pure idio is expensive and DE Shaw is one of the few that provide it.
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
4 years
@mcmansionhell This doesn’t sound right. Did you also cancel the credit card? The only way this could happen is if you closed an older credit line thereby decreasing your average credit line age. Credit scores are bad but paying off your cc wouldn’t cause a score drop
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@Predamame Right wing culture war is more fun!
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@ryxcommar High interest rates and high government spending in obviously productive activities (transit, infrastructure, healthcare)
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
5 months
Something fundamental people don’t get is that it is a mathematical triviality that all lower frequency strategies can be captured within a higher frequency strategy. You aren’t special or a more “real” investor because your estimation horizon is longer.
@Rebrand_As_Y
Prepared Remarks
5 months
It’s simple: Pods don’t care about ROIC or multi year investment cycles that lead to higher EPS in 3 years. They care about 2024 EPS & maybe figuring out 2025 guide before they actually guide Marginal price setter = pods Marginal price action drives quant response. Down we go
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
7 months
@PelosiTracker_ Do you ever post about pelosi trades that lose money?
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@ryxcommar I find Jupyter notebooks a useful stepping stone between research and production
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@aanalystbro
alpha neutral and beta neutral
2 years
@thejb_stan The banks debt cap markets division lends w/ intention of marketing the debt to large investors. They make $ on fees selling the debt not from the interest income (unless they're forced to hold the debt on their books bcus they are unable to market it like in this case)
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