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Roman 🦅

@goodhorsemen

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369
Following
4K
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57
Statuses
857

founder, economic futures // thinking about the economics of AI

Joined November 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@goodhorsemen
Roman 🦅
11 months
@ValerioCapraro This honestly reads more as someone who speaks English as a second language.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@hkatewilliams However bad you think the book might be, it's worse
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Staroxvia This goes hard - these countries merge just for the flag
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@LeoMars75 The number of Brits in the comments thinking that this means 100k over 3 years - I'm starting to think UK wages are just a fair reflection of skill level.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@dollarbillbluez @hkatewilliams It's unfortunately very real.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@PlazmaBolt @human_man88 @besttrousers @jzux @itsXtophe It's unintuitive, but you don't need to increase the size of the sample for larger populations for it to remain representative - imagine you're making soup and tasting it for seasoning, if you double the size of the pot, do you need to double the size of the spoon?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@JosephPolitano The UK and the US just have different political landscapes and it's fruitless trying to speculate about which country's candidates would do well in the other's country - realistically they'd all do terribly.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@RegimeTwink The next panel is. a stadium design that adheres to building regulations
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@revhowardarson Also very important to remember that he looks like this
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ArtButSports @nyknicks The fact that he let's everyone know he's cooking AND makes sure the photographer gets credit with a single sentence.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@whstancil The Bell Curve was written in the English language, and yet you still speak it? For shame!.
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@goodhorsemen
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11 months
@hkatewilliams The rate of housebuilding in London is low compared to elsewhere in the country.
@JamieRumbelow
Jamie Rumbelow
11 months
However, it differs a little from the US: this effect is only visible in London. Here is the same graph, with the London boroughs in red:
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@LevyAntoine A few days???.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@adampayne26 "Who would make the best prime minister, the current leader of the opposition (who you don't like), or a hypothetical person (onto whom you can project all the qualities that you do like)?".
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@goodhorsemen
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11 months
@davidbyers26 "But don't despair - some areas could see house prices rise 20%". Whoever wrote this, I want a new development directly on top of their house.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Aella_Girl @sp6runderrated She's not actually reading it, it's just performative rebellious behaviour, the kind of thing teenagers do. She's also known for berating her staffers to the point of tears, and scalding her ex-husband by pouring hot food on his head - a thoroughly unpleasant person.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ProfBillMcGuire Ah yes, why would anyone think that.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@SwannMarcus89 I get the feeling that the 19 year old who tldr'd a single sentence might not be the deepest thinker.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@goldnecklace2 @BlueyAnon @ArmandDoma Buried in an article where she tries to brush off working at Gawker - turns out she's no stranger to cheating!
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@realNateRybner @MrZEEsterious1 @micah_erfan "Most Americans agree with these things" to "these seem like things a majority of Texans support" is a hell of a goalpost shift.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
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@goodhorsemen
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11 months
@nolightupstairs Totally absurd.
@PhilosophyTube
Abigail Thorn
11 months
When I was told about this I lay on the floor and cried, it’s so violating, it made me want to quit writing forever. The reason I got back up was because I know my audience come to my show for real connection and ideas, not cheapfake AI garbage, and I know they’ll stay with me.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@LeRoyLandUse @ArmandDoma That has to be a parody, surely.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@M_C_Klein @jdub3o @whstancil @NateSilver538 You'd think that "smart enough to know that incomes should be adjusted for changes in the price level, but not smart enough to know what 'real' or 'inflation-adjusted' means" would be a a pretty small Venn diagram, and yet there's seemingly an infinite supply.
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@jacktr1al He's now just rage tweeting into the void which seems like a good outcome
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@JosephPolitano Birkenhead Park is also 1/4 the size and in the suburbs
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1 year
@mtndewmartini @Staroxvia Yes I'm aware that it was done on purpose :).
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1 year
@AlexSeveran @nkulw "Until Israel is gone" - you're fully detached from reality.
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1 year
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@TrueSlazac The worst genocide of the 21st century so far
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@moorehn Inflation categorically has come down - *prices* have not come down, and you shouldn't expect them to.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Iamsock @whstancil It's true, this is a photo of the guy at the CIA in charge of the giant 'Australian economy' lever
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@CharlieBaranski Your source includes over 20 variants of English, including "Irish English" and "Jewish English" - you'd need to do a lot more work to standardise the methodology to be able to properly make the comparison.
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1 year
@morthobbs @Very__Regular The channel still exists btw, they just replaced the people who left and viewership decreased - but also, Sohla was not getting paid a single dollar - she was supposed to keep working for free so that Bon Appetit could continue paying other people? What are you talking about?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@xriskology It's not reasonable to publicly accuse people of causing harm, and then expect them to buy and read an entire book just to understand that you didn't mean precisely what you said.
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@goodhorsemen
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11 months
@ChadNotChud Individual who's incredibly accomplished in the natural sciences doesn't understand that social sciences don't work the same way? Many such cases.
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@InvisibleMapper You're right, no need to bother promising affordable units
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@lxeagle17 (person who will never have any political influence voice). "no no we HAVE to execute him bro"
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@vanillaopinions Idk I can think of more respectful things to do in the workplace
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1 year
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1 year
@bidetuser @best_shittalker Congratulations! You're in at least the top 0.1% of earners in the country, its no wonder you know nothing about the housing market as you probably don't have to think about money at all.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Locati0ns Stop plagiarising, this map was made by @PythonMaps.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ThatRandomXUser @best_shittalker > tries to make a serious criticism of economics.> cites steve keen.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@bidetuser @best_shittalker The answer is no, they can't, because your landlord is also constrained by your ability and willingness to pay.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@erinoverbey @jpodhoretz @NewYorker @sbg1 "nepo baby is a slur" - john podhoretz (nepo baby).
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1 year
@BeezyManzell @whstancil Lots of buildings also look terrible.
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1 year
@RJWhitfield1 @whstancil Leftists understand the difference between the individual and the aggregate challenge. Difficulty: impossible.
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@jayphoward @LoriGottlieb1 @HistoryBoomer By limiting expectations ("you're definitely going to get in!") and preventing being pressured ("are you sure you don't want to go somewhere closer to home?"), are two things that spring to mind.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ChadNotChud 1. He does have an ego, and he gets off on being called names. 2. He enjoys being ratioed (more attention). 3. You can't get people to unfollow him, because people who hate him will follow him anyway. It's literally the Noah Smith/MattY playbook!.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@besttrousers @rSanti97 >crash boat into bridge.>inflation and bigger deficit.> ???.> biden 2nd term.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Sharon_Kuruvila I showed this video to my grandpa and it gave him an aneurysm.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@nicoleprinty @BookBrunch @simonschusterUK @anne_irfan given that your own page only references Palestine, it's safe to say that you aren't qualified to appraise anyone else's ability to write on the matter then.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@whstancil This is how the Stancil tide turns - never stop poasting.
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11 months
@mattyglesias @krishnanrohit @RuxandraTeslo "One of these groups is constantly saying unpleasant things about me, so I'll vote for the other" seems like the obvious motivation, even if irrational at a policy level.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@bidetuser @best_shittalker So if landlords were not constrained by the law, they would raise prices to $100k per month? $1 million?.
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1 year
@stevenlazarov When did the first fascist movement/party arise?. When did colonisation first occur?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@whstancil
Will Stancil
1 year
@capitalismandf1 This chart isn’t showing you a real decline. What happened is that 2020 millions and millions of people lost their jobs, overwhelmingly at the very bottom of the income spectrum. As a result, average wages leapt up even though people didn’t actually receive higher wages.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@DemocraticLuntz @SwannMarcus89 @souljagoytellem "Inappropriate use of missiles, crack" also known as the Biden family history.
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@goodhorsemen
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11 months
@DanielleFong Counterpoint: John von Neumann
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11 months
@mattparlmer AMF (Against McKinsey Foundation).
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1 year
@jmhorp ~1%.
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1 year
@bidetuser @best_shittalker Can your landlord always increase your rent? If so, why don't they just triple it? If not, what difference in conditions allow them/prevent them from doing so?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@nicoleprinty @BookBrunch @simonschusterUK @anne_irfan it's clear from her website (which took 20 seconfs to find) that she has a number of publications on Palestine.
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@sadaasukhi @seconds_0 Conversations with Tyler (Tyler Cowen, Paul Graham guest).
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@Q10510CE @then_there_was @JohnsonThought1 Jesus that was painful.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@whstancil
Will Stancil
1 year
NO. I want to be absolutely clear here: I AM NOT SAYING INCREASED HOMELESSNESS IS VIBES. It’s a real, urgent problem. It’s a problem measurable in data and one we should address immediately at every level of government.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@opinonhaver I would sooner self-immolate than let a 19 year old nepo baby talk to me like this.
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1 year
@nycfreethinker High rises 😱 in Manhattan 😱.
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1 year
@layne_madeline @whstancil Universal health care is trickle down economics?.
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1 year
@bidetuser @best_shittalker And you would be able to pay that much?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ArmandDoma End the US occupation of Australia NOW 😤.
@epistemophagy
moby dickgirl
1 year
@Embowaf @ArmandDoma I'd prefer you to withdraw your troops and stop "briefing" our legislators actually but that seems about equally unlikely in my lifetime.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@ThatRandomXUser @best_shittalker You've managed to pick the macroeconomic school of thought that's famous for being the *least* empirical/scientific.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@layne_madeline @whstancil The QT said we should give everyone universal healthcare, Will agreed, and then you replied saying "this is trickle down economics".
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1 year
@MostMuscle @BharatRamamurti Cool! Tell us what else you learned on tiktok?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@grundless @LeoMars75 That's exactly what it means
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1 year
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@foomagemindset @xriskology This effect is already understood by the orgs involved - not clear that it's meaningfully large and seems very unlikely that it outweighs the benefits.
@NathanpmYoung
Nathan is in the Bay Area 🔍
1 year
@pmarca @GiveWell's response to a similar charge, 8 years ago:.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@StoopMensch No idea what energy prices are generally like in Germany (pre-2022) but this may well just be German's being freaks, which they are known to be.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@GalenMetzger1 Where's the first line from?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@jacktr1al The damage that r/vexillology has done is immeasurable.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@AaronBergman18 @prerationalist I disagree, in my experience people frequently explicitly claim that there's no way of becoming a billionaire without actively exploiting/harming others.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@Nath22717146 @LeoMars75 After 3 years your *ANNUAL* TOTAL COMPENSATION will be 100k
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1 year
@rich_r_k @_asmodai @IwriteOK That's a fair criticism, but the orgs involved have been aware of this unintended effect for years, they've investigated it and have good reason to believe that it's not significant and doesn't outweigh the massive benefits of the intervention itself
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@jdub3o @M_C_Klein @whstancil @NateSilver538 Where are you seeing COLA well behind inflation?. Sources: World Bank, Social Security Administration
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@besttrousers
Matt Darling 🌐🏗️
1 year
1.) Wages are increasing. 2.) Layoffs are historically low.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@DougHenwood Drop the receipts doug, let's see what you bought.
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1 year
@AaronBergman18 What did SBF say?.
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@goodhorsemen
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2 years
@katiedimartin @ChadNotChud How do you eat meat without it first being produced?.
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@goodhorsemen
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1 year
@arnoblalam @ArmandDoma right, because a sentence that begins with "eat shit you fucking pig" is likely to end with a peaceful plea for democratic engagement.
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