Economics, policy, maths & markets. Centrist Dad (anti austerity, far better to
#Rejoin
the Single Market). All views personal.
@trevor
-greetham.bsky.social
@Jacob_oberg_EU
In government, Starmer can say there are better ways of doing Brexit and try to move towards them, starting with May’s voluntary regulatory alignment and then later some kind of Single Market deal. It’s this chart in reverse (from the last official Brexit impact assessment).
In case you care, the Nat C’s conference is organised by a shady organisation called the Edmund Burke Foundation with links to US think tanks and far right Dutch politician Geert Wilders. Left leaning journalists banned, in the interests of free speech.
@Gilesyb
Claire Fox is blaming the EU.
Odey is blaming Remainers.
Lilico says the IMF is left wing.
Andrew Pierce suspects a Labour mole in the civil service.
Kwarteng blames “City Boys”.
The blame shifting marathon rumbles on…
@PickardJE
What’s fascinating about the government’s non-dom troubles is how many of the Brexit cheerleaders clearly don’t believe in Britain and declared themselves citizens of nowhere to avoid paying their fair share of tax.
It’s almost as if Brexit was really about something else. 🤔
@sahilkapur
@JenniferJJacobs
That’s the old irony. Republicans blow the budget. Democrats fix it and no one ever thanks them for it. In fact, people think they’re the big spenders.
@MattFoot2
Do you remember when people said the reason Sue Gray’s full report couldn’t be published was it would prejudice the inquiry by allowing the suspects to agree their stories before being interviewed separately?
Now they get to sit in the same room filling in questionnaires. 🤨
@Simon4NDorset
2019 - Tory MPs have whip removed if they don’t back Boris Johnson’s Withdrawal Agreement
2020 - Tory MPs have whip removed if they do back Boris Johnson’s Withdrawal Agreement
@IsabelOakeshott
Turns out many people are just as productive and have a better work-life balance without paying commuter train fares and spending hours moving to and fro.
IEA gaslighting continues. Brexit is the worst self-inflicted economic disaster for Britain since Churchill took us back onto the gold standard at the wrong price in 1925 and triggered the Great Depression. Jessop blames the opponents’ lack of belief for UK poverty.
An au pair living 6ys in 🇬🇧 crossed Europe 6 days to rescue 8 yr old daughter. She has been turned away at Calais. Johnson's UK won't let her back in
1 example why the 🇫🇷Int Min yesterday complained to Patel about🇬🇧's "lack of humanity" towards 🇺🇦refugees
@GavinBarwell
@DavidGHFrost
Saying the transition to post-Brexit trading arrangements has gone smoothly is like saying the Titanic’s maiden voyage passed without incident.
I will be out there singing with the rest on VE Day, remembering all the time that it was a victory over fascism and nationalism not a victory over Germany. 🇬🇧 🇪🇺 🇩🇪
@implausibleblog
Wasn’t a left wing government that saw taxes rise in the UK since 2010. Wasn’t a left wing government that oversaw the GFC in America or cut taxes for billionaires immediately before Covid hit.
@mikegalsworthy
Very unconvincing explanation for the news blackout on the massive anti Brexit marches. BBC UK news editor Richard Burgess says he only covers marches if it’s a developing news story and there’s a chance something changes as a result. Guess what? No coverage means no change.
@PickardJE
In that respect, EU migrants taking advantage of free movement to work here, make their lives and pay tax here were less citizens of nowhere than government ministers themselves.
@afneil
Why say this and omit to say it’s expected to add only 0.08% to UK GDP by 2035? That’s one fiftieth of the damage of Brexit.
It’s almost as if you’re not being impartial. 🧐
@lisaocarroll
This worries me a lot. Sunak is trying to bury bad news with other bad news.
Brexit is 2-3x more important than Covid for long term growth and a competent chancellor must know that.
Source: HM Treasury Brexit impact 6-9% of GDP over 15 years vs consensus 2-3% hit from Covid.
@guardian
This is borderline racist. Cultural mixing is good for all of us. And living and working abroad is one of the best ways to learn a language.
Does this mean the British can expect a Spanish test to retire on the Costa del Sol or work in a bar there?
@tnewtondunn
2019 - Tory MPs have whip removed if they don’t back Boris Johnson’s Withdrawal Agreement
2020 - Tory MPs have whip removed if they do back Boris Johnson’s Withdrawal Agreement
@NicholasTyrone
A technical point, but he had the right policy remedy for the financial crisis too. Focus public money on taking banks into public ownership (the Americans wanted to buy “troubled assets”) and keep fiscal policy as loose as possible.
A must watch clip. Femi makes a strong case that this government is more interested in suppressing dissent than solving problems. Peaceful protest and proportional representation are the answer.
The EU has a surplus in traded goods and can access the UK without tariffs or quotas. We have a surplus in services, which aren’t included in the deal and will get the cold shoulder.
@KevinASchofield
@SkyNews
By extension, none of us should dare criticise the government of the day.
Is politics really Dowden’s lane? He’s not very good at it.
@andrew_lilico
Nasty. I don’t see a 4-6% drop in Leave support just before the referendum. I do see a sudden and late surge coinciding with illegal overspending on Facebook and Russian bot activity.
President Trump just spoke at the White House, as key states continue to count votes.
Shep has the facts: “What the President of the United States is saying, in large part, is absolutely untrue.”
#Election2020
@ENorth65
@Bingleboo
No fan of Trump but you get to choose a different President in a couple of years. Brexit would undo 40 years of peaceful integration.
@tconnellyRTE
@peterjukes
@rte
This makes me so ashamed of our leaders.
We’re regressing into a fantasy imperial past and don’t have the economic or diplomatic muscle to back it up.
@amandajplatell
Who can honestly say they didn’t once introduce the most stringent controls on everyday life ever imposed, break the same rules routinely and then lie about it to Parliament?
@BorisJohnson
7. Return Russian party donations, sanction oligarchs and step aside so the country can unite behind a leader without doubtful patronage.
@mikegalsworthy
Every environmental speech includes these jokey bits as a signal to his base that he’s not taking the threat seriously.
See also Bunny hugging, etc.
@Nigel_Farage
Hardly. People from all walks there today and all parts of the country. Democracy didn't end on 23 June 2016, much though you'd like it to.
The same government that views the 52/48 Brexit majority as an overwhelming mandate is now saying that it wasn’t actually a majority of nurses who rejected their pay deal because not every nurse voted. 🧐
@campbellclaret
The idea that it’s the EU or the Irish Republic that’s threatening peace in Ireland is the most shameful in a long list of blame shifting exercises.
@IsabelOakeshott
Not what the Bank of England is saying. This is from Catherine Mann.
Brexit caused a 5% increase in the cost of living before Covid and Ukraine. Those global shocks come on top of the UK hit.
Starting a trade war with the EU over Ireland can only make this squeeze worse.
@implausibleblog
The egotistical nature of that regime was best summed up when Johnson’s defenders complained this was “the wrong kind of crisis” for him.
@truemagic68
Who wants to meet the man who plans to deport asylum seekers without a hearing and said he lost his phone when asked for honesty about the goings on during Covid? Well done Martin. 👏
@JoshuaPHilll
@Sonic_Screwup
Can agree with this. Have worked a 4 day pattern for the last seven years. More focused and more sustainable, especially in your 50s. Work life balance isn’t an optional extra.
@EuroGuido
Overall UK inflation is 1% higher than the EU average - and our cost of living crisis comes on top of the 5% increase in prices due to Brexit. I don’t expect you are interested in the truth.
“Reaching a global estimate of the number of excess deaths is hard” says
@ArielKarlinsky
, and we agree - especially without data from China and India.
Still, for a sense of the total global loss of life so far we think
@TheEconomist
estimate of 10 million is about right.
@davidflatman
@vivamjm
Followed a car through a torturous one way system in the dead of night assuming they knew the way out. Ended up doing a 3-point turn in their drive. 😳
@toryboypierce
Do you take us for fools? Here’s the OECD GDP forecast table rebasing each economy to 100 pre-Covid. By the end of 2022 the UK is at the bottom of the G7 list.
The worst economic performance and nearly the worst Covid death rate.
@DavidGauke
@13sarahmurphy
And Johnson is gaslighting like never before.
✅ The NI Protocol is good (not bad) for NI business.
❎ Scrapping the NI Protocol is bad (not good) for the Good Friday Agreement.
This is all about maintaining a sense of crisis with the EU to distract from domestic failings.
@BenKentish
@SpanishDan1
In response Downing Street and the Home Office have leaked that they too were considering not reappointing her but.. checks notes… the obvious candidate said Boris Johnson’s racist comments would rule him out of joining the police.