
Paul Novosad
@paulnovosad
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econ prof @dartmouth, founder https://t.co/zBuCmMUmPy. r2: "a morass of disjointed streams of consciousness" š¤·
NH
Joined January 2012
š£ New working paper on residential segregation in India. Weāve been working for 5 years on this. 8 facts about residential segregation in India, from new administrative data. The situation is not great š§µ 1/N
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Good reminder that most of the anonymous action you see on here are from bots and state actors
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Interesting
Adam Smith may have won the intellectual battle of ideas, but mercantilism has survived, and sometimes to good effects, from @rodrikdani
https://t.co/hHSwSDMzsY
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Over 170 American citizens were dragged off and held by U.S. Immigration Agents Against Their Will, ProPublica Finds ā ProPublica
propublica.org
The government does not track how often immigration agents grab citizens. So ProPublica did. Our tally ā almost certainly incomplete ā includes people who were held for days without a lawyer. And...
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Bicyclist deaths in the US are up 89% (!) since 2009. Biking on public roads doesnāt have to be this dangerous. This is a policy choice.
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Congrats to our new, in house Pentagon press corps The Federalist, the Epoch Times, OAN, Turkish newspaper AkÅam, three individuals from the Turkish state-run Anadolu Agency, two Turkish freelancers, a reporter for the Australian, an Afghan freelancer; and three lesser-known
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āReal-world impact has come much faster with AI than it did with mobile.ā -Mike Krieger AI is already changing budgets, workflows, and P&Ls. We sat with @mikeyk, CPO at Anthropic. Hereās what he told me: ⢠How AI is driving revenue today ⢠Sonnet 4.5: Opus-level brains at
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This step was taken by the only Defense Secretary in American history to accidentally share details of a pending military strike with a journalist on an insecure Signal chat.
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"The bottom line is if you care about economic freedom, democracy is the way to go and if you care about democracy, economic freedom is the way to go."
Robert Reich said "Capitalism is Killing Democracy." Peter Theil said Democracy is Killing Capitalism. Which is correct? @VincentGeloso and I argue that the data reject both the Reich and Theil arguments. Democracy and Capitalism go hand in hand! https://t.co/CiAqsGexlE
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They said they were going after gang members
.@GovPritzker doesnāt just allow illegal aliens to terrorize Illinoisās communities, he allows them to work as sworn police officers. Radule Bojovic overstayed a B2 tourist visa that required him to depart the U.S. on March 31, 2015. Over a decade later, he was still illegally
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New research from the Data/Dev team! SB 79 will eventually zone nearly 1.5 million (1,456,150) new units of housing in the City of LA. Enough to double LAās current housing stock of 1.37 million homes Read more: https://t.co/8H1xfVrCcn
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š Snap the Worldās Largest Teapot, hike Tomlinson Runās āAlmost Heavenā swing, shop Fiesta Tableware, try your luck at Mountaineer, explore Weirtonās Super 8 spots, then hit Brooke Hills Park, Station Grille, and Beech Bottomās Pioneer TrailāWVās river road is a perfect fall
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Here's a map of the median age by state/province in the US and Canada. Canada is slightly older than the US but Nunavut is the youngest territory at 27.1. Newfoundland is the oldest province. In the US, Utah is the youngest state while Maine is the oldest.
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ICE's military raids and masked kidnappings are resonating deeply/negatively in the cultural spaces we keep hearing Dems need to reach: Manosphere, Joe Rogan, country music, disengaged voters. That's rare and it gives Ds an opening to engage. Me on this: https://t.co/DlVpsGxiWF
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Wow. New Economist poll finds only 34% of Americans say ICE's use of force has been justified, vs 51% who say it's been excessive. And they oppose agents wearing masks by 52-35. Yep, ICE is becoming a pariah agency, and that's gaining deep penetration in the culture:
ICE's military raids and masked kidnappings are resonating deeply/negatively in the cultural spaces we keep hearing Dems need to reach: Manosphere, Joe Rogan, country music, disengaged voters. That's rare and it gives Ds an opening to engage. Me on this: https://t.co/DlVpsGxiWF
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I admit this is a funny tweet, but it has things backwards. Think about the counterfactualāif Milei keeps the uncontrolled fiscal spending of his predecessors, would Argentina's fiscal situation be better?
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One task. Faster search. Cleaner code. We replaced Brave with Parallel AIās search API and shipped the migration in a single task. Halving code, removing fallbacks, and boosting reliability.
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honestly liberal traders and especially rates traders are america's last try donald trump is the Mule and they are the Second Foundation
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How credible was the "credibility revolution"? How robust is empirical research in economics? We just replicated a year's worth of the American Economic Review & had economists predict robustness. Here's what we learned.
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To be fair, this Nobel was awarded for Aghion's theoretical work. I don't have any qualms with the theory of "creative destruction". I think competition is quite healthy, and the norm in economics that replication is frowned upon is antithetical to Aghion's research. There needs
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But this isn't about partisan implications. As last 800 years of Anglo-American history have routinely shown, you wan legislature and law in control of the money. Whatever the merits of paying the troops--and I support it--this is another huge blow to congressional authority.
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We vibe-coded a Figurine Making App from scratch. Built on the Boxel AI platform. Create your own figurines in just a few clicks. From Glinda (Wicked) to your favorite sports heroes, bring your imagination to life with AI + UI you build yourself.
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Sadly, I have to (mostly) concur. If solution to military pay was not some clever way to xfer RDTE $ to MILPERS, but that they just decided to just spend RDTE $ on MILPERS, that's an absurdly egregious violation of constitutional/statutory approps law. 1/
Trump's mechanism to pay the troops during the shutdown is by far the most illegal budgetary action he's taken as POTUS, potentially setting the stage to break everything It's also needless bcuz Congress would easily pass a troop pay bill if Johnson were willing to gavel in š§µ
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Of course, public opinion and congressional action can still hold an exec in check, even under these conditions. But the framework of the constitution and the rule of appropriations law are a chesteron's fence you don't want to knock over. I'm afraid we are on our way.
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