In Energy and Civilization,
@VaclavSmil
shows that societies progress with the Energy Density of their fuels and the Power Density of their motors (including efficiency). Our energy transitions can be seen as moving to higher and higher energy densities:
El Salvador is beating homicide rate projections made in May of this year.
They are on track for their safest year ever, and all it took was locking up their criminals.
As of June, Nayib Bukele has a 92.9% approval rating, 90.9% reelection support, and 92.4% crackdown support.
In 1910, two German chemists invented a way to pull nitrogen from the atmosphere & produce ammonia.
Today, 50% of all of the nitrogen in your body has gone through that process.
Things the US will build in the next 25 years:
1. Mile high skyscraper
2. Hypersonic jets
3. Flying cars
4. Blimp/subsea cities
5. Terraformed deserts
6. Colonies on the moon and Mars
I never want to see the world’s tallest building in another country again.
We invented skyscrapers and we should DOMINATE building the tallest buildings ever dreamed of.
After hearing that Sikorsky had started an aviation company, the composer Sergei Rachmaninoff showed up & wrote him a $5k check (~$85k) to complete his first plane in the US, the Sikorsky Yorktown. An early airliner.
Sikorsky at the plane's christening, May 8, 1925
If any Apple employees who worked on the car battery are interested in developing better lithium ion batteries and happen to be following me, reach out !
BREAKING: Apple, $AAPL, winding down electric car plans, ending decade-long foray, per Bloomberg.
Some Apple, $AAPL, car employees to be cut, many will shift to AI
I’ll play devil’s advocate here.
If being a founder is high status, people will found companies just to be called a founder.
I’m not sure that dynamic is what we want.
A better paradigm may be if people feel compelled to create/solve things because if they don’t do it no one
Rather than regressive policies like this, I suggest we once again *build* our way out.
Underground ped crossings. Added retail space. Safer, eases traffic, and grows GDP.
Win, win, win.
I will be traveling to the following cities in the coming weeks:
LA: February 26 - 28
SF: February 28 - March 2
Dallas/Austin: March 2 - 4
NYC: March 5 - 8
Chicago: March 9 - 11
DM me if you want to learn about the future of batteries.
The way I see the fertility crisis is a stacked filter of :
Desire to have kids
Ability to have kids
Resources to support kids
We seem to be failing on all three
THE RIGHT TO BUILD:
No one (Fed, State, Local gov) should be able to stop you from building ANYTHING on your own land.
The ONLY thing gov should be able to say is ‘you need to fix X so it doesn’t kill people’ but only AFTER the fact.
+ transparent standards = MAX BUIDL
America is such a geographic lottery winner:
extensive internal waterways, vast arable lands, biodiversity, climate diversity, many natural harbors, two massive oceans, abundant natural resources... and now more lithium than anywhere.
Everyone else is playing on hard mode.
This is a cool advance, 10s of milliwatts instead of microwatts could open some ultra low power applications. Still a ways off from the 600-700 mW for an iPhone but good progress. 60% efficient though so caps out below 200mW.
Cc
@semiDL
Major breakthrough in nuclear battery technology! Infinity Power has developed a nuclear battery that is over six times as efficient. Article link in reply.
That means that it could provide the same amount of power with less than one sixth as much radioactive material. It
It’s over for the rest of the world.
They had their chance.
The US will take off the gloves soon (regulations, doomerism, distractions)
2023 is peak boomer retirement and younger generations will restore American dominance.
🚀
Hence my confusion why so many VCs now "only invest in software."
Is software still "tech"? Some of it is.
And some is still a great business, regardless.
These things are worth parsing.
Most of you don’t know this but they found
@ADoricko
washed up on the shore of the Potomac as a baby. His overdeveloped musculature swaddled in an American flag, with mullet locks over his eyes. As he was lifted from the basket, a bald eagle overhead screeched and the second
One common mistake is looking at energy density of fuels and power density of motors as isolated components, when they should be evaluated at the system level.
For example, the energy density of gasoline is 13.1 kWh/kg but due to efficiency of combustion only 2.62 kWh/kg are
In Energy and Civilization,
@VaclavSmil
shows that societies progress with the Energy Density of their fuels and the Power Density of their motors (including efficiency). Our energy transitions can be seen as moving to higher and higher energy densities:
For the China shills insinuating that Chinese LFP batteries are selling for profit at $47/kWh or $56/kWh, I refer you to this tidbit from
@LimitingThe
's recent video.
Excess capacity, not prowess in technology/mfg is driving price reductions.
Some takeaways I've learned over the years as a result of following battery startups are:
1. Use cheap, abundant materials. Straightforward.
2. Use simple, cheap chemical processes. This can be a little trickier but you can assume that processes that only operate in 2
I never understood why this news didn't trigger international headlines, Congressional hearings, and prosecutions of US officials.
"Prosecutors admit US signed a cooperation agreement with a Sinaloa cartel leader...dismissed a major case against Sinaloa cartel lawyer Humberto
Arpa-E announces an ultra-longshot stretch $30m program to produce batteries reaching 1,000 wh/kg of specific energy, for use on planes, trains, and ships (also good for EVs!). As context, the industry has yet to produce 500 wh/kg batteries, or even 400.
While I want this to be true, it's indefinite optimism.
1. Wrong -Energy Density is flat
2. True
3. 'AI' is incremental (see ML and Big Data)
4. Diamagnetism not SC (also it's 2020's now not 2010's)
Imagine parroting Stagnation Theory during the 2010s
And then humanity proceeds to:
- massively improve battery energy density
- launch + land orbital rockets every 3.5 days
- willed life and intelligence into sand
- create room-temp superconductors
How wrong you were...
Excited to share an article I wrote for
@refreshmiami
, a publication with the mission to grow South Florida’s tech and startup ecosystem.
The piece is a spotlight on
@Ourosenergy
, who is building the next generation of batteries 🔋⚡️ Thanks for sharing your story
@ELoosbrock
.
Are you underestimating new battery technology?
Today,
@ELoosbrock
and
@elidourado
on:
- When 5-10x energy density batteries arrive
- How Electric Vehicles will have 2,000+ mile range
- What's coming in transportation and electronics
- Fully Off-grid electric
The solution to this problem is for policy makers to step in and incentivise smaller lower price EVs and build out the charging network.
IMO this will be a difficult prob to solve as OEMs try to convert consumers to EVs by matching ICE performance
2/2
Big news today for
@InstituteCicero
homelessness work as
@GovRonDeSantis
signs HB 1365, the toughest homelessness law in the nation.
-Ban on street camping
-End of “Housing First” in FL
-Accountability for cities/NGOs
We’ve been working and fighting on this for years. It
Been enjoying
@ADoricko
's tweets lately, so we sat down and recorded a pod about
- cloud seeding
- terraforming
- water abundance and more
and of course, I had to make a cloud seeding edit:
Future Tech for Li Ion Batteries: Many companies are focused on new materials for lithium ion batteries. They can be grouped into two buckets: Anode and Cathode
Energy can only be increased by 1. Increasing the active/inactive component ratio or 2. Using higher energy materials