Alexander Sahn
@sahnicboom
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assistant prof @uncpolisci , studying urban inequality in the US
Joined July 2014
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our interim chancellor pepper sprayed students and cancelled classes to stage a photo-op raising the american flag. far more violent and disruptive to learning than any protest or encampment to date at UNC. held a press conference, but no explanation to students/faculty
@l_rhodsie
Interim Chancellor Lee Roberts is leading a team of law enforcment officers towards the flag pole.
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My paper with
@jakemgrumbach
is forthcoming in the APSR!
We find that money in politics is overwhelmingly white, but the candidates of color diversify the money.
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paper on the effects of a zoning reform in India that increase housing supply and lowered prices through a mechanism that I don't think has gotten as much attention previously: increased investment in shared amenities allows smaller unit sizes
Thanks
@ATabarrok
for featuring my JMP which looks at the effects of the FAR relaxation in Mumbai in
@MargRev
JMP thread coming soon! Paper here:
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American municipalities have a huge degree of institutional variation: how executive and legislative branches are divided, how the legislature is apportioned, and who controls the bureaucracy.
in a new paper i ask: does this matter for policy?
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In our new
@apsrjournal
article,
@KuipersNicholas
and I revise the conventional wisdom that municipal civil service reform in the US dislodged immigrants from government jobs.
Instead, we find that the “merit system” had the opposite effect.
#OpenAccess
from
@apsrjournal
-
The Representational Consequences of Municipal Civil Service Reform -
-
@KuipersNicholas
&
@sahnicboom
#FirstView
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interesting set of findings in this really impressive paper on the low income housing tax credit, the now-dominant mechanism for subsidizing housing in the US. only 30% of the credit goes to households and developers would have likely built anyways
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very honored to receive this award alongside Alice and previous years’ winners. thank you to
@apsaurban
and the awards committee!
3/8 Next: the Susan Clarke Young Scholar Award, which recognizes scholars who completed their Ph.D. within the last three years (or are ABDs) and submitted a paper proposal for the 2023 APSA meeting, goes to
@sahnicboom
and
@alice_z_xu
!!! 🥳
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pretty stunning contraction of land where multi-family housing can be built in Pittsburgh, PA in the postwar period
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doing an intellectual history of the major multi-wave surveys would be enormously valuable to the social sciences. a lot of measurement debates (e.g. over what the racial resentment scale captures) come back to idiosyncratic decisions made at ANES board meetings decades ago
Would totally read a political theorist analyzing the questions on the world values survey
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comparativist colleagues are always baffled that we simply don't have data on local elections in the US. this is a huge step towards solving this problem.
thanks justin, diana, yamil, and chris for providing this important public good!
Local offices–like city councilors, mayors, and county legislators–are the most common elected offices in the US. But what determines local election outcomes and what are the consequences of these elections? Our paper out today should help answer those Qs:
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forthcoming annual review piece on NIMBY/YIMBY land use politics in the US from
@trounstine
, who put this research agenda on the map in political science
strongly endorse these calls for future research
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great new paper looking at the effect of the Great Migration on representative institutions
some complementary findings in my paper on the GM and exclusionary zoning: 1) smaller city councils 2) more at-large seats that dilute minority power
Here's my new working paper w/
@robmickey
&
@dziblatt
.
tl;dr influxes of Black people during the Great Migration led Northern towns & cities to remove directly elected mayors & replace them with appointed city managers
ungated:
1/n
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again, pointing out that Bowling Alone was published 24 years ago and has been cited 85k times and yet there has been almost no work on how to reverse the decline in associational life in America
ICYMI: I wrote about our national hanging out crisis. In the last 20 years, averaging face-to-face socializing has declined ~30% among adults and ~50% among teens.
We've never been so alone. And it's driving us crazy.
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huge congrats to my good friends and co-authors
@KuipersNicholas
for winning the best comparative politics dissertation award and
@JakeMGrumbach
for winning the best book award from
@APSAtweets
.
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this is actually a comparative politics talk since we are using the british spelling of neighbourhood
Looking forward to hosting
@sahnicboom
for this seminar on neighborhood representation on Thursday. Come if you're free and in Singapore!
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playing around with the new
@ipums
1950 full-count census data. hetereogeneity in the Great Migration is as interesting as ever. 8% of all Black people born in Mississippi lived in Chicago in 1950!
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we are celebrating 25 years of the American Politics Research group at
@uncpolisci
this week with our past (Stimson, MacKuen, Lowery), present (40+ of our PhD alumni), and future (our exceptional graduate students). incredible program organized by
@HetheringtonUNC
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some pretty striking numbers from the
@apsrjournal
editor's note. big changes on both the editorial and submission side
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a thread of podcasts on local politics in the US, great for undergrad teaching.
corruption in Emeryville, CA:
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please apply to attend the local political economy pre-conference on Sep 4 (wed before APSA). grad students on the market, this is a great place to get quality feedback and meet nice, smart people who may be hiring!
last year’s program for reference:
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my article with
@KuipersNicholas
is now in print. see the thread below for our revisionist take on the representational effects of civil service reforms
In our new
@apsrjournal
article,
@KuipersNicholas
and I revise the conventional wisdom that municipal civil service reform in the US dislodged immigrants from government jobs.
Instead, we find that the “merit system” had the opposite effect.
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there are a lot of stories about why americans "don't like density" (suburban american dream, frontier mentality, strong property rights) but the evidence of the underlying fact is the opposite (Chicago/NY/LA compared to Berlin/London/Paris)
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city of berkeley was forced to approve this project after 19 months due to state law limiting the number of meetings on a project at 5
the original proposal from 2012 was approved in 2015 after 37 meetings. this version had 302 units; in 2023 we are down to 187. great outcome?
Great outcome last night - 187 homes close to Downtown BART approved w/in 5 meetings thanks to Sen.
@NancySkinnerCA
SB 330
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chapel hill is planning to eliminate density requirements and allow fourplexes in more zoning districts
Town staff has prepared a proposal to amend the Land Use Management Ordinance (LUMO) to allow property owners to build all kinds of housing in many parts of the town without needing special permission. Duplexes! Triplexes! Fourplexes!
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an incredible amount of historical data work showing the key trade at the heart of patronage politics: jobs for votes.
an interesting twist is that meritocratic civil service reforms had already been introduced; the effects here are despite these rules
@LukasLeucht
from UC Berkeley is on the job market this year with an excellent paper on "Votes for Jobs: Patronage and Performance in Tammany Hall's NYPD" - be sure to have a close look at his paper and profile!
#EconJobMarket
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good to see a public agency actually trying to get accurate polling estimates of public opinion rather than relying on public comments
Amid some opposition from local city councils to LA Metro’s C Line to Torrance extension project, Metro announces that a poll of local residents finds 67% support for project, 8% opposition. They also announce that 66% of EIR comments support ROW option.
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coming august 2024 from
@NeilOBrian4
and
@UChicagoPress
: THE ROOTS OF POLARIZATION
new foundational work on parties and public opinion in the US, showing the centrality of voters’ attitudes on race and links to other issues like abortion to explain our current party system
"There is great pressure to ease the abortion laws, and it is being said that the Catholic Church prevent its being done... the Catholic Church should reconsider its position.'' --- William F. Buckley, 1966, in National Review. More in forthcoming book:
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excited for a great lineup of talks today at the Local Political Economy pre-conference. thanks to our host
@MelissaZRogers
!
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how do we incentivize more of this public goods production in the discipline? one-off data collections that don't harmonize with other sources and aren't updated make it really hard to build cumulative knowledge. DIME, NOMINATE, ANES are the exception rather than the rule
Today's the big day...
1979 through 2020 is now available.
The guy doesn't brag enough but give
@adam_bonica
his flowers. Big ass public goods for a decade now.
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interesting policy design, allowing Democratic cities to access federal climate programs when Republican states refuse the money. clearly, lessons learned from the ACA!
Four states -- Florida, South Dakota, Iowa and Kentucky -- have refused to apply for the climate money. So EPA is sending it to their biggest cities instead, forcing towns to try to make up for the regulatory and administrative capacity only states have.
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a little odd that reformers have focused on allowing “missing middle” housing under the assumption that it will provoke less backlash than large multi family buildings, when it is actually a relatively rare existing form
Another Philadelphia W
Also what is Mesa, AZ doing? lol
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unfortunate that the equilibrium that's arising out of APSA panels being useless is multiple topic-specific pre-conferences all being held on Wed before the actual conference. can only pick one!
Going to
@APSAtweets
in LA? Interested in the political economy of environment and climate?
Consider applying to this "incubator" pre-conference to be hosted at UCLA (deadline 4/14):
We aim to spark new research and collaborations!
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berkeley had its housing element rejected by the state the day before the deadline, meaning that local zoning is suspended for projects with >20% affordable housing until it comes into compliance
@California_HCD
don't play.
Despite our best efforts to strengthen Berkeley's Housing Element, HCD says we have more work to do 👇🏽
Specifically, HCD tells Berkeley to fix our sites inventory & do more to affirmatively further fair housing.
Gotta keep pushing!
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unsubsidized affordable housing is being built in LA thanks to 1) reduced review time/uncertainty 2) zoning for denser and taller buildings and 3) lower labor costs. all 3 are opposed by parts of the D coalition, article highlights
#2
as most controversial
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neat intervention showing that reducing stigma in rental assistance programs increases uptake. still a really really low use of these programs
🚨"Improving Delivery of the Social Safety Net: The Role of Stigma," by Jessica Lasky-Fink and
@ElizabethLinos
, utilizes an administrative burden framework to assess how reducing learning costs and stigma influences demand for rental assistance. The article finds that framing
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haven't seen a lot of chatter about the new San Diego trolley expansion to UCSD, but connects the largest employment center to downtown and seemingly low cost for the US ($2.2 billion for 11 miles and 9 stations), will increase ridership 25%
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great paper on how emotions shaped reactions to COVID from four generations of
@uncpolisci
New in the
@AJPS_Editor
, coauthors and I use panel data collected throughout the Covid pandemic to test predictions derived from theories of emotion in politics. We find that fear affects policy views a lot; votes much less so.
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“Look, we need employees and we need housing but we don’t need it at the expense of a herd of sheep who have been here longer than any of us have been here.”
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very honored to have my work recognized. thanks to the committee of
@nick_carnes
,
@m_j_donnelly
,
@adam_thal
, and
@nathalie_giger
Psyched to share that Alexander "
@sahnicboom
" Sahn has won the APSA Class & Inequality Section's Best Paper Award for "Why is Housing Unaffordable? The Great Migration's Effect on Exclusionary Zoning."
paper is here (ungated):
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have always found it strange that the modal career path of a graduate of a top planning program, where they take classes from critical theorists on housing justice, is to write general plan updates to keep poor people out of an exclusionary suburb
I always have complicated feelings attending APA conferences. On one hand, it’s great to see so many sessions talking about zoning reform, the housing shortage, process reform etc. On the other hand this profession oversaw and administered that exclusion that requires reform?
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and i assume economists are now selling their retweets… no free lunches!
Wow.
(It's not clear that the boost to downstream outcomes like flyouts could hold in long-run equilibrium, or that added visibility really is the mechanism driving it. But still, pretty striking, QED!)
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exciting new work from
@uncpolisci
PhD candidate
@Brian_M_Brew
and co-authors
Excited to share a new pub with
@janzilinsky
and
@Brian_M_Brew
, now out at Party Politics! 🥳🎆
We find that political candidates use more toxic and emotional language when targeting potential donors as opposed to voters, esp. Republican politicians.
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it was great to sit down with Ned to talk about my research, check it out
This week on Abundance:
@resnikoff
and
@sahnicboom
discuss public engagement, exclusionary zoning, and civil service reform. Transcript below, audio/video on all major platforms:
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i'm looking forward to discuss
@bd_highsmith
's work on company towns at this week's
@APSA_APE
Consortium meeting
join us on Thursday at 3 here:
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@salimfurth
not a continuous path, but the alleys and pedestrian connectors of society hill, philadelphia. combined with tiny streets that have no thru traffic, nice old and new architecture, and nice window boxes and landscaping makes it a great stroll
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“When measuring success in transit reliability, separated bike lane miles, or air quality, the U.S. is far behind our European counterparts. I’ll posit that some in the U.S. are inching towards doing better — by centering people most impacted in our planning.”
process > outcomes
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great to see joe's paper in print, adding to the conversation about racial origins of zoning and testing it alongside alternative explanations like environmentalism. impressively, this is also the first piece (afaik) to use longitudinal data on growth controls
I find robust support for theories that residential growth controls were motivated by a desire to exclude Black households. Cities that had a lower share of Black residents—both in absolute terms and relative to their metro area—were more likely to pass growth controls. (7/n)
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new york taxpayers should buy
@ericgoldwyn
and co. a drink for saving them $1+ billion
GOOD NEWS!! By utilizing existing tunnels and reducing station sizes, MTA is expected to shave off over $1 Billion during SAS Phase 2 construction 🥳
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stray idea: policy feedbacks for infrastructure (or any policies that rely on a network) might actually be negative if implemented in a piece-meal fashion. voters reject early useless pieces and kill momentum for the rest of the buildout
NEW: Front Range Rail planners say they're pushing for a bare-bones starter service.
“If we go for the Cadillac version right off the bat, that’s a large ask to the voters. It’s a difficult sell,”
@AndyKarsian
told
@ColoradoMatters
.
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and the only new construction in dt chapel hill/carrboro right now is… two new parking garages
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please (self-)nominate!
Nominate a junior scholar for Susan Clarke Young Scholars’ Award! For ABDs/scholars up to 3 yrs post PhD who submitted proposal for 2024 APSA. Committee:
@sahnicboom
and Allison Bramwell
See website for nominating instructions:
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We use surnames & geographic location to predict the racial/ethnic backgrounds of 27 million donors.
The contributor class is more unrepresentative than the electorate or representation in Congress and these inequalities persist over decades.
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i think the simplest explanation for this is that college towns have the amenities and urban form of bigger cities and so a lot of people priced out of big cities moved there. doesn’t really have much to do with the universities
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@DavidZipper
@nytimes
explanations for the rise in road deaths using canada as a comparison case: smaller vehicles, more expensive gas, more transit, automated traffic enforcement
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very excited to see MAP launch and to be part of the academic advisory committee
We are officially launching the Metropolitan Abundance Project this week. Big things in store—here's a preview. 🧵
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north carolina will become the 41st state (including DC) to expand medicaid, expanding health insurance access to ~350,000 uninsured people
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!! this is insanely useful
AI literature review, you type in a research question and it spits back extracts papers laying out the main finding. also auto-populates columns on treatment, outcome, region, n in study
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bologna is so committed to the bit you can walk to a church on a hill outside of town under a 666 arch portico portico🤘
friendship ended with Barcelona superblock, now Bologna portico is my new best friend
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one place where social scientists could but aren't contributing a lot (as far as I'm aware) is in designing interventions to build community. 22 years on from bowling alone and what do we have to show for it?
So I think loneliness is one of the most important political issues of our time. And if Democrats want to start winning votes in unlikely places, we need to start talking about it.
I hope you will take a minute to read the piece I wrote for The Bulwark.
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fantastic to get feedback on some new work by Dan and the other scholars in the room and to learn from the other papers presented. thanks to Jeff and
@PIPECollab
for bring us all together!
Fourth paper at the PE of the Gilded Age & Progressive Era Conference by
@sahnicboom
on commissions and council-manager systems in the early 20th century. Excellent comments by
@danmthomp
.
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important new paper showing how mass preferences constrain incentives for cooperation in congress from two
@uncpolisci
PhD students
Excited to announce my paper with
@emilyommundsen
, “Partisan Appeals to Bipartisanship” is out in
@PolBehavior
! The big takeaway is that partisan counter messages from MCs can effectively undermine bipartisan appeals from the majority
1/n
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cool paper that highlights a peril of service delivery thru nonprofits/civil society. need the government to even attempt universality
Coming soon
@_Food_Policy
w/
@moriahharman
:
Inequalities in the spatial distribution of food pantries means that when government sends food to pantries, some needy counties get more than others.
Really proud of this paper and excited to see it in print!
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i think this has much less to do with state partisanship than whether downtowns developed before the automobile and are therefore “built out”. lots of empty lots and no neighbors to oppose in the “red” cities
🟥 Red state housing production
vs
🟦 Blue state housing production
If you're a progressive in a blue state, this is your sign to get to work.
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Neil’s work on partisan differences in trust in the healthcare system and health outcomes is new and pathbreaking. Great to see it recognized by the Carnegie Corporation
So proud of my good friend
@NeilOBrian4
on being awarded a Carnegie fellowship!! Stay tuned for his book coming out later this year on the roots of polarization in the US
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an important call to focus on small and midsize cities from tanu and matt
in our recent paper,
@KuipersNicholas
and I find that civil service reform was beneficial to immigrants contra the cw drawn from case studies of large cities
@MatthewStenberg
and I are super excited to share our new paper in
@UrbanAffairsRev
, “Why Political Scientists Should Study Smaller Cities”
Preprint here:
a 🧵:
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incredible story of an authoritarian enclave in Newbern, AL which hadn’t held an election in “decades” and then nullified the election of the first black mayor since 1854 in a town with 85% black population
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However, candidates of color in House races cause the contributor class to become more racially diverse. We show this using regression discontinuity and diff-in-diff designs:
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@talmonsmith
doesn't need to be a skyscraper to be denser. most resort towns in the alps are mostly 5-6 story multi-family chalets, french ski stations were built by the government to have a cheap winter recreation option for the people
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i'm trying to catalog the macro, nationwide (or even worldwide) explanations for the rise in housing prices over the last half century, which i have spent less time thinking thru than the local, land-use explanations in the US. please help me add things that i have missed!
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have seen a couple instances of banning young people from public spaces recently… is this new? increasing?
Navy Pier is “the People’s Pier” but children are not people 🧐
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@APSAInequality
is soliciting nominations for awards:
- best book
- best dissertation
- best paper (presented in the section at APSA 2023)
I am chairing the best paper committee -- please email me your (self-)nominations by April 1
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choose your fighter (i’m the adele/ja rule/jerry springer polygon)
Liberals like a variety of popular culture & do not dislike conservative pop culture, with tastes rooted in demographics. Conservatives like a narrower range of pop culture & dislike culture of Black & urban liberals, with tastes more rooted in ideology
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after extensive public theater, berkeley triumphantly votes to... do the bare minimum mandated by state law.
if the city had waited any longer, the zoning would have reverted to transit agency which owns the current parking lots surrounded by $1m+ homes
After a 6.5-hour meeting, with roughly three hours of public comment, the Berkeley City Council has approved zoning standards for development at the Ashby and North Berkeley BART stations. We'll have the story on Berkeleyside on Friday.
#berkmtg
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reducing raleigh-richmond travel times by 1h will essentially add NC to the northeast corridor. federal $ complements work and funding NC and VA have already committed
S Line (That runs between Raleigh and Richmond) Gets 1 billion in Federal grants. The S line will eventually carry trains between Charlotte/Raleigh and Richmond/DC at 110mph (on the S line)
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great paper from
@KuipersNicholas
on how meritocratic recruitment can turn exam losers against the state
pairs well with nick’s other APSR published this year, our paper on meritocratic recruitment’s effect on descriptive rep. in progressive-era US
The main inferential difficulty with this project was in disentangling the twinned countervailing effects: are the observed differences in attitudes across winners and losers attributable to, say, the sting of failure or the aggrandizing effects of success?
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great illustration of how a little mobilization can go a long way in low turnout elections.
frats at cornell mobilized an unannounced write-in campaign to get two city councilors elected around the issue of party curfews
Absentee ballot applications obtained by The Sun show coordination between fraternities and alderperson-elects Patrick Kuehl ’24 and Clyde Lederman ’26 — who said they would look into whether fraternities could hold parties later into the night.
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the intended audience for his stunt:
Senate leader Phil Berger just told reporters that he supports interim Chancellor Lee Roberts having the role permanently.
#ncpol
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fascinating to see more and more places with a primarily retired/independently wealthy population dismantling the local tourist economy to hoard local amenities
Wow … Steamboat voters reject annexation of a planned affordable housing community for 6k+ residents that started when an anonymous donor GAVE the local housing authority $24M to buy the land … from the
@YampaBugle
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Biz is a brilliant scholar whose work speaks to multiple disciplines and has the potential to help some of the neediest people on the planet
She is a fantastic colleague and any department would be lucky to hire her
@JohnHolbein1
Hi! I'm finishing my PhD
@UCBerkeley
& am an incoming
@perryworldhouse
Borders & Boundaries postdoc!
My research examines how psychological distress affects intra/intergroup cohesion in communities impacted by conflict & forced migration. 🔗 to JMP & more
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berkeley’s finest returning home. huge get for the Goldman School.
no one works harder and deserves it more. congrats primo Jake!
Thrilled to report that I’m taking a job as associate prof at the Goldman School of Public Policy at UC Berkeley. I’m honored to join such an incredible team of scholars. Also nice to move back to my family in the Yay Area
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interesting thread on proposed state policies on zoning/building reform. despite the polarization of the issue among the public, a lot of action in red states. of course, the framing is very different (eliminating red tape and regulations vs. desegregation and social justice)
NEW: This could be the year that we remember as the revolution in zoning. The number of states where major zoning reforms are under serious consideration is higher than in previous years and state party leaderships (D & R) have made it a centerpiece.
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without sound like one of those people who said that driverless tech would replace all truckers by 2020, it does seem like training 50% of college students to write simple code is not the most far-sighted way to acquire human capital
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i raise you the mystery of the grapefruit’s origins:
This new genetic history of the modern strawberry is remarkable. I had no idea all of today's strawberries descend from an accidental cross in the gardens of Versailles 300 yrs ago--or the wild stuff modern breeders did in the '70s.
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this article adds to a boomlet of papers on the municipal politics of progressive era:
@KuipersNicholas
and my work on civil service reform,
@SarahAnzia
and
@trounstine
on public sector organizing,
@mariacarreri
@payson_julia
@danmthomp
on the social and political fx of reform
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interesting thread about how CA state legislation has empowered the mayor of sf (and her bureaucracy) against NIMBY district-based city councilors. mayor as proposer can rezone for a lot more housing, if cc rejects then state removes discretionary processes like CEQA
SF Mayor
@LondonBreed
is rightly furious about the Bd of Supes' thwarting of desperately needed housing.
It's time to play hardball. The Mayor's got a big bat. It's called a "housing element." Here's a thread on how to swing it. 1/n
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sounds like the city without zoning is going to try again to start zoning. previous attempts failed in citywide referrenda in 1948, 1962, and 1993. this attempt will be about historic preservation and allow n’hoods to opt in with majority vote
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in the panic of COVID we overshot and substantially reduced human suffering. now that we can model the world with more certainty again, we return to our well-calibrated level of misery
🚨Homelessness on the rise after steep pandemic era drop, via WSJ
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pessimism aside, SB330 (the state law streamlining housing permitting) clearly is making a difference
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have heard surprisingly little from political scientists about protest voting in the D primary. clearly not limited to michigan and arab-americans!
About 10 percent of voters in the Democratic primary in Orange County NC selected “no preference” instead of casting a vote for Joe Biden, the only other choice on the ballot.
#ncpol
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@Andrew___Baker
philly rules… tiny streets + trees. this is from the micro park on my block last week
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this lovely album came to me at the record store today, paying tribute to hardly strictly weekend
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really enjoyed reading this look at the shifting democratic party coalition. i think it's telling that the two examples here of omitted policies are most beneficial to the suburban areas in which the party is expanding rather than the urban base
"How do Democrats manage a class-divided party?"
@PoPpublicsphere
article w/ Paul Pierson,
@ameliamalpas
&
@samzacher
says "not by foreswearing redistribution or foregrounding cultural liberalism, but by formulating an increasingly bold economic program."
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people typically think of the US having strong political parties and italy having weak ones but the 15k person city that i’m staying in has a monthlong festival with dinner service, cultural, intellectual, and political programming every night put on by the socdem party
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UNC is hiring! 2 lines at the assistant level in IPE. i am not on the committee but happy to answer any questions about my (short) time there so far. please come join us
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