Kamala Harris had a great health care idea in 2019: encourage Americans to buy into a revamped Medicare program that would provide the choice of public or private coverage (aka the public option). She should embrace it in 2024. My latest in @nytopinion:

6/ The key is organized efforts focused on getting and keeping the unpopular parts of the bill -- especially the Medicaid cuts -- on the agenda and mobilizing voters against them. While this will be harder today than in 2017-18, our survey suggests voters will be VERY receptive.

5/ But big unpopular policies can break through -- even without going into effect. Think the failed ACA repeal and replace effort in 2017, which devastated Republicans in 2018. And our survey shows Senators who voted for this bill are vulnerable:

4/ This is consistent with a larger problem: the voters who need to be mobilized in 2026 and 2028 are generally less attentive to politics, and Republicans have proved much more adept than Democrats at dominating the kinds of media that reach less attentive voters.

3/ The bad news? Most voters know surprisingly little about the bill. They've heard about "no tax on tips" and "no tax on overtime"--small provisions relative to the big tax cuts for the rich (and not very helpful to most working folks).

2/ This is particularly true of Republicans--who go from 54% support of the bill to 61% opposition when they are shown how it will change the average after-tax income of households in the top 1% vs. bottom 20% of the income distribution.

Republicans' hugely unpopular bill is law; will they pay the electoral price for it they should? My research with @sullosaurus for @equitablegrowth has good news and bad news. The good: voters informed about the bill's effects overwhelmingly oppose it.

“Legislation speaks louder than words.” Excellent analysis by @Jacob_S_Hacker & @sullosaurus of the bill before the Senate today that is “the most regressive, least populist policy package in memory.” It’s terrible on tax equity, heath care & hunger.

Why are Republicans working nights on a holiday week to ram thru an unvetted bill? Maybe b/c the more American people learn abt the bill, particularly the lopsided costs & benefits, the less they like it. Even true among Rs' own voters. h/t @Jacob_S_Hacker @equitablegrowth

As the House moves to reconcile its dreadful bill with the Senate’s even more onerous “Big Beautiful Bill,” we speak with Patrick Sullivan about his NYT article with @Jacob_S_Hacker, “How Awful Is the Republican Megabill? Here Are Four of the Worst Parts.”

I said he should do my graphics in the future; now I’m thinking he should also do all my TV appearances!

What does the public think of the GOP's One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), and how does providing information on its regressivity affect attitudes towards it? @Jacob_S_Hacker and I explored this in a working paper published today at @equitablegrowth https://t.co/HfWrNgXmcK

In the first of our two reports published today at @equitablegrowth, @Jacob_S_Hacker and I unpack the elements of Republican’s historically regressive One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). https://t.co/fn2RFxiYp5

I’m excited to share a guest essay co-authored with @Jacob_S_Hacker which was published today with the @nytimes, as well as two reports we published at @equitablegrowth on Republican’s so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” https://t.co/XbmLhY42Sh

It's the economy, stupid. Right? A new tool, now at Yale, seeks to rethink how we measure economic success: https://t.co/hk9IPLzVTP @Jacob_S_Hacker @americanacad

"It would shift more resources up the income ladder than any bill passed since scorekeepers started keeping track." In this @nytopinion piece, @Jacob_S_Hacker and Patrick Sullivan highlight the four most regressive aspects of the 'Big Beautiful Bill.' https://t.co/NOobrWnP4M

Reading John Roemer as well as @Jacob_S_Hacker and Paul Pierson is a good use of everyone’s time. https://t.co/E7xLKbXgwU

How the economic and political geography of the United States fuels right-wing populism—and what the Democratic Party can do about it https://t.co/rZs1seXbg2 via @equitablegrowth

Panelists cont’d: @WillToor Dave Weiskopf @LaraRSkinner PLEASE JOIN US!

Presented by BESI & the American Political Economy eXchange @ISPSYale. Organizers: Paul Pierson @Jacob_S_Hacker @SamTrachtman. Panelists: Alex Brennan @CSElmendorf Libby Murphy @ProfSchleich @annemariegray @katenrg Collon Kennedy @VickiBeen @agerney @SamTRicketts

Really excited about this online convening May 19-20 to better understand the contemporary challenges and opportunities of Democratic governance in blue trifectas. Important for housing, climate, inflation, and so much more -- especially today! Register: https://t.co/Pm4bIJHn1O