Adrian IAB
@adriaeln
Followers
2K
Following
296K
Media
4K
Statuses
61K
new york | 🇳🇬 | MMP/STV+/RUP | electoral reform and (discount) ET Alaska guy | ⚽️ 🎾 🏀 | Chelsea & USWNT | he/him | GW | alts: @et_ideas & @nigerianmoments
Joined June 2020
Termed the Mormon Corridor, much of the Mountain West has been heavily influenced by the LDS Church. Politically, this has aided a firm affinity for the GOP in the area; however, that blood red status has been waning with >30% LDS counties moving nearly 25% left from '12 to '24.
3
32
235
Just a note that Ann Selzer herself has pushed back on the “gold standard��� label. From a 2016 piece from @daveweigel after Selzer missed on the Iowa GOP caucuses
19
868
16K
Conor Lamb: 'They walked in free and for the most part walked out free, and everyone here or watching at home knows why that was. because of how they looked".
43
1K
7K
Earlier today John Kerry took like 10 minutes to end his lime scooter ride, he then went to get groceries from Whole Foods before leaving on the same lime scooter
John Kerry voters belong in the zoo.
39
210
5K
@LinkofSunshine This is exposing me as a nerd but I hate this account so much — through lying and stalling, they held several Nigerian election pages hostage for a year until they got the names changed to the inaccurate name they wanted.
14
51
5K
Awful awful day for gay black representation in the Pennsylvania Senate
13
348
3K
This is the funniest thing I’ve ever seen
13
151
3K
Sometimes I forget that Clinton almost dropped under 50% in Oregon
25
31
3K
@LinkofSunshine I had like a year long beef with them, the only reason I gave it up was because I didn’t know nearly enough about internal Wiki arbitration to get someone to solve it. Also, it was clear that they didn’t care at all about the pages or really any of the pages, it’s an ego trip.
5
7
2K
The trivia question of “Who was Prime Minister when Queen Elizabeth II dies?” will be impossible in 50 years.
5
95
2K
Didn't know former Governors are in the West Virginia line of succession, meaning a bunch of old Dems are still there
21
64
2K
How has she scammed a career out of coming fourth in one race lmao this is crazy.
.@Riley_Gaines_ in Anchorage tonight speaking at Mountain City Church (formerly Anchorage Baptist Temple).
21
53
1K
Party switch aside, it is really bizarre that the mayor for over a million people can be elected without opposition on a random day in May of an off year
Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson is switching parties from Democrat to Republican, he writes in @WSJopinion #txlege.
9
65
1K
I'm sorry what ethnicity is Pakistan an ethnostate for?
Every nation state is an ethnostate. If you oppose Israel's right to exist on the basis that it's an ethnostate, then you oppose the right of every nation state in the world. Pakistan is an ethnostate. Turkey is an ethnostate. Iceland is an ethnostate.
39
48
1K
In order to stop his own impeachment, a governor in Nigeria set fire to and now demolished the state legislature building. It’s be based in previous court cases that voided impeachments that were conducted in buildings other than the state legislature. No building=No impeachment.
BREAKING NEWS. DEMOLITION of Rivers State House of Assembly Complex ONGOING. The Demolition of the Rivers State House of Assembly is ongoing. The Reasons for the demolition are yet to be revealed but it may not be far from the recent crisis that rocked the House of Assembly
14
157
1K
POV: you're Janelle Bynum looking at your laptop
Inbox: Trump picks Congresswoman Lori Chavez-DeRemer as labor secretary.
6
99
1K
I don't really get the end goal of traditionalist social conservatives. Like you are going to lose, it might take 10 years or 50 but eventually you are going to lose. Like no matter what group you despise rn, in a few years they will be accepted and you will be viewed as bigoted.
73
99
1K
War chest?? I can’t even explain how little money that is in terms of American politics.
NEW. Penny Mordaunt has built up a £26,000 campaigning war chest from donations since Rishi Sunak became PM, as speculation continues about whether he could be toppled.
28
29
1K
The mayor of New York City should live in New York City
Who could successfully challenge Eric Adams in the 2025 mayoral primary? The ideal person, writes @RossBarkan, would be a Black candidate who's a reliable liberal or progressive with technocratic bona fides. Enter @JamaalBowmanNY.
4
30
1K
The Japanese succession debate is so incredibly stupid. This is the line of succession and national governments have spent decades kicking the can down the road despite princesses leaving the royal family every few years
33
39
1K
I think about this No Labels map all the time. It's so laughable that multiple people that have been elected to offices genuinely think this is a viable path to victory
40
52
1K
Is he gunning for Prime Minister again? What is happening, that was good.
NATO’s 75th … a Foreign Ministers’ meeting … and what needs to happen next
20
24
1K
Another reason why Oklahoma’s great is that the panhandle is perfect for putting a results table underneath.
George W. Bush and Donald Trump won Oklahoma by about the same margin sixteen years apart, here's what changed below the topline by region. Democratic collapses in Little Dixie & the Southwest were offset by the significant leftward trend of the fast growing Oklahoma City Metro.
6
39
1K
Funniest (and most likely) outcome here is that Noem met with someone she *thought* was Kim Jong Un.
6
30
980
Just like in 2022, it kinda boggles the mind how safe blue states like New Jersey and New York could be close while someone labeled as "the most vulnerable Dem incumbent" could survive at the same time.
#BREAKING Democrat Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez has won a second term in the U.S. House of Representatives in the closely watched 3rd Congressional District race.
5
45
888
So who was gonna tell me that a Dem holds a statewide office in South Carolina?
10
24
765
Biden has done a great job making me surprised everytime I go to a politician's wiki page and they have a random admin job
13
21
754
🚨🚨 IND* FLIP ANCHORAGE MAYOR 🚨 🚨 . Three years after the mayoralty narrowly went to far-right Dave Bronson, independent Suzanne LaFrance looks to have defeated Bronson. LaFrance, a former chair of the Anchorage Assembly, is backed by Alaska Dems*.
LaFrance 54.88%. Bronson 45.12%. About a 5,000-vote difference, which is probably insurmountable. #anchgov.
9
89
708
The way this race was treated as if it was the end of the world
13
22
711
This just doesn’t make sense, if some staffer could accidentally post this, that would mean there were dozens of other people that knew this information and if that was the case that it would’ve leaked before the video was posted.
SCOOP: Philly political sources have told me that a staffer connected with Mayor Cherelle Parker's team accidentally posted the video today. The video was scheduled for Monday. after VP Kamala Harris was expected to announce her pick. It's Josh Shapiro, y'all.
10
27
663
It's been two weeks and I just remembered that Dennis Kucinich ran for OH-07 as an independent this year. 13% isn't terrible, that's probably top 3 in independent vote shares for House races with a Democrat and Republican
10
34
740
It’s actually horrific how one man is drastically impacting the futures of hundreds of thousands of kids all for a presidential run that looks like it’ll just get a fifth of the vote.
3
87
655
He thinks he’s him 😭
“Today O’Adams is marching,” Mayor Adams says at the St. Patrick’s Day Parade, then pivots: “This misnomer that this is a city out of control, it’s just a lie. … We are not going to surrender to the belief that b/c we have a random act of violence this is a city out of control.”
1
32
681
@LinkofSunshine Dictators losing or almost losing power in elections is always fascinating. People think if Pinochet but also Jammeh; Paul Biya and Omar Bingo nearly lost elections too.
7
6
676
This man singlehandedly instilled generational trauma into conservatives, the fear of Souterization was and continues to be real
> appointed to the Supreme Court by George HW Bush.> promised to be "home run for conservatives".> immediately becomes a standard liberal.> retires as soon as Obama gets into office even though he was only 69.> replaced by one of the most progressive justices in history
5
21
636
@M_Law8 Japanese monarchy has agnatic primogeniture - meaning princesses and men descended from princesses arent in the line of succession. Additionally, if princesses marry commoners (which they have to bc there are no other noble houses anymore), they are booted from the royal family.
9
6
621
Who was the last person to go from serving as mayor of state's largest city to Governor.
Michelle Wu seems far far more likely to go for Governor imo she’s an executive at heart.
34
13
678
@LinkofSunshine Azerbaijan is a fascinating case study on how regimes can use resources and geography to get the world to ignore and even support the worst.
3
1
608
Pete Buttigieg dropping that he lives in Michigan now mid-speech.
6
7
606
There was widespread approval for changing and full plans for reform in the mid-2000s, but literally the moment someone was pregnant with a boy they shelved the plans like idiots.
2
6
551
It’s incredible that Moskowitz is taking this fake conciliator tone here, while having started the argument on Twitter and simultaneously liking this tweet:
My family was also killed in the Holocaust. In Germany and in Poland. My grandmother was in the kinder-transport. They also instilled values in me. It’s why I voted for aid to Israel and for aid to Gaza. We see each other at work, we are both better than doing this here.
4
50
555
Imagine being a Republican in the Northern Mariana Islands, going from a supermajority trifecta to nothing in two elections
10
17
543
THREEE?!?!
What a story. @Reuters finds more than 100 political elites are direct descendants of slave owners, including Michigan’s Democratic Senators @SenStabenow and @SenGaryPeters. Neither responded to information provided by Reuters.
11
20
518
Can't wait for the overreactions to this result on Election Day
7
10
514
@LateRevue @LinkofSunshine We disputed which name an article should have—they wanted to make two pages w/ both names, I think that would be redudant. I would assume good faith but the article got stuck at an unequivocally incorrect title & the aforementioned user refused to engage in discussion for a year.
1
0
514
Abortion is Murder. Porn is Cancer. Divorce is a Plague.
5
39
472
@PoliticsForAlI @POLITICOEurope The only good thing about England winning could be the guys that were booing the knee being forced to call Rashford and Sterling "Sir".
11
9
474
Lest we forget that Molinaro was not some random Republican pushover. He’s been the county executive of a large bluish County for over a decade, ran for governor to increase his name recognition just four years ago, and a prime GOP recruit for the seat.
3
48
452
Why have I seen a bunch of “the fall of the last Southern Democrat” posts? West Virginia isn’t in the South! West Virginia not being in the South is the entire reason for its (potentially illegal) existence.
U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin, , is giving his final Senate floor speech now.
16
18
492
@Lily_PolisStan That is all the context, John Kerry goes to the store across the street from my dorm.
1
1
467
oh so you want a Democratic flip in Arizona despite a spoiler former Democrat running as an independent?
4
44
441
@lxeagle17 @ChazNuttycombe I need to know what changed. he seemed to be to be perfectly content with being ratiod daily for the past two months, what changed to make him think that responding would be better?.
4
2
428
It’s genuinely crazy how much the political world has changed since Trudeau entered office in 2015, this feels like the final closing of the door on that global era
4
34
481
Sometimes I think about characters from the pre-Trump era that were harbingers of that sort of politics. I feel like Milwaukee County Sheriff David Clarke is an example of the style along with its instability — Clarke has been largely out of the spotlight for 5 or 6 years now.
7
14
450
Why do so many sites have lean D Oregon I’m going to have an aneurysm.
In the CNN electoral map, Donald Trump already has enough votes to win. This map is 272 Trump, 225 Biden.
11
3
396
A few days ago, @FiveThirtyEight released its idea of the 5 main factions of the GOP. While I eventually plan to make a full House map that attempts to sort congressional Rs into those categories, I wanted to start smaller—just in Florida—to get an idea for it plus suggestions.
15
28
380
This article is actually an insane thing for a sitting Democratic representative to write — it includes literal Trump campaign talking points from downplaying January 6 to the outright false assertion that Trump didn't really want to repeal Obamacare
11
42
367
@Redistrict Alabama Black population: 26%.Alabama majority-black house seats: 14%. Isn't it fun when the highest court in the land backs open discrimination.
19
29
329
Ratio
The 2023 Vermont March and Rally For Life-.Join us for a great time to gather with pro lifers from across the state of Vermont. #prolife #democrats #vermont
5
10
358
It's getting to the point where i'm forgetting Trump cabinet officials
13
9
379
In the pre-Trump era, a significant number of city councils had strong GOP contingents that were later wiped out. Indianapolis was a prime example as its 2015 elections left Dems with a 1-seat majority but just four years later, Dems won a 15-seat supermajority.
11
38
357
This has nothing to do with the quoted tweet attacking Massholes and 2004 Dems but it happened outside my dorm and it's fun.
0
2
364
TIL the grayzone guy's dad is a longtime Clinton aide and I wonder how that dynamic goes
12
9
343
Have to say, Haley staying in the race will give a phenomenal data point for the next few years of GOP primaries — in so many places, there'll be a clear Trump vs. Non-Trump results to help predict and understand future downballot primaries.
Haley actually came close to carrying Charlotte’s Mecklenburg County, thanks to running up the score in Meck’s famous highly educated southern “wedge.” This area has been practically allergic to Trump
7
19
360
@LinkofSunshine Obligatory mention that two of the “member states” of BRICS have militaries that regularly bludgeon each other to death in the mountains.
3
5
343
@LinkofSunshine The actual truth of Haiti‘s conflict does not make the west look good at all, why would you ever reduce it to one extraordinarily common resource?.
1
2
346
So many people are going to miss this profoundly weird meltdown because it’s been deleted but what an odd 20 minutes
4
18
306
Which languages were available on Democratic congressional candidates' campaign websites in 2022? . The vast majority of candidate websites were solely available in English with a sizeable group that had Spanish options. Only six candidates had more than English and Spanish.
15
48
342
If Canada had American levels of money in politics, this would be the only thing any Canadian would hear from now until the election.
"It's not the Americans' fault. It's our fault. We're stupid.".- Pierre Poilievre
1
16
353
That’s certainly an editor’s note
Pennsylvania GOP congressional candidate disses Scranton, largest city in district, in town hall.
0
12
331
So what were Colorado Republicans doing in the biggest red wave for years that got them 11%
9
6
329
Like this is genuinely fascinating levels of conspiracy nonsense not only do you have to be incredibly engrossed in conspiracy world to think that the Notre Dame fire was staged you also have to be so immensely narcissistic that you create your own theory that wood shouldn’t burn.
3
2
299
@LinkofSunshine @sa_va_nt it's the account that kept on deleting "outgoing members" from the 2024 Botswana page for no reason lol. I really hope that at some point they realize that they are the common denominator in these disputes.
1
1
326