How did Trump win the popular vote? Here’s a dot map of the 2024 election by raw vote margin:

I do think it’s funny that while there are plenty of Democratic gerrymanders floating around, Republicans are obsessed with either posting blurry screenshots of a district that hasn’t existed since 1936 or going “you think Texas is bad? Then how do you explain THIS”

for those of you who are geographically minded, it’s even more simple: . Glenmont = north to montgomery county, maryland . Shady Grove = north to montgomery county, maryland.

as a red line rider a lot of people ask me: how do you remember which train to take? its easy! follow my basic heuristic that can be easily adapted for you commute:. Glenmont = Go to work (because it has a G) . shady Grove = Go home (because it has a G).

RT @SplitTicket_: With the House up for grabs in 2026, candidate quality could be decisive. Both parties face challenges, but strong recrui….

The most recent historical analogue we have here is actually Maryland, when voters easily approved the infamous 2010s map in a referendum. But the dynamics were reversed there; voters acquiesced because the issue wasn’t salient and most didn’t know what the map looked like.

It would be a test of just how Jokerified the Democratic electorate has become. If they’re smart, Republicans should shut up about this issue as much as they can. The worst thing that could happen for them is Trump begins talking about it all the time.

Normally I’d say 52% is a weak position for a ballot measure to start at, but for the past decade Dems have been told that they’re for good governance and Rs aren’t, so this runs against their instincts. If this becomes a salient issue then negative polarization might kick in.

They’re not like… wrong… it’s the same Latin root.

overheard two guys in the National Archives: . “Look, it’s the Magna Carta”. “Do you think this is where Magnum condoms get their name from?” . “Yeah probably bro”.

when we get to 90s nostalgia I’ll be like yeah sure why not. Things were getting a lot better really quickly! 80s? Come on.

be prepared for about 10-20 years of incoming Gen X nostalgia for the 80s, in which they will bemoan modern day crime, drug usage, and quality of life in cities, all while asserting that it was much better in the halcyon days of the 80s.

so is the United States of America simply going to no longer produce reliable and accurate economic data? wonderful! not like we need that for major domestic and international policy decisions.

obama_giving_obama_a_medal.jpg

Most interesting seat here is probably the new TX-35 in San Antonio and its suburbs/exurbs, which shares a number with Greg Casar’s current seat but only vaguely resembles it. 2016: Trump 50-45%.2020: Trump 50-48%.2024: Trump 55-44%.

Ranked choice voting is coming to DC, a city that desperately needs it. Fitting that this will likely be the last election that DC ever conducts without it.

pierre l’enfant:.

…? I think the obvious downsides of losing like 8 seats to Republicans via gerrymandering are more than enough. Democrats would prefer to be able to win the House in years that aren’t blue waves.

By contrast the North largely exists under a similar paradigm that it had 100 years ago. NYC was king then and it’s king now. Major industrial cities (Cleveland, Baltimore) have declined, DC got a major WW2 boom that rocketed it upwards, but other than that it’s fairly similar.

A lot of the south’s biggest growth has taken place in cities that basically didn’t exist in 1900 or were second or third tier compared to the major southern cities of the day. The latter has struggled to pivot away from major economic changes and hasn’t gotten the same boom.

generally when talking about the South I wish people would make a bigger New South (Atlanta, Research Triangle, Nashville, major cities in Texas/Florida, etc) versus Old South (Memphis, Birmingham, New Orleans, Jackson, etc) distinction. They’re basically on different planets.