Max
@maxtmcc
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@SplitTicket_ | maps, data, and more | still an ardent supporter of long nebraska
Joined August 2019
How did Trump win the popular vote? Here’s a dot map of the 2024 election by raw vote margin:
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Snow was at least correctly perceiving a legitimate threat to his regime, Voldemort got into a fight with an actual baby and lost.
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I’ve never understood the “college indoctrination” stuff. In my personal experience my professors are exceedingly tolerant of… questionable viewpoints. One time I had a class where the professor politely engaged a student who kept asserting “Hurricane Katrina was justified”.
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they say the average new yorker commits 2.6 crimes a day, but that is actually a statistical misconception. mayor eric adams, who commits 19,322 crimes a day, is an outlier and should not have been counted.
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I’m obsessed with the way conservatives view large amounts of people reacting to major events as being inherently conspiratorial.
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hold up i mightve been cooking.
I feel like my political analysis has improved, which is great because I really cringe looking back at my old stuff . seriously I wrote a “Kamala Harris wins the presidency” article for fun in March 2019 and *this* is the map I gave her
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one thing I admire about Midwestern city naming conventions is their willingness to tell the French language that if you’re gonna include all those weird consonants in your words than you better believe they’re all gonna be pronounced.
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Nikki Haley was absolutely correct. Nothing could stop her, and it did
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other countries are so funny. what do you mean you immediately know the results of your elections thanks to an accurate exit poll. in America we respect the time-honored tradition of waiting hours for miscellaneous ballot dumps from heartland counties you’ve never heard of.
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Local man discovers the I Hate Washington DC And Everyone Who Lives There Party is quite unpopular in Washington DC.
I'm having an impossible time getting this chart out of my head. Doesn't this very strongly imply that the entire bureaucratic apparatus around our nation's capital is geared to serve one party?. How else would one describe this?
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The best poll for Kamala Harris all cycle is here, courtesy of Ann Selzer-. IOWA:.Harris 47.Trump 44. Probably one of the most shocking polls Selzer has ever released.
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ohhh my god you’re not watching the debate because you don’t like either candidates? should we tell everyone? should we throw a party? should we invite robert f kennedy jr.
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All the “Why I Left a Blue State” conservatives who move to Austin, Nashville, Miami, Orlando, Dallas, etc are not putting their money where their mouth is. I’ll listen to how much you love conservative culture when you move to Lubbock, Biloxi, or Pensacola.
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okay you’ve gotta admit how funny it is that Kamala Harris’ poll numbers really do suggest her campaign is unburdened by what has been.
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Few people know this, but the US and Canada have a Schengen Area agreement exclusively for hikers. Americans, however, are deeply allergic to walking and consequently remain mostly unaware of this.
This is insanity. Right at the U.S. Northern Border port of entry, there are two signs. One says “Prepare to Stop.” The other one points to a “Hiking Trail.” I followed the hiking trail sign which leads up into woods that completely sidesteps the ports of entry on the U.S. and
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The most terrifying thing about Florida is the fact that there’s a much larger Florida lurking underneath the sea. sitting. watching. waiting.
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She’s dropping out and endorsing Joe Biden.
New: White House announces that Harris will deliver remarks at the VP’s residence in an hour, at 1pm ET. Odd for her to be speaking at her residence. Odd for it to be announced so last-minute. Odd for no topic to be given. We’ll see if it’s anything…
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it’s pretty funny the way we have a lot of evidence that Harris lost in part because she bombed with voters who don’t pay attention to politics, and predictably half of DC is like “ah, I knew her failure to endorse the section G6-A middle income tax credit would do her in”.
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House Speaker elecrion results: . Hakeem Jeffries (D) 48.8%.Kevin McCarthy (R) 46.8%. With no candidate achieving a majority, the race will now go on to a runoff in Georgia.
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why are all the tech people convinced that debt has put the US government on the brink of some sort of catastrophic collapse? Even the biggest budget hawks don’t think like this.
Until we balance the budget, I’m literally for randomly cutting everything by 10-35% and seeing what happens . At least on this scenario we live to fight another day . BTW: this is what happens to individuals who go broke: credit cards turn off & Netflix gets paused! 😂.
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oh you’re tired of the 2020 redux discourse now? consider that if Harris wins, there’s a pretty decent chance the election in 2028 will once again be “Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump”.
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Apologies to Iowans, whose days of always being politically front-and-center seemed to be over. I didn’t realize how far you were willing to go to win the nation’s attention back.
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@jxhn_003 Whenever we had this argument at school someone would say something like “but if we started later then X sports team might have to practice in the dark” which is like ??? because they already do that sometimes and also that’s an insane reason to make all 1400 of us get up earlier.
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I consider myself very politically engaged and am definitely in some embarrassingly high percentile for news consumption, but even I am not quite sure why so many Republicans on my timeline are so sure Walz has been the single worst rollout of a VP in history.
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I see gripes from Silicon Valley engineers all the time whenever some MBA or consultant comes in, thinking they know everything, and messes with the whole system. It’s funny that they do not think that the inverse is possible.
@aidan_mclau Let me tell you something about Akash. During a project at Berkeley, I accidentally deleted our entire codebase 2 days before the deadline. I panicked. Akash just stared at the screen, shrugged, and rewrote everything from scratch in one night—better than before. We submitted.
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Every six years Minnesotans engage in an ancient ritual: they put forth a human sacrifice (a Republican nominee for Senate) to be annihilated by their local deity, a custom known as “The Klobbering”.
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Just participated in a huge poll. They asked about President and Senate, plus local elections and referenda. Weirdly, no demographic questions, but they’re anticipating a sample size of around 160,000,000. They’ve been in the field since Sept, release date is next Tuesday.
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my favorite thing about electoral college defenders is that they genuinely seem to have no idea what it is or what it does.
But here’s a problem. I don’t want to be part of a new America without the electoral college. That was one of the conditions of forming the United States of America, so you are proposing that we become something different from the United States of America. I’m not willing to do.
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Anchorage after Schumer is done negotiating with Murkowski to switch parties:
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I've got to admit my favorite quirk of the Democratic coalition lately is "wealthy suburbs vote to raise their own taxes over the objections of the poorest parts of the state"
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His original career dream was to become a teacher, which makes sense because that’s the only other profession where it’s acceptable to have beef with children.
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If NYT/Siena is anywhere near right, we could easily see a pretty disastrous result for Harris in Florida that isn’t replicated across any of the other battlegrounds.
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This whole saga is so strange because it’s not like the American public held any animosity toward Canada. Neither did the elite GOP establishment. All of this is happening because of the whims of one man, who might literally be the only person in the country who believes this.
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In 2022 Republicans lost winnable races when they nominated terrible candidates like Kari Lake. This time around, however, they’ve learned from their mistakes, and nominated Kari Lake.
Downballot here continues to be awful for Rs. AZSen: Gallego (D) +15.NVSen: Rosen (D) +14.NCGov: Stein (D) +11.
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okay we have enough evidence to narrow it down now. It’s: . -a huge name that everyone knows .-assuredly someone who can hype the crowd and will get a big response in the media.-from San Francisco. It’s former SF District Attorney Kamala Harris.
OK, we just got the revised rundown for the final night of #DNC2024 and there IS a late addition surprise. I am not allowed to reveal it, but suffice to say it's probably not at all what you think it is. But it will be of special interest to those of you in the SF Bay Area.
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If you want your politicians to look like you, ask yourself if you would take a gov position that doesn’t pay anything, in addition to your current career and life. No? Me neither. You know who CAN afford it? John Millionaire. And that’s why John Millionaire runs your town.
Texas City Council Salaries: .•Austin — $116,688; $134,192.•Houston — $62,983; $236,189.•Dallas — $60,000; $80,000.•El Paso — $52,500; $78,750.•San Antonio — $45,722; $61,725.•Fort Worth — $25,000; $29,000.•Corpus Christi — $6,000; $9,000.•Plano — $1,000; $2,000.•Lubbock.
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Yes, America lacks the social programs that are in other peer nations, and we do suffer from issues, like gun violence, that no one else has. But it’s also true that the US economy is uniquely prosperous, with high wages and cheap goods that — hold on, I just got a news alert.
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House Speakership election: . Hakeem Jeffries (D) 49.1%.Jim Jordan (R) 46.3%. With no candidate receiving a majority, the race now goes on to a runoff in Georgia.
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I mean “what if an extremely popular leader erodes democratic institutions with the support of the public” is like one of those classic issues with democracy. The world is full of authoritarian leaders who would easily win re-election if put to a vote.
Sheinbaum has an over 80% approval rating. She's the world's most popular major leader.
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Hard to understate the kind of banner year Michigan Democrats just had. Just a few years ago, Michigan was a state where gerrymandering would prevent Dems from ever winning power. They woke up today to a Democratic trifecta, with every statewide Democrat winning in a landslide.
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@Penguin57a yeah I had the same experience. My history teacher in high school was so old and so opinionated on FDR being a failed president I’m 90% sure he worked for the Hoover admin.
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average republican: i Love trump. what the Fuck is a midterm election . average democrat: Hi, my name is Helen and on this episode of My Strange Addiction, we will be discussing my addiction to voting.
The Republicans have won the Iowa #HD100 (Trump+27) special election:. Blaine Watkins (R)- 51.6%.Nannette Griffin (D)- 48.4%. Over 20 point overperformance from 2024!.
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“twitter isn’t real life” people when one made-up tweet causes a trillion dollar shift in the stock market:.
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one of the bigger elite blindspots is the assumption that blue collar, non-college workers are universally poor. Plenty of blue collar jobs pay pretty well, and they generate a class of voters (high-income, non-college whites) that are the true bedrock of the Republican Party.
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tonight does not belong to Nikki Haley. It belongs to the fourteen remaining Republicans in DC who have a Reagan/Bush flag on their wall and call themselves moderates on dating apps
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I seriously think there should be a massive federal investigation into whether or not there are hallucinogenics in the Potomac
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so when we said Kelly Loeffler was the worst Georgia GOP Senate candidate in a generation that wasn’t supposed to be taken as a challenge.
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fucking with the Census is actually one of the most damaging things you can do if you’re the government. Census data is the baseline for a bajillion datasets used by literally everyone in the country, from businesses to local government. There really isn’t an alternative!.
🚨 Wow. The Secretary of Commerce has disbanded the 2030 Census Advisory Committee, finding that its purposes have been fulfilled.
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look I get wanting fresh blood as much as the next guy, but if Democrats somehow land on a 218-217 majority, there’s only one person I trust to whip every single vote and her name rhymes with Fancy Belosi.
New: The internal Democratic maneuvering to succeed House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is quietly playing out behind the scenes even as lawmakers are completely in the dark about her ambitions and future plans. W/ @AnnieGrayerCNN @mkraju.
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BREAKING: Republican Alliance Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield and South Central Valley) is unlikely to form government, will ask the Queen to dissolve Parliament and call for a snap election.
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“Massachusetts has a higher foreign-born percentage of the population than Texas” is one of those things that kind of breaks some people’s brains if you tell them.
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remember that time Trump briefly experimented with adding emojis to his tweets.
The Dow Jones Industrial just closed above 29,000! You are so lucky to have me as your President😉With Joe Hiden’ it would crash😧.
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I mean the remarkable thing about modern American politics is that this basically is not possible regardless of what happens.
The Democratic Party is dead. Full stop.
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Americans found out about votes of no confidence that remove legislative leaders last year, and have now discovered the joys of replacing your party leader if it looks like you’re gonna lose the election. Get ready to learn parliamentary system, buddy.
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Democrats may think abortion is their big winning issue, but once they step outside of their coastal elite bubble and come to heartland states like Ohio, they’ll see tha.
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The Chiefs are good in basically every other football game, but the Super Bowl gets a lot of low propensity viewers who don’t pay much attention to football and break hard against the incumbent.
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It may not be enough to save them in either chamber of Congress tonight, but Democrats are defying political gravity in a truly stunning way.
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okay I’ve been offline all day, why is this website having a big vibe shift against Harris? are we bored and need something to talk about?.
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these guys in 85 AD: I can’t wait for the sheeple to freak out when they find their next “eruption of Mt. Vesuvius,”.
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“I don’t like this rule but so long as this rule exists I am going to use it to my advantage” is not really an inconsistent position.
Turns out, someone HAS made the spreadsheet. Bless this platform.
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The more time I spend in college the more I marvel at the fact that I used to get up at 7 am every day and then just power through school for 7 full hours.
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Imagine if something terrible happened in Greenwich, CT, and people started bemoaning the violent nature of Harlem. Those two places are about as close to one another as Highland Park is to downtown Chicago.
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Whenever conservatives attempt to do “frat boy conservatism,” they get about halfway there before they start saying things like “you should all go to mass” or “football and beer are for non-redpilled normies”.
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NoVa be like: . The house: one pride flag, one Ukraine flag. The front yard: In This House We Believe signs . The occupants: straight ticket Dem voters for the past two decades . The street address: 1864 Death to Abraham Lincoln Boulevard.
Alexandria, Virginia, is renaming streets to honor the contributions of prominent African American figures in the city’s history and removing the names of Confederate figures.
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remember that time Mitt Romney had an alt account named Pierre Delecto on here and he would respond to reporters’ tweets about him with stuff like “I actually think Mitt Romney is taking the principled position here”.
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Don’t feel too bad for Pete Hegseth. In a year or two, you won’t remember his tenure as Secretary of Defense, and based on the reporting, neither will he.
🚨 NPR reports that it has learned that the White House has begun the search for a new Secretary of Defense.
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NYT/Siena’s Philadelphia poll: . Harris 79.Trump 16. An identical margin to Biden’s 81-18 win in 2020. A bullish sign for Harris overall, given that Philly shifted 4% *right* in 2020. If she’s not losing ground here, her numbers in urban centers are probably holding up well.
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Gotta hand it to Mississippi Dems, even if they don’t win tonight. They haven’t won almost anything in 20 years but they keep putting their best foot forward and getting respectably close.
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I genuinely find “I’m a Republican and I don’t want Democrats to have two more Senate seats for partisan reasons” to be more compelling than vague gesturing at how DC is too geographically small to be a state or that, in some way, its people “deserve” to be disenfranchised.
There are no actual legit arguments against DC and Puerto Rico statehood, right?.
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girl: I really can’t staaaaay . guy from New England who now lives in the south: baby it’s not actually that cold outside. I mean this is basically shorts weather for me. this is nothing. we should go to the beach lol.
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there’s a town called Freedom where both Biden and Trump got 538 votes
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like completely unironically, yeah. Most of the government’s budget is for huge mandatory entitlements. Getting rid of smaller programs usually doesn’t even make a dent. There isn’t like, a Department of Wasteful and Excessive Spending that’s taking up 20% of the budget.
the federal budget falls into two categories; 1) programs that so small they are inconsequential so why bother cutting them? and 2) programs that are so large they are absolutely essential and so can’t be cut, at all, ever.
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It’s so fun that we’ve already had our first “Wow, Trump is surprisingly normal this week? Oh wait nevermind” news cycle. Get ready for about 208 more of these.
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In a weird way, the things that are surprising me most about this election are its consistency with polling — a lot of the stuff I was second guessing have turned out to be true.
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American history was forever altered by LBJ just barely managing to commit enough fraud to win this election
Genuinely insane how much would've changed if just a few people changed their votes here.
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Democrats are actually doing quite well in a lot of statewide North Carolina races, led by a massive Josh Stein overperformance… except, of course, for the presidency.
Dan Bishop (R) says he called Jeff Jackson (D) to congratulate him on winning the Attorney General's race in North Carolina. #ncpol.
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life would be so much easier if I were a Republican. my options would be . 1) join the Federalist Society and get appointed to a lifetime judgeship at the age of 4 . 2) move to the Northeast, win a governorship as a moderate, and have 90% approval ratings by being a potted plant.
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Bob Casey Sr. was such a powerful figure that Pennsylvania once elected an unrelated state auditor who just happened to share his name
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arizona gop: we haven’t done well in senate races. we need someone who isn’t going to lose by 2.4%. kari lake: in 2022, i kept it closer than 2.4%!. az gop: ok, but we want to emphasize it would be embarrassing to lose another race by exactly 2.4%. lake: i gotchu dw. also lake:
doug ducey: so martha, I want to appoint you, but you just lost a race by 2.4% . martha mcsally: yes, but it won’t happen again. ducey: are you sure? can you guarantee me that you won’t lose another race by 2.4%. mcsally: I promise I won’t lose another race by 2.4%. mcsally:
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Martha McSally: if you skip a few meals, you can afford to donate more to me! . Blake Masters: this is a silenced gun. unfortunately, the woke left has made it “illegal” to use on “people” . Kari Lake: John McCain voters, I hate you and don’t want your vote . The Arizona GOP:
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im obsessed with this WaPo exit poll graphic that uses both candidates’ heads as bar graphs
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It’ll take a while to unpack, but the argument that the lower turnout, high engagement electorates are far friendlier to Democrats may well be proven right. Those special election overperformances amounted to nothing.
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i mean this is ridiculous. the chances of a president actually being harmed by cold temperatures on inauguration day have got to be really low. like, a one-in-47 chance or something.
Due to the dangerously cold temperatures expected Monday, President-elect Trump's inauguration is moving indoors, sources tell @alaynatreene, @KateSullivanDC and me. Expect Trump and Vance to be sworn in inside the Capitol Rotunda.
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It is January 2024. Powell has raised interest rates to 100%, but despite his best efforts the economy adds 83 million jobs as unemployment drops to -20%. Economists seek an antonym to “Great Depression,” finding “Great Ecstasy” does not convey the severity of the situation.
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how do I explain to my career advisor that my dream is Moderate Republican Governor of a northeastern state with a supermajority Democratic legislature, enjoying 80% approvals and a $190k salary by being a potted plant.
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