RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEW at NYT: The Democratic Party is facing a voter registration crisis in red, blue and battleground states alike — lo….

RT @CookPolitical: As TX Republicans appear poised to thwart Democrats’ brief quorum break and pass a brutal new gerrymander, CA Democrats’….

RT @CookPolitical: NEW podcast! A redistricting war could shake up the race for House control. Here's what you need to know with @amyewalte….

I'll be on @CNN @smerconish shortly to discuss the potential for a gerrymandering apocalypse/arms race.

RT @jmart: It’s true, nobody involved in American politics knew until recently that the two parties have for decades brazenly gerrymandered….

RT @kyledcheney: NEW: Gov. Greg Abbott's legal threat against fleeing Democrats may not have the teeth it appears — it could take months to….

Bottom line: it's clear what Republicans' strategy is here. Create as many solid Trump seats as possible while *increasing* the number of Hispanic-majority seats by population, even though Hispanic *voters* will be well south of 40% of the electorate in several of them.

In DFW, the GOP map merges Rep. Marc Veasey's (D) #TX33 with Rep. Julie Johnson's (D) #TX32, and creates a new Trump +18 #TX32 stretching from northern Dallas County all the way to rural Upshur County. This would be a very safe GOP pickup.

Along the I-35 corridor, the GOP map nukes Rep. Greg Casar's (D) Austin/San Antonio #TX35 (Harris +33) and creates a new 57% Hispanic, Trump +10 #TX35 outside San Antonio. This would be a very likely GOP pickup but not totally guaranteed in a bad midterm for Rs.

In Houston, the GOP map merges Rep. Al Green's (D) #TX09 with the vacant safe Dem #TX18, and creates a new #TX09 in eastern Harris County that's 61% Hispanic but also Trump +15. That would be a pretty safe GOP pickup.

Interestingly, however, the map doesn't *totally* doom Cuellar & Gonzalez. Cuellar's #TX28 would move from Trump +7 to +10, Gonzalez's #TX34 would move from Trump +5 to +10. Both are potentially survivable given ancestral Dem ties & a midterm without Trump on the ballot.

NEW: as expected, TX Republicans unveil a 30R-8D gerrymander (up from 25R-13D today) that puts Reps. Henry Cuellar (D) and Vicente Gonzalez (D) in double-digit Trump districts and axes one Dem seat each in DFW, Houston & Austin/San Antonio.

RT @patrickdmarley: Texas plan to redraw maps could protect GOP House majority

RT @cam_joseph: Hoyer's comments illustrate why, in what @Redistrict called a "nuclear arms race for House control," Dems are starting from….

New @CookPolitical: Just how many more seats could Republicans squeeze out of Texas? Possibly up to five, shifting the map from 25R-13D to 30R-8D (below). But not without a VRA lawsuit and disruption to existing GOP seats. Full analysis:

NEW @CookPolitical: Echoes of 2018? Dems are well-positioned to take back House control in 2026 owing to a partisan intensity gap, but the underlying factors (economy, party images) are different this time.

RT @CookPolitical: Want to get behind the scenes with our fantastic team? Here's a day in the life in 60 seconds. ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️. https://t.co/….

RT @CookPolitical: The Cook Political Report’s PollTracker is back! Our curated polling aggregator calculates a rolling average of Trump’s….

RT @nathanlgonzales: Latest @InsideElections podcast episode is up w/ me, @JacobRubashkin and guest Dave Wasserman @Redistrict talking abou….

Will be on @cspanwj at 8am ET to talk @CookPolitical's new 2025 PVI report among other topics (recent polling & 2026). Bonus points for on-topic callers.