Democracy Corps
@DemCorps
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Democracy Corps is an independent, non-profit organization dedicated to making the government of the United States more responsive to the American people.
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New insights from our recent poll: Despite challenges, Biden's reelection prospects look promising. Voter shifts in response to campaign strategies show potential, especially emphasizing middle-class empowerment & addressing key concerns like inflation.
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We did focus groups with Republicans and Republican defectors and this year’s referendum on Trump threatens to reach deeper into the GOP than the 2018 blue wave. Read about the factions pulling off Trump and why:
@StanGreenberg
@ProjectLincoln
@RVAT2020
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New focus group report on Trump-loyalists/aligned and non-Trump conservatives and moderates
@StanGreenberg
@BillKristol
@SykesCharlie
@Timodc
@JonahDispatch
@JRubinBlogger
@RonBrownstein
What will Trump loyalists’ sensed powerlessness mean for politics?
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Clinton +12 in our new national survey, potential for downballot gains - read the full report from
@StanGreenberg
:
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Our new poll in the 2022 battleground show’s Trump’s loyalists and aligned voters are 75% of the GOP, and already consolidated and engaged in support of Trump’s unfinished fight.
@StanGreenberg
@ProjectLincoln
@stuartpstevens
@SteveSchmidtSES
@gtconway3d
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In our latest focus group report we asked what are some of the hot topics you are discussing at home? Here are some responses from the participants:
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.
@DeanBaker13
- Trump voters say will stop supporting Trump if goes back on promises not to touch Social Security/Medicare in our new poll
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Intense disapproval of Trump in the battleground drove Democrats to vote in an election Trump made all about him. See our election poll for
@Women_Vote
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Our new poll shows Democrats move into a 3-point lead in the generic ballot and Biden is up to 45% approval. Helping working people with the cost of living needs to be the first priority. Take a look.
@mattyglesias
@jeneps
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3) Biden has emerged as a comfortable figure during deeply uncertain times. He represents experience and stability to many people in these groups. He looks plausible for many disaffected Republicans who are so exhausted with the divisiveness and chaos of Trump’s presidency.
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Our new poll in the 2022 battleground show’s Trump’s loyalists and aligned voters are 75% of the GOP, and already consolidated and engaged in support of Trump’s unfinished fight
@StanGreenberg
@EJDionne
@Edsall
@JoeConason
@rkuttnerwrites
@HaroldMeyerson
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2) Many Republicans believe Trump is failing as a leader, even if they are still determined to vote for him. More and more watch President Trump make politics “all about himself,” rather than leading on urgent issues or working for the whole country.
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1) Republicans sound as exhausted as the rest of the country by the unfinished crises, the uncertainty and inability to believe anything, and the deep divisions and polarization. They want leaders who will rise above the infighting and show us how they will unite the country.
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Our new poll shows Democrats move into a 3-point lead in the generic ballot and Biden is up to 45% approval. Helping working people with the cost of living needs to be the first priority. Take a look.
@ChrisCillizza
@Acosta
@PaulBegala
@andersoncooper
0
5
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Our new poll in the 2022 battleground show’s Trump’s loyalists and aligned voters are 75% of the GOP, already consolidated and engaged in support of Trump’s unfinished fight.
@StanGreenberg
@BillKristol
@SykesCharlie
@Timodc
@AccountableGOP
@RonBrownstein
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Greg Sargent nails this analysis, even with big wins in the head-to-head contests, "Biden and Warren are not quite as strong as they need to be among certain male subsets of the Democratic base: African American, Hispanic, and white millennial men."
@StanGreenberg
@VoterCenter
A new poll from a Dem pollster finds Trump is losing massively among women, but there's a caveat: He's doing a bit better than expected among male groups, even in the Dem base.
Interesting stuff on the two sides of the gender gap from
@StanGreenberg
:
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We did 6 focus groups with Trump loyalist, aligned, and non-Trump Republicans. Here is our report:
@danpfeiffer
@PodSaveAmerica
@jonfavs
@tvietor08
@jonlovett
@ezraklein
@mattyglesias
Powerful new insights into anger, but feeling powerless and not fighting ARP, like Obamacare. Biden, the white president, not threatening, like first AA president. What impact? Great to work with Chris Parker!
@blackbruin
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Democrats are MUCH more enthusiastic in their vote choice..building towards a wave? Read our report w/
@Women_Vote
:
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Clinton & Dems can win on the economy w/ mandate for economic agenda if economic message about rewriting the rules, not building on progress
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.
@JoeConason
for
@NationalMemo
, new
@DemCorps
@AFTunion
poll shows: “in House battleground districts, relatively few people believe the benefits were distributed fairly or that the tax cut benefit them”
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Biden raised his margin by 8 points on which candidate will improve things for the middle class, and 5 points on getting health care costs down.
@StanGreenberg
Focus Group Slams Trump for No Empathy in Final Presidential Debate via
@intelligencer
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Our new poll shows Biden has locked in his lead in a way that makes him formidable in the Rust Belt and blue wall states and in the suburbs.
@StanGreenberg
@Women_Vote
@AFTunion
@RonBrownstein
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Our founder,
@StanGreenberg
, sit's down with
@MorePerfectUS
to share our polling results on messaging that push towards a Democratic win.
NEW: Democrats are making a huge mistake when they focus only on listing their accomplishments or reacting to Republican attacks on crime, argues pollster
@StanGreenberg
.
To win, Democrats must address the top issues on voters’ minds – cost of living, wages, and corporate greed.
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New
@StanGreenberg
poll 4
@rooseveltinst
shows public embraces
@JosephEStiglitz
#rewritetherules
inequality agenda.
http://t.co/5k3dnO3DQ6
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New 4 state battleground poll 4
@Women_Vote
puts Clinton in White House but still room to consolidate up&down ballot
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Why Trump won? HRC not heard on economy - new poll from
@StanGreenberg
&
@JamesCarville
-
@Women_Vote
@RooseveltFwd
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Our new poll shows Democrats losing their 3-point lead. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living. Take a look.
@StanGreenberg
@BillKristol
@SykesCharlie
@BulwarkOnline
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@SpicySultyDoggy
@PpollingNumbers
Sure. Here's a number from September. Sanders at +5 in a National Survey (rather than Battleground, so not 🍎to🍎).
We polled Buttigieg as our rotating 3rd candidate to test viability. Still lots of issues with name recognition and consolidating Dem base unlike Warren & Biden.
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Our focus groups among white blue-collar workers shows women are fed up with Trump.
Trump's turn toward overt racism rests on a bet: that working-class white women will respond just as enthusiastically as blue-collar white men,
@RonBrownstein
writes:
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9
14
.
@HillaryClinton
wins big against
@JebBush
in a 2016 match-up: 52% Clinton, 40% Bush
#Hillary2016
@StanGreenberg
http://t.co/X18bFy44Oe
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New poll from
@demcorps
@stangreenberg
@GQRResearch
shows more support for
#ACA
- GOP repeal increasingly unpopular
http://t.co/s635PnoEyP
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The 2022 midterms will be remembered as a toxic campaign, but an effective one in labeling Democrats as “pro-crime.” -
@StanGreenberg
on
@theprospect
.
@gtconway3d
@daveweigel
@Milbank
@fixfelicia
@thegarance
@fareedzakaria
@donnabrazile
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(1) Our new October Battleground Survey shows Biden and Warren maintaining a lead over Trump in a head-to-head contest.
In this same series of 17 states (including FL, TX, OH, etc.) which Clinton lost by 1 point overall, Dem frontrunners win by 5 or 6.
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Our new poll shows Democrats losing their 3-point lead. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living. Take a look.
@StanGreenberg
@daveweigel
@Milbank
@fixfelicia
@thegarance
@fareedzakaria
@PhilipRucker
@mollyesque
@SusanPage
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Biggest doubt Trump voters have about
@realDonaldTrump
? He'll break promises on Medicare/Social Security! NEW poll:
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.
@realDonaldTrump
only has 38% of the vote on the battleground in our new likely voter survey
@MarkHalperin
@jheil
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Read our full report on the Obama-Trump voters in Michigan here:
Trump's Mich voters like Obama personally, but don't see him championing the poor or middle classes. They think Brown/Warren/Sanders would:
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We did focus groups with disabled voters in GA. They are 12.1% of the population, but are being overlooked in the runoff. Read our memo to see why/how the Senate campaigns should do more to engage this big bloc of voters.
@StanGreenberg
@Respect_Ability
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Whatever happens on Tuesday, Democrats should start by listening to the voters again and show that they know how to make communities safe, while raising the power and well-being of all working people.
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Read One "Remarkable" Document To Understand Why Republicans Followed Ted Cruz Off A Cliff
http://t.co/t1kNB7j7Cn
via
@TPJustice
see
@DemCorps
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See the latest piece from our founder,
@StanGreenberg
, on how Democrats can avoid a midterm wipeout and save democracy by listening to working class voters.
Democrats have a working-class problem – and it’s not limited to white workers. The trajectory can be reversed, but there’s no room for error.
@StanGreenberg
breaks down the way forward.
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Why unshackled Trump threatens downballot GOP - 1/4 of Trump voters will punish non-supporting candidates - new post
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@JoeBiden
@ewarren
Meanwhile, when we tested
@JoeBiden
@ewarren
@KamalaHarris
&
@BernieSanders
messaging pulled straight from the debates, Democrats AND Independents consolidated around Warren.
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NEW report on pre & post election panel of GOP in the battleground. Check it out!
@StanGreenberg
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Secular conservatives are 20% of the GOP base, but they are conflicted about the Trump presidency. Read our new focus group report:
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A Tea Party/Religious base that is increasingly becoming Trump's entire electorate.
via
@NYTimes
Trump owned by NRA according to
@rosadelauro
explained by my book RIP GOP and his Tea Party base that elected him.
@DemCorps
@maggieNYT
@anniekarni
@dannyhakim
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Like we've said before, Democrats can regain a lead on the generic ballot with an aggressive cost-of-living message. Thanks to
@TheProspect
for covering our survey.
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Our new poll has Trump only even w/ men, seniors, white college men, & independents - read
@StanGreenberg
's report:
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New polling shows a bolstered desire for a rapid transition to green energy.
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We did 6 focus groups with Trump loyalist, aligned, and non-Trump Republicans. Please see the report from
@StanGreenberg
&
@blackbruin
:
@JoeNBC
@GStephanopoulos
@ChrisCillizza
@Acosta
@PaulBegala
@davidplouffe
@matthewamiller
Powerful new insights into anger, but feeling powerless and not fighting ARP, like Obamacare. Biden, the white president, not threatening, like first AA president. What impact? Great to work with Chris Parker!
@blackbruin
1
6
29
0
5
7
Trump-voting women now wonder if he's too rich to govern 4 them - new
@TIME
oped from
@StanGreenberg
&
@Women_Vote
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Our post VP-pick poll showing Biden's new consolidated lead in the battleground.
@StanGreenberg
@AFTunion
@RVAT2020
@ProjectLincoln
@RonBrownstein
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Romney's best results are when he starts talking like a Democrat
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See this analysis, from our project with
@EquisLabs
and
@HITStrat
, on how Ds appeal to working class voters.
Top three priorities of white working class voters under 50? Worker protections, Child Tax Credit, and paid leave.
New polling shows that Biden should embrace a powerful middle class, blue collar message for success in the midterms. Read more about the latest numbers from
@StanGreenberg
:
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Take a listen to the most recent episode of the
@PoliticsWarRoom
with our founder
@JamesCarville
and journalist
@RonBrownstein
.
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This is a turning point in the 2020 campaign. Vice President Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the battleground by a healthy margin of 4 points, and 5 in a two-way contest. This is a battleground that Donald Trump painfully won by 1.3 points in 2016.
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MUST READ
@drvox
cites our
#RepublicanPartyProject
research 2 show Trump voters driven by economic+racial resentment
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Want to understand white working class swing voters? Our new Macomb County research w
@rooseveltinst
is a MUST READ:
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Check out the latest from our founder
@StanGreenberg
in
@TheProspect
on where his hopeful vision for the Democratic Party
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Inequality trumps concern for business &markets, according to our new poll:
http://t.co/icRoJoC07p
-
@StanGreenberg
http://t.co/Niz3iC2cMX
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What many news articles steadfastly report is that Donald Trump has +85% support from Republicans. We found this to be true. HOWEVER the enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans is close to 20% . . . Dems are more excited to vote Trump out than Reps are to keep him in.
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Everyone at Democracy Corps and
@GQRResearch
congratulates
@BarackObama
on his reelection!
#fourmoreyears
#middleclass
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Our dial meters of
#PresidentialDebate
show
@HillaryClinton
win, shifts on economy & trust -
@Women_Vote
- see dials
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Trading white working class for ID politics contributed to HRC loss, progressives can learn from
@StanGreenberg
take
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The
@GOP
brand is toxic, led down by
@realDonaldTrump
negative image
@StanGreenberg
new battleground poll
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Biden at 9-point margin with Warren and Sanders remaining viable in head-to-head match-up at 7 and 5 points respectively. All right around the 8.6-point national margin in 2018.
@StanGreenberg
1
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each time Trump minimizes the danger of COVID, even for young people, the lines tank:
look at the drop at the end of this image, example:
Attacks on Democratic governors takes all lines sharply down to well below 50 and only wwc men go to 50
@AFTunion
@rweingarten
@DemCorps
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Critical survey results on messaging leading to a Democratic win in 2022.
Generic Congressional Ballot:
Democrats 50% (+2)
Republicans 48%
Greenberg Research/
@DemCorps
, 1,000 RV, 7/8-16
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@TheProspect
@StanGreenberg
: "voters are hungry for big change, after decades of spiking economic and political inequality."
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The Democrats' "Working Class Problem" - it's not only w/ whites via
@StanGreenberg
in
@theprospect
0
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“In Macomb they are very sensitive to NAFTA, angry the political leaders sold them out, angry at senior management and CEOs of the companies,” --
@StanGreenberg
Our recent focus groups show that white working class around the country are fed up with Trump
I headed to Macomb County, Michigan, the heart of Reagan Democrat territory — and an area that helped put Trump in the White House. The economy there and across the state is still strong, but a lot of voters aren't feeling it.
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Read
@StanGreenberg
‘s insightful review of Hillbilly Elegy and the story is does not tell about America’s white working class in
@theprospect
0
5
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Most Americans say they haven’t personally benefitted from the GOP-Trump tax cuts! See the new
@DemCorps
&
@AFTunion
poll our today
@rweingarten
@StanGreenberg
0
8
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New poll battleground poll 4
@Women_Vote
finds votes shift to Dems if they talk about plans 4 economy w/ majority
0
3
5
Key findings from the new
@DemCorps
@AFTunion
poll on tax cut & economy. Read the memo from
@rweingarten
&
@StanGreenberg
0
4
4
Seniors Turned Out In The Virginia Election — Which Could Be Great News For Democrats:
http://t.co/BfEC98UbD1
@DemCorps
@StanGreenberg
0
10
5
A New Formula for a Real Democratic Majority by
@StanGreenberg
for
@theprospect
's 25th anniversary issue. Read here
http://t.co/OJewGh0Ez4
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NEW POLL: Dems need to reach working class voters NOW in this critical moment. A blue-collar message and delivering on our agenda can dramatically reverse the party's bleak fortunes in the '22 midterms.
@StanGreenberg
@EquisLabs
@HITStrat
for
@DemCorps
and
@AFTunion
(1/4)
1
2
6
Watch
@Lawrence
show tonight @ 10:45pmEST on
@MSNBC
to see
@StanGreenberg
on the campaign
#warroom
, sharing lessons from
@AmericAscendant
0
3
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Clinton leads +3 in North Carolina, +1 in Nevada in our new battleground poll for
@Women_Vote
@StanGreenberg
1
7
5
.
@danpfeiffer
our poll of Trump/GOP voters finds alleging hypocrisy on Wall Street ties weakest attack + don't believe cabinet news anyway
0
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A sweeping nationwide study of working class voters by
@HITStrat
,
@EquisResearch
, &
@DemCorps
and supported by
@AFTunion
shows Dems can gain by emphasizing popular economic policies that help families thrive and make big corporations and the wealthy pay their fair share in taxes
1
1
5
Check out full results of our EPIC new study of GOP voters:
Why is Rubio talking about Trump's spray tan? This epic new study of GOP attitudes explains it:
8
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0
5
5
Very important piece from
@RonBrownstein
@CNNPolitics
+ follow the link in the article to read the full healthcare discussion from our research in Macomb & Detroit
@AFTunion
@StanGreenberg
0
6
2
2
23
3
2/2 Hot take from
@HITStrat
CEO,
@t_woodbury1
: At a time where Black voters are growing impatient w/ what they perceive as a lack of progress on their priorities, Build Back Better addresses many of their economic concerns w/ an emphasis on equity that Biden & Dems promised.
0
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Joe Biden and the Democrats moving into the kind of lead it needs to deny Donald Trump the ability to disrupt Election Day.
1
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Our new poll shows Democrats move into a 3-point lead in the generic ballot and Biden is up to 45% approval. Helping working people with the cost of living needs to be the first priority. Take a look.
@katrinanation
@JoeConason
@davidplouffe
0
2
5
“In the years after the financial crisis, few things have enraged people in our focus groups more than simply reading a positive jobs report." -
@StanGreenberg
0
1
5