Andrea Gilli
@aa_gilli
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Strategic Studies, UoSt Andrews 🏴. Former NATO, 🇮🇹MOD advisor. RT=no endorsement; views my own.
somewhere across the Atlantic
Joined August 2011
This is absolutely insane: Venezuela's stock market is now up +73% since President Maduro was captured. Since December 23rd, as President Trump ramped up pressure on Maduro's government, Venezuela's stock market is up +148%. Venezuela's stock market is skyrocketing.
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Il quotidiano spagnolo El País assicura che il giudice che dovrà giudicare Maduro è imparziale, nonostante sia ebreo. Che vergogna @el_pais. https://t.co/c5LtjtIvCt
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L’Europa come segnale, quantomeno di non debolezza, potrebbe cominciare a firmare l’accordo commerciale con il Mercosur contro cui sono schierati Glucksmann e la Francia. Se hai paura dei trattori degli agricoltori sei poco credibile a proporre basi militari per fermare Trump.
L’Europe doit vite prendre une initiative forte. Une base militaire européenne pérenne au Groenland enverrait un signal de fermeté face à Trump et permettrait de tuer l’argument américain sur notre incapacité à assurer la sécurité du Groenland. Les courbettes ne suffiront pas.
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La Polonia🇵🇱 esce dal Socialismo del XX secolo, il Venezuela🇻🇪 entra nel Socialismo del XXI secolo.
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Sandy has faced a tough battle with stage 4 lung cancer after 44 years of love and dedication. The financial strain is overwhelming, and every bit of support counts. Please consider donating or sharing her story to help ease her burden during this challenging time. Your kindness
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A Lifetime of Love, Facing Life’s Toughest Battle The Unexpected Diagnosis She neve… Jack Hicks needs your support for Help Sandy in Her Battle With Cancer
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Very happy that our paper received the DFA Prize for Best Paper in the Journal of Finance. The literature on wealth inequality has been highly influential in public debates, yet it largely ignores a key way households save over the life cycle: Social Security. We show that
🧵🚨Accepted paper🧪 with @mjmill611 (Harvard) and @NatashaRSarin (Yale) Existing studies paint an incomplete picture of trends in wealth inequality in the US. When Social Security is properly accounted for, wealth inequality has not really increased over the past three decades.
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"Complessità dell'analisi"... in realtà è molto semplice: si chiama boom delle commodities. Il prezzo del petrolio passò da 12$ al barile nel 1999, quando Chávez sale al potere, a 140$ al barile nel 2008. In 10 anni si è mangiato tutto, per finire senza carta igienica e benzina.
il grafico che capone usa, senza comprenderlo, mostra casomai che nella prima fase chavista di risultati tangibili ce ne furono. fragili, ma con importanti effetti redistributivi. ma capisco che nella redazione del foglio la complessità dell'analisi sia pratica sconosciuta...
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Interesting role of culture and cognition: in Europe/US many fear Trump’s removal of Maduro will incentivize aggressiveness around the world. Around the world, some see it in contrast as strengthening deterrence…
Taiwan officials see Donald Trump’s capture of Venezuela’s leader as a powerful deterrent to Beijing’s aggression and timely reminder of the US ability to defeat militaries equipped with Chinese-made weapons
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A perfect example of how the extreme egalitarian obsession can lead people astray. You have to be out of your mind to prefer the top, "egalitarian" graph: " Ok I have nothing. But no one else does "
8 million people voted with their feet. The bottom graph is what mattered for them. not the top one.
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Must-read thread putting in perspective the failure of Russian foreign policy of the past 25 years.
1/ Vladimir Putin's heavy investment in the regime of Venezuelan former President Nicolás Maduro has been a costly and disastrous failure, according to Russian commentators. They admit that Russia is too weak to stop its allies from being picked off one by one by the West. ⬇️
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L'aspetto curioso del thread di FSL è che è stato condiviso principalmente da account anonimi. Aspetto, appunto, curioso.
Che pena vedere l’ennesimo uomo di scienza, peraltro con un cognome prestigioso come il suo, che ripete a pappagallo tutte le falsità della propaganda putiniana senza un minimo di verifica, come un Travaglio qualunque. Il tema è quello dei colloqui in Turchia del 2022, che è
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Piketty is wrong about the past and the future. My forthcoming book, while not directly about Piketty, shows exactly that. It shows that the era from 1870 to 1910 in America -- when markets were quite open, contestable while people and capital could move around -- was the first
New blog post w @pawtrammell: Capital in the 22nd Century Where we argue that while Piketty was wrong about the past, he’s probably right about the future. Piketty argued that without strong redistribution of wealth, inequality will indefinitely increase. Historically, however,
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According to an intelligence report seen by The Times, Iranian Supreme-Leader Ali Khamenei plans to flee Tehran with a close circle of up to twenty aides and family, if military and security forces called on to quell the ongoing civil unrest begin deserting, defecting, or failing
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For years, users have vocalized their frustrations with Microsoft’s incessant tactics and are seeking alternative solutions in various desktop browsers. Learn more.
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Dopo aver scritto, una settimana fa, che in Venezuela🇻🇪 non sarebbe successo nulla, ora in seguito alla cattura ed esfiltrazione di Maduro Pino Arlacchi scrive sempre sul Fatto che, in effetti, non è successo nulla. L’operazione degli Stati Uniti🇺🇸 è praticamente “fallita”. 🤡🎪
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When you try and outperform Citadel using yahoo finance.
BREAKING: It has been revealed Venezuelan Defense Minister, Vladimir Padrino, used publicly available FlightRadar to track U.S. forces in the region. It is unclear if they realized the U.S. could simply turn off transponders like they did last night to capture Maduro.
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Per the @FT: “More than three-quarters of economists expect the US to maintain or widen its productivity lead over the rest of the world, because of artificial intelligence, deep capital markets and relatively low energy costs. In the global poll, 31 per cent of 183 respondents
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The idea that Venezuela will flood the oil market is the biggest lie being told right now. Let’s look at how the US supposedly “flooded” the market after taking control over Iraq’s and Libya’s oil. Iraq: - 2000 (pre-war / pre-sanctions): 2.8 mbpd - 2003 (at war): 1.2 mbpd -
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Join PhishDestroy community — report scams, we take them down. Follow now.
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The Venezuela move didn't start Saturday. Bonds had been front running for months. Now comes the messy part: $154B restructuring with no permanent government. The trade worked. The workout is another story.
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In the past, many used to say "the US is saying it is democracy but it is oil". This time, it is the opposite. Trump says it is oil, but it is not. (Probably Rubio told him this to convince him.) In the best case, $30bn in gross revenue a year for Venezuela (see thread-need to
There is a lot of talk -- not the least from the US Administration -- about the windfall from Venezuela's oil. It is worth doing a bit of (boring) quantification. Bottom line: it isn't going to pay for everything ... 1/
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Don’t miss the subtle irony here: whereas Russian warbloggers condemn the Venezuelans for failing to fight, pro-Russia propagandists in Western countries condemn Ukrainians for putting up a fight - blaming them for the death toll in Ukraine, and for risking nuclear escalation.
1/ Russian warbloggers are furious and chagrined that the US has done to Maduro and Venezuela what their country has failed to do over four years to Zelenskyy and Ukraine. They say it shows Russia's weakness and condemn the Venezuelans for failing to fight. ⬇️
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First in @semafor: NYT, WaPo learned of the secret US raid on Venezuela soon before it was scheduled to begin but held off publishing what they had at the administration's request to avoid endangering US troops
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