Amanda B. Kadlec
@amandabkadlec
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Empathic observer committed to building healthy societies - Consultant & King's College PhD candidate - Governance in multipolar competition spaces.
Tunis, Tunisia
Joined May 2011
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I’ve been a dog person my whole life. Two months ago this little guy wouldn’t stop mewing outside my flat door.
He owns me now and I absolutely adore him.
@giantcat9
Stealth maneuvers TBA.
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There’s a lot that makes sense here, but there’s an ostensible neglect of France’s leading role in pushing NATO to launch the intervention in Libya in 2011 (at the initial reticence on the part of the Americans)
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"
#Lebanon
hosts some 1.5 million Syrians." (Appx 7m Lebanese)
Proportionally, this would be equivalent to a sudden extra 45m refugees in the US. Lebanon never had the space or capacity to accommodate such an influx.
It's a miracle the peace has been maintained this long.
About last night.
A Syrian refugee camp in northern Lebanon was set on fire following a fight between Syrian workers and a Lebanese family.
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The social media campaign against Mangoush,
#Libya
’s first female foreign minister, is vicious and life threatening. Gharyani is adding fuel in the name of religion.
An all too familiar pattern against women who speak their voice or hold positions power.
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Battle of Algiers is a stunning cinematic masterpiece ahead of its time. This article highlights its lasting, cross-cultural impact.
“The Battle of Algiers” was a major influence on the Black Panthers, the IRA and the Pentagon’s invasion of Iraq in 2003. Digging into these claims
@McilhaggaSamuel
reveals how the film turned into an instruction manual on insurgency and counterinsurgency.
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European efforts to keep people in
#Libya
are simply containing a grave humanitarian crisis — not solving it.
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A task for one of you OSINT geolocating specialists out there?
Look who’s back! Putin’s lapdog
#Prigozhin
is in Africa as anticipated. If we trust what he says, Wagner is most likely deployed in Algeria which has recently signed a deal with Russia and is opposed to ECOWAS military intervention in its neighbor Niger.
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#Libya
really doesn't need another foreign actor getting into the mix. South Korea reportedly sends a warship after national was kidnapped on Libyan soil
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Thanks to
@WarOnTheRocks
@EvansRyan202
for putting this front-and-center today. My take on
#Libya
's security and political track negotiations.
#LPDF
#UNSMIL
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@AmarAmarasingam
just saying that if she is the mother or another family member, maybe recognize her as well?
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@AmarAmarasingam
if she is the mother it would a bad on the media for failed acknowledgement of her suffering as well, and the courage she exhibited
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A senior LNA source stressed that Haftar had not put his signature to any deal. “Sitting does not mean agreeing, and no agreement was signed at the Paris meeting," he said.
Libya's December election goal faces political, legal, security hurdles
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ISIS still set on establishing foothold in Libya, after beheadings last week this should be evidence enough
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French initiative convening Libyans in Paris reminds me of French effort to get Algerians together in Rome to end 1990s civil war. Hindsight from that history points to French intervention causing more harm than good, and possibly even prolonging the war.
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Competition between France and Italy in Libya isn't just bad for
#Libya
, it places additional and unnecessary strain on the
#EU
and
#NATO
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Glad some folks are talking sense. African Union warns against rush to elections in Libya
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Thrilled to announce that I’ll be joining
@DSD_Kings
College London this year to pursue a PhD in Security Studies, investigating the impact of great power competition on democratization.
Immensely grateful and happy for this opportunity and J Hill for supporting me throughout.
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Still no official word yet on whether
#elections
in
#Libya
will take place in 10 days.
Hard to see how that will be possible without as much as a candidate list.
#Libya
is just 10 days from elections, but will they even take place, and what are the risks?
@HamzaMekouar_
and I asked
@Jamal_Benomar
@amandabkadlec
@AGomati
@PeterMillett1
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Curious to see how this plays out: Italian-brokered deal among tribes in southern Libya aimed to halt migration
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Nations opposed to the recognition of
#Jerusalem
as capital - Turkey, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar, Morocco, Kuwait -are allies critical to carrying out security objectives throughout the Middle East and Asia.
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My contribution to the Gulf States/Libya conflict issue
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If unable to catch
@el_khawaga
's paper launch today with
@emad_badi
the full video is available.
Highly recommend a read of Tim's network analysis on
#LAAF
#LNA
as well: …
Thanks again for an informative discussion!
#Libya
The whole thing is available here:
Thanks to
@amandabkadlec
for great moderation,
@CH_MENAP
for the invite & congrats to
@el_khawaga
on his paper - which is a great read.
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Vacationing in Europe when I engage in conversation with people at a neighboring table at a restaurant. One says, "But you're not typical American, you're open-minded, more European." He apparently failed to recognize the close-minded nature of such a statement.
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Been writing about
#MENA
for 10 years and the most retweets and likes ever has been a single tweet about my cat.
🤦♀️
I’ve been a dog person my whole life. Two months ago this little guy wouldn’t stop mewing outside my flat door.
He owns me now and I absolutely adore him.
@giantcat9
Stealth maneuvers TBA.
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Absolutley - Cold War revival combined with the tinderbox status of the whole of
#NorthAfrica
- a combustible mix presenting a greater threat to the southern flank today than Nixon's time, with full consideration of the past:
#Algeria
's independence, Suez crisis,
#Libya
coup, etc
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Thanks much to
@newlines
@erinclarebrown
@hxhassan
for the opportunity to write on this topic.
#Wagner
is only among the recent private military companies in Africa, building off of over twenty years of activities by private military companies across the continent.
Dozens of private military companies operate on the continent, and the shake-up in Russia over its infamous mercenary group has opened the door for others to compete.
Essential by
@amandabkadlec
in
@newlinesmag
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My high school just named me to it's hall of fame. Swore to self at age 18 to never return :S ... going back on my word!
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Unfortunately, Ansar's dissolution in
#Libya
means little other than its remaining members will just change jerseys to keep playing
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#Algeria
is absolutely fascinating and yet so poorly understood. It's pretty astonishing considering its geographic size, powerful military, and strategic political import. Glad to see this focus!
Algeria is one of the most fascinating cases in the region, few know it well & we rarely hear about it. Here, an Algerian scholar writes about his own experience being part of an unprecedented youth movement & why the Algerian experience is so interesting:
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@nabihbulos
They were rendered inoperable before exit. Not exactly Christmas except for selling parts for metal.
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Join us on June 3 1030 EST
@CH_MENAP
with
@el_khawaga
and
@emad_badi
to unpack the shifting armed group dynamics in
#Libya
's east, and what that might mean as the country transitions into a new phase.
Join
@el_khawaga
&
@emad_badi
to explore the findings of a new Chatham House paper on the evolution of the Libyan Arab Armed Forces. The webinar will be moderated by
@amandabkadlec
.
🗓️3 June
🕑15h30-16h30 BST
ℹ️
Register:
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A brutally honest opinion on
#Israel
's relationships with autocratic leadership in the Gulf.
"Despite the rhetoric espoused by its leaders, Israel has opposed democratic transitions in the
#MiddleEast
and benefits from the region's lack of
#democracy
."
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@thegeopolitico
@notmeanspirited
Please stop tweeting this stuff. You clearly don’t understand how this system functions.
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Epic wordplay.
I’m Putin my money on this not being an accident.
#Prigozhin
#Wagner
#WagnerGroup
#Putin
#Russia
#UkraineRussianWar
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couldn't agree more... always a focus on "end state" in a world where there isn't ever going to be one. Fantastical thinking.
#PT
US policy obsession w/ "end game" unhealthy. Margins/fringes of international system require tending. Perennial LIC is historical norm.
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@LizSly
@meganspecia
thinking Assad might have had just a little bit of a part to play in this too
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I’ve avoided areas where protests typically congregate. But today in
#Tunis
and all over the country, they’re everywhere.
Saw a spontaneous march of students in Cartage -which never happens in this part of town- toward Marsa and the French ambassador’s home this morning.
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#amplify
@Beccamurr
@lisadclancy
@tcwittes
@CarolineCBaxter
@MaggieCaroline1
@Joana_Cook
@sallyhayd
@piamancini
@awhawth
@CollombierV
@nazaninemoshiri
@ahfdc
. Thanks Anna
@rascouet
!
#Amplify
10 women & keep going (if you’d like)
@youngvulgarian
@nadinebh_
@lrozen
@DrOniBee
@uche_blackstock
@AbbyChavaStein
@shutupjaya
@alidraak
@hooliwho
@hiejoo
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I’m curious to know the criteria by which these distinctions will be made, and who is determining the criteria.
🇱🇾 "Bashagha said he plans to tackle the problem by identifying militias that should be disarmed and those that could be assimilated into the security apparatus." via
@SameralAtrush
2021 Operations in the western Libya
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The next trip may take them to established hideouts, ungoverned spaces or borderlands, where insurgents already operate... already a nascent trend of such activities in countries like Egypt, where militants from
#Libya
or even Syria find refuge in the
#westerndesert
or in
#Sinai
With the reverse migration of jihadis & with growing tension within al-Qaeda allies in Syria, will new jihadi hotspots emerge across the region in 2018?
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Eager to participate in a discussion July22 with
@JMJalel_H
and
@WillLawrence111
on political settlement prospects in
#Libya
. Join us!
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This was my assessment for
@WarOnTheRocks
in December of
#Libya
’s post-conflict transition as the
#LPDF
was in motion.
In hindsight, seems like a suitable title.
Deal or Déjà Vu? Libya’s Post-Conflict Political and Security Governance Dilemma
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Whoever started this account please make one for IR and Conflict Barbies.
Yes, yes, UN Ambassador Barbie is well aware of the irony of denouncing wealth inequality by banging a Louboutin stiletto on the podium of the General Assembly
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Big News. I only imagine though, how long this detention will last and the potential for deals to be made using his release as a bargaining chip among armed groups (not to mention the potential for conflict among them)
#Libya
#Bija
Arrest of Abdulrahman Milad
#Bija
is big news for his alleged role in
#humansmuggling
but this move could impact multiple
#Libya
chess boards, including peace talks. Milad was sanctioned by
#UN
security council in 2018. Read more here:
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@_chloi
Don't forget this was right after WWII US-UK feared effectiveness of Russian influence and communism. Not all about oil.
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Honored to join
@MaryFitzger
July 29
@1000
EST / 1600 CET as she explores her latest paper on Arms as a Source of Terrorism Finance in Libya with International Centre for Counter-Terrorism – The Hague
#Libya
#counterterrorism
#terrorismfinancing
#EU
#trafficking
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Enjoyed the discussion today! Thank you for a thoughtful exploration of your book and how the argument relates to
#Libya
Excited to discuss "Organizing Democracy" (
@UChicagoPress
) tomorrow at
@StimsonCenter
!
Thanks to
@AditiGorur
for hosting & moderating! Thanks to Stephen Lennon (
@USAIDOTI
),
@alidraak
(
@RANDCorporation
), &
@sgriner10
(
@OAS_official
) for commentating!
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I just heard The Daily
@NYT
podcast today name the capital of
#Libya
as
#Benghazi
.
The capital is Tripoli. This is basic fact-checking
@stavernise
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There are always going to be people who reduce events like this as the nefarious hand of imperialists, but saying there's no impact or influence at all on the part of foreign governments in
#Niger
is an imbalanced perspective imho. They're not mutually exclusive.
Russia made them do it. France made them do it. AFRICOM made them do it. 🤦🏼♂️
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"The fact is that MBS is trying to deal with a harsh truth about Saudi Arabia: The kingdom is economically and politically unsustainable, and is headed toward a disaster."
Solid analysis from Bernard Haykel of the challenges ahead for Saudi Arabia - & MBS
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I counted 35.
I know, sat morning is screaming out for a video of a school bus arriving in Mongolia - so here you go - keep watching....
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This is what America has become.
I could never have imagined something like this happening as a kid on the 4th of July. Now we just expect it, watch the livestream, shrug, go to sleep, and live the next day in denial that it might happen to us.
#Philadelphia
#Highland
Park
Scene from Ben Franklin Parkway during reported active shooter tonight during firework show
#philly
#benfranklinparkway
#bfp
@NBCPhiladelphia
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It amazes me that there are people out there who think this will actually work: US seeks to begin "the process of building an effective coalition of Arab nations committed to maintaining US strategic interests."
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@sfpelosi
@MalcolmNance
It's much simpler than that. He's a malignant narcissist (these people are cowards despite their outward bluster) who incites others to do his bidding while he takes no blame. It's not a conspiracy. This is just what these personality types do.
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Tchiani’s post-coup statements about ensuring good governance — whether sincere or not — are a mirror of the popular view that democracy as the West envisioned it just wasn’t delivering.
#Niger
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I grew up with the impression that a certain kind of hearty ignorance was always a revered American virtue, to revolt against and shun the refined British elitism that in part defined the American Revolution, Protestant predestination, knowledge breeds sinful acts, etc. Just me?
Americans have reached a point where ignorance is seen as an actual virtue.
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This is what makes Libya great (not the odd ceasefire) - municipalities cooperating to protect national heritage
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Competition in Russia for military service contracts abroad is growing. Some 30 known PMCs quietly operate on behalf of the government and private enterprises, including a recent setup by the state-owned oil giant Gazprom"
#Redut
#WagnerPMC
@newlinesmag
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Seems clear why I never fully identified with the
#GenX
or
#Millennial
generations as I'm smack in between. An Australian sociologist coined the term
#Xennial
to explain why people born 1977-1984 are different, having come of age traversing two distinct generational experiences
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@LibyaLiberty
Some of this is true but in accurately stated. Russia had a hand in Iran at the time too. Not just US
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@thegeopolitico
@superguppy
Yes, this is true, and as others have noted, the claims presented so far by only one side lack evidence. This isn’t what what communicated in your original tweet. You said it was up for the courts to decide the election outcome which is a grossly misinformed statement.
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Yeah this is me
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@emad_badi
The point here is that the tweet referenced a Google hit with an extremely flawed search prompt to prove a point about how the international press doesn't care about Libya. The country has ample financial resources to obtain the tools its needs if it weren't for its leadership.
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Currently in DC for the first time in four years. Apart from the people long committed to the region, this has been my experience as well. The shiny spots have moved, and with it the town's attention.
Having spent two weeks in the US, I can honestly say, the US isn’t just wrong on MENA, it is completely absent - not just on the ground, with such a stark no of appointments confirmed, but in Washington, too. This goes for the admin and most of the Hill. (thread) 1/8
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Feeling this brother
At least give us a fucking week between the pandemic and the prospect of nuclear war, dear universe
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I'm a human being who has skin in the game for the human race.
And I feel deeply for Libyans as much as I for anyone else facing this kind of pain. It breaks my heart that this has happened.
That's all I can say. I wish you peace of heart and mind.
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totally see potential for this same thing happening in Libya
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Salafis influencing Haftar toward conservative patriarchy - could dissatisfy his secularist base
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A quality, detailed description of the evolution of militia control in
#Tripoli
#Libya
.
@W_Lacher
Thank you.
How a handful of militias carved up Tripoli among themselves, and in the process transformed into criminal networks that captured what remains of the Libyan state. Our new paper for
@SmallArmsSurvey
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Learning Portuguese and delighted to know the word for "advertisement" is "propaganda."
I feel Americans might be less open to the effects of the former if it were readily equated with the heavy meaning of the latter.
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And so it came to pass, lo, that women may operate modern machinery...
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Enjoyed this
#Libya
talk today with
@JMJalel_H
and
@WillLawrence111
! Thank you
@LibyanAlliance
for having me as a guest.
Up to 2014 we've learned a lot of historical lessons. I don't think there could be any realistic merging of the Toubrouk and Tripoli government. The negotiation process has to be pursued through them. The status of Haftar will be key to this -Amanda Kadlec
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Yes.
"Dealing with flawed and failing democracies openly and seeing Western nations as part of the problem and not just the solution for
#democracy
protection must be parts of the way forward."
@Carnegie_Europe
@Ju_Lein
@StaffanILindber
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What's happening in
#Tunisia
re migration has been happening in
#Libya
for years - and much, much worse - via similar EU-funded measures w Libyan government. My guess is that the Europeans with any position to change things already know.
I hate sharing this. But what's worse is the world not knowing.
European citizens—esp Italians & Dutch—should know the EU (led by Meloni, Rutte & Von der Leyen) are facilitating these abuses by partnering w/
#Tunisia
’s president (who is responsible for them) to combat migration.
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Erik Prince proposed something similar: "Macron is now insisting on a “concrete military and police initiative” in Libya, accompanied by UN sanctions and other tools to interdict the “passeurs” or smugglers who move migrants from the Sahel and West Africa through Libya."
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I wasn't aware that there was even the illusion of security
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Storms like this simply do not happen in North Africa in the summer. Akin to Southern California facing a hurricane earlier this summer.
Storm Daniel
#StormDaniel
is reportedly sweeping through north and northeastern
#Libya
Locals r bracing for floods, heavy rainfall, strong winds & more
Sunday, Monday r holiday in areas where strom has started
Video shows beginning of rainfall, winds' impact in eastern Libya
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There is no evidence to suggest that it is "in the best interests of the United States" to recognize
#Jerusalem
as the capital, more likely the reverse
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Powerful perspective here from someone with the experience and clout to know.
War crimes against civilians cannot be remedied with more war crimes against civilians.
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Fighting in Tripoli is getting worse, Egypt reportedly launches airstrikes in eastern Libya
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This is so spot on. DC ‘blobaganda’ and America’s misadventures abroad.
I wrote an essay about my own experiences with "the blob" aka "the foreign policy establishment" here in DC, how it operates, and who's behind it...
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