Velina Tchakarova
@vtchakarova
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Geopolitical Strategist| Chief Strategic Foreseer | I coined #Dragonbear | #geopolitics | #GlobalSystem | #realpolitik | #foresight | #trends | #risks | #RWRI
Vienna
Joined November 2011
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Pinned Tweet
‼️ I am thrilled to announced that "Putin's Europe" is out‼️
My contribution is about Russia's Geopolitical and Geoeconomic Warfare.
Moscow’s multifaceted strategy revolves around three intertwined fundamentals: an overt military invasion of Ukraine; a non-kinetic warfare to…
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🇺🇦 Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy just posted that the disconnection from SWIFT and the introduction of personal sanctions against Putin and the provision of defense weapons were approved. Thanks to France.
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Today Poland 🇵🇱 is doing for Ukraine 🇺🇦 what nobody did for Poland in 1939.
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After China had called on India to 'stay objective and calm' and avoid 'over-interpreting' the issue of the Chinese new map, India now published its own map.
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‚It’s easy to be a communist in a free country. But try being free in a communist country.‘
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Happy
#IndependenceDay
, India 🇮🇳! This is
#India
’s year given its role in
#G20
,
#BRICS
,
#QUAD
, and many more international forums.
#geopolitics
#Velsig
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It went from Italy signing MoU with China on joining BRI as the only G-7 country to exiting BRI in 2023 and deepening the trade and defence cooperation with India after PM Meloni visited India. Here PM Modi and PM Meloni are sharing a joke ahead of
#G20
. It‘s fluid
#geopolitics
.
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India is unequivocally behind Israel 👇
I thank Prime Minister
@netanyahu
for his phone call and providing an update on the ongoing situation. People of India stand firmly with Israel in this difficult hour. India strongly and unequivocally condemns terrorism in all its forms and manifestations.
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While Elon is posting awful memes about the Ukrainian president Zelensky out of boredom, I want to remind you that this is also the person, who, on the first day of the full-scale attack by Russia, refused the US offer to evacuate, saying 'I need ammunition, not a ride', and this…
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In 2018, Trump made outrageous claims about German energy at the UN, and the German delegation’s reaction was priceless. 🇩🇪 FM laughing on the video suggested later that Europe needs Nord Stream 2 because the lack of it could drive 🇷🇺 & 🇨🇳 closer together.
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The new abbreviation of BRICS, if India renames itself Bharat and the invited countries (Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and UAE) join it next year, will be BARBIECUES.
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Huge news from the world of
#geopolitics
&
#geoeconomics
: the India-Middle East-Europe economic corridor was officially launched at
#G20Bharat
summit by PM Modi & the leaders of US, Saudi Arabia & Europe.
This corridor will connect India with West Asia, Europe & US as an…
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Happy Birthday, PM
@narendramodi
! It was a big honor and one of the greatest highlights of my career so far to meet and talk with you in person at Raisina in Delhi this year.
@orfonline
@samirsaran
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The US 🇺🇸 needs India 🇮🇳 more while facing the
#Dragonbear
🇨🇳🇷🇺 than India needs the US while facing China in the
#IndoPacific
.
#geopolitics
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Best video on X today. A Nigerian 🇳🇬 official pretends to faint after he was asked about missing funds
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🇮🇳🇨🇳 This is how the two nuclear powers fight with each other to prevent military tensions from escalating in accordance with their agreement from 1996.
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Meloni Tells China That Italy Plans to Exit Belt and Road
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PM Modi with FM Lavrov representing Putin.
Whoever believes that India will deteriorate its relations with Russia because of America‘s growing interest in India due to the competition with China, doesn‘t really grasp Indian geopolitics.
#G20Bharat
#G20BharatSummit
#G20India2023
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I recommend this highly interesting CNN interview with India's Minister of Petroleum
@HardeepSPuri
in which he covers many important issues related to Russian oil & green transition. He rightfully points out that without Russian oil, prices will only go up
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The US needs India more while facing the
#Dragonbear
🇨🇳🇷🇺 than India needs the US while facing China in the
#IndoPacific
.
The role of U.S. intelligence in emboldening Trudeau will backfire as India has a significant leverage due to its comprehensive ties with Russia and unique…
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Breaking: Israeli 🇮🇱 PM Naftali Bennett to visit India 🇮🇳 on April 4. Last Israeli PM to visit India was Benjamin Netanyahu in 2018. India is increasingly becoming a relevant geopolitical player whether it likes it or not.
#geopolitics
#realpolitik
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Kazakhstan will suspend its membership in Russia-led CSTO (equivalent of China-led SCO) in the beginning of 2023. Kazakhstan didn’t support Russia in its war against Ukraine and did not recognize the annexation of Crimea & the self-proclaimed independence of the Donbas republics.
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We have two very ambitious geopolitical leaders in Europe - President Macron & PM Meloni - taking selfies with India’s PM Modi. Perhaps India could become the glue for often competing geopolitical interests of 🇫🇷🇮🇹 in various geographic areas in the future?
#Velsig
#geopolitics
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“Freedom is not given, it is taken.” - Subhas Chandra Bose
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This is not a coup by Prigozhin. This is an inner war between the St Petersburg gang of Putin and the Moscow gang of Gerasimov and Shoigu. This is the beginning of Putin‘s election campaign to become reelected on March 17, 2024. His lapdog Prigozhin is masquerading a coup to put…
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Biden called Putin’s nuclear blackmail bluff and Russia softened its nuclear rhetoric over Ukraine. Erdogan called Putin’s food blackmail bluff and Russia rejoined the Black Sea grain initiative.
Draw your conclusions how to deal with Russia.
#geopolitics
#realpolitik
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Congratulations to all friends, colleagues and followers on this most special day for India!
#PranPrathistha
#JaiShriRam
#Ayodhya
ht
@harshmadhusudan
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French President has one of his biggest geopolitical highlights already at the beginning of 2024 and it���s already much bigger than his visit to China last year.
#Velsig
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How it started in March with the first state visit to India and the inauguration at Raisina 2023 (I was in Delhi and saw it personally).
How it’s going at
#Cop28
Italy’s PM Meloni is currently one of the most adequate geopolitical leaders in Europe.
#Melodi
#India
#geopolitics
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Those experts who were claiming China‘s military attack on Taiwan in 2022 or soon after, should reconsider their prognoses given the performance of the Chinese troops along the LAC with India.
#geopolitics
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After sitting next to
@DrSJaishankar
at
#Raisina2022
India, I had the plausure to meet him in Europe at
#GLOBSEC2022
.
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India 🇮🇳 is entitled to its own side and won’t get caught in a bifurcated global system shaped only by the West and China. Some tough
#realpolitik
lessons for the EU coming from
@DrSJaishankar
.
#geopolitics
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The Czech Republic has delivered tanks, multiple-rocket launchers, howitzers and infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine among military shipments that have reached hundreds of millions of dollars and will continue.
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🇩🇪 🇮🇹🇭🇺🇨🇾 Germany, Italy, Hungary and Cyprus are blocking a decision to disconnect Russia from the SWIFT network following its full-scale military attack on Ukraine.
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It was absolutely unique opportunity to meet
@narendramodi
at the
@raisinadialogue
in
#Delhi
and to exchange a few personal thoughts with him. I do appreciate the feedback he gave me and will continue pushing for stronger EU-India ties.
#Raisina2023
#RaisinaDialogue2023
#Raisina
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Trudeau picked the wrong geopolitical fight with India purely for domestic reasons and this has already backfired significantly because he thought that this is India from the last decade. The role of U.S. intelligence in emboldening Trudeau will backfire as well as India has a…
Let's face it: The role of U.S. intelligence in emboldening Trudeau to pick a geopolitical fight with India could have a bearing on the direction of U.S.-India ties, not least by reinforcing India's imperative for strategic autonomy. The task of building mutual trust now becomes…
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You want to read a funny story from Germany today? Indian exports of fuel and lubricants to Germany increased by 1127%, from €37 million in January–July 2022 to €451 million in the same period in 2023. Indian fuel accounted for 2.4% of all German fuel imports. Since Germany has…
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🇺🇦🇫🇷🇩🇪 France fully supports disconnection from SWIFT and Germany is considering it right now (there’s been u-turn in its position today).
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Why is Boston Dynamics teaching their robots how to fight?
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A massive underground deposit of high-grade phosphate rock in Norway, pitched as the world’s largest, is big enough to satisfy world demand for fertilisers, solar panels and electric car batteries over the next 100 years,
The Norwegian deposit is estimated to be worth 70 billion…
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Exactly one year ago on this day. Guess the country.
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Another CEO joins the crowd. The CEO of McKinsey & Company Rob Sternfels:
“It’s not India’s Decade. It’s India’s Century.“
#geopolitics
#Velsig
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Happy Republic Day, dear Indian friends, colleagues and followers! As Visiting Fellow of
@orfonline
and a member of
@indiaeuwomen
, I send my special warm greets to my Indian colleagues in these two organizations!
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Zelenskiy’s speech is for the history books. Hopefully, it will reach many Russian people on social media to exercise pressure at home and remove this lunatic who wants to decide over the fate of sovereign, democratic countries in Europe in 21st century.
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India's Twitter is fun!
I'm dismayed by the "unfollowing" of our President & PM by the White House. I urge the Ministry of External Affairs to take note.
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Poland's 30 MiG-29s are the most refurbished jets as compared to Slovakia's and Bulgaria's ones, which makes me think that Poland will most likely deliver its MiG-29 to Ukraine first. Once again, Poland will be at the pole position in defending Ukraine's sovereignty and freedom.
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Not all realists share
#Mearsheimer
views on Russia's war against Ukraine. I am positioned in the
#realpolitik
corner while using
#geopolitics
and
#geoeconomics
as the main pillars of
#foresight
.This is my assessment since Dec 2021 (see pinned tweet) on Russia's plan.
Thread🧵👇
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I told you before the war broke out in February 2022 that India won‘t give up on Russia under the pressure of the West (mostly US). But Modi-Putin relationship is certainly an additional strong factor for the continuous very good ties.
#Velsig
#geopolitics
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CNN reporter Clarissa Ward before and after the fall of Kabul to the Taliban.
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Next possible dates for the Russian re-invasion of Ukraine according to the U.S. intelligence reports are Feb 29 and April 1.
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While still in India, I am witnessing another proud moment for the country & nation as the four astronauts of
@isro
's
#Gaganyaan
Mission are announced.
This is India's first human space flight program.
#space
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Antagonizing India 🇮🇳 because of its long lasting, traditionally positive stance on Russia 🇷🇺 is US 🇺🇸 most clueless
#geopolitics
position given the deepening systemic rivalry with China 🇨🇳 and the shift towards the
#IndoPacific
.
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What Fareed Zakaria doesn’t mention is that for PM Trudeau, the backing from Punjabi Canadians, a majority of whom identify as Sikh, has played a pivotal role in catapulting him to the leadership of the federal Liberal party. This crucial support base was instrumental in his…
Today’s last look: why Trudeau’s startling allegations are playing out very differently in Modi’s India
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India stands with Israel
Deeply shocked by the news of terrorist attacks in Israel. Our thoughts and prayers are with the innocent victims and their families. We stand in solidarity with Israel at this difficult hour.
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True. I love my India 🇮🇳 followers very much, even those who are bashing and trolling me. I’m extremely bullish on India and I have my skin in the game.
Many will come and go but no one will spam velina on X like Indians 🇮🇳 do😌
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Hungary will veto EU sanctions on Russian gas, a no-fly zone and an EU peacekeeping mission.
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Russian President Putin meets EAM Dr Jaishankar. He is visibly in good mood, he says that he knows Dr Jaishankar has a very big program in Moscow due to the volume of work regarding the cooperation, and that overall, everything is working out well.
#Velsig
#geopolitics
#India
Breaking: Russian President Vladimir Putin meets EAM Jaishankar in Moscow. First visuals released by the Kremlin:
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Do you know who’s the largest buyer of Russian fossil fuels (coal,
#gas
and
#oil
) since beginning of Russia’s war against Ukraine?
It’s the EU, not India or China. The European Union countries purchased for more than EUR 181 billion since February 24, 2022.
#Velsig
#geopolitics
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India 🇮🇳 has to provide for 1,4 billion population. Its own geoeconomics interests come first as expected.
#geopolitics
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Germany said an immediate boycott of Russian gas and oil supplies could hurt its own population more than Putin, bringing mass unemployment and poverty.
55% of the natural gas, 52% of the coal and 34% of mineral oil used in Germany comes from Russia.
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"India will respond according to its supreme national interests" is 101 lesson in
#realpolitik
by India 🇮🇳
I recommend this highly interesting CNN interview with India's Minister of Petroleum
@HardeepSPuri
in which he covers many important issues related to Russian oil & green transition. He rightfully points out that without Russian oil, prices will only go up
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When Macron said „The great risk is getting caught up in crises that are not ours“, did he realise what would have happened to Europe if the US had said the same about Russia‘s war against Ukraine? Ukraine would have collapsed & capitulated by now if it had not been for US aid.
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Finland 🇫🇮 and Sweden 🇸🇪, two Arctic states that are not NATO members, received a letter from Russia 🇷🇺 demanding security guarantees.
Finland is preparing a response to these demands, its foreign minister says.
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Israel has successfully tested the world’s first energy-based interception system that uses a laser to shoot down incoming UAVs, rockets and mortars at a cost of $3.50 per shot. Its name is “Iron Beam”.
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It was such a big honor to meet and talk to
@DrSJaishankar
at
@raisinadialogue
today!
@samirsaran
#RaisinaDialogue2022
#Raisina2022
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What did I tell you?
I told you before the war broke out in February 2022 that India won‘t give up on Russia under the pressure of the West (mostly US). But Modi-Putin relationship is certainly an additional strong factor for the continuous very good ties.
#Velsig
#geopolitics
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Dear Europeans, Ukraine 🇺🇦 does not need our thoughts and prayers, but our Hard Power Projection in the Eastern Neighborhood, permanent flow of arms shipments shown non-stop by all TV channels for the Ukrainian and Russian population to see, and lots of money and hospitality!
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Remember when Trudeau got schooled by Xi at the G20 just a year ago? And it looked like this would be the diplomatic climax of his activities. Boy, were we wrong!
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After the quite public accusations by PM Trudeau without providing any evidence, now Canada wants “private talks” to resolve the diplomatic dispute with India.
#geopolitics
#Velsig
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Israel Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant: “We will change reality on the ground in Gaza for the next 50 years. What was before, will be no more. We will operate at full force.”
#geopolitics
#Velsig
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Even bigger miscalculation by the West was not China’s actions (the
#Dragonbear
) to support Russia, but India’s stance on Russia’s war against Ukraine. India is looking after its own geopolitical interests in the midst of the greatest recalibration of the global order since 1945.
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Inspired by Putin's ludicrous demands to Ukraine, Italy has demanded the restoration of the borders of the Roman Empire.
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Keep in mind that Biden’s 🇺🇸 administration is currently appeasing China 🇨🇳 while antagonizing India 🇮🇳.
#geopolitics
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🇷🇺🇩🇪 Breaking Nord Stream 2 contract has been canceled - Munich Re.
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Did you notice that India’s Diplomat
#1
said at UNGA session: “Namaste from Bharat!”
I think that the Indian government will internationalise “Bharat” as the official name of India without big noise, while referring to India only when necessary (eg abbreviations, forums, etc).
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Not only European powers but also the US imported more fuel from Russia than India since Moscow launched a war against Ukraine.
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