Ben Matasar
@matasar
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I once walked off the end of a pier. he/him
Portland, OR
Joined November 2007
RT @McCormackJohn: Very little Electoral College bias in 2024: . When the NYT Needle estimates shut down, Trump was on track for a 1.5 poin….
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RT @baseballot: ABC News has projected that Proposition 139, protecting abortion rights, will pass in Arizona, overturning the state's 15-w….
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RT @lxeagle17: Donald Trump is probably the favorite to win the popular vote at this point. I can't say many in either party would have exp….
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RT @lxeagle17: Pretty clear picture emerging in the rust belt. In whatever's completed, Harris is just underrunning Biden all across the bo….
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This was a fun thing about living in San Francisco.
I love voting in San Francisco because my polling place is my neighbor's garage. Our city will never not be just a little weird.
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He doesn’t know anything. Ignore him.
Turnout is mixed and not where we want it to be. We need more people to vote. We can't let turnout flatline. Text everyone you know. Make more noise. We need more.
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RT @xenocryptsite: Totally true, nobody knows a single damn thing until actual numbers come in this evening. There will be a lot of totally….
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RT @JeremiahDJohns: Over the next 48 hours, some of you will treat predictors who said 52/48 like gods and predictors who said 48/52 like m….
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This is correct.
If 50% of the country is terrified that other team may win the Presidency that's a sign the power of President should be reduced.
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RT @archieemwood: @duckdb-gsheets is live!.read & write google sheets in pure SQL. no one can stop you FWAHAHAHAHA
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RT @xenocryptsite: (Also election nights can be crushingly boring so manually copying results is like, something to do. You remember electi….
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The needle rises.
We are on ULP strike. We gave @nytimes management months of notice of our strike deadline, we made ourselves available around the clock, but the company has decided that our members aren’t worth enough to agree to a fair contract and stop committing unfair labor practices.
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This is actually a pretty stand up thing to do.
CORRECTION: Mitchell DID NOT resample in new poll that now shows Harris, Slotkin +2. He acknowledges Detroit, women and African Americans under sampled. "Every poll we conducted --- including this one --- was weighted exactly the same.".
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Sean is a very good analyst.
The bottom line is what it's been for a while: The bulk of the publicly available data is consistent with a close election. That doesn't mean it *will* be close, and one of the frustrating things about this job is partisans who are irresponsible with data are right half the.
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