Adam Carlson
@admcrlsn
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Founding Partner of @ZenithPolls. Spreadsheets help me relax. Views are my own.
Joined December 2009
🚨 🚨 A new NYC mayor general election poll from @ZenithPolls (me) & Public Progress (@amitsinghbagga) — the most comprehensive poll of the race — finds Mamdani with a commanding 28-point lead in a five-way race, and getting >50% head-to-head vs Cuomo. Let’s dive in, shall we? 🧵
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RT @Chris_H_Politic: Amazing how Mamdani is the only candidate who wants people to love and enjoy New York City. Every other candidate wan….
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I don’t think you know what “souls to the polls” means.
Oh the irony: Trump only won in 2024 cause he greatly improved with mail-in ballots. He actually did worse vs. 2020 with in-person voters. He should try to get souls to the polls, not end mail voting. He's the 1st GOP nominee I can find who'd do better with universal turnout.
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New Hampshire: Live Free *And* Die.
Northeastern U.S. states meet to draft vaccine policies amid shifting federal guidance — NBC10
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RT @daveweigel: Several days for Dems to come up with a response to the red registration shift story — this is not a good one.
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President Bone Spurs will do anything to get out of walking – even if that means spouting off more lies about the progress we’re making on public safety in Maryland. Hey Donald, we can get you a golf cart if that makes things easier. Just let my team know.
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Both a Republican bootlicker and bad at his job, quite a combo.
CORRECTION. Trump had nothing to do with the Baltimore bridge money. It was passed in 2024 as part of a CR that Biden signed into law.
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RT @PollTracker2024: Maryland governor Wes Moore tells Face the Nation on CBS that he is mulling retaliation against Republican gerrymander….
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RT @the_vello: A must read editorial from the Portland Press Herald, the bigest paper in Maine. "Platner’s own campaign has come. Are we sk….
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I don’t think anyone serious is arguing that Dems would win an all-out redistricting arms race in 2026. But CO, NY & VA have already signaled they would get rid of their independent redistricting commissions for 2028. Then a lot depends on what happens with Section 2 of the VRA.
WSJ: Shawn Donahue, a political-science professor at the University at Buffalo, predicts Republicans would pick up 4 to 6 of House seats nationwide if a tit-for-tat redistricting fight were to break out. ——.More than a dozen red states and three blue states meet the conditions to
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Famously coastal Kalamazoo
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If you don’t get that this is satire, I’m afraid you’re not gonna make it.
Just what I wanted, two MAGAfied parties instead of one.
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I would see a gastroenterologist immediately.
My gut tells me that @CurtisSliwa will be the surprise Mayor of New York.
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RT @davidshor: A reminder that @RebeccaforWI was in the top 1% of Democratic challengers last year and that folks should give her money.
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1) Mamdani defeated Cuomo in the Democratic primary focusing almost entirely on affordability, with a huge focus on affordable housing (and not “woke issues”). 2) New Yorkers who take public transportation at least once per week back Mamdani over Cuomo by about a 3:1 margin.
Andrew Cuomo: "Zohran will talk about woke issues. I want to talk about affordable housing. I want to talk about, 'I'm afraid to have my daughter on the train, the subway." | @TheStoryFNC @marthamaccallum
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And anyone (regardless of party, though this guy is a Republican) that says “Nina Turner is correct” about pretty much anything has ceded all credibility on any subject under the sun.
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And on his second point:.
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“Republicans might not go all in if Dems don't retaliate” on mid-decade redistricting is one of the funniest things I have read in a very long time.
@admcrlsn The game theory doesn't necessarily work like that. Republicans might not go all in of Dems don't retaliate. Nina is correct - if both go all in, Republicans have more room to re-redistrict than Democrats. That's just math. Dems were already as ruthless as they could be in most.
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RT @ZaidJilani: People who think Gavin Newsom would be a good presidential candidate remind me of people who thought Kamala was one, they h….
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