Kevin Wei Luo
@kevinweiluo
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assistant prof @PoliSciUMN | PhD @UofT_PolSci , via @harvard RSEA @uchicago | China/Taiwan/Asia, politics of state building and other things | RT/follow = hmmm
Joined March 2016
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Pinned Tweet
Excited to share my article on rural reform and authoritarian rule in Taiwan
@cps_journal
! Using archival data from 2 crucial campaigns in the early days of KMT rule, I show how the regime tried to coopt rural society with mixed results. A summary: 1/15
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After the PhD storyline, I am restarting a playthrough as a LV. 1 faculty
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I guess the cat's somewhat out of the bag by now: will be starting as a tenure-track assistant professor in political science at the University of Minnesota (Twin Cities) this fall. Excited and tremendously grateful that
@PoliSciUMN
decided to take a chance on me 1/4
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An update: happy to announce that beginning this month I am starting a postdoc fellowship at
@UCLA
’s Asia Pacific Center, where I’ll be finishing my book manuscript on land reform and state building in China, Taiwan, and Cold War Asia!
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Thanks to
@lnachman32
for getting me out of my hiding hole. I think the recent discussion regarding Pelosi's Taiwan visit are symptoms of some fundamental unresolved debates and general issues with the current policy discourse. A short thread:
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Putting on some finishing touches! First time as a solo instructor post doctorate
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Hell yeah! My partner, the twitterless Dr. Dingru Huang, winner of the Association for Asian Studies grad student paper prize (from last year in Hawaii, while I stayed in the hotel and did absolutely nothing)
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Got really busy before/after MPSA, but sharing here my article with
@SCID__journal
on 1950s land reform in China. It's a weird little paper (and took me 5 agonizing years), but it's a labor of love that I hope you'll enjoy reading. Some highlights: 1/12
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Prof. Chu Yun-han, political scientist (PhD Minnesota, Academia Sinica academician), president of the Chiang Ching-kuo foundation for intl. scholarly exchange (an underrated channel of Taiwan's soft power diplomacy), has apparently passed away.
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Panel accepted at
@AASAsianStudies
in Boston next year! With
@XiaoboLu1
@poscwty
@lnachman32
and yours truly. We’ll be talking about state building, party formation, and bureaucratic mobilization from past to present China, Taiwan, and beyond. Stay tuned!
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1) the golden rule of working with online Chinese sources: download & screenshot them now, or risk permanent 404; 2) libraries abroad should prioritize purchases of physical sources, and not rely too much on online database access (see cnki recently)
China in a chart:
China Judgments Online has nearly completely wiped administrative proceeding verdicts (行政诉讼裁判文书) from its database.
Today, there are only 31 cases; none from the Supreme People's Court or top provincial courts
In 2019, there were 554,534.
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Teaching nationalism in my Chinese politics class tomorrow, very tempted to make this the cover photo for my slides
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Time for some Taiwan mid-term election postmortem. 6 observations: 1) Same fundamental from 2018 hold; KMT’s local machines remain strong, and DPP’s grassroots mobilization remain weak North of Tainan (me and
@FangYu_80168
wrote about this last time: )
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Wait until they rename my current postdoc the Din Tai Fung fellowship at ucla
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My partner has placed me here since I’m not presenting, not quite sure what she is implying
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Though a mere formality at this point, finally got the diploma. I think I’ve said all I wanted to say in terms of thanks (so just go check out the acknowledgment section of the dissertation), but shout out again to
@UofT_PolSci
for everything 1/4
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Grades finalized and submitted! 5 thoughts about teaching East Asian politics and some unexpected challenges in this undergrad poli sci seminar at UCLA:
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what a loss. Xiaohong was a true intellectual pioneer, spearheading a new generation of scholarship rethinking the study of revolutions and modern China. Like many others have said, he was above all else a truly generous person; during a state of desperation two years ago 1/2
We are deeply saddened to announce the passing of our esteemed faculty member Xiaohong Xu.
Xiaohong passed away on December 12 surrounded by family and friends. Our academic community mourns a great loss today. Read more about his lasting impact.
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Nathan was a joy to be around. We did the IR core seminar together
@UofT_PolSci
and debate was always lively. He had a passion for IR theory that was unrivaled and reminded us why we were in grad school in the first place. Will miss poker night and hangs at the GSU. RIP Dr. Sears
This is absolutely devastating news. Nathan was my predecessor as the Cadieux-Leger Fellow at
@GAC_Corporate
and a great colleague
@UofT_PolSci
. He was an emerging leader in policy research tools and methodologies and this is a huge loss for the scholarly and policy communities.
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Successful first session despite almost passing out from my pollen allergies after class. Excited to dig into
@JosephWongUT
@SlaterPolitics
‘s awesome book with students this quarter, and many thanks to
@MichaelRoss7
and UCLA poli sci for making this class possible!
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this set of surveys by Johnston et al adds to an interesting debate re: Pelosi's visit to Taiwan last year (see report here ). Some nuances to think about, a thread (thanks to
@lnachman32
for pointing out stuff to me): 1/7
“a majority of respondents believe that Pelosi’s visit was detrimental to Taiwan’s security” according to surveys in Taiwan by Johnston, Tsai, and Yin
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End of
@aasinasia
in Daegu this year. Observations: 1) social science needs more constructive engagement with interdisciplinary area studies; 2) emerging de-anthropocentric approaches in the humanities vs a call to re-humanize the social sciences; 3) my partner is really popular
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presenting this thurs at Boston's
@AASAsianStudies
with
@XiaoboLu1
@poscwty
@lnachman32
@NewlandSara
and Joe Fewsmith; I know the timing is terrible, but if you want some post-dinner entertainment...
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(it is in moments like these that I feel less like a social scientist, and more like a diviner looking at shards of oracle bones)
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Amid the Tsai/McCarthy hubbub, please mark your calendars for an online talk (April 26) hosted by the Asia Pacific Ctr
@UCLAINTL
&
@UWTaiwanStudies
.
@ChongJaIan
will present his latest work on Taiwan's public perception towards PRC coercion. Registration
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after the round of excellent 🧵s by
@ProfYangZhang
@wjhurst
@YanLong_SOC
on the dynamics of protest in China recently, I think it's time to consider the 🐘 in the room: what's the future of China's COVID policy? (inspired by
@onglynette
's excellent FP article - link later) 1/10
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Course survey for my politics of East Asia freshman seminar at UMN this year (class size of 16). I've been doing surveys like this since I was a TA for POL215 at Toronto, and I think it's the first time interest in China has exceeded that of Japan's
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it's that time of the year when I play this song for my students again
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Great to see
@onglynette
’s book talk in person at UC Irvine; glad to have played a small part in the project. Also found this really unexpected 屈原 statue on campus
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1) interest in the region is at an all time high for all the obv reasons, but plenty misconceptions (especially the idea that every little difference can be explained by ‘culture’) that I had to make my students work through - the number of times I had to throw my hands up…
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@brianhioe
it's simple. The swordfish is a visual embodiment of Taiwan, struggling but fighting against deep geopolitical currents; him standing on top of the fish symbolizes his prophetic role as the Moses of Taiwanese independence. him sitting on the left just means he's tired
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There is a general call for better understanding of TW viewpoints, which is valid and much needed. But there is still the 'known unknown' of CN's ultimate commitment towards reunification, and the 'unknown unknowns' of the future stage of superpower competition
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My former advisor
@onglynette
is looking for a postdoc to work with her at the University of Toronto. Candidates with a strong quantitative background, familiarity with Mandarin and Chinese politics required. Deadline is July 15; visa will be sponsored. See below for details!
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2. Recency bias: it’s hard to avoid the parallels between Ukraine and Taiwan. But there’s also a danger of underestimating CN abilities, overestimating TW defensive will, and using the same formula to estimate intl. audience costs based on recent events
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since I'm still grading I've yet to 'complete' the semester, but thanks to
@PoliSciUMN
for giving me the chance to reflect
(also, register for Chinese Politics POL 3473 next sem! we will watch documentaries! read sci fi! replay that gavin newsom basketball clip a million times!)
Dr. Kevin Luo
@kevinweiluo
has just completed his first semester as a faculty member at the University of Minnesota. He is an Assistant Professor of Comparative Politics, and a scholar of Chinese politics, as well as more broad East Asian politics.
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It’s great that many folks from around the world are paying to attention to this pivotal election in Taiwan, but less than 24 hours before the polls open I think there are 5 big questions we have yet to answer, or will be clarified once we have the actual electoral results: 1/8
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A different kind of publication alert: my insanely talented partner Dingru Huang recently won a short fiction prize from Taiwan's Unitas Magazine (聯合文學) with her story "Turkeys" (火雞). Enjoy! Link to the full story here:
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out of the many great suggestions I'm getting as a new faculty member, I have to highlight the best one so far: remember to eat lunch
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@wearytolove
greece is the most interesting case here, considering the amount of Chinese FDI that's been injected to port projects etc. too bad also we don't have complete data for SE Asia
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#MPSA2024
panel: State Building and War Making in East Asia (Sat 9:45-11:15, 7th fl Dearborn 3) with Hojung Joo,
@_NingHe
, Jingyuan Qian, chair
@Dali_Yang
and discussants Junyan Jiang / Joowon Yi. My paper is still a little rough, but the three other projects are extremely good!
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I am leaving damp and windy LA for bright and sunny Chicago??? What is this madness
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Excited for this next week!
Join us on Dec 1 for a presentation by
@kevinweiluo
on "Revolutionary Legacies and Redistribution."
@JunyanJiang
and
@Megan_A_Stewart
will serve as discussants. Abstract and Zoom link here:
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3. What is the red line: TW’s constitutional revision used to be it, but we now have multiple lines embedded within U.S.-China relations. Are future diplomatic engagements, much less arms sales, even feasible at this point? Or are the red lines more malleable than we think?
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Excellent article. Knowing Pan Yue's track record as a party theorist, I would even dare say that he wrote his 2002 dissertation entirely himself, which as Aaron argues should be viewed as an important indicator of ethnic governance under Xi
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the original Chinese version of this book really shaped how I thought about a lot of things in the dissertation - another item to add to the *incredibly long* reading list for winter
THE LOGIC OF GOVERNANCE IN CHINA
A sweeping analysis of the institutions and mechanisms of China's governance. Draws on a decade of fieldwork to offer a powerful explanation for diverse political phenomena.
October 2022
@CambridgeUP
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Will be in Ann Arbor this Thursday with
@NewlandSara
and
@chiaoning_su
talking about US-PRC-Taiwan relations!
Join us for a panel discussion next Thursday on "Why Taiwan Matters: U.S.-PRC-Taiwan Relations in 2024."
More info:
#Taiwan
#USChinaRelations
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I don't think Saul is that active on social media, but great to see his work on chengzhongcun out in print:
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1. Uncertainty about each side's resolve: whether CN netizens are a good indicator of elite preferences (given elites don’t have to be electorally accountable), or whether TW citizens’ actual resolve to fight (past survey data notwithstanding) is viewed as credible by all sides
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I agree with Cheng-yi to some extent, but to add context: DPP’s successful econ decoupling w China under Tsai decreased how often people are primed to feel about China everyday, and therefore paradoxically the China threat framing no longer works with the same intensity
One of the many problems is that ppl, esp young, getting tired of the "China threat" discourse. you can't ask ppl to be on the alert all the time. meanwhile, TW also has its domestic issues to deal with, which cannot be canceled or concealed by saying "CCP is coming to town."
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Fujian's modern political history is interesting in itself - trade port, frontline against imperial incursion, geo & cultural proximity with Taiwan, and now Xi's 'Fujian gang'. For a province that's only mostly known for its huge migration outflow today, this is remarkable 1/3
十几个省的书记，省长，常委都是福建人。这就是传说中的“团团伙伙”吗？
当习近平打击“团团伙伙”，目的就是只有他能大搞“团团伙伙”;
当习近平”反腐败“，那就是只有他的家族与亲信才能腐败，别人不行。
这个中国逻辑，同样适用于基层，比如说”打击走私“，“打击嫖娼”，实际就是执法人员可以，屁民不行
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I have a less pessimistic view about the China studies field. The call to think about "how to emerge critically richer" despite restrictions here is important. More comparative-historical and 'global China' research will benefit the field in the long run.
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Taught Japan today in my UCLA undergrad East Asia politics seminar; Japan studies is still king, based off of my pre-course survey...
@PhillipLipscy
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Impressions after the first month of postdoc-ing: if the final dissertation year is like running a seemingly never-ending marathon, the postdoc is like running sprints in multiple lanes and having to be everything everywhere all at once
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5) some final stream of unrelated thoughts: when you know too much about a topic it’s harder to course prep; paywalled news content hinders student learning outside the syllabus; senioritis is real. But all in all, learned tons, and excited to teach this again at Minnesota
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Non April’s fool related: I’ve been trying to wrap my head around this title, and cannot make sense of it. Can someone explain to me how this works grammatically?
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really appreciated this opportunity and tremendously thankful for the feedback. And a big shoutout to
@XiaoboLu1
and Yuhua for organizing this great online venue!
Thanks to
@kevinweiluo
for a fascinating presentation on revolutionary legacies and to
@JunyanJiang
and
@Megan_A_Stewart
for helpful comments. 48 people showed up -- a strong finish of CPRP in 2023!
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Don't want to criticize further this disaster of a NYT interview, but this just shows you can't really write a *pure* econ book about China these days.
金刻羽是伦敦政治经济学院教授，她的父亲金立群曾任中国财政部副部长，她即将出版新书《新的中国战略手册》，在这本书中，她试图重建西方与中国关系的基础。
她认为西方对中国如何看待全球竞争的理解存在严重缺陷。她在采访中分析了这些误解及其后果。
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terrific initiative from CSIS. I honestly have not seen much post-soviet comparisons from Chinese scholars these days, so the timing of this article is pretty interesting - conclusions of the author aside.
A prominent Sovietologist argues that the USSR fell in part due to the spread of Western values within the Communist Party of the Soviet Union’s ranks and the public. He urges the CCP to maintain control over ideology and prevent the West’s efforts to “infiltrate” China.
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First juicy lucy in town. Storing calories for the Minnesota cold
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I had the pleasure of reading an early book draft version of this. NPP is likely to lose its relevance in the coming years, but as a social science puzzle (why populist movements *don't* succeed long term) it's incredibly interesting
"Routine Problems: Movement Party Institutionalization and the Case of Taiwan's New Power Party" my newest peer-reviewed article is available now at
@SCID__journal
.
A brief 🧵on movement parties, challenges they face, and Taiwan's NPP:
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I honestly have no idea how this changes the debate over whether U.S. politicians should continue to visit Taiwan. But I think the simple lesson here is that partisan divides over the China issue is deeply ingrained in Taiwan domestically, with or without U.S. involvement. 7/7
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Last day in Daegu: saw the original site where Samsung was founded as a trading company under colonial rule, then headed to Seomun market, which has some interesting ties to Korean politics. Ended with a nice bowl of kalguksu (unfortunately not the one endorsed by President Yoon)
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why is this man reading my thoughts
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Happy to be part of a great conference at Houston this weekend hosted by
@yeh2sctw
on US-China-Taiwan relations, where I talked about Taiwan’s democratization in the context of relations with the United States and the PRC
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Found some time out of our busy schedules in Taiwan and went up to Beitou for some hot springs R&R. Had a good laugh when I found out that on one single road in less than 200 meters, there was 1) a tearoom/museum that was a colonial era onsen house; 2) restaurant that used to be
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Ditching
#AAS2024
for an incredible time at the Wing Luke museum in Seattle’s Chinatown. Thanks to Don for an entertaining tour! (Also, Soundgarden makes a surprising appearance)
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Just a reminder! 5pm Wednesday pacific time, 8am Thursday taiwan time.
@ChongJaIan
@jamestwotree
(note: poster courtesy of the good people at UW)
Amid the Tsai/McCarthy hubbub, please mark your calendars for an online talk (April 26) hosted by the Asia Pacific Ctr
@UCLAINTL
&
@UWTaiwanStudies
.
@ChongJaIan
will present his latest work on Taiwan's public perception towards PRC coercion. Registration
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Enjoying the book so far, but I got to this page and immediately thought I was reading a description of Chinese politics…
Beth Lew-Williams, “The Chinese Must Go: Violence, Exclusion, and the Making of the Alien in America,” p.55
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Back to Chicago for
#MPSA2023
, and looking forward to be a part of this fascinating panel (Friday 11:30 Madison room). Also in town until Sunday, if anyone wants to hang - I might go catch a white sox game Sunday afternoon
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Not *particularly* racist, but was going through O’Hare once and had a border agent (who I suspected was Native American) ask: “what the hell were your parents doing in Oklahoma?” (I’m born there). Being very jetlagged, I uhhhed for a few seconds and said “being pregnant”
You ever had a racist experience but it was funny tho
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Hello Toronto old friend, I’ve come back to say goodbye (again)
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I know Taiwan just had its spy balloon moment, but here's a more grounded view of the upcoming elections. Thanks to the Guardian for reaching out for comment.
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I have a true love/hate relationship with the liberal arts, especially the humanities. As part of the curriculum it always felt the most out of touch to me; which is crazy given that all the humanities people I came to know (e.g. my partner) were often the most insightful 1/5
For a decade, humanities enrollment has plummeted. What’s going on? In this week’s
@NewYorker
, I report at two campuses—ASU and Harvard—and ask “what it might mean to graduate a college generation with less education in the human past” than any before.
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James is always the king of poster designs
Pleased with how the poster design turned out for this event, here is the paper version in 3D posted around campus
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Contextualizing the recent legislative crisis (?) in Taiwan among all third wave democracies, using VDem’s legislative constraints on the executive index. Also color coded with regime types prior to democratization. Taiwan is in the upper right quadrant.
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Two phds in the household and we can’t keep a basil plant alive
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… and ask “now what do you mean when you say culture” in exasperation is a bit too much. But for students this is a convenient model to understand the world, and I can see why falling back to cultural stereotypes can be appealing.
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A much more detailed and transparent plan on how APSA 2023 would proceed. I still have my doubts as to whether anyone can actually get a hotel room on labor day weekend though.
Visit the planning Area (FAQs) for latest details on 2023 APSA Annual Meeting & Exhibition...more to come...
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again, couldn't have done this without the support of my committee
@onglynette
@LucanWay
@SevaUT
, friends and colleagues at
@UofT_PolSci
, and the UCLA Asia Pacific center for giving me all the flexibility I needed to focus on the job market this year 2/4
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Hope we will get the chance to talk about all of this with
@ChongJaIan
(April 26)! See link for details:
Amid the Tsai/McCarthy hubbub, please mark your calendars for an online talk (April 26) hosted by the Asia Pacific Ctr
@UCLAINTL
&
@UWTaiwanStudies
.
@ChongJaIan
will present his latest work on Taiwan's public perception towards PRC coercion. Registration
0
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3) though many good poli sci pieces were on the syllabus, the top two picks of the class were actually by sociologists (Lee and Zhang’s 2013 Bargained Authoritarianism piece on AJS, and Hwa-Jen Liu’s vastly underrated 2015 book on environment & labor protests in SK and Taiwan) …
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First night back in Toronto/Canada in two years! Pictured: smoked brisket poutine
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Big congrats to
@jaepark0615
for getting this out! I still remember the lively discussion at Massey college a few years ago. Great work coming out of the conflict studies crowd at
@UofT_PolSci
I'm very happy to share "Living in Yesterday’s Terror: The Impact of Civil War Violence on the Post-War Election in South Korea" available online in Terrorism and Political Violence. A quick 🧵of highlights:
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Went to the polls in suburb-ish Tainan early morning and still have no idea re: turnout. Word on the street is that it’s going to be high (weather is great), but I just don’t know. Anything above 70% would be incredible
It’s great that many folks from around the world are paying to attention to this pivotal election in Taiwan, but less than 24 hours before the polls open I think there are 5 big questions we have yet to answer, or will be clarified once we have the actual electoral results: 1/8
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However, if we look closer we can see that there are stark partisan divides. In addition, partisan distribution in the 2nd wave is a lot different than the 1st, so in agg. we have more KMT/TPP and less independent voter representation (correspondence with one of the authors) 4/7
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Congratulations to
@adam_e_casey
! If you are interested in military aid, external support of autocrats, and Cold War history, this is a must read book.
It is such an honor to receive this praise from
@SheenaGreitens
, whose work I greatly admire and continue to learn so much from, and whose comments at the book workshop at
@umichWCED
strengthened the final product so much
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Happy 2024! To start off the year I will be in Hong Kong (Jan 3-8) for this great seminar at CUHK, then will be in Taiwan (Jan 8-13) for family and election watching - do get in touch if you are around!
After a long delay due to COVID19, the Graduate Seminar on China is finally resuming in January 2024!
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Just in time for my seminar session on China this quarter! Of course the dataset is itself a great contribution, but
@onglynette
presents key insights here that will set the future debate on ZCP - especially on the viability and endurance of the outsourcing repression model
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6) common refrain is to not treat this result as TW electorate's rejection of DPP's China policy. But there will be some unintended consequences: pan-blue mayors are likely to play critical roles in pushing for engagement, particularly if China reopens (though maybe big if atm)
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one of the things I learned from Esherick's new book on Shaan-Gan-Ning (Accidental Holy Land) is that Mao never once returned to the region after 49. funny how Xi & co keep going back
1/Wang Huning presides over 80th anniversary event for 1943 Yan'an "Double-Supporting" movement (延安双拥运动) - which focused on strengthening bonds between army & peasants.
Vice chair of central military commission, He Weidong, also spoke at the event.
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the official reception (or lack thereof) is kind of interesting. there were rumors that vice premier 丁薛祥 was going to be at the airport waiting for Ma, but in the end only a lower-ranked 副部级 official from the Taiwan office came.
Former
#Taiwan
leader Ma Ying-jeou (#馬英九) arrived at Shanghai on Monday. He plans to pay respects to his ancestors ahead of the Qingming Festival. In the meantime, he will lead a group of Taiwan students who will come to the mainland for communication & exchanges.
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What I suspect is going on here (huge caveat - I am not a public opinion expert) is that people were initially hopeful for positive outcomes in August 2022 -> then media frenzy by Sep led to widespread anxieties -> then by Jan 2023 clear partisan lines were drawn by leaders 6/7
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filing under a growing list of impressive TW-SK comparative work
Is
#democracy
backsliding in
#Asia
?
In a new article
@cps_journal
,
@AndrewIYeo
& I argue: No, actually.
What look like signs of democratic regress are part of a distinct & less obvious--but no less important--phenomenon we call democratic ceilings.🧵/1
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… which I think suggests that students gravitate more towards ethnographic accounts that ‘feel’ authentic. (I might have to think twice about having a survey experiment paper in a future version of the syllabus)
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