Idea Hive
@ideahive
Followers
56K
Following
4K
Media
860
Statuses
5K
Sharing new actionable investment ideas. Focused on micro-caps & overlooked stocks. Check out my blog here: https://t.co/ZptZfOvElj
Joined August 2020
Interesting thrift play with Stillwell involved 👇 I believe he’s also involved with $LSBK, worth checking that one out too.
Thrift conversion play heating up: Stillwell (5%) just filed a 13D on $CLST. Stock trades ~0.7x TBV, past its 3-yr lockup, and led by a team with a history of selling post-conversion thrifts. With Stillwell in the mix, both sale and turnaround angles look compelling👇
1
0
3
They'll literally try anything to pump the stock market, as long as it does nothing to help Main Street...
.@SecScottBessent on the new Trump Accounts: "Every child born retroactively to January 1, 2025 — but for the next three years — is going to get a $1,000 account that's going to be invested in the U.S. stock market. That's another $1,000 for working families."
50
56
540
The Trump Elf, your Christmas companion Place this Trump Elf throughout your house Limited run for the 2025 holiday season
55
107
900
Multi-baggers come from EPS growth + multiple expansion which means you sometimes have to invest before it is consensus safe. The thesis might have as many question marks as periods but the broad strokes check out. You buy a little and aren't afraid to average up/or sell out with
14
37
370
Great Q3 letter from @HorizonKinetics is out. Covers several interesting topics, including the impact of indexation and passive investing in today’s market. Full letter: https://t.co/00EONU2xku
4
14
157
👇
$EVC top holding now. This price makes absolutely no sense to me. 7.5% dividend to own an adtech segment with a venture capital growth rate and a media segment that likely generates record profits next year given the political climate going into midterms. And both segments
0
0
1
👇
Unusual bidding war with $EM - After months of wrangling, mgmt signed a definitive at $1.25/ADS - Two weeks later, the 2nd largest investor topped it with a $1.77/shr offer - Management matching the bid looks increasingly likely - Asymmetric setup with a 3-to-1 risk/reward.
0
0
1
According to Li Lu, not everyone is naturally wired to be an investor. The traits he feels the great ones have: • Independent • Objective • Unemotional • Decisive • Patient • Intensely interested in business
10
90
441
The main fear in $WW was that clinical growth was just driven by compounding. But if you compare to the rate of decline in Q2 as they rolled off, clinical is accelerating again. My math from last quarter:
2
3
20
Interesting setup here👇
This is yet another MBO with asymmetric risk/reward. - Low-ball initial offer before $FORA starts to inflect - Likely raise after special committee review - Minimal downside with plenty of room for a meaningful bump - Mgmt bought shares well above the offer earlier this year👇
0
0
3
New Article In 1989, Jack Schwager profiled Ed Seykota in the original “Market Wizards”. Seykota is widely regarded as one of the best traders ever. He quietly built one of the first computerized trading systems, then let math and discipline do the work. The results were
microcapclub.com
The perils of imitation and the discipline of making your own path
6
19
133
Not a good sign I would say
1/5 JP Morgan has identified 41 AI-related stocks, 8% of the S&P 500. These stocks now account for 47% of the Index's market capitalization, a new record. The other 459 stocks, 92% of the S&P 500, are 53% of the Index's market capitalization.
1
0
9
$LVMH CEO, Bernard Arnault, on Champagne vs. the iPhone. "In 50 years, will the iPhone still be used? Or the people making it today, will they have found what will be at the cutting edge at that time? But I believe - that in 50 years - we'll still be drinking Dom PĂ©rignon".
24
74
829
Interesting pitch on $GRND 👇
$GRND is yet another privatization case on my radar, and quite a unique one. Two of the largest shareholders, holding a combined 64% stake, pledged most of their shares to lenders and are now facing margin calls. As a result, GRND is down nearly 50% since mid-summer despite
1
1
6
$IMAX $1970hk Logic quickly being validated. This is an incredible business worth paying up for as it captures a wildly disproportionate share of value in the industry: - 50% EBITDA margin, >20% profit margin; - IMAX box office +29% domestically and 50% globally notwithstanding
$IMAX $1970hk. Emerging logic of the cinema ecosystem: - Studios, faced with immense competition for eyeballs, need hyped theatrical releases, and therefore movie theatres, to turn profits; - Movie theatres, in turn, need IMAX to drive attendance; - Ergo, IMAX is the
3
3
35
Quick thesis on Jet2 (JET2.L): Stock has declined 14% YTD, despite the company performing above my expectations. It now trades on 6.5x P/E for a travel business that has net cash, double-digit growth prospects, and the best competitive position and management team in the
6
8
44
🎥 What on earth are rare earths? Why do they matter so much? Why do they nearly all come from China? And how worried should we be about the latest chapter in the trade war? These and more questions answered in my latest primer👇
86
398
1K
Human psychology and crowd behavior are always fascinating. 10x more people will like a stock after it doubles. In many instances the business isn't better but price always leads/creates narrative. Everyone believes the business is better because the stock is higher.
18
23
204
Warren Buffett thinks Henry Singleton must be studied in every business school. Here's a fantastic Forbes article from 1979 that shows exactly why: 🧵[1/6]
2
2
38