Ian Cassel
@iancassel
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Christian | MicroCap Investor 📈 | Founder @MicroCapClub & CIO @IntelligentCM
Pennsylvania
Joined May 2009
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We are only getting started.
Since 2011, our members have profiled 1000 microcap companies, 180 have been acquired, 200+ have been multi-baggers.
87% of all global equities that went up 1000%+ over the last 10 years were microcaps.
Let’s find them.
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10% of successful investing is finding a great investment. The other 90% is not selling them.
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The longer I invest the more I realize you get 1-2 really great opportunities every few years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities while you wait.
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“People will go $100,000+ in debt for college but won’t invest $5,000 in a stock because it’s too ‘risky’. "
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@SJosephBurns
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Been waiting years to tweet this..
“In bear markets, stocks return to their rightful owners.”
- J.P. Morgan
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The longer I invest the more I realize you get 1-2 really great opportunities every few years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities while you wait.
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Selling for quick 5-10% gains can give you a good income but holding for 500-1,000%+ gains is how you build wealth.
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In 1948, Ben Graham broke his rules and put 20% of his firms capital to work buying 50% of GEICO. By 1972, it was a 562 bagger, returning more to his partners than all his other investments combined. You only need to find one great company early to change your life.
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The worst part of bull markets is the rise of inexperienced people educating other inexperienced people.
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Bull Market - Financial Independence
Bear Market - I love my job
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Sam Walton at age 44 opened his first Wal-Mart. Ray Kroc took over McDonald’s at age 52. Colonel Sanders first franchised his secret recipe, “Kentucky Fried Chicken” at age 62. It’s never too late to get started. Your story isn’t finished yet. Make the next chapter a great one.
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"The best investors in the world have more of an edge in psychology than in finance."
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@morganhousel
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10% of successful stock picking is picking great stocks. The other 90% is not selling them.
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Warren Buffett ran into a 76-year-old man with a 24-year-old wife and asked him how, at his age, he could get such a young, beautiful girl to marry him …. The fellow replied, “I lied about my age … I told her I was 86!”
– Berkshire Hathaway annual report.
H/T Buzz Heidtke
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“People will go $100,000+ in debt for college but won’t invest $5,000 in a stock because it’s too ‘risky’. 🤷🏻♂️”
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@SJosephBurns
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Bull Markets - Financial Independence
Bear Markets - I love my job
😆🤣
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“Spending money to show people how much money you have is the fastest way to have less money.”
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@morganhousel
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Buffett owned 5-10 stocks at a time, Fisher owned 30, Schloss owned 100, Lynch owned 1,000 stocks at a time. They all beat the market. You don't have to follow anyone. You can do it your own way.
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Investing is 5% intellect and 95% temperament. It's a test of how well you can sit quietly when your emotions are screaming at you to do the wrong thing.
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Selling for quick 5-10% gains can give you a good income but holding for 100-500-1,000%+ gains is how you build wealth.
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“Unless you buy a stock at the exact bottom (which is next to impossible), you will be down at some point after you make every investment. Your success entirely depends on how dispassionate you are towards short term stock price fluctuations.”
– Joel Greenblatt
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"Unless you buy a stock at the exact bottom (which is next to impossible), you will be down at some point after you make every investment. Your success entirely depends on how dispassionate you are towards short term stock price fluctuations. Behavior matters." – Joel Greenblatt
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Discipline is when your long-term goals change your short-term behavior.
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A big mistake investors make is feeling they should always be buying/selling something. 99% of successful investing is learning, thinking, and waiting.
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The longer I invest the more I realize you get 1-2 really great opportunities every few years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities while you wait.
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What you do over the next few months will likely decide the next 5-10 years of returns. Everyone looks back and wants a shot at buying in 2008-09. You might get it now. Do you have the stomach for it?
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Investing is 5% intellect and 95% temperament. It's a test of how well you can sit quietly when your emotions are screaming at you to do the wrong thing.
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Successful investing is hard work because it means disciplining your mind to do the opposite of human nature. Buying during a panic, selling during euphoria, and holding on when you are bored and crave action.
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Buffett owned 5-10 stocks at a time, Fisher owned 30, Schloss owned 100, Lynch owned 1,000 stocks at a time. They all beat the market. You don't have to follow anyone. You can do it your own way.
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This was a year in the markets when most of us looked smarter than we are
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All it takes is one big winner to change your life. Find it before others, know it better than others, and hold it longer than others. When diligence, skill, and luck collide. One time.
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"You'll never be criticized by someone who is doing more than you. You'll always be criticized by someone doing less. Remember that."
- Denzel Washington
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18 years ago - mentor picks me up from airport. We go to a Casino. We play craps, took out a $10k marker. Table was empty. He started winning and the table got full. He looked at me and said, "Whether it's stocks, craps, business, life, people are attracted to winners."
What is the best advice your trading mentor ever gave you?
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If you want superior returns, find an inefficient, illiquid, under-appreciated market, and work everyday to be one of the best investors in that market. You can live a comfortable life fishing the same small pond because you know where the fish are.
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Me talking to my daughter - "Daddy will help you."
Me talking to my son - "Life is hard. Figure it out boy."
🤷♂️😆
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Back in 2014 I spoke to a class of undergrads and afterword penned this for a student. Still in my notes.
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We give our children everything we can so they don’t have the hardships that we had and then we complain when they don’t value and appreciate what we appreciate. When in reality it was the scarcity and struggle in our lives that drove us to be who we are today.
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All you need is a few big winners during your lifetime to beat the market. Everyone will say you got lucky, but everyone else didn’t have the courage to find them, buy them, and hold them. In the end luck has very little to do with it.
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Permabears make money from newsletters and speaking fees, not from being right.
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There are a bunch of stocks that will 10x over the next 5 years that are waiting to be found. When you find one they will say you are wrong. When you hold one they will say you are stupid. When you get rich they will say you got lucky. You love being wrong, stupid, and lucky😝
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It's hard to watch other investors make a lot of money on things you don't value. But when someone realizes a big win in the portfolio, congratulate them and help them celebrate their victory. Investing is hard. Your time will come.
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Don't invest where the institutions are, invest where they are going to go.
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A great sign of investment maturity is when you can buy a stock at a higher price that you passed on at a lower price.
Sometimes a stock is a better buy at a higher price than it was at a lower price. It needed time to mature and develop from a speculation to an investment.
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You don't need another computer, another screen, a faster internet connection, a stock tip, or anything that replaces thinking. You have all you need between your ears. Develop it.
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Stop trying to pick the bottom. You just have to buy a little as it drops and not worry about looking wrong in the short-term. You’ll be right in the long-term.
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The greatest trick the market plays on beginners is making you think luck is skill. It waits for you to double or triple down on your next bet and then it teaches you your first lesson.
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The longer I invest the more I realize you get 1-2 really great opportunities every few years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities while you wait.
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My favorite Charlie Munger quote:
“The goal of investment is to find situations where it is safe not to diversify.”
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10% of successful stock picking is picking great stocks. The other 90% is not selling them.
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I recently passed on a stock at $1 but ended up buying it at $10 before it moved to $20. I would have never been able to do that 10 years ago. It takes an incredible amount of discipline and maturity to look at an old idea through fresh eyes, especially after it has risen.
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Your best investments are the ones no one agrees with you on until after they go up 100-200-500%
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Many in finance like to sound smart by making things complex. These people usually work for other people. Successful people simplify things.
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"It’s very hard to go bankrupt when you don’t have any debt"
- Peter Lynch
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The longer I invest the more I realize you get 1-2 really great opportunities every few years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities.
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You can borrow someone else’s stock ideas but you can’t borrow their conviction.
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All you need is a few big winners during your lifetime to beat the market. Everyone else will try to undermine you by saying you got lucky. But everyone else didn’t have the courage/discipline to find them, buy them, and hold them. You make the big $$ by focusing and being right.
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Selling for quick 5-10% gains can give you a good income but holding for 100-500-1000%+ gains is how you build wealth.
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Don't be lazy if you invest in small stocks. You can’t say “I’m going to hold this stock for 10+ years”. No, you are going to hold it as long as management executes. This could be 3 months or 30 years. Most companies only deserve to be rented. Ownership is earned.
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If you want a stock you own to go down, mention it to a friend or family member 😂
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You will buy stocks you shouldn’t. You will sell winners too soon. You will hold losers too long. But whatever you do don’t blame others. When you blame others for your investing mistakes it proves you didn’t do enough of your own work. Own your mistakes so you learn from them.
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Stop wasting time watching stocks that go up that you would never buy at any price.
As Howard Marks says, “To be a disciplined investor you have to be willing to stand by and watch other people make money on things that you passed on”.
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One of the hardest parts of investing is when you believe in the long-term thesis, but you know the stock might go nowhere for a few quarters while the fundamentals are backfilling into an elevated stock price. Holding dead money is excruciating but necessary for big gains.
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All you need is a few big winners during your lifetime to beat the market. Everyone will say you got lucky, but everyone else didn’t have the skill to find them, the courage to buy them, or the conviction to hold them. In the end luck has very little to do with it. Get after it.
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The goal of investment is to buy the things everyone else will want to own later.
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The worst part of bull markets is the rise of inexperienced people educating other inexperienced people.
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One of my mentors is a very successful private investor. He works his day job not because he has to but because he likes it. What most don’t know about him is he has grown his portfolio from $100,000 to over $90 million over 20 years. All by concentrating in micro/smallcaps.
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Investing is 5% intellect and 95% temperament. It's a test of how well you can sit quietly and do nothing when your emotions are screaming at you to do the wrong thing.
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Small public companies are first discovered by smart retail, then by small institutions, then by large institutions, and then finally by dumb retail.
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Good advice
"It’s very hard to go bankrupt when you don’t have any debt"
- Peter Lynch
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Thirty years ago the best investors had the biggest funnels of information. Today the best investors have the best filters of information. Filter out the noise and find the signal.
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Don’t bother finding the next multi-bagger if you aren’t going to develop the conviction to hold it.
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The opportunity in small stocks (microcaps) exists because institutions can’t own them until they go up. It is the savvy retail investor’s duty to find them and collect the reward for doing so.
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“The goal of investment is to find situations where it is safe not to diversify.”
– Charlie Munger
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“To be a disciplined investor you have to be willing to stand by and watch other people make money on things that you passed on”
– Howard Marks
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You get 1-2 great investment opportunities every couple years. The rest of the time is spent wondering if you will ever get another great opportunity again and convincing yourself to own mediocre opportunities while you wait. Don't rationalize your way into mediocre investments.
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Nothing tests your conviction like falling stock prices. Conviction isn’t proven on the mountaintop, it’s proven in the valley.
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Bull Market: Financial Independence
Bear Market: I love my job
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All you need is a few big winners during your lifetime to beat the market. Everyone else will say you got lucky, but everyone else didn’t have the courage and discipline to find them, buy them, and hold them.
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“The best way to teach your kids about taxes is by eating 30% of their ice cream.”
– Bill Murray
H/T
@SJosephBurns
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Not a bad week 🤷♂️
S&P -1.3%
4.4 million filed for jobless benefits, total 26.5 million
Existing home sales -8.5%
New Home sales -15.4%
Oil dropped below zero
Consumer spending -25%
New auto sales -32%
Retail sales -8.7% in March
US Airport volume down 95.8%
@WSJ
H/T Buzzbits
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The greatest trick the market plays on beginners is making you think luck is skill. It waits for you to double or triple down on your next bet and then it teaches you your first lesson.
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Robert Wilson, was a legendary investor, who turned $15,000 into $800 million over his 40 year career, used to call himself a "long-term trader". He would sell positions after a few days, or after a decade. He just rode them as long as they were winning.
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Perma bears make money from speaking fees, books, and newsletters. Not from being right.
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“People will go $100,000+ in debt for college but won’t invest $5,000 in a stock because it’s too ‘risky’.”
-
@SJosephBurns
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