Bashir Ali Abbas
@BashirAliAbbas
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Research Associate @CSDR_India | South Asia Visiting Fellow @StimsonCenter | Columnist at @htTweets Premium on Middle East | Track 2/Defense&Security/Bad puns
Bengaluru, India
Joined June 2014
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Pinned Tweet
In this piece for
@Diplomat_APAC
,
@bantirani_patro
and I show that 🇺🇸 policy in 🇧🇩 bears inconsistencies.
- it engaged freely with the brutal
#RAB
in the past
- it uses gentler language wrt
#Pakistan
on the same issue
- it overlooked
#Hasina
's actions whenever convenient
The U.S. avowed commitment to democracy is consistent, but its actions – toward Bangladesh and others – have not been.
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For about 6 years,
@newslaundry
has acted as a media watchdog, reminding us all of journalism's first principles. Today is arguably the show's finest hour - tragically brought about during
#Manipur
's darkest, & TV media's horrific apathy.
History will remember. Hopefully.
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The 1999 Lahore MoU was widely quoted after an Indian missile misfired, landing in Pakistan. But how have its provisions for confidence building held up? I review the document in
@Diplomat_APAC
I also thank
@manpreetsethi01
for her invaluable insights.
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Delighted to announce that I am a
#SouthAsia
Visiting Fellow at the
@StimsonCenter
for 2024. With more than half the world going to polls, couldn't be a better to time to watch South Asia!
Special thanks to
@HappymonJacob
for his constant encouragement.
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@HappymonJacob
has always prioritised reading more (classic texts in particular) in every advising-a-young-researcher interaction we have had. This list is invaluable.
International politics is on fire these days. But sometimes the complexities of international politics may seem a bit out of reach for many folks. So try these 10 steps to make sense of international politics!
1. Start with some good films like "The Imitation Game" (2014),
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"The relationship between Pakistan's President, PM, &
#COAS
, impairs its political system. This system is distinct from its political character", I write for
@orfonline
as
#asimmunir
takes charge of the
#PakistanArmy
Read here-
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In our piece for
@orfonline
,
@SidharthRaimed1
and I argue that the
#theaterisation
project needs to focus on joint assessments of how air power is to be deployed in theatre commands, without compromising either the
#Army
or
#IAF
's interests.
Read -
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"Despite raw UN voting data revealing that India has generally straddled the middle line, such data needs to be qualified with context as not all resolutions pertained to events of equal significance," I argue in
@9DashLine
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Was a pleasure being at SIS and engaging
@jnu_ir
on all things Indian Foreign Policy!
We had a thrilling session on the state of the Indo-US ties, the Sino-Indian strategic dynamics, India's engagement with the Third World, etc, based on the
@CSDR_India
report. Thanks to the think-tank wonks for engaging with our critical interventions! 🍂🍁
@HappymonJacob
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Today, the
#IndianAirForce
released the technical details of the March 2022
#BrahMos
mis-fire into
#Pakistan
.
Writing for
@SAVoices
two years to the accident, I make three key points on why an Indo-Pak agreement on cruise missiles has not been forthcoming.
1/n
ICYMI: "The lack of incentive to create a CBM is driven by a perception that there is insufficient necessity for institutionalized change and escalation through conventional weapons is dubious," writes
@BashirAliAbbas
.
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Delighted to have been selected for
@TakshashilaInst
's Network for Advanced Study of Pakistan (NASP) as a Fellow, along with
@SiddhantIND
and Dr Sidharth Raimedhi. Great initiative by
@pranaykotas
and team; interesting time to be studying
#Pakistan
.
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Read my latest column for
@htTweets
Premium on the recent
#Iran
-
#Pakistan
exchange. As both states now resume diplomatic ties, what was this whole thing even about?
Link-
@johnstanly
@KabirTaneja
@HappymonJacob
@sranjan46809
@PaliwalAvi
@angshuman_ch
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@Chellaney
Does the issue of cross-border terror meet the threshold set for "fundamental change in circumstances" outlined in Article 62 of the 1969 Vienna Convention, for the IWT? If yes, how? Genuinely curious.
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@johnstanly
This is exactly what
@bantirani_patro
and I highlight in this article- we add that besides the comparison with Pak, look at how the US has reacted in past Bangladesh elections itself - reconciling after initial rebukes to Hasina.
Would love your thoughts
@johnstanly
!
The U.S. avowed commitment to democracy is consistent, but its actions – toward Bangladesh and others – have not been.
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In my latest column for
@htTweets
, I point to the shift in naval theatres from the
#PersianGulf
to the
#RedSea
. Between the two of them, in a pincer,
#MiddleEast
geopolitics is changing. Read here👇🏽
#Opinion
| Between the Gulf and the Sea, a changing geopolitical scenario
Red Sea is the eye of the storm today, with its winds changing West Asian international relations for actors both within and outside the region, writes
@BashirAliAbbas
#HTPremium
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In the upcoming edition of
@Frontline
, I profile
#Hezbollah
of
#Lebanon
& explain their reluctance to join the war in
#Gaza
. I measure the group's present situation against its history, to explain its priorities.
@vaishnaroy
@HappymonJacob
@suhasinih
@angshuman_ch
@vrsrini
Even as
#Hezbollah
is the world’s largest (technically) non-state militia with a growing arsenal of sophisticated rockets, it cannot engage in a 2006-esque war in
#Gaza
without severely jeopardising its internal position.
@BashirAliAbbas
writes.
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@JanusBlinked
Tonight, we debate. Reports are coming in of forceful conversions. Victims allegedly being forced to say
"Mujhe Musalman bana na"
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Amidst the
#MiddleEast
’s widening conflict, a range of militias have come into focus - from Lebanon’s
#Hezbollah
to Yemen’s
#Houthis
. Connecting them all is
#Iran
’s IRGC Quds Force, with varying ties to each. I profile them here for
@frontline_india
.
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The
#Gaza
war complicates the future of 🇮🇷🇸🇦 rapprochement. Both must build enough stakes in their bilateral relationship with cross-sectoral cooperation. Remember that 🇮🇷 remained an outlier in the Gulf-Israel normalization trend, so what happens after the war? Read my latest👇
#HTAnalysis
| "March 10 marked one year since
#Iran
and Saudi Arabia entered into a Beijing-brokered reconciliation. Now the
#GazaWar
presents new opportunities and challenges," writes
@BashirAliAbbas
#HTPremium
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Read the full piece here -
@frank11285
@MichaelKugelman
@PaliwalAvi
@clary_co
@LtGenHooda
@Chopsyturvey
@manpreetsethi01
@Rabs_AA
@nilanthis
@StimsonCenter
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Note the complete absence of
#Arab
states - not even
#Bahrain
which was the sole Arab state to earlier join Washington’s Op Prosperity Guardian against the Iran-backed Houthis in the Red Sea.
48 countries that have signed a joint statement condemning Iran's attack on Israel:
🇦🇱 Albania
🇦🇷 Argentina
🇦🇺 Australia
🇦🇹 Austria
🇧🇪 Belgium
🇧🇬 Bulgaria
🇨🇦 Canada
🇭🇷 Croatia
🇨🇾 Cyprus
🇨🇿 Czechia
🇩🇰 Denmark
🇪🇨 Ecuador
🇪🇪 Estonia
🇫🇮 Finland
🇫🇷 France
🇩🇪 Germany
🇬🇷 Greece
🇭🇺
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@johnstanly
All these drones are likely to be shot down. Do you expect these to be paired with missile strikes or are they likely the main thrust of Iran’s response - a spectacle but with limited escalatory potential, especially given how much time Iran gave to both 🇮🇱&🇺🇸 to prepare?
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In my column this week, I write on the
#ICJ
's provisional measures in
#SouthAfrica
v
#Israel
. I reason that the judgement effectively puts a timeline on how quick and how well
#Arab
states and
#Israel
can resolve the larger question of
#Palestine
. Do read!
#HTAnalysis
| Eye on the Middle East | ICJ interim order is a signal for Israel to find a resolution, bring peace in the region
✍️
@BashirAliAbbas
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India's minimal relations with
#Pakistan
presently works. But 🇮🇳 should eventually engage 🇵🇰, I write for
@Diplomat_APAC
The key qualifiers being:
- Current structural strains in 🇵🇰 continue
- 🇵🇰's calls for dialogue with 🇮🇳 continue
- Elections are successfully held in 🇵🇰
India can use its advantage to extract enduring political gains from Islamabad.
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Delighted to have a contributed to this report with my colleagues at
@CSDR_India
with
@HappymonJacob
’s invaluable guidance. It’s been a labour of love for all of us. Please register!
🚨
@CSDR_India
is pleased to announce the launch event of our report "Power and Purpose: Indian Foreign Policy 2023" on 31 Jan, 17:30 - 19:30 hrs IST at India Habitat Centre, New Delhi.
Come join us for a panel discussion that builds on the report and looks at challenges for
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Read the latest for my column for
@htTweets
on the
#Raisi
crash:
👉 Raisi's presidency was a troubled one, despite his hard-line image
👉His abrupt death opens new questions for the Supreme Leader's succession
I quote
@SanamVakil
's excellent 2021 piece for
@AtlanticCouncil
#HTAnalysis
| Besides the death of #
#EbrahimRaisi
, foreign minister
#HosseinAbdollahian
’s death takes out another skilled diplomat well-seasoned in engaging key neighbours
✍️
@BashirAliAbbas
#HTPremium
#Iran
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An excellent take on the
#Kerman
attack, by
@johnstanly
I visited the
#Khomeini
mausoleum right after ISIS' 2017 attacks, and saw
#Iranian
security in a frenzy. The Kerman attacks are fiercer, amidst a widening war in
#WestAsia
🇮🇷's choices shall be interesting to watch.
Here's the most recent explainer on why the Islamic State carried out bomb attacks inside Iran.
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I don't quite know of many podcasts where Chekhov's gun is alluded to without changing a chord, during a ramble on Indian politics and economics. Simply terrific.
@amitvarma
also makes a convincing argument for newsletters and I think I'm sold.
India is complex. We need many frames of reference to even begin to make sense of it.
One of my favourite public intellectuals, Raghu Sanjaylal Jaitley, joins me in episode 214 of The Seen and the Unseen to talk politics, economics, culture & Dilip Kumar:
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As 🇮🇳 votes in favour of
#Palestine
again - the only right thing to do - I plug my piece for
@htTweets
on how 🇮🇳 has always voted on
#Palestinian
rights at the
#UN
- Never no, rarely an abstention, almost always a yes!
Vajpayee’s 1977 spirit carries!
"...India is committed to supporting a Two-State solution where the Palestinian people are able to live freely in an independent country within secure borders, with due regard to the security needs of Israel..."
- PR at
#UNGA
Meeting on Gaza today
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@johnstanly
All 3 carry great costs, 1 risks heating up old Gulf theatre even as Red Sea burns (further disrupting trade as IRGC boats love to threaten S.of.Hormuz). 2&3 yield limited gains as PMF has shown enough ability to operate without key central figures. Wonder where WH will go.
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"If the nods to peace made by the Pak army chief are continued by his successor, then it would be in India’s interest to portray itself as willing to re-engage. Rawalpindi's overtures carry authoritative value", I argue for
@Diplomat_APAC
Read here -
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An excellent opportunity for early career researchers, especially given the dearth of
#Fellowships
of this kind, both based in and focused on
#SouthAsia
.
Kudos to
@CSDR_India
and
@FESonline
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"By raising the age limit & permanent retention quota to 50%, the govt can ensure the armed forces' operational readiness & achieve a balanced mix of youthful enthusiasm & experience," argues
@SiddhantIND
to better the
#Agnipath
track's effectiveness.
✍️✍️✍️ My latest, in the
@IndianExpress
on the Agnipath Scheme
I argue it overlooks operational preparedness and narrowly focuses on reducing personnel costs. Govt. increasing the permanent retention quota & age limit will be a welcome course correction.
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#ICYMI
My piece on the
#BrahMos
misfire and the obstacles to a potential 🇮🇳-🇵🇰 agreement on cruise missiles.
@StimsonCenter
Visiting Fellow
@BashirAliAbbas
explores why the accidental
#BrahMos
launch did not lead to a renewed missile agreement between
#India
and
#Pakistan
.
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The operational capability of Baloch insurgents has gone up as has their inclination to attack govt installations,
@bantirani_patro
shows in her latest
@htTweets
piece.
With
#China
pausing work on Dasu and Diamer Bhasha,
#Pakistan
’s troubles only increase.
"
#Balochistan
has been in the throes of a decades-long insurgency. The target of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is only a symptom of a larger malaise," writes
@bantirani_patro
#HTPremium
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Read this excellent analysis on the recent clashes between 🇵🇰 and the
#Taliban
by
@bantirani_patro
. She shows that when 🇵🇰 conducted strikes in Khost and Khunar in 2022, the Taliban sought political means of resolution. 2024, however, is a very different picture.
#HTAnalysis
| Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan has entered a period of resurgence, posing a threat to Pakistan’s internal security and external environs
#HTPremium
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Gotta love how (not) seriously
@ThePrintIndia
takes their own words.
1- India must act against Russia!
2- Why is Europe complaining about India not acting against Russia?
Almost every 50 word edit reads like a drunk text.
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Quoted in
@ThePrintIndia
today on the impact of
#EbrahimRaisi
’s fatal chopper crash. Read the piece by
@pia_kutts
here
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Was an honour and delight to be hosted by 🇬🇧 High Commissioner to 🇮🇳
@AlexWEllis
(at his wittiest best). We were also fortunate to have
@RuhaShadab
of
@LedByFoundation
talk of the incredible work they're doing for greater equity in work spaces.
@UKinIndia
#RamzanMubarak
! Great to host my second
#Iftar
in 🇮🇳 and discuss faith, diversity and why giving is more fun than receiving.
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"The Indian right wing’s exploitation of Kashmiri Pandits through the recently released film and the subsequent anti-Muslim rhetoric has aggravated the suffering of the community."
It's for everyone to see.
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Never thought that the succession of states argument would be brought back this dramatically. Most interesting thread, this.
So something interesting that could be developing at the UN: Ukraine appears to be laying the groundwork to challenge whether the Russian Federation is the legitimate successor to the USSR’s seat and veto on the Security Council
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In my piece for
@LowyInstitute
I argue that India's
#Myanmar
policy must now involve some level of engagement with the
@NUGMyanmar
. This is especially as the
#junta
's effective control on the ground seems to be reducing.
In Myanmar, India should also engage the opposition | Bashir Ali Abbas
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As the Dept of Mil Affairs goes back to the drawing board for
#theaterization
, read this piece by
@SidharthRaimed1
and I. We highlight the
- Need to institutionalize assurances between the
#IAF
and
#IndianArmy
- Need to reconcile the war-fighting approaches of both forces.
#Theaterisation
is expected to herald a number of benefits, including the removal of redundancies in command, reduction of obstacles to joint
#warfighting
, streamlining decision making, etc, state
@BashirAliAbbas
& Sidharth Raimedhi
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Glad to see Hindi translations, always!
@bantirani_patro
#Pakistan
की
#Judiciary
ने इतिहास में एक महत्वपूर्ण मोड़ लिया है। फ़ौज के चुनावी प्रक्रिया में दख़लंदाज़ी पर विचार-विमर्श हो रहा है। क्या आगे न्यायपालिका
#HybridGovernment
को बरक़रार रख पायेगी?
जानें क्या लिखतें हैं
@BashirAliAbbas
&
@bantirani_patro
यहाँ:
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The
#PDM
in 🇵🇰 cannot ban the
#PTI
without the Supreme Court blessing it. Under Chief Justice Bandyal, such blessing is unlikely.
@RanaBanerji
remains among the best sources on Pakistan. Read -
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As
#Israel
prepares for
#Iranian
retaliation, I write on the issue for
@htTweets
-
#Syria
is an old battleground for the Israel-Iran game
-Iran has enough cause for restraint even if it retaliates directly
-Shifts in US-Israel ties are also key to Iran's calculus
Snippets below👇
#HTAnalysis
| The longer and wider
#Israel
’s war, the less sympathy it gets internationally, and the lesser the chances of Arab-Israeli normalisation coming back on track
✍️
@BashirAliAbbas
|
#HTPremium
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Amidst the
#MiddleEast
’s many crises, keep an attentive eye out for
#Turkey
. Read my latest column for
@htTweets
on how
#Ankara
has acted as a regional maverick.
#HTAnalysis
| Presently, the global flow is against
#Israel
, with a ceasefire as the biggest imperative (which is in fact what
#Turkey
has made trade contingent on)
✍️
@BashirAliAbbas
|
#HTPremium
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Has the
#UNSC
's ceasefire call for
#Gaza
failed? Both yes and no. I argue in
@htTweets
that its binding nature is irrelevant.
#Washington
will not support Chapter VII based sanctions against
#Israel
anyways.
Read here-
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That's the power and value of Track II for you.
BIG:
#Iran
's supreme leader has granted permission for direct nuclear talks with the US. Apparent U-turn could be watershed moment.
Senior Iranian sources tell
@amwajmedia
top nuclear negotiator Baqeri-Kani's ready to meet with WH MENA Coordinator McGurk
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@angshuman_ch
's pointed and well structured take on where India's relationship with Myanmar's military regime is presently placed. The enduring question is if India's lack of engagement (even Track IIs, closed door PRTs) with pro-dem groups will hurt Delhi in the long run.
I shared my thoughts on
#India
’s
#Myanmar
policy & what New Delhi should do in this interview with
@Diplomat_APAC
’s
@Sudha_Ra
.
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Where is the "everything I know about this person, I know against my will" tweet when you need it
Narayana Murthy Once Travelled Ticketless For 11 Hours To Meet Sudha Murty
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Quoting tweet mainly to differ on the looks of the building. Moreover, the opposition boycott isn't based on unreasonable grounds by any measure. The larger changes afoot are well highlighted, the new South-North dynamic is a key change to watch
@Memeghnad
Today is a big day!
The New Parliament building is being inaugurated. It's pretty and all but you need to understand how it is going to change our democracy forever.
A
#MyParliamentMyPride
longpost:
Right now, the Lok Sabha has 543 Members of Parliament.
When you divide the
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This much is clear: killing Hazaras is not an invention of the Islamic State. “Hazaras, where will you hide,” asked Taliban commander Mullah Abdul Niazi, as Hazaras were slaughtered at Mazar-e Sharif, in 1998. “...Hazaras are not Muslims. You can kill them. It is not a sin.”
Fighting heretics is the pretext, not the purpose of the Islamic State’s anti-Hazara terror campaign in Afghanistan. The Islamic State’s use of ethnic-religious hate is aimed at capturing the Taliban’s popular support, I write in
@ThePrintIndia
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"While
#India
’s missile thought is certainly evolving, it is yet to be seen if its flagship
#nuclear
-oriented ballistic missiles are meant to further its conventional deterrence", I write for
@orfonline
@raisinadialogue
1/2
Given recent
#Chinese
missile developments and its increasing presence in the
#IndianOcean
, there is a strong enough trigger to allow a relatively quick evolution of
#India
’s
#missile
thought, states
@BashirAliAbbas
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This. This is the defining feature of the Middle East today and its immediate future.
Look at the larger context. Biden-Blinken have no diplomatic breakthrough to their credit. The US was so confident about that Saudi-Israel deal that they unveiled IMEC. The reconciliation deal is dead, for now. On the other hand, the China-brokered Iran-Saudi detente is holding.
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The 2 cases are distinct and separate in cause. However, politically, given the spiralling effects of the ongoing conflict, they might converge in effect. The new case allows the ICJ, for the first time, an opportunity to examine the legal consequences of 🇮🇱’s occupation
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#HTAnalysis
| While the motivations of the IS behind the deadly bombing of Crocus City Hall in Moscow are still unclear, its historic focus on Russia is illuminating
✍️
@BashirAliAbbas
#HTPremium
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@johnstanly
Interesting, but 🇮🇷’s non-response could also be geopolitically pragmatic? It knows Bibi is cornered & the longer 🇮🇱’s war, the lesser are Arab-Israeli normalisation prospects. And Khamenei’s Nowruz speech focused on the economy; rather critical of Raisi. Shows its priorities.
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“Iran differentiates between Pakistan’s friendly and brotherly government and armed terrorists” - a very cute example of a quick escalation control.
ALERT:
The Statement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran regarding the recent incidents on the Pakistan border
“The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran condemns Pakistan's unbalanced and unacceptable drone attack on
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Absolutely spot on.
Biden has decades of experience in US foreign policy establishment. But as President, he appears to be less of a strategist than an impulsive cold warrior. Look at two of the most important foreign policy crises of his presidency.
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"Cancelled without prejudice"
At least they have a sense of humour. What a shame.
I was on my way to receive the Pulitzer award (
@Pulitzerprizes
) in New York but I was stopped at immigration at Delhi airport and barred from traveling internationally despite holding a valid US visa and ticket.
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@ralpharakal
@tweetenator
@bicyclemayorblr
@WFRising
@Kanagalogy
@NammaBengaluroo
@tinucherian
@WeAreBangalore
@WeAreHSRLayout
@nihart1024
@CitizenKamran
Won't work if they're treated the same way as existing cycle lanes are treated- to park cars or simply as an extra vehicle lane :")
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"The attack occurred at a Shia imambargah, or congregation hall, but sub-editors were asked to remove the words “Shia” and “imambargah” from their stories."
A sobering piece by
@S_Xaidee
for
@Himalistan
on the erasure of anti-Shia violence in
#Pakistan
.
"The attack occurred at a Shia imambargah, or congregation hall, but sub-editors were asked to remove the words “Shia” and “imambargah” from their stories."
@S_Xaidee
writes:
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Dubious possibility: There are no agreements for
#cruisemissiles
anywhere. 🇮🇳 agreeing to a novel agreement with 🇵🇰 on CMs would risk bringing their nuclear risk at par with
#ballisticmissiles
- counter-intuitive for a state (🇮🇳) that projects its CMs as non-nuclear.
3/n
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Why has
@prodefencejammu
backed down due to hate spewing trolls? It did the right thing by displaying resolve to promote the national values it fights for. At a time when the
#IndianArmy
is being relentlessly appropriated by some, it needs to show this resolve and more.
Trolled on Twitter, Army deletes tweet on Iftaar gathering in J&K’s Doda
Raghav Bikhchandani
@raghav_bikh
reports for ThePrint
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This does not mean that the misfire did not yield any lessons for 🇮🇳and🇵🇰. The crucial lesson is that of better communication. Politics notwithstanding, existing military hotlines between both have proven invaluable in the past for crisis management. They must be used more.
4/4
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The latest in my weekly column for
@htTweets
on
#Qatar
and
#Egypt
’s role in mediating a potential
#ceasefire
in
#Gaza
Read and share!
#Opinion
| Eye on the Middle East: Will these mediators help bring about a ceasefire in Gaza?
✍🏻
@BashirAliAbbas
#HTPremium
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"Contrary to assumptions, the
#Taliban
are not some aberration from the
#Deoband
tradition of ensuring social control, rather as Kamran Bokhari explains, they are the “realization of the 157-year-old Deobandi movement’s objective of establishing a regime led by Sunni clergy.”"
The Taliban cannot be understood without considering the earliest history, beliefs, and practices of Deobandism.
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In this piece on the
#TTP
for
@CAPS_INDIA
,
@bantirani_patro
highlights two factors limiting 🇵🇰's response-
- Lack of economic wherewithal for a high intensity op.
- the TTP's safe haven in Afghanistan ensuring that any military offensive will only yield a pyrrhic victory.
**InFocus Alert**
Bantirani Patro, Research Associate, CAPS writes on, ' Mapping the Tehreek-e-Taliban
#Pakistan
's resurgence 👇
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The Crimea playbook and a creative use of Int. law, Russia is only perfecting its traditional moves, in Ukraine (or what was Ukraine?).
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It is also useful to plug the declaration by India's Judge Bhandari. It's a difficult case as the ambit of the Court's jurisdiction is tight. No
#warcrimes
or
#CrimesAgainstHumanity
, only
#genocide
- for which the threshold to establish special intent is very, very high.
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As all eyes are on
#Pakistan
and the question of who is the next premier looms, read my 2022 article for
@orfonline
published right after
#AsimMunir
took over as Army Chief.
@raisinadialogue
@sushantsareen
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The sheer accuracy here!
Many, not all, European officials visiting Delhi for Raisina were quick to condemn Russia, “displeased” about India’s unwillingness to condemn Russia & “surprised” at (& insinuating the presence of) Russian propaganda in India while ducking all questions about Israel & Gaza!!
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Top quality stuff. A subject rarely addressed comprehensively.
Wrote about the disturbing silence of
#India
's foreign policy & strategic community on the alarming situation at home for today's
@TheIndiaCable
.
As a member of the community, it bothers me very much.
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Hard to confirm if the
#Agni
Prime is meant for dual use. If it is, it would signify the biggest shift in 🇮🇳’s missile thought. A distinct
#ASBM
is more likely, outside the
#Agni
family - preserving the latter's nuclear-only role. Should be interesting to watch.
@orfonline
0
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An excellent take. Iran has much to gain by changing the scale, not nature, of its current approach.
'Iran prefers the death-by-a-thousand-cuts model, which seeks to avoid escalation. This Israeli attack, while painful and unprecedented, is unlikely to dramatically change Iran's strategic calculus and modus operandi,' writes Bilal Y Saab.
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This.
Legal theorist Gautam Bhatia nails the Karnataka High Court judgement: "The crucial error the court makes is that it sanctifies the uniform instead of sanctifying education..."
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5K
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YES. This.
Gayatri Spivak, “Can the subaltern speak?”: Incomprehensible, except perhaps if you know what she means. Countless students have been made to feel dumb because they did not understand this sort of stuff. As Oscar Wilde said, “to be intelligible is to be found out”.
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#Iran
’s first military response is a suicide drone swarm attack. Given that it gave 🇮🇱 &🇺🇸 enough time to prepare, there’s scope for de-escalation if they’re shot down. But if cruise missiles are in play, all bets are off!
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