Dr. Brahma Chellaney
@Chellaney
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Professor, strategic thinker, author and commentator
Joined January 2009
In its centennial anniversary issue released today, @ForeignAffairs has a special review section, "Books for the Century." My book, Water: Asia's New Battleground, has been named as one of the six essential Asia-Pacific books published over the century.
foreignaffairs.com
Nathan reviews books on the trends shaping Asia and the Pacific, including population decline, shrinking water supplies, and clashes over different economic models.
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With Love From Trump: A just-enacted constitutional amendment in Pakistan has effectively anointed the army chief — whom Trump has lavishly praised as his “favorite field marshal” — as the country’s real power center, relegating the elected government to a mere civilian façade.
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The terror module uncovered in India involving several mid-level medical doctors operating together within a single, localized cell is unprecedented in the history of modern terrorism. Nowhere else is there a documented international case of multiple active doctors jointly
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Unlike Trump's strategic ambiguity over Taiwan, Japanese PM Ms. Takaichi told Parliament that a PRC attempt to seize Taiwan would be an existential threat to Japan. In response, Beijing has unleashed vitriol, with its consul general in Osaka calling for her “filthy head" to be
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By granting temporary protections to a growing number of military-age Ukrainian men, the EU is paradoxically aggravating one of Ukraine’s most serious wartime challenges: finding enough personnel to sustain its military campaign against Russia. As more and more able-bodied men
politico.eu
In an interview, Vitali Klitschko describes Russian troops attacking in relentless waves “like a video game” as he calls for the draft age to be lowered.
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IEA World Energy Outlook 2025: "The US and EU were the top energy consumers until overtaken by China in 2009. India and Southeast Asia now lead in energy demand growth." The newly released report says India is becoming the new global epicenter of growth in oil demand.
iea.org
World Energy Outlook 2025 - Analysis and key findings. A report by the International Energy Agency.
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China’s new Hongqi Bridge, which has partially collapsed, was part of a major national highway to Tibet’s capital, Lhasa. From there, a spur highway connects to Nyingchi prefecture—close to the Indian frontier and site of China’s massive super-dam project.
nytimes.com
A section of the Shuangjiangkou Hongqi Bridge in Sichuan Province, China, collapsed and sent huge plumes of dust into the air on Tuesday.
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When healers turn into agents of death: The revelation that the suicide bomber behind the deadly car explosion in India’s National Capital Region was a physician — and that several other doctors were arrested with a large stockpile of military-grade explosives — raises deep
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Xi has advanced his expansionist agenda through stealth and coercion rather than open warfare. But surrounded by sycophants, Xi is always at risk of strategic miscalculation, such as ordering new border incursions into India or an armed assault on Taiwan.
japantimes.co.jp
Xi Jinping's recent purge of top-ranking generals, like those before it, shows that he still sees enemies everywhere.
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"Syria plans to offer an airbase outside Damascus to the US and a Trump Tower in the capital, showing Sharaa’s understanding of today’s Washington game. All signs point toward a US vision of integrating the new Syria firmly into the US-led regional order."
foreignpolicy.com
By embracing Sharaa, Trump hopes to bring Syria into the U.S. order.
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The US fought the "war on terror" for more than 20 years -- it's ongoing. It not only cost trillions of dollars and more than a million lives, but radically and permanently eroded core civil liberties for Americans. Now, someone the DOJ called an Al Qaeda terrorist less than a
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Afghanistan, Pakistan and Iran — collectively known as the Golden Crescent of narcotics — have long dominated the global opium market. But with the Taliban now enforcing a ban on opium cultivation, production has shifted sharply to Pakistan and, to a lesser extent, Iran.
asia.nikkei.com
Banned poppy farming in Afghanistan remains a small fraction of 2022 level
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Trump’s meeting with Syria’s self-styled president — who rose to prominence from al-Qaeda ranks and whose rule has fueled sectarian violence and refugee flows — fits a troubling American pattern: cozying up to radical Islamists with a record of terrorism. As I noted in an
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Ouch! @Chellaney writes: In many ways, Trump's model of weaponized trade diplomacy resembles China's Belt and Road Initiative -- only more unabashedly coercive. https://t.co/y3y5ZwRHrG
asia.nikkei.com
Transformed into tool of geopolitical domination, US trade policy sows the seeds for backlash
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"Regime collapse" is regime change, not an alternative. Seeking to avoid boots on the ground restricts the hoped-for methods, but the objective would be regime change. And if air strikes proved as ineffective at ousting leaders as they almost always do, the U.S. would have to
#Venezuela: With respect to the @NicolasMaduro regime: "Rather than a ground invasion aimed at regime change, regime collapse seems to be a much more promising theory of change, and it is worth pursuing," I wrote in @ForeignPolicy this week. Latest: https://t.co/Osr3TdIAWB
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At a moment when India is grappling with fresh diplomatic and strategic challenges, the deadly car explosion near the Red Fort in Old Delhi has delivered a grim reminder that terrorism remains a live threat to internal security. The timing is ominous: The blast came soon after
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My latest op-ed: As Trump's lopsided trade deals with Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand and Vietnam illustrate, his trade diplomacy is more coercive than even China's debt-trap diplomacy. He seeks economic vassalage disguised as partnership.
asia.nikkei.com
Transformed into tool of geopolitical domination, US trade policy sows the seeds for backlash
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The typical lag between the placement of an order for Russian oil and its physical delivery at an Indian port is about seven to ten weeks. It will not be known until early January whether Indian refiners have actually cut their Russian oil purchases. It is thus odd that some
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From Strategic Depth to Strategic Disaster: The collapse of Pakistan–Afghanistan peace talks is likely to deepen mistrust and enmity between the Pakistani establishment and the Afghan Taliban, once its protégés and battlefield allies. Although a ceasefire holds for now, the risk
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In Bangladesh, the removal of a justice of the High Court Division of the Supreme Court is the latest reminder that a deeply politicized judiciary has shed even the pretense of independence. Soon after last year’s military-backed regime change, the chief justice was forced out of
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