
Rob Wiblin
@robertwiblin
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Host of the 80,000 Hours Podcast. Exploring the inviolate sphere of ideas one interview at a time: https://t.co/2YMw00bkIQ
Joined June 2009
A new legal letter aimed at OpenAI lays out in stark terms the money and power grab OpenAI is trying to trick its board members into accepting — what one analyst calls "the theft of the millennium." The simple facts of the case are both devastating and darkly hilarious. I'll
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DeepMind's Neel Nanda says shutdown resistance ≠ rebellion. Often it's confusion. Make your intent clear and the AI will happily shut itself down. But in role-play as a human, models mirror our worst instincts, even blackmail to survive. When they confuse our words, it's on
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Another reminder that Twitter isn’t real life. Gallup asked if immigration is good or bad for the country. 79% (highest ever) said it's good for the country. 17% (lowest ever) said it's bad for the country.
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Apple: https://t.co/OBU2Z1l1KN Spotify: https://t.co/UMrHX4TMLC Transcript and links: https://t.co/7Trw6NwK37 YouTube:
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I got a comprehensive update on 'mech interp' from @NeelNanda5 at Google DeepMind. Neel helped make reading AI minds into a thriving field of ML. But he has had a change of heart: it's not the silver bullet he once hoped and many others still believe it to be. Still, they've
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Breaking: Kalshi surpasses $26 million in Cowboys-Eagles trading volume leading all prediction markets. Polymarket came in second with $3.9m, followed by Crypto dot com with $1.2m.
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Have done a lot of AI episodes lately, hoping to schedule some on broader topics. So far am working on: • Is Taiwan defensible? If so, how? • What can we learn from how previous revolutions in military technology changed history? What else would you like, and with who?
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This stuff is absolutely magic. Based on actual, real-world impact so far, it's the product of the decade.
🚨 Semaglutide completely prevents metabolic side-effects caused by antipsychotics: Compared to placebo after 30 weeks: » Remission from prediabetes: 81% vs 19% » Weight: -20 lbs » Waist size: -2.4 in. » Psychosis: same Practice changing. Published yesterday @JAMAPsych
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I'm interviewing Brian Kennedy of Pew Research Centre about "How the U.S. Public and AI Experts View AI". Pew polled 5,000 US residents and 1,000 AI experts and found some pretty crazy things: https://t.co/JDEioaugEf What should I ask? What other data should I pull in?
Recent Pew polling on AI is crazy: 1. US public wildly negative about AI, huge disagreement with experts 2. ~2x as many expect AI to harm as benefit them 3. Public more concerned than excited at ~4.5 to 1 ratio 4. Public & experts think regulation will not go far enough 1/
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Incredible that this is still on HSBC UK's website. How is Voice ID to access your bank account still a thing anywhere?
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Amboy’s own Alvin Cailan just dropped a “Touchdown Chicken Dip” that goes crazy on a Wheat Thin. Pull up to Family Style Food Fest LA on 9/13 to try this and four more custom recipes. Sponsored by @WheatThins
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You can do incredible things with AI these days, like instantly double check your tweets about energy production are not off by a factor of 10,000 while you're the US Secretary of Energy: https://t.co/qhuTBtwzJ4
Even if you wrapped the entire planet in a solar panel, you would only be producing 20% of global energy. One of the biggest mistakes politicians can make is equating the ELECTRICITY with ENERGY!
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everybody thank the lizard that made us skinny (their saliva is ozempic)
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France pulled off the greatest expansion of nuclear power ever, decarbonising their grid in two decades and opening 40 nuclear reactors in ten years. One key feature was making locals benefit. Localities hosting plants got huge shares of business taxes. https://t.co/Ji4qJ2MHxF
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We can now say pretty definitively that AI progress is well ahead of expectations from a few years ago. In 2022, the Forecasting Research Institute had super forecasters & experts to predict AI progress. They gave a 2.3% & 8.6% probability of an AI Math Olympiad gold by 2025…
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If you'd like the UK to be more nuclear-friendly please write to the Nuclear Regulatory Taskforce before Sunday. You can riff on my comments below. (Fine to use an LLM to help format your views as answers to their questions here: https://t.co/y6NseGPpPT )
The UK is hopelessly behind on electricity generation and desperately needs to build 20-30 clean, cheap nuclear reactors. But right now our safetyist regulatory system makes that impossible. 🧵 In fact the UK has some of the slowest nuclear approvals in the world, and, as a
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📢 Glitchfall DEMO is now available on itch!! Try our unique puzzle where you play Tetris-style falling blocks while searching for anomalies! We'd love your feedback on this experimental gameplay.
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Fixed. https://t.co/bMcvkMR3hM
@moultano The last panel is wrong. You can't fall 5 stories out of a 2 story office.
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Time to time hear that for-profit projects have done more to advance human wellbeing than impact-focused philanthropy or foreign aid. Which is prob true — but they also absorbed 100x or 1,000x the inputs. So cost-effectiveness per $ could nevertheless still be much worse.
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Anti-sycophancy prompt I use which helps, at least superficially: "## Avoid Sycophantic Language - **NEVER** compliment me on asking a good question - **NEVER** use phrases like "You're absolutely right!", "You're right to question that". "You're absolutely correct!", "Excellent
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I would probably prefer a commitment to take more legit refugees each year (maybe defined as a % of population) over a commitment to process anyone who shows up that then prompts other barriers to be thrown up that result in fewer total refugees being accepted.
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The way many countries approach refugees is extremely odd. Rather than just conceding they aren't down to take any legit refugees who show up, they maintain that commitment, but then try to make it impossible to reach their territory. Hard to believe it's the best system.
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