I am thrilled to share that I will be joining the Department of Political Science faculty at the University of Notre Dame this coming fall as an Assistant Professor of Computational Social Science! Thank you to everyone who has offered me love, guidance, and support! Go Irish ☘️!
Elated to share that my dissertation, “Some Politics Are Still Local: Strategic Position Taking in Congress & Elections,” won
@APSAtweets
's E.E. Schattschneider Award for best dissertation in American government!
🚨 Now available ahead of print
@The_JOP
! 🚨
TLDR: we find that male and white candidates are more likely to take up women's and Black-associated issues if a candidate with that identity runs in their primary!
🚨 PLEASE SHARE WIDELY 🚨
Jeff Harden and I are seeking a post-doc OR visiting Ph.D. student to join us for the 24/25 AY. The position involves no teaching responsibilities, research funds, and competitive compensation
Please reach out with questions!
"Evaluating (in)experience in congressional elections" is now online
@AJPS_Editor
We find that *half* of freshmen elected to the U.S. House today are amateurs who possess no elected background and unpack the reasons why!
Stay tuned for our book project
Legislative studies now ranks lower in gender diversity than political methodology. Hate to see it.
Great work by the folks at
@W_inLS
on how to improve diversity:
Excited to share a new project at
#polmeth40
!!
@colinrcase
and I pair word embeddings with an original corpus of candidate campaign positions to estimate candidates’ ideological positioning on policy issues (e.g., abortion, healthcare, trade…)
See some initial takeaways below:
Excited to present at
@W_inLS
this Friday!
My book w/ Sarah Treul explores the causes and consequences of amateur politicians' growing success in congressional elections
Work from this project is conditionally accepted at AJPS, check it out here:
If you're attending
#MPSA2024
in Chicago on Thursday, stop by to check out a series of great panels for our Primary Elections Conference within a Conference!
Very excited to share that my coauthored article w/ Sarah Treul and Maura McDonald “Changing the Dialogue: Descriptive Candidacies & Position-Taking in U.S. House Campaigns” has been accepted at JOP!
Excited to share that my manuscript "No Experience Required," co-authored with
@tyler_steelman
, has been conditionally accepted
@LSQjournal
. Check it out here:
Super thankful for an amazing first year as an Assistant Professor at Notre Dame! Now back to GA for 8 weeks while our home gets un-water damaged. If you’re around ATL in the next few months, let me know!!
There is a 0% chance I would have finished this 6 year journey without my husband,
@AlexPorter24
. There is no better person or partner I could ask for. Thank you for all of your support and I’m so excited to embark on this next chapter with you!
Cool finding for the Senate that Sarah Treul and I have noted in the House:
Amateurs are seeing greater success today than in the past---from 1980 to 2014 less than 30% of freshmen members entered the House without elected experience, since 2016 that has grown significantly.
Weeks ago, McConnell said: "candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome" when describing skepticism of flipping Senate compared to House.
Noting this, a talented grad student & I updated candidate data with 2022.
Wow, where did the quality challengers go in 2022!?
Anyone have good resources for polisci PhDs looking to pursue data science / other career paths outside of academia? I’m trying to compile some kind of document / list. Thanks!!
#poliscijobs
Wrapping up an amazing week on the west coast! Huge thanks to
@dbroockman
and the Berkeley Center for American Democracy for hosting such a phenomenal conference!
NEW
@ScienceofPolitics
podcast:
@rachel__porter
finds that primary voters increasingly prefer amateur candidates over experienced politicians, partially because amateurs can raise early national money.
Call for proposals: Visions in Methodology Conference 2024! VIM is designed to support women who study political methodology! WUSTL will be hosting it on May 24! Send your proposals! Spread the voice!
@ProfHansNoel
Thanks
@ProfHansNoel
! I'm a PhD Candidate who studies American political institutions, focusing on how elections impact policy making. My work relies heavily on CSS methods like text analysis. I love teaching undergrads quantitative methods! Read more:
It took 24 hours longer to get home than expected (thanks
@Delta
), but has the very best time at
@PolMeth2022
! Such a great opportunity to see some familiar faces and to make new friends!
Currently in South Bend visiting
@NotreDame
and left our dog Benji back in Chapel Hill. Fabulous friends
@emilymcottle
and
@colinrcase
sent this picture, note Benji’s new outfit. There are many things I’ll miss about UNC but these two are at the top of the list
#GoHeels
We are thrilled to announce we are hosting a day-long conference within a conference at
@MPSAnet
's 2023 annual meeting!
Apply to present or volunteer to discuss here (deadline 11/12):
Travel stipends available!
See the 🧵👇 for more details!
Any have a syllabus/teaching materials for their undergrad Congress class that they're willing to share? I'm teaching the class for the first this coming semester (which is approaching more quickly than I would like) and need some inspiration!
Come see my amazing coauthor
@colinrcase
explain the intricacies and annoyances of measuring early money in U.S. elections! Find us in Palais, 525B tomorrow at noon
#APSA2022
Taking to the Internet to brag. Thanks to
@HaasF1Team
Principal Guenther Steiner for stopping to take the pic. I’m literally still shaking.
#F12023
#SaudiArabianGP
#APSA2022
folks! Important happy hour news!
The
@JawsPoliSci
team is organizing it's 2nd annual APSA happy hour.
Thursday, starting at 7pm, Sir Winston Churchill Pub
1455 Crescent St, Montreal
@emilymcottle
will present her paper on congressional committees' productivity entitled "The Institution's Knowledge: Congressional Staff Turnover and Committee Productivity"
The Visions in Methodology Conference (VIM 2024) will take place on May 24th 2024, at Washington University in St Louis. Please submit a research proposal using this form () no later than February 28th, 2024.
Tune in this week for two action-packed JAWS events:
Journal Publishing Workshop--Tuesday, 4/27 at 3PM ET:
JAWS 11: Legislative Capacity--Wednesday, 4/28 at 2PM ET:
Please share widely and invite interested colleagues!
Excited to present at
@W_inLS
this Friday!
My book w/ Sarah Treul explores the causes and consequences of amateur politicians' growing success in congressional elections
Work from this project is conditionally accepted at AJPS, check it out here:
Come hang out with us tomorrow at the ~first~ JAWS conference-within-a-conference!!!
Also be sure to join us for another ~famous~ JAWS happy hour at 8 PM!
As you make your way to
@MPSAnet
#MPSA2023
today, make sure to slot our conference-within-a-conference tomorrow into your calendar!
Presentations 8:00AM-5:20PM in the Honore ballroom (lobby level) and happy hour at Game Room at 8:00PM!
@emilyommundsen
is a brilliant scholar with multiple published articles. She's also an amazing teacher and kind person...and SHE'S ON THE JOB MARKET! Any department would be incredibly lucky to hire her!
I am on the market! Links to my work and market materials can be found at
Check out the 🧵 to learn about my extremely impressive colleagues
@UNCPoliSci
who are also on the market
#PSJMInfo
Making your APSA plans?
Join JAWS 🦈🦈 for a happy hour!
Thursday, September 30 at 8pm, The Pine Box
Outdoor patio, proof of vaccine required by the venue
Get ready for big news tomorrow! Notre Dame's Rooney Center for the Study of American Democracy will have an important announcement on the one-year anniversary of the
#January6th
Insurrection.
@colinrcase
is a FANTASTIC scholar and amazing coauthor. His research is important, innovative, and methodologically rigorous...plus HE'S ON THE JOB MARKET! Any department would be incredibly lucky to hire him!!!
In his research,
@colinrcase
assesses the ways in which candidates respond to electoral factors and the implications of this behavior as it relates to election outcomes, lawmaking, polarization, and representation. He also develops text-as-data methods in his research
#PSJMInfo
Elated to share that my dissertation, “Trading Pork for Unity: How Parties Respond to Electoral Reforms in Party-Centered Systems,” won
@APSAtweets
's Legislative Studies Section 2023 Carl Albert Dissertation Award!
We show that, from 2016-2020, candidates without prior elected experience saw (1) greater success in future fundraising, and (2) an increased likelihood of primary election victory when they garnered more early contributions from outside their district.
Republican amateurs today have a notable lack of political ties. They are not appointees, bureaucrats, or lawyers. Most often, they have notable business experience or are career military! Exciting stuff!!!
Surprisingly, we show that these amateurs are being elected from *open* seats rather than via incumbent defeats in *high opportunity elections* as noted by
@DavidTCanon
. Plot below shows amateur success in open seats conditional on quality candidate emergence.
Using hand-coded text data on over 10,000 policy positions from campaign websites we find that Dem male and white candidates are significantly more likely to take up women's and Black-associated issues when a candidate who possesses that identity runs in their same-party primary
If you're not *already* zoom fatigued (I most certainly am), come check out my
#mpsa
panel "Using Rhetoric and Ads to Connect with Voters" at 12:20 CST!
Anna's excited for the first JAWS of the semester, and you should be too!
Join us for our research session on the intersection of REP and APD at 3PM ET:
Then come back to socialize with trivia hosted by
@PatrickRickert
at 8 PM ET:
This contrasts prior elections where early money from inside a candidate’s own congressional district served as the strongest predictor for future fundraising and electoral success.
Why is this happening? In a book manuscript in preparation, Sarah Treul and I show asymmetric preferences across the parties. Democratic amateurs win for descriptive reasons: a growing proportion of newly elected female / non-white MCs are amateurs.
Importantly, we find ideological heterogeneity at the candidate level. Some politicians are ideological stalwarts across all issues, but others are ideologically variable in their position taking across issues (e.g., see Jaime Herrera Beutler)!
Applications abound for our methodological framework and off-the-shelf measures! For instance, with our measure we can more directly assess fundamental questions that relate to democratic accountability and electoral choice