Raquel Centeno
@RaqCenteno
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postdoc @CaltechLCSSP | partisan polarization + identity + experiments + surveys | @uscpoir PhD, @callutheran alum | motherly figure to 1 angry cat | she/her
Los Angeles, California
Joined July 2019
NEW RESEARCH: @SaraKangaslahti, @HarvardUniv | @DannyCEbanks, @IQSS, Harvard | @JeanKossaifi, @nvidia | @anqi_liu33, @HopkinsEngineer, @JohnsHopkins | @rmichaelalvarez, @Caltech, @CaltechLCSSP | @AnimaAnandkumar, Caltech Forthcoming in Political Analysis: https://t.co/NNR2z0mdcO
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Forthcoming paper in Political Analysis The method features mathematically provable guarantees of accuracy and the ability to train the model end-to-end on a local GPU. Our next project is to take these outputs to improve LLM training and classification performance. More soon!
NEW RESEARCH: @SaraKangaslahti, @HarvardUniv | @DannyCEbanks, @IQSS, Harvard | @JeanKossaifi, @nvidia | @anqi_liu33, @HopkinsEngineer, @JohnsHopkins | @rmichaelalvarez, @Caltech, @CaltechLCSSP | @AnimaAnandkumar, Caltech Forthcoming in Political Analysis: https://t.co/NNR2z0mdcO
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If you're interested in reading the full report, check it out here!
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Very cool to see the report I coauthored with @JarredCuellar on Prop 50 & Latino representation mentioned in the LA Times today! Thanks @AndreaSanFlores for the mention ๐
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5/5 We also have an informative study by @CaltechLCSSP postdoc @RaqCenteno and @calpolypomona prof @JarredCuellar on how Prop 50 might affect Latino political representation in CA. https://t.co/srVLH7Jkum
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1/5 Are you trying to figure out Prop 50? What to know more about what is going on with mid-decade gerrymandering? We've got you covered! You have questions, we have answers in the following four posts. @CaltechLCSSP
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Want to see the full analysis? You can read the full report here: https://t.co/AkCFVzokDV
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Big takeaways include: - the number of Latino-majority districts will remain the same (16 vs 16) - the number of Latino influence districts will increase (6 vs 8) - CA-41 will become a new Latino-majority district in LA County
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Excited to share that a new report I coauthored with @JarredCuellar on Prop 50โs impact of Latino voters is out today! You can read about it in todayโs @politicoca CA Playbook. We analyze the potential impact of Prop 50โs proposed maps on Latino voting & representation in CA โฌ๏ธ
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FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: MAPPING LATINO POWER โ#Prop50 would not only maintain but enhance Latino votersโ power in California House races, political scientists at @Caltech (@RaqCenteno) & @calpolypomona (@JarredCuellar) conclude in a new analysis. https://t.co/XZjSGhWsTD via @politico
politico.com
Federal immigration agents are amassing on San Franciscoโs doorstep for whatโs expected to be a major enforcement operation, after months of threats from Donald Trump.
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A new report shows that Prop 50 would maintain 16 Latino-majority congressional districts but gain two additional Latino-influence districts (CA-20 and CA-48) A major change is the creation of a new Latino-majority district (CA-41) in Los Angeles County. https://t.co/Ge3e0wdYlH
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Are you into voters/parties/ideology/elections/administrative data? Then we have good news!โจ ๐ฆ Our first session of Fall 2025 is tomorrow 10/1 at 1 PM ET/10 AM PT! ๐ฆ We'll have 2 great papers on ๐ณ๏ธ Voting & Elections ๐ณ๏ธ from @PeiHsunHsieh (UPenn) and Graham Straus (UCLA)
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Re-upping this important #Biotech event at @Caltech hosted by the @CaltechLCSSP on 10/6. Register today!
"#Biotech Beyond Conventional Containment: A Workshop on Policy & Governance" is happening at @Caltech on 10/6. Register to attend the Workshop's PUBLIC SESSION hosted by @CaltechLCSSP
https://t.co/2cguL1H0Yp
#Biotechnology #BiotechPolicy
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๐จ New working paper! ๐จ Happy to share my new data on affective polarization by party across states, CDs, counties, and towns from 2009-23. Key point: polarization is not just an individual trait... contexts and electorates can be "polarized" too! 1/ https://t.co/NdqU7FijYR
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Omg new JAWS I love ๐
๐๐ฆ WE'RE BACK!!! ๐๐ฆ Update your calendars bc JAWS is back for Fall 2025 ๐
And our first session is next week, Wed 10/1! Also: NEW TIME! We've heard our old time was difficult for those with school pickups, so our new time is 1-2:30PM ET / 10-11:30AM PT ๐ซ More info โฌ๏ธ
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๐๐ฆ WE'RE BACK!!! ๐๐ฆ Update your calendars bc JAWS is back for Fall 2025 ๐
And our first session is next week, Wed 10/1! Also: NEW TIME! We've heard our old time was difficult for those with school pickups, so our new time is 1-2:30PM ET / 10-11:30AM PT ๐ซ More info โฌ๏ธ
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My research on ballot rejection has just been published and is open access at PRQ! In it, my co-authors Kassra Oskooii + Michael Rios and I use two different studies to argue that bureaucratic bias plays a role in VBM ballot rejection. Check it out! https://t.co/pFe6ZvDr9e
journals.sagepub.com
Differential rejection rates of vote-by-mail (VBM) ballots by race and ethnicity are often attributed to voter-side factorsโsuch as cultural or linguistic barri...
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"#Biotech Beyond Conventional Containment: A Workshop on Policy & Governance" is happening at @Caltech on 10/6. Register to attend the Workshop's PUBLIC SESSION hosted by @CaltechLCSSP
https://t.co/2cguL1H0Yp
#Biotechnology #BiotechPolicy
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We're still making new friends! Are you a jr scholar in *any* area of American politics? Consider submitting to present (especially if you're on the academic market)! Are you hoping to serve our subfield? Consider volunteering as discussant! ๐ https://t.co/tcsIgMAiJe Deets ๐
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1/4 If you are at #APSA2025 @CaltechLCSSP postdoc @RaqCenteno is presenting tomorrow (Thursday) on the "Race, Racial Appeals, and Ballot Access" panel. Please attend!
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