
Oliver Carroll
@olliecarroll
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Foreign Correspondent for @TheEconomist | Covering Ukraine, Russia, Belarus | Opinions strictly my own | DM for Signal
Ukraine
Joined March 2009
The brilliant @RosieBlau has been nominated for two Signal awards for her podcast on her family’s fate in WW2 Poland. It’s powerful, moving journalism — and deserves your vote. Pod here:
economist.com
And the legacy of survival
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Strong society, weak government. My report card on Ukraine’s progress during wartime. https://t.co/D21xslJSf4
economist.com
A report card on Ukraine 2.0
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My report on the Flamingo missile from Tuesday. Its makers claim it to be a game-changer: a native Ukrainian missile, developed at speed by non-specialists with zero govt links. Too good to be true? Competitors certainly think so.
economist.com
But sceptics wonder if it is too good to be true
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Ukraine’s deputy foreign minister Sergiy Kyslytsya, one of the country’s most capable communicators, has been taking a more prominent role in recent negotiations. Rumours of a promotion are swirling — and photo ops like this won’t quiet them.
Важлива і тривала зустріч в Нью-Йорку @AndriyYermak зі спеціальним представником Президента США @POTUS Стівеном Віткоффом, у якій я мав честь взяти участь. Від самого її початку до останньої хвилини вона проходила у конструктивному дусі і з відчуттям щирого бажання знайти
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Russia has not scaled back its ambitions. America will not pressure it to do so. Territorial issues and security guarantees are currently second-order issues. The war remains intractable. My latest for @IISS_org 👇 https://t.co/P6etgvmrYW
iiss.org
Russia has not scaled back its ambitions and America will not pressure it to do so. Territorial issues and security guarantees are currently second-order issues. The war remains intractable.
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Clinton left office in 2001. Putin has evolved (if that’s quite the word) several times since. Those who’ve worked with him say today’s Putin is a different creature to that of 2000, 2005, 2011 etc etc. The value of this kind of interview is very limited.
For people wondering why Trump doesn’t attack Putin in public.. here’s what Bill Clinton told me about his dealings with the Russian dictator:
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A very lucid thread - agree with it almost entirely. At a stretch you might hope Putin has come to believe it is time for strategic decisions to stop. In that case he might bend and Russian position will be revealed as negotiation tactic. But as stands can’t see how it works.
“We cannot agree that now it is proposed that security issues, collective security, be resolved without the Russian Federation,” Mr. Lavrov said. “This will not work.” Here we go 'round the mulberry bush, vol. 238... /1 https://t.co/NWzC4BSd3P
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This is curious story. It isn’t incorrect - my information tallies with it - but strange timing + detail suggest someone is trying to cause someone damage. If Zaluzhny ppl are behind this, it’s immature. But my guess is no: other actors are trying 2 embarrass him.
🚨 SCOOP‼️: Ukrainian Ambassador to the UK, Gen. Valeriy Zaluzhny, is quietly preparing a run for president – in direct opposition to Zelensky. A source close to the budding campaign tells me his HQ is already active in London, and recruitment is underway. This isn’t just
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wow, a Russian official citing the pollster that was labeled an enemy of the state literally by his employer to support his argument about legacy media 🫠 if he’d try to post the same thing in Russian he wouldn’t be allowed to do that due to the censorship
As reported by an independent opposition pollster, percentage of Russians satisfied with their lives reached the highest level of 57% on record (over the last 32 years). “Not satisfied” reached the lowest level of 11% on record. This does not fit into legacy media narratives.
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A rare instance in post-summit reporting, via Axios, which suggests Trump at one point got pushy with Putin also contains a rather ridiculous U.S. assessment that Russia could take all of Donetsk by October. Two months to take two of the largest cities in Ukraine -- that sounds
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Signs that Germany has gone all in when it comes to financing Ukraine's missile problem with options to mass purchase Ukrainian products in that sector is an indication of how EU/UK might handle this challenge.
Agree with pretty much everything Balazs writes here. Really key is how much of Ukraine’s war machine, and its military complex — half way through a massive restructuring — can be financed in a post-hot war era.
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It's like a man in the hospital ward saying: "Wow, look at all these doctors by my bedside. Such a great honor. And, geez, there is even a priest!"
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Agree with pretty much everything Balazs writes here. Really key is how much of Ukraine’s war machine, and its military complex — half way through a massive restructuring — can be financed in a post-hot war era.
1/ I’m in Kyiv these days, and here are some impressions on the possible end of the war. Expectations are muted, information scarce, speculation abundant.
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For over a decade, democratic Ukraine + autocratic Russia have been on incompatible trajectories. The West’s position has been Russia should change, become more tolerant, or be contained (freezing conflict). Now Trump is aligning behind vision that changes Ukraine—to suit Russia
Since the start of war, the West resisted Putin’s attempts to define Russian security in line with his own fantasies. That changed on Friday. “For Putin, peace means changing us,” complains a Ukrainian source. “Now America is on board.” New piece from Kyiv
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Since the start of war, the West resisted Putin’s attempts to define Russian security in line with his own fantasies. That changed on Friday. “For Putin, peace means changing us,” complains a Ukrainian source. “Now America is on board.” New piece from Kyiv
economist.com
Officials worry Trump backs the Kremlin’s land grabs and fantasies
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Just think about it -- Ukraine is now supposedly expected to simply capitulate and hand over its territories to the aggressor who has not managed to defeat it -- all because the American president is bored, he is tired, he knows nothing and does not want to know anything about
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