‘At stake in Ukraine are the fundamental principles of the UN Charter and international law, including territorial integrity and sovereignty – the right to exist as a country. For Russia, it is acceptable to conquer and colonise’ |
@kajakallas
#SLD23
‘NATO doesn’t exist to threaten Russia: it is for defending its members from it, to keep tens of millions from being enslaved and slaughtered by Russia. The complete turnaround by Finland and Sweden on their defence policy exemplifies this’ |
@kajakallas
#SLD23
…
When asked about AUKUS, Indonesian Minister of Defense
@prabowo
said 'officially our position is that of course, South East Asia should remain nuclear free... but the emphasis of every country is to protect their national interest... and we understand that.'
#IISSMD21
Iran projects its influence in the Middle East through a variety of complex relationships with regional partners.
IISS Archive | Publication 2019: 18-month long study based on field work, interviews and open source analysis.
Read more:
What are the various strategic challenges China poses to NATO? And how can NATO most effectively address them? In a IISS–
@merics_eu
report,
@MeiaNouwens
and
@HelenaLegarda
explore how the NATO–China relationship has changed in recent years |
‘I am a true believer in multilateralism not only as a line of defence, but also as a vehicle towards prosperity. Estonia values highly cooperation in the Indo-Pacific. The EU’s cooperation with the ASEAN, with the principle of ASEAN centrality at its core, is increasingly…
Chinese digital tech companies are rapidly expanding their global footprint. Our research on China's Digital Silk Road maps global e-commerce and fintech investments by China’s tech giants in selected regions.
#LooksStrategic
| For more info, visit:
‘Russia wants to make it impossible for a neighbouring country, which it sees solely as its colony, to be able to exist freely and independently’ |
@ZelenskyyUa
#SLD22
We’re delighted to announce leading defence expert
@KoriSchake
(former
@WhiteHouse
/ Pentagon, now teaching
@Hooverinst
) as our new Deputy Director-General | (1/2)
💬 Speaking at
#IISSMD21
Libya's Minister of Foreign Affairs
@NajlaElmangoush
says:
'Traditional diplomacy, short-cuts and even force are useless when it comes to conflict resolution and peacebuilding.'
@MFA_Libya
‘Greece’s maritime agreement with Egypt is a perfect example of how two nations can apply the UN’s law of the sea to cooperate for the prosperity of their peoples’
@NikosDendias
@GreeceMFA
|
#IISSMD22
Brahmos Aerospace is reportedly developing a variant of the Brahmos missile designed to engage airborne early-warning and control aircraft. This highlights the continuing importance of command and control in the air domain, argues Douglas Barrie |
Burden sharing among
@NATO
allies is not as straightforward as Trump makes it out to be. The US is principally spending its money for its own security needs, according to IISS data:
#NATOSummit
We are pleased to announce that President of the Philippines
@bongbongmarcos
will deliver the Keynote Address at the 21st IISS Shangri-La Dialogue, which will take place in Singapore 31 May–2 June 2024|
#SLD24
Geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean is dominated by Turkiye’s assertive posture, big infrastructure and energy projects, and relationships with Western partners and allies.
Read our Strategic Dossier Preview:
Australia and New Zealand are close allies but are responding differently to rising Chinese power and influence in the Asia-Pacific.
New Zealand’s approach has been ambiguous, with Wellington far less likely than Canberra to criticise China publicly ⬇️
‘Indonesia has made a conscious choice not to take sides. We believe that the great powers of China and the US will treat us with benevolence’ |
@prabowo
#SLD22
“If you can freely operate a TB-2 against a column of vehicles, something has gone seriously wrong with your plan,” said
@JosephHDempsey
of the International Institute for Strategic Studies.
Japan’s Minister Nishimura Yasutoshi (
@nishy03
) will discuss how Japan and the UK can develop their partnership in the current complex global geopolitical environment.
Join the dialogue, A New Japan-UK Alliance for Evolution.
💬 Speaking at
#IISSMD21
Libya's Minister of Foreign Affairs
@NajlaElmangoush
says:
'We are witnessing firsthand very uncoordinated multilateral interference in our country, which in turn has escalated the local as well as regional insecurity and instability.'
@MFA_Libya
Since the 1980s, Iran has developed networks of influence across the Middle East, including in
#Lebanon
and
#Iraq
. Find out how these networks were created and how they are used by Tehran today in the latest IISS Strategic Dossier:
This afternoon, the IISS is pleased to host a special session with
@masrour_barzani
, Prime Minister of the Kurdistan Regional Government in Iraq, who will discuss the KRG’s perspective on security and regional developments in the Middle East.
#IISSMD21
I'm heading to Bahrain to attend the
@IISS_org
Manama Dialogue and speak to world leaders on security challenges in the Middle East and cooperation to promote peace and stability in the region.
The UK’s increasing awareness of China’s expanding geopolitical influence and its growing interest in defending the rules-based order against China adds momentum to ongoing efforts to deepen the Japan–UK global strategic partnership, writes
@YukaKoshino
:
To what extent does the integration of Chinese information technology and digital infrastructure create challenges for alliance intelligence and defence cooperation?
Explore the security-related concerns regarding China’s Digital Silk Road in our paper:
Asked about Macron’s recent call to avoid humiliating Putin,
@ZelenskyyUa
says ‘we needed pre-emptive diplomacy and sanctions before the war. It is too late to try to reach out to or comfort the Russian leadership’ |
#SLD22
While Australia has emphasised its ideological differences with China and has remained critical of China even as the country has imposed economic sanctions on Australian exports, New Zealand has responded differently to rising Chinese power and influence:
LIVE NOW: US
#SecDef
@EsperDoD
@DeptofDefense
discusses the US vision for security in the Indo–Pacific region and the way in which the US intends to engage on the issues of importance across the theatre.
Iran’s ballistic missile systems, supplemented by cruise missiles and UAVs, are intended not only for deterrence, but for battle, including by Iran’s regional partners.
Explore our detailed assessment of Iran’s missiles:
Macron has raised the possibility of European partners participating in some French nuclear exercises, but are allies likely to embrace the offer? Read our free analysis of Macron's strategic vision for Europe.
#LooksStrategic
|
We are delighted to announce that
@VeerleNouwens
has been appointed Executive Director of IISS–Asia, where she will play a key part in organising the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue and provide intellectual direction for our Asia-Pacific research
China’s targeting capabilities are very likely to be sufficient to support attacks against fixed targets throughout most of the first island chain and beyond.
Read the ISS research paper by
@VeerleNouwens
,
@Wright_T_J
,
@graham_euan
and
@BDHerzinger
:
➡
“America is in the Indo-Pacific to stay. This is our priority theatre; our interests and those of the region are inextricably intertwined” |
#SecDef
#Mattis
to
#SLD18
@DeptofDefense
Since the F-35 can carry air-to-ground weapons with a range of about 60km, it could release weapons to engage the S-400 system components & disengage before being detected by S-400 radars. It's likely that advanced US aircraft can defeat the S-400 |
Where is the current crisis over Ukraine leading, what choices does Russia now face, and how likely is war? In his latest article,
@Nigelgd1
explains why, despite intense diplomatic efforts, military conflict is looking more likely
We are delighted to announce that
@jamescrabtree
will join the IISS as Executive Director of our Asia office in Singapore! James is taking over from
@DrTimHuxley
, who has led IISS–Asia since 2007 1/2
'Finland and Sweden’s NATO membership will fundamentally alter deterrence and defense in the Baltic Sea and Nordic region.'
Read the latest analysis by IISS expert
@walberque
and
@minna_alander
Indo-Pacific strategy informs relationship with
#China
: “we are prepared to support China’s choices if they promote long-term peace and prosperity for all in this dynamic region” |
#SecDef
#Mattis
to
#SLD18
@DeptofDefense
Russia’s armed forces have benefited from more than a decade of investment and reform. Russia’s ground forces are now better equipped, with artillery central to ground manoeuvre capability. | Read the
#MilitaryBalance
2022:
Loitering munitions and UAVs have been playing a crucial role in the ongoing conflict in the Caucasus. But how do Armenian and Azerbaijani military UAV capabilities deployed in the conflict measure up against each other?
#LooksStrategic
|
'The most recent offensive raises the question of whether the West should emphasise a combined-arms, manoeuvre-based approach, or focus instead on helping Ukraine attain advantage via a destruction-based approach.'
Analysis by
@HoansSolo
&
@KofmanMichael
Sub-Saharan Africa is now the region with the greatest annual number of terrorist attacks globally.
Read the Regional Spotlight of our latest Armed Conflict Survey and find out more about the changing nature of Sub-Saharan jihadism:
Geo-economic competition is in full swing as Eastern Mediterranean countries seek to embed themselves in major connectivity projects.
Read our latest analysis:
We are delighted to announce that the IISS–Europe office is open in Berlin. It will serve as the central hub for our engagement with European powers and play an active part in shaping the security and defence debate in Germany and throughout the continent.
#MilitaryBalance
analysis - February 2024 | Russia’s losses over the past 24 months raise a key question: how long can Moscow sustain these equipment-attrition rates?
Read now ➡
‘You cannot treat an open wound with palliatives and painkillers; the Abraham Accords can only succeed if the Arab Peace Initiative is revived’ - HRH Prince Turki Al Faisal Al Saud
@kfcris_en
#IISSMD20
“Working together on the basis of shared principles, we can create a future that provides peace, prosperity, and security for all” |
#SecDef
#Mattis
to
#SLD18
@DeptofDefense
On Greece’s recent defence agreement with France, Foreign Minister
@NikosDendias
says that it is not aimed at any nation. If another nation thinks otherwise, perhaps they see themselves as our adversaries |
#IISSMD21
Houthi rebels in Yemen have amassed a diverse array of anti-ship weaponry which they have recently used to threaten shipping in the Red Sea.
@fab_hinz
analyses their capabilities.
How does a British and a Russian ‘heavy’ division compare in terms of combat equipment? In this
#LooksStrategic
graphic we compare the armour, anti-armour and artillery capabilities of the 3rd UK Division with those found in Russia's 4th tank division |
That's a wrap for
#IISSMD22
! We were delighted that the Royal Air Force Aerobatic Team, the Red Arrows, were able to provide this spectacular send-off to the many hundreds of delegates and officials who took part in the debate.
Thank you so much
@rafredarrows
!
Yemen’s Houthi rebels has been threatening shipping in the Red Sea with an increasingly diverse and capable range of anti-ship missiles.
@fab_hinz
explains.
Scrapping its French submarine project in favour of a UK–US nuclear-powered successor seems abrupt, but it reflects the seriousness of Australia’s pursuit of a strengthened deterrent against an emerging Chinese threat | New analysis by
@graham_euan
During the First Sea Lord's Sea Power Conference 2021, taking place on 19 May, we'll explore the maritime contribution to the UK's defence, security, foreign and development policy ambitions.
#SeaPowerConference
Find out more:
The most effective way for Ukraine to rebuild its advantage is to mount an effective defence in depth, which will reduce Ukraine’s losses and ammunition requirements.
Analysis by
@HoansSolo
and
@KofmanMichael
We are honoured to host Germany’s Minister of Defence Boris Pistorius at the 20th IISS Shangri-La Dialogue this weekend. He will speak on Sun 4 June at 09:30 SGT |
@BMVg_Bundeswehr
#SLD23
See the full speaker agenda:
It is with regret and sadness that the IISS must announce the cancellation of the 2021 Shangri-La Dialogue summit, which was set to take place in Singapore on 4–5 June 2021
#SLD21
1/2 | Full statement:
Open-source satellite imagery has revealed the suspected development of a new missile base near Haji Abad in Iran, possibly the first hardened launch site intended specifically for solid-fuel ballistic missiles.
Read the analysis by
@JosephHDempsey
:
The Military Balance 2020 comes with a brand new wall chart assessing global inventories of land-attack cruise missiles. Access free resources and find out more about what's included in this year's
#MilitaryBalance
:
Russian nuclear doctrine, especially its doctrine related to non-strategic nuclear weapons (
#NSNW
), has become one of the most pressing issues in Euro-Atlantic security.
Read the latest IISS research report by
@walberque
:
➡
As part of its Free and Open Indo-Pacific concept, Japan has provided law-enforcement agencies in Southeast Asia with patrol and surveillance vessels to improve maritime security. Find out more in the Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2021:
Since 2000,
#China
has built more subs, destroyers, frigates & corvettes than Japan, South Korea & India combined; total tonnage of new warships & auxiliaries launched by China in last 4 years exceeds entire French navy
#MilitaryBalance
We are delighted to announce that Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albanese
@AlboMP
will deliver the Keynote Address at the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue, which will take place in Singapore on 2–4 June 2023 |
#SLD23
How far does
#Iran
's influence extend across the region? Learn more about the networks
#Soleimani
cultivated and Tehran's strategy in the free chapter of our Strategic Dossier |
The IISS is proud to share that its Director-General and Chief Executive
@chipmanj
has been been knighted in His Majesty The King’s Birthday Honours for his ‘services to International Peace and Security’ | Full details:
The Board of Trustees of IISS, chaired by
@bill_emmott
, is delighted to announce that following a global search it has appointed Dr Bastian Giegerich as the next Director-General and Chief Executive of the IISS.
Dr Giegerich will assume the role on 1 October 2023, in succession…
Today we were honoured to host Richard Moore
@ChiefMI6
for his first public speech. He explained the seismic changes he sees in the world, specifically in the espionage environment | Watch his speech in full here:
Russian nuclear doctrine, especially its doctrine related to non-strategic nuclear weapons (
#NSNW
), has become one of the most pressing issues in Euro-Atlantic security.
Read the latest IISS research report by
@walberque
:
➡
Ukraine’s success at intercepting Russia’s land-attack cruise missiles has arguably demonstrated a vulnerability in Russia’s nuclear-war planning.
Read more:
IISS Trustee Chair
@bill_emmott
moderates a discussion with Japan’s Minister Nishimura Yasutoshi (
@nishy03
).
Watch for insights into the economic relations between Japan and the UK.
📅 Wednesday 6 September
⏰ 14:10 - 15:00 (BST)
📍 Hybrid
Can Greece respond to Turkey’s activities in the Mediterranean basin? Here we look at the commissioning of Greek and Turkish attack submarines, frigates and corvettes. Read more about Greek and Turkish naval assets in our analysis.
#LooksStrategic
|
The ability to hold high-value targets at risk was already identified as a critical capability by
#NATO
prior to the war in
#Ukraine
.
Read our
#MissileDialogueInitiative
report to learn about NATO’s long-range conventional precision-strike capabilities:
The IISS has concluded the 19th IISS Shangri-La Dialogue. Thank you to everyone who joined us!
It was held against the geopolitical backdrop of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and underlined the prime importance of defence diplomacy.
@chipmanj
wraps up
#SLD22
:
NATO defence ministers have formally adopted the Alliance’s first artificial intelligence (AI) strategy. What are the four critical obstacles to implementation that NATO will face?
Read the latest
#MilitaryBalance
analysis by
@Simona_Soare
.
The Russian perception of the lack of credible Western will to use nuclear weapons or to accept casualties in conflict further reinforces Russia’s aggressive non-strategic nuclear weapons (
#NSNW
) thought and doctrine.
Latest IISS research:
Asked about Taiwan,
@ZelenskyyUa
emphasises that ‘no country benefits from war apart from a small number of people in aggressor countries. If there is a diplomatic solution, it should be pursued pre-emptively’ |
#SLD22
"This is an important wake-up call for those who predicted that future warfare would be dominated by disinformation campaigns, offensive cyber operations...there is no substitute for strong conventional military capabilities."
@HoansSolo
In 2020 and 2021, the PLA supported China’s civilian COVID-19-related diplomatic activities. In a new IISS research paper,
@MeiaNouwens
takes a closer look at the PLA’s military diplomatic role and its recipients.
Find out more:
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is emerging as a grand strategic mistake. As the situation becomes more volatile and less predictable, is escalation the only way forward for a weakened Putin? | New analysis by
@Nigelgd1
Northrop Grumman’s B-21 Raider is smaller, cheaper and easier to maintain than its predecessor, the B-2, and features new advances in low-observable technology.
Read Douglas Barrie’s latest
#Analysis
.
‘There is no alternative to peace in Yemen - treating the conflict as a regional proxy war is a mistake’ | Yemen’s Foreign Minister
@BinmubarakAhmed
#IISSMD21
“It could be a terrible strategic mistake by Vladimir Putin because he’s underestimated the urban problem.” Franz-Stefan Gady (
@HoansSolo
) via
@TheEconomist
‘Germany is committed to contributing to peace and security in the Indo-Pacific. We are ready to strengthen our engagement; we want to actively support multilateral fora and institutions for the peaceful settlement of conflicts’ |
#Pistorius
@BMVg_Bundeswehr
#SLD23
…