Jennifer Kavanagh
@jekavanagh
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Senior Fellow & Director of Military Analysis @Defpriorities. Formerly @CarnegieEndow @RANDCorporation. Tweets on U.S. defense policy & military strategy.
Washington, DC
Joined July 2012
The past 2 weeks underscored the risks that come w/ having U.S. military forces in the ME. They played little role in the U.S. strike on Iran, but became a costly vulnerability when Iran retaliated. @dandcaldwell & I argue in @washingtonpost that it's time to bring them home.
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@USNavy aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford has entered the Caribbean Sea, bringing it in range of Venezuela as President Donald Trump continues to weigh whether to order military land strikes against drug targets there or potentially order action that directly targets its president
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Does anyone believe Russia has plans to attack and march across Europe on its way to Ireland? Or even spends a lot of time thinking about Ireland at all?
Lara Marlowe: Does anyone believe that Russia would respect Irish neutrality in a major European war?
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But would Japan fight for Taiwan if the U.S. stayed out? Highly unlikely. Easy to talk tough when you depend on someone else for your security.....
@AngelicaOung 80% of Japanese people support Takaichi’s comments on Taiwan though. It even increased since August! Oddly, it seems like the Japanese people are more willing to fight for Taiwan than Taiwanese themselves? https://t.co/QkEVA7cPxo
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Very true. Also, can we stop pretending that Bridge or the Pentagon is acting against the White House's wishes? Trump has made clear he wants to reduce U.S. overseas commitments & burdenshift to allies.
The fuss over @ElbridgeColby isn’t about process or some rotational brigade in Romania. It’s about protecting the status quo. Pretty rich coming from a Congress that spent decades dodging Article I while funding wars most members never voted to authorize. https://t.co/Edem9U4QlJ
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The fundamental problem with these hits pieces on Bridge is that they are largely premised on him having powers he doesn't possess. Bridge can't order an aid freeze for Ukraine, withdraw a brigade from Europe, or cancel AUKUS - only SecWar or POTUS can order those things.
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Is it a con if the "victim" is an active & willing participant in the crime? The American people have certainly been taken advantage of but vested Pentagon interests have benefited for the current way of doing business for decades.
"(The) defense industrial base broadly, and the primes in particular, conned the American people and the Pentagon and the Army," Army Secretary Driscoll said.
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When will we finally acknowledge that "more America" is not the solution to every global challenge, instability, or war?
This “new path” is the old path, only more so — doubling down on defending the Gulf states, now with an explicit security guarantee. And just like at almost every point for the last three decades, the promise is that peace and stability in the Middle East lies just around the
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https://t.co/PLWki0CBL5 via @NYTimes Informed speculation about the meaning and impact of the PLA purges. No one really knows what the impact is. But it seems that most observers believe that the issue underlying the purges is corruption, not power struggles.
nytimes.com
The shake-up in China’s armed forces comes as both Beijing and Washington are pushing through major changes in their country’s militaries, in different ways.
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THIS is the issue that can unite the American electorate.
Trump officials have a new target: the Dulles “people movers.” White House calls them “notorious,” citing accident this week. And a Trump nominee to Dulles board says he has a plan to kill the shuttles. https://t.co/veGh6LCKdt
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In response to our story about UK suspending some intel sharing with the US… Colombia’s president now says he’s ordered Colombian security services to suspend intelligence sharing with the US
Se da orden a todos los niveles de la inteligencia de la fuerza pública suspender envío de comunicaciones y otros tratos con agencias de seguridad estadounidenses. Tal medida se mantendrá mientras se mantenga el ataque con misiles a lanchas en el Caribe. La lucha contra las
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For those denying reality - the current situation in Pokrovsk/Myrnohrad per DeepState; Ukrainian troops in Myrnohrad and to the south of Myrnohrad are operationally encircled. A full encirclement is eminently possible. This should not have been allowed to happen.
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BREAKING - USS Ford aircraft carrier strike group arrives in SOUTHCOM AOR. Story coming
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“It would be a fiasco,” said Maj. Gen. Paul D. Eaton, a retired Army veteran of the war in Iraq and U.S. efforts to counter the insurgency there U.S. Military Draws Up Nigeria Plans, With Limited Options to Quell Violence https://t.co/INgS2Gg2JH
nytimes.com
American forces are unlikely to be able to end a decades-long insurgency in Africa’s most populous country, despite President Trump’s order, officials said.
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Important line to note from this post: "We had productive discussions on practical ways to expand defense cooperation that will enable the ROK to lead its own defense against the DPRK." 💯
I met with Minister Ahn during the U.S.-ROK Security Consultative Meeting and spoke with President Lee in Seoul. The ROK is a strong, model ally that has always invested in its own defense like President Trump wants. We had productive discussions on practical ways to expand
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A new generation of officials, analysts and podcasters has risen in the wake of the Iraq War that Cheney spearheaded. They are known as the restrainers and constitute a major faction in the Trump administration. 🧵 https://t.co/57geIxHkkE
asia.nikkei.com
Views of American power have changed in shadow of Iraq War former VP spearheaded
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It's too late to "pivot to Asia" in my view. The admin's statements about achieving a "balance of power" in Asia acknowledge this reality.
On Trump's G2: Biden officials said the phrase instills fear among US allies in China's neighborhood. But restrainers see the concept as a natural development and an acknowledgement that the U.S. can no longer maintain dominance in Asia. @jekavanagh
https://t.co/Ao3YOSaCGx
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On Trump's G2: Biden officials said the phrase instills fear among US allies in China's neighborhood. But restrainers see the concept as a natural development and an acknowledgement that the U.S. can no longer maintain dominance in Asia. @jekavanagh
https://t.co/Ao3YOSaCGx
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How does U.S. domestic law and policy influence foreign policy decision-making? Prof. Dale Copelan (@Copela1492), Dr. Jennifer Kavanagh (@jekavanagh), Dr. Julian Ku (@julianku), Hon. Steve Yates (@YatesComms), and Mike Berry explore recent developments in U.S.- Taiwan policy.
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The constraint Ukraine faces now is not systems but interceptor missiles. It doesn't matter how many systems you have if you don't have enough missiles to fire from them.
It would appear the transfer of two Patriot air defense systems promised to Ukraine by Germany in August is now complete. President Zelensky said today that Kyiv has now "strengthened the 'Patriot' component of our Ukrainian air defense," adding that "the agreements reached have
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