🚨 Collapse of the land carbon sink in 2023 🚨
As the CO2 growth rate reached a record high at Mauna Loa, we set up a low-latency analysis of the carbon budget and found that plants and soils absorbed almost no CO2 last year
@gcarbonproject
@gpbalsamo
🚨 The decline of the northern sink was masked by recent good conditions in the Tropics absorbing CO2, but in the coming years if this decline continues, we may see a rapid acceleration of CO2 and global warming which was unforeseen in future climate models projections
Just realized when writing my annual activity report that the bar of the thousand papers was passed. Pride or shame ? - At least, I believe to have provided a real contribution to each of them and just love writing scientific papers
Revealing critical soil moisture thresholds of plant water stress across the world 🍂
Delighted to see our publication
@ZhengFu7
just published
@ScienceAdvances
. When
#drought
draws down soil moisture to the point at which plants reduce transpiration
It is a great honor for me to become an elected foreign member of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. I have worked with truly amazing scientists from China, including incredibly bright students.
🌳 Breakthrough in carbon cycle research 🌳
Nation-wide mapping of tree-level carbon stocks in Rwanda 🇷🇼 👏
@mumaurice
👏
@matin_brand
Incredible
@NatureClimate
paper using deep learning & computer vision to delineate each tree and weight its carbon
Take home :
✅ Even if 2023 was a transition from a La Niña ( good for carbon sinks) to a moderate El Niño, we see a sudden drop of the land carbon sink from extreme warming and Amazon mega-drought
Cette belle carte de dépopulation fait penser aux impacts sur la repousse des forêts et les puits de carbone en France
En Chine, c’est un déterminant fondamental de l’absorption de carbone
✅ In fact, the northern land sink appears to have declined by 50% since 2015 from droughts while the tropics recovered from 2015 El Niño, were a sink during the recent cool and wet La Niña from 2020 to mid 2023 and turned to a source in 2023 with a modest El Niño
We used a very high resolution atmospheric inversion at 0.7° and
@IamOCO2
column CO2 concentration
3 dynamic vegetation models forced by climate data
@CopernicusECMWF
AI-emulators of process & data driven ocean models
@gcarbonproject
Fire emissions
@GuidovanderWerf
& GFAS
New paper on phenology 🌱🍃🌲
Just published today. Besides warming, rainfall events becoming more sparse in the northern lands associate with an advance of leaf green up
Données de 120 ans de rendements 🌾 agricoles en France 🇫🇷sur 96 départements
@CEAParisSaclay
@INSU_CNRS
@CLAND_saclay
Un travail de sauvetage et de reconstruction de précieuses données dans de vieux registres 📜 disséminés dans toute la France.
Map of regional anomalies per season
- Losses of carbon from Canadian fires ≈ 0.5 GtC y-1
- Large loss of carbon from the Amazon in the end of the year
- more contrasts in the inversion map but good agreement
- The ocean was a higher sink than 2022
We are looking for candidates for 7 positions in modeling key vulnerabilities of terrestrial carbon stocks : microbial carbon use, extreme fires, permafrost collapse, legacy effects of droughts, nutrient limitation, and near-real time predictions
Our analysis of the global carbon budget ⤵️
Top :
Fossil fuel & cement emissions from
@Carbon_Monitor
and GCP projections.
Bottom :
Large bars : the bottom up approach ( vegetation + ocean models +
@NOAA
stations growth rate )
Small bars inside : the top down inversion
ESA also has an awesome new series of global biomass maps at 100 m resolution
@esaclimate
It’s a very nice asset for carbon research and nature based solutions. 🌲 🌴 🌳 Note : it’s a woody biomass map
Le déclin de la recherche Française. Du vécu en 31 ans de carrière, pourtant sur un sujet « porteur ». Budgets en baisse, bureaucratie implacable, gouvernance souvent détachée du réel, pas de soutien pour les jeunes chercheurs, insuffisance de la reconnaissance du mérite.
New data paper : 120 years of crop yields in France for 96 subnational units.
Incredible work done some years ago by H. Kato 👏
who traveled to different libraries for digitizing the old handbooks. There was no national archive 🤔
All in free access
Peatlands drained for agriculture release CO2 to the atmosphere, equivalent to 5% of global fossil emissions
@IPSL_outreach
@CEA_Officiel
This is a blindspot of carbon budgets !
Delighted to see our publication led by Lei Ma published
@CommsEarth
Please check our new publication on the effect of gross forest loss and gain on land surface temperature 🌡️ 🌳
@NatureClimate
@IPSL_outreach
Teaser : it is asymmetric, one unit area of forest gain gives more cooling than a unit area of forest loss
When we plot the CO2 flux anomalies in regions ranked from coldest to warmest temperatures during 1991-2020, we see that :
Regions with hot temperatures losing carbon on 2010-22
Loss was much larger in those regions in 2023, especially in the Tropics ( light red )
🌀 🌀 🌀 The latest update of
#CH4
atmospheric data as the
#Nordstream
plume is spreading ( credits M. Ramonet
#LSCE
and all
@ICOS_RI
stations investigators )
We are looking for two postdocs to work in a joint team with
@Kayrros
and
#LSCE
in Paris on very high resolution remote sensing imagery for mapping biomass and forest carbon stocks, and how they change. Please contact me if you are interested
🔥 Les 90 Million de tonnes de C émises dans l’atmosphère avec les récents feux boréaux dépassent les émissions annuelles de CO2 fossile de la France ( 83 Mt C a-1 )😱Ces feedbacks sur le CO2 et climat des feux extrêmes ne sont pas inclus dans les projections du « carbon budget »
Pleased to announce that near real time CO2 emissions data from Carbon Monitor are updated to the end of Oct by Z. Deng
@Tsinghua_Uni
China higher than in 2019
US still below 2019
Data is public freely available!
@CLAND_saclay
@gcarbonproject
Coarse-resolution burned area datasets severely underestimate fire-related forest loss.
@esaclimate
New high resolution burned area data combined with forest area loss in Africa indicate a much larger share of forest lost from fires - by
@AminKhairoun
W’re looking for a motivated candidate for a research software engineer position to help our team
@LSCE_IPSL
@IPSL_outreach
to produce forest maps at scale using satellite imagery, LiDAR, ground data &
#ArtificialIntelligence
models
🙏for distributing !
The
#Amazon
#droughts
of the past 20 years caused more biomass loss than any previous ones in 20th century
@YitongYao
@EJoetzjer
@IPSL_outreach
Happy to share our study of the impact on tree mortality & biomass of extreme Amazon droughts
1 / 🧵…
🌍We are hiring two postdoctoral positions to analyze new near real time global CO2 and CH4 datasets and write great research papers
🌟Please apply or forward to interested candidates 🌟
In the
@gcarbonproject
@PFriedling
to keep warming below 1.5° without overshoot and negative emissions requires emissions to drop by ≈ 5% per year to reach net-zero in 2040. The
@IPCC_CH
1.5° special report published few years ago had -45% below 2010 and net-zero in 2050
… 🧶
Delighted to share the FIRST ATMOSPHERIC INVERSION estimate of the
#Nordstream
CH4 emissions using
@ICOS_RI
stations
👉 70000 tCH4 👈
Three times less than based on the initial content of the three pipelines
@mic_ramonet
Preliminary results. Hope more estimates come soon
Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage could remove more carbon than afforestation by 2100, but the carbon emissions from land-use change and climate feedbacks may outweigh its regional benefits
@I_Melnikova
@ciais_philippe
@KatsuTanaka
🌲 Pour compléter …
➡️ Le puits de carbone de région Rhone Alpes a baissé de 50% en dix ans
➡️ C’est LA région 🇫🇷 où l’absorption de CO2 des 🌲 reste la plus forte
➡️ 6 Millions de tonnes CO2 par an 🌲 représente une absorption de 2% des émissions CO2 fossile nationales 🏭
The role of grasslands on climate change
right link :
Chang J, Ciais P, Gasser T, et al. (2021). Climate warming from managed grasslands cancels the cooling effect of carbon sinks in sparsely grazed and natural grasslands. Nature Communications DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20406-7
Field-based tree mortality constraint reduces estimates of model-projected forest carbon sinks
Constraining carbon sink in forests using field observations of mortality
Please check our study, published few weeks ago by Kailiang Yu
@SISeneviratne
Ash Ballantyne & colleagues
We are hiring 2 motivated young research scientists
@LSCE_IPSL
Paris &
@INRAE_France
Bordeaux to work on African forests with 🛰️, 🌳, 💻,
#AI
in the One Forest Vision research program between African countries & France
LSCE:
INRAE:
Aha - a little bonus as the plume is patly gearing eastwards ⤵️
The new CH4 data from Ro’ch Trebudon in Brittany, a new station from the French greenhouse gas monitoring net. It’s in Yellow at the bottom
🍃 🌳 Tropical forest degradation accelerates climate warming
@esaclimate
@CEA_Officiel
@TTTWL
In our new publication, satellite data of forest
#carbon
and surface temperature, show that biophysical local warming adds to global warming from CO2 losses 🧶
🍂 Tour des régions Françaises 🇫🇷 de l’absorption de carbone des forêts
Données officielles
#CITEPA
@IGNFrance
Une région chaque jour ⤵️
Jour
#4
🌳 REGION AUVERGNE
@auvergnerhalpes
🚨Une région où le puits de carbone des forets a disparu 🚨
🧶 data viz
@ChuanlongZhou
🌲 Global map of root biomass across the world's forests 🌳
@esaclimate
@CLAND_saclay
( 10000 field records + machine learning + gridded predictors ) x
@YuanyuanHuang18
= 1 km global belowground biomass map
Less C than in previous upscaling studies
Inhibitive Effects Air Temperature and Water Limitation on Photosynthesis Reversed Global Greening in Earth's Future
Our article led by B. Chen just published in
@EarthsFutureEiC
Our Nature Food paper just published
@CLAND_saclay
@IPSL_outreach
@INSU_CNRS
Twice as much GHG emissions from animal based than plant based foods
Farm management emissions = 38% of total emissions
Land use change emissions = 29% of total emissions
Amazon rainforests green up when the air gets dry
@CLAND_saclay
@gcarbonproject
@UnivParisSaclay
New observational study shows that in certain regions of the Amazon, forests increase photosynthesis when air dryness increases while models show the opposite
EXPLOSIVE ATMOSPHERIC METHANE AT 1,930 ppb
Headed fast for 1,950 ppb.
At this rate methane soon triple pre-industrial. Natural gas (methane) & tropical wetland feedback.
Human race cannot survive record rate of atmospheric methane and CO2 increase.
...
For CO2, we found that Brazil and Democratic Republic of Congo are net CO2 sources to the atmosphere, despite large forest areas & South Africa became a source recently
@ZhuDeng3
@esaclimate
@gcarbonproject
Une étude du Washington Post révèle les problèmes de certains inventaires nationaux des émissions de gas à effet de serre.
Ravi que nos recherches soient remarquées et utilisées
#COP26
@INSU_CNRS
@IPSL_outreach
Our new paper in open discussion: a Global Dynamic Vegetation Model with a detailed hydraulic architecture and mortality from loss of tree conductance and cavitation.
@YitongYao
with
@FabioCresto
@rosie_a_fisher
@EJoetzjer
👉 Caxiauna drought experiment
Effects of climate warming on leaf unfolding - Just published in
@NatureClimate
A unified
#phenology
model by Haicheng Zhang shows how greater spring heat and changes in winter coldness have driven earlier leaf unfolding trends
Free read :
The litter that slowed down the carbon cycle
@joseppenuelas
@GlobalChangeBio
Great analysis by Yue He just published. A slower litter carbon turnover is a good news for carbon sinks, at least in the short term. Yet missing an accounting of woody debris.
Greening drylands despite warming consistent with CO2 fertilization
Cool paper
@AlemuGonsamo
@GlobalChangeBio
showing that the same increase of soil moisture makes more green leaves than 30 yr ago. Rising CO2 -> plants reduce their marginal water loss