I think if you call something “AI 2027” and your predictions are wrong 6 months in that you now think it is AI 2030 , you should redo the branding ( or make a change bigger than a footnote!)

You're so vain you probably think this tweet is about you.

Nvidia Earnings Hit the Tape, Powell Rate Cut in Doubt

Save the date: next Progress Conference is Oct 8–11, 2026 Some videos are already out, along with plenty of post-conference writeups, check them out here:

My full conversation with @tylercowen is now out! We talked about: – why talent, not money, is the real binding constraint—and why the very best people are still underpriced – Luca vs. LeBron as a lesson in toxic genius, team fit, and when “more talent” backfires – how the

Here's Marginal Revolution, cc @tylercowen

If you are thinking about ditching health insurance all together but are worried about going completely naked in the case something big comes up, you should give CrowdHealth a look. Here is what our CrowdHealth members have paid on average/month over the last 12 months: $143

Generation Z is doing unusually *well* economically. The typical 25-year-old today has a higher annual income, net worth, and likelihood of being employed than the typical millennial or boomer did at 25. (Of course, AI might be about to change that) https://t.co/OqoaC4SD4Q

NEW ODD LOTS: Why AI has yet to change the world @tracyalloway and I chat with @tylercowen for the first time

This is insanely impressive

My guest today is @GarettJones. Garett is a professor of economics at George Mason University. The books we focus on in this episode are “10% Less Democracy: Why You should trust elites a little more and the public a little less” and “The Culture Transplant: How Migrants Make the

Fair housing protections in NY extend to citizenship & immigration status. Regardless of whether you are a U.S. citizen, permanent resident, or undocumented, you cannot be denied housing for that reason. Protect your rights. (631) 567-5111 ext. 375

15 notes on writing online in 2025

One of the more humbling lessons I’ve learned in business is that decisions that don’t make sense in the moment but compound in a way I didn’t predict are often because the person making the decision is playing a different game over a longer time horizon that I didn’t spot or

I'd be really excited to see this turn into a good preemption deal. It seems like we’re not off to a great start: while no one has actually read the speculated NDAA provisions, plenty of strong opinions are already floating around. I strongly suspect that maximalist rhetoric

This conversation was one of the highlights of the Progress Conference for me. I regret that English lacks a metaphor in common use for “inside baseball, but laudatory” because it includes *so much* of that regarding air engineering, airports, etc.

My very fun Conversation with Blake Scholl, https://t.co/XUKAkXOf5k, @bscholl, how to make everything faster, supersonic transport as well.

This conversation with @tylercowen was a blast—and got to spend time on topics I haven’t otherwise talked much about—like airport security

Blake Scholl is one of the leading figures working to bring back commercial supersonic flight as the founder and CEO of @boomsupersonic. But he's equally as impressive as someone who thinks systematically about improving dysfunction—whether it's airport design, traffic

I am pretty sure that this, with @atabarrok and @tylercowen will be, hands down, the most comprehensive and enlightening discussion of tariffs that you’ll hear (or read—there’s a quality transcript) all day: https://t.co/uNYPFReng8

“It may in fact be a defining characteristic of the modern novel (as of bourgeois society) that it takes aspiration, getting ahead, seriously, rather than simply as the object of satire (which was the case in much earlier, more aristocratically determined literature), & thus it

I think most people’s level of engagement with problems in the world is unreasonably impacted by the availability of viscerally disturbing images https://t.co/gGkqVSmZl4

TARIFFS RETVRN After decades of trade liberalization, tariffs are back in fashion. @ATabarrok and @tylercowen talk incidence, retaliation, exchange rate confusion, and the Georgist plot twist: what if tariffs on soybeans are really just taxing Iowa farmland? 0:00:00 - The