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Trudeau opposes social media news efforts
TRUDEAU: "social media drivers" are doing everything they can to prevent people from "agreeing on a common set of facts."
Thank you for acknowledging our hard work, Justin. We're glad you noticed. 🫡😉
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BREAKING: In an effort to refill the SPR faster, the DOE has announced monthly solicitations to buy crude at $79 per barrel going out to May 2024, with hopes of buying up to 6 million barrels for Dec & Jan delivery.
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JPM on oil: "We believe the lows are behind us and continue to see Brent oil trading in high $80s by May, with a distinct possibility of crude overshooting our price target to the upside"...
@DryBulkETF
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Oil fundamentals are about to turn decisively bullish - Rystad
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Energy is the cheapest sector in the S&P 500, and makes the most cash - Bloomberg
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"literally every hedge fund is neck deep in energy shorts. What can possibly go wrong."
@zerohedge
"HFs sold US Energy at the fastest pace in 7 months led by short sales. This week’s net selling in Energy ranks in the 98th percentile vs. the past five years." - GS PB.
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Devon Energy: “energy represents less than 4% of the S&P 500 while contributing more than 10% of the EBITDA in 2023"
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FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON SAYS FRANCE TO ASK OIL INDUSTRY TO SELL FUELS AT COST
Sounds like Communism
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Cramer just turned bearish on Oil, he said to fade this rally on Oil.
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OIL MARKET: Massive revision to US oil demand and supply data.
@EIAgov
pegs US total demand at 20.776m b/d in May using monthly data (up 973,000 b/d from 19.803m b/d using weekly data).
Seasonally, total US oil demand in May 2023 was the highest ever for May -
@JavierBlas
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JP Morgan: without counter-measures, oil headed to $100
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US Cancels Latest Oil Reserve Refill Plan Amid High Prices - Bloomberg
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Valero: We do believe that the DOE is understating gasoline demand ... We're seeing gasoline sales in our system, up 14% year-over-year, up 20% from pre-pandemic levels - Bloomberg
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Buffett on the inevitable surge in energy prices:
"When the dust settles, America’s power needs and the consequent capital expenditure will be staggering."
- ZeroHedge
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Goldman Sachs warns an extended disruption in Strait of Hormuz could double oil price
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🚨 India's Oil Minister: “If we start buying more of the Middle Eastern oil, the oil price will not be at $75 or $76. It will be $150.”
@OilandEnergy
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Bloomberg: Global Oil Inventories are Declining
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Bloomberg: Saudi Arabia's energy minister has just said speculators are the problem, not demand.
“It’s not weak,” Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said in Riyadh, when asked about the decline in oil prices. “People are pretending it’s weak. It’s all a ploy.”
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US oil reserves are now at their lowest level since 1985 - BofA Global Investment Strategy
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OIL TO REACH $100 BY YEAR END SAYS PIONEER CEO SHEFFIELD
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WTI hits the average price at which Biden drained the SPR.
Oil is back to where it was a year ago but the US now has 250MM fewer barrels of emergency oil - ZeroHedge
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WE BELIEVE THIS IS JUST THE BEGINNING OF A STRUCTURAL BULL MARKET IN COMMODITIES - STIFEL
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API weekly oil & products inventory report:
Crude -15.4 million (!!) vs. -900,000 exp.
Gasoline -1.68 million
Distillates -512,000
Cushing -1.76 million
@JuliOnTwtr
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JPMorgan says oil could spike to $150, gets very bullish on energy stocks - Marketsday
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🚨 US crude supply adjustment turning negative, could indicate an overestimate of US crude production
@staunovo
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U.S. to return emergency oil reserve to prior levels by year-end - REUTERS
🤥
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RUSSIA EXPECTS TO SELL GAS TO CHINA AT HALF THE PRICE FOR EUROPE.
Wow
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Goldman: our nowcast indicates China oil demand ticked up to 15.9 mb/d in the latest reading
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The US Is Now Producing More Oil Than Any Country Has In History
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Energy fund manager Eric Nutall: we may see the sharpest crude inventory draws in history in August. Inventories could fall by as much as 3 million bpd - "absolutely unseen"
@OilandEnergy
@ericnuttall
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Energy sector earnings as % of S&P: 11%
Energy sector mkt cap as % of S&P: 4%
Tech sector earnings as % of S&P: 18%
Tech sector mkt cap as % of S&P: 29%
via
@NDR_Research
@MebFaber
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"$100 oil is not that expensive any more:" JPMorgan's Christyan Malek. "What’s the real sort of of level of normalized market prices the world can acclimatize to? We don’t know. We think $110 to $120 is fine.” - Bloomberg
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BP: Oil demand continues to be very strong, and there's not very much spare capacity outside Saudi, really. So capacity is tight.
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Oil markets will face ‘serious problems’ as demand from China and India ramps up - CNBC
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Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B just filed for its purchase of 10.5M shares of Occidental $OXY for $588.7 Million
@StockMKTNewz
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Goldman Sachs predicts the fair value of crude oil to reach $97 a barrel by the end of the year.
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CITI: OPEC+ MAY EXTEND AND DEEPEN OIL CUTS IN 2024.
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Saudi Arabia could 'flush' the oil market with a flood of supply to regain control over prices in the face of rising US production, crude expert says
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JPMORGAN: “.. we are turning bullish once again on the global energy complex. We reiterate our $80/bbl LT target and view .. that the upside risk to oil is $150/bbl over the near to medium term and $100/bbl [long-term].”
@carlquintanilla
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US Oil & Gas stocks are historically cheap to the broader market - Bob Elliott
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Oil Is Going To $300 A Barrel - Forbes
The best ideas are the simplest and the biggest markets are the best. So here is a simple idea for one of the biggest markets out there. It is oil.
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Speculators Are Least Bullish on Oil on Record - Bloomberg
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Crude oil prices could go as high as $140 per barrel and send the world into a recession, Paris-based Allianz Trade said on Friday. - Oil Price
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EXXON MOBIL IN FINAL TALKS TO BUY PIONEER RESOURCES
IN A MASSIVE $60 BILLION DOLLAR DEAL $xom $pxd
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Bloomberg: Shares of clean energy producers are collapsing
Good
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Chevron and Exxon's earnings show that the oil market is much tighter than people think - CNBC
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Goldman Sachs: China demand has recovered to 15.8 mb/d, 16% above 2019 levels
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Oil Market to Get ‘Extremely Tight’ in Second Half, Citadel Says - Bloomberg
Prices could rise to a level that will constrain demand
OPEC regained control of the market
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Oil strategist says the market could be caught off guard by a crude spike this summer - CNBC
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🚨 SAUDI TO EXTEND VOLUNTARY CUT OF 1M B/D THROUGH SEPTEMBER
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OPEC RAISES MEDIUM AND LONG TERM OIL DEMAND FORECASTS IN FORTHCOMING WORLD OIL OUTLOOK REPORT
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New Filing: Berkshire Hathaway bought 5.18 million more shares of Occidental Petroleum over the last three days.
Average purchase price of $60.22 per $OXY share for a total outlay of $312.1 million.
Berkshire now owns 27.7% of the O&G giant. $BRK.A $BRK.B
@kejca
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As Global Oil Inventories Are Rapidly, Unexpectedly Sinking, JPM Sees $10 Crude Jump By May - ZeroHedge
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Long-time fund manager makes a bold crude oil prediction for 2024 - The Street
"With Russia and Saudi Arabia conspiring on production cuts, the price of oil exceeds $110/barrel, and the price of a gallon of gasoline in the U.S. approaches $6," warns Kass.
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The US Is Now Producing More Oil Than Any Country Has In History
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"Being short oil and commodities in a late-cycle expansion is like being short natural gas in a blizzard,” Jeff Currie
“Being short oil and commodities in a late-cycle expansion is like being short natural gas in a blizzard,” Jeff Currie, Carlyle’s chief strategy officer of energy pathways, says during an interview with Alix Steel on Bloomberg Television
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In France, demand for gasoline hit a 20-year high during the summer. In Spain, it’s risen to the highest in more than a decade. And in eastern European nations like Poland, it’s the strongest ever. - Bloomberg
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Oil supply shocks are threatening to propel prices to $100 a barrel as geopolitical tensions escalate, signaling pain at the pump that could imperil Joe Biden's reelection chances and complicate central banks' rate-cut deliberations - Bloomberg
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GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTS ‘ALL TIME HIGH’ OIL DEMAND TO SPUR LARGE DEFICITS, BOOSTING PRICES - CNBC
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Two Permian rivals, Diamondback Energy and Endeavor Energy Resources, are finalizing a merger that would create an oil-and-gas behemoth worth more than $50 billion - WSJ
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🚨 EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS PRICE TTF SURGES 17%
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Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway trimmed its flagship position in Apple in the fourth quarter. Berkshire also reduced its position in HP, while adding to its stakes in Chevron and Occidental Petroleum. - WSJ
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JPMORGAN: WORLD OIL DEMAND IS SET TO AVERAGE 101.4 MBD THIS YEAR, ALMOST 1 MBD ABOVE 2019, AND A NEW RECORD.
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Saudi energy minister not pulling any punches in Calgary this morning - “if I were the IEA I would be very ashamed” referring to recent oil forecasts -
@Devikakrishnak
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RUSSIAN GOVERNMENT TELLS OIL COMPANIES TO CUT OUTPUT TO 9 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY BY END OF JUNE
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WTI oil up 1.55% on rumors of a large decline in US inventories this week
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"Gasoline demand is at an all-time high. Crude oil demand is at an all-time high. EV penetration is not eating into demand" - Exxon
@SheDrills
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WTI oil up 2.8% on Red Sea risk and record holiday travel
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🚨 US oil production is down to 12.32 MMBo/d over the past week from 12.71 MMBo/d the prior week, per JP Morgan.
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OIL MARKET WILL FACE SUPPLY SHORTAGE BY END OF 2025, OCCIDENTAL CEO SAYS - CNBC
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Saudi Arabia Hikes Oil Selling Prices to Asia Across All Grades - Bloomberg
Aramco boosts Arab Light price to Asia for a third month
OPEC+ seen extending supply cuts, probably for rest of year
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OPEC+ extended its oil supply cutbacks to the middle of the year in a bid to avert a global surplus - Bloomberg
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"Hedge funds continue to short the energy sector despite short squeeze pressure, praying for a reversal. The question is whether they'll get their wish this time..."
- Goldman Prime
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The Black Swan Event about to Spike Uranium - Again - Katusa
Twice in the past fifty years, the price of uranium has shot up 600%.
Both were due to a “black swan” event—one that cannot be predicted, but completely alters the landscape of an industry.
Taking place right now
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DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan 16 (Reuters) - The oil market could be heading for a supply crunch from 2025 onwards as oil exploration fails to keep pace with demand, Occidental Petroleum Chief Executive Vicki Hollub said on Tuesday. $oxy
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Hedge funds are rushing back into the oil market with their most bullish wagers in more than a year.
Bearish
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Global Oil Demand Hits Seasonal Highs for the 8th Time in Year - JODI
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WTI oil over $84, up 1.7%, as demand exceeds supply
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Global oil demand is expected to increase by almost 2 million barrels a day in 2024, with China accounting for more than 25% of the increase, consultancy Wood Mackenzie said - Reuters
WoodMac projected total oil demand of 103.5 million barrels per day for this year.
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IEA says oil price downturn ignores looming supply crunch
"Weeks of declining oil prices due to concerns over a possible recession clash with the outlook for scarce supply and robust demand later in the year" - Reuters
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BREAKING US President Joe Biden approves $8 billion in military aid for Israel.
After $6 billion to Iran
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Oil price at 10 month high and US crude inventories at 40 year low - BofA
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Big Oil is generating massive returns, but is struggling to compete in a stock market obsessed with tech - Bloomberg
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“Oil demand will grow by multiples of its starting point as a country moves up the poverty reduction ladder. The idea that India or African countries will achieve similar progress without using many multiples of current crude oil demand is pure fantasy.” -
@ArjunNMurti
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WTI oil over $83, as the recent oil price rally continues
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OPEC+ TO CONSIDER WHETHER TO DEEPEN OIL-OUTPUT CUTS AT NEXT MEETING ON NOV. 26 - THREE OPEC+ SOURCES
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Saudi Arabia may require prices of almost $100 a barrel to cover government spending as well as the ambitious projects of
Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman, estimates from Bloomberg Economics indicate.
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Biden to Purchase 6 Million More Barrels of Oil for Emergency Reserve - Bloomberg
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OIL MARKET OVERSUPPLIED - RBC
Global Oil Supply and Demand Balance
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🚨 Electric cars release more toxic emissions than petrol-powered vehicles and are worse for the environment - Daily Mail
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Oil is poised to rally beyond $90 per barrel by the end of the year amid record demand and tightening supply, according to UBS strategists. - Yahoo Finance
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Oil price at 10-month high, and US crude inventories at 40-year low - BofA
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BREAKING: Saudi Arabia announces it's extending its "voluntary" oil production cut of 1m b/d for another 3 months. - Bloomberg
Riyadh says it would pump 9m b/d in Oct, Nov and Dec, although it would review its output level every month
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🚨 Maduro orders foreign oil companies out of disputed Guyanese territory
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