MrBlonde
@MrBlonde_macro
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clowns to the left, jokers to the right
stuck in the middle
Joined January 2021
shared thoughts/observations in more detail. its relevant for anyone with interest in macro and how to express views in equity markets. take a look and follow along. more to come. Growing but Slowing
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covers a lot of ground w/ more than a few words of wisdom. well worth the listen.
Today's podcast features @KKR's Henry McVey, who made his podcast debut!. Henry walks through his regime change thesis and why interest in macro is at an all-time high. He touches on:.- The impact of an overvalued US dollar.- Opportunities in Europe and Japan and gold.- Why the
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gerard is the OG macro market strategist. thanks @JackFarley96.
OUT NOW - Gerard Minack's latest analysis:. - S&P 493 (ex-Mag7) *very* overvalued. - era of low rates is officially over (even for Japan!). - risk of "disorderly" bond/FX moves has risen. Apple 🔊 Spotify 🔊
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for anyone interested in being less wrong, mental toughness and insight into unique aspects of financial and market plumbing i strongly recommend following my friend James. he’s long been a resource to the institutional risk taking community and is opening up here.
Markets don't care what I think. Most of the time, there’s nothing happening, or most things are where you expect them to be. What I am hunting for – you find them maybe a handful of times per year – are the following:. a) a consensus that markets.
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RT @DylanJardon: "Perfection is impossible. In the 1,526 singles matches I played in my career, I won almost 80% of those matches. But wh….
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RT @IanRHarnett: You don't have to be an @asr_london client to participate in the ASR Quarterly Asset Allocation Survey. This 30 second cl….
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RT @NautilusCap: Figuring it's best just to simply ask. Nautilus Research will be launching an offering on Substack. It will include deep….
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7/7 There are many more, but I left off all the ones we already know.
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6/7 @OraclumIS – incredibly interesting approach to markets…expect us market junkies will be reading about these guys in a few years.@ExcellRichard – his best work (charts)/insights resides on substack and linkedin, but that could change….
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5/7 @Maverick_Equity – good handle on macro equity, chart forward approach when searching for investable themes.@stevehouf – he covers a wide range and has firm grasp on what matters w/in and across markets. his recent work on inflation regimes is excellent.
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4/7 @prometheusmacro – data driven, macro regimes, charts, history, risk taking opinion…what’s not to like. rising star.@SpreadThread1 – new handle to twitter…macro credit background w/ way more to offer…I can assure you it won’t be a disappointing follow.
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3/7 @edclissold @rob_anderson314 – a couple from Ned Davis research…all the macro equity charts you can handle.@IanRHarnett @DomWh1te – a couple from @asr_london…if you don’t know, i suggest you find out. for the avg person this is institutional access and insight at its finest.
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2/7 @PPGMacro – housing, macro, chart master.@Alpha_Ex_LLC – all around insightful w/ vol market focus, but also excellent mkt educator. Hands down best podcast MC.@DeanChristians – I’m a sucker for long history data sets designed to provide trading signals.
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1/7 A quick thread of recommended follows…w/ a particular focus on the underfollowed in my opinion…in general they all share original thought, charts, or both. Invaluable traits when facing markets. .
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i repeat my earlier message…this is a must follow account for macro credit and then some.
Now that I have a few followers (thanks @MrBlonde_macro) - a quick thread on positioning. My preferred 6-12M trade in credit (or cross asset) is in a nutshell: long rate risk vs credit risk.- IG > Lev Loans.- BBs > CCCs.- Long duration IG > SPX.- 5Y Treasury bonds > HY .1/5.
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nice data-driven myth busting thread by @edclissold.
A fun part of working at @NDR_Research is I can test commonly held beliefs. 4 myths circulating finance today:.Myth #1 ⬆️ rates are bad for FANMAG stocks. Reality: Pre-COVID, FANMAG was cyclical. It was defensive during shutdowns, but FANMAG is becoming cyclical again. 1/
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telling you now. follow my man @SpreadThread1 for credit macro insight. he's new here, but won't be unknown for long. please welcome him and give a follow.
Credit markets are getting interesting again, with relevance to all markets. Hopefully I can help you navigate as the credit cycle turns. Yields are near decade highs, making high quality credit a competitive asset class again, but spreads are very far from recession levels.
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SPX (and broad risk markets) running into resistance. who could have known. hint: see comment from 11/1 post
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