Jeffrey Ordaniel
@JeffreyOrdaniel
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Non-res Fellow & Director, Maritime Security, @PacificForum ; concurrently, Associate Prof. of Int'l Security, @IR_TokyoIU . 🔎 maritime security & US Asia policy
Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo
Joined July 2009
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Convened the inaugural track-2 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭 Trilateral Maritime Security Dialogue in Manila. Good debates and exchanges on issues related to the East and South China Seas with strategic thinkers and thought leaders from the three countries.
@PacificForum
@DavidSantoro1
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Ooops
@globaltimesnews
forgot to delete this! January 2, 2020.
Police in Central China's Wuhan arrested 8 people spreading rumors about local outbreak of unidentifiable
#pneumonia
. Previous online posts said it was SARS.
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What if 2 million protesters wear masks? Can HK prisons accommodate 2 million?
"Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam invokes emergency powers, announces face mask" ban
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🇨🇳’s Xi Jinping in 2022: “China wishes to maintain friendly relations with its neighbours and jointly nurture lasting peace in the region and absolutely will not seek hegemony or even less, bully the small.”
🇨🇳’s Coast Guard last Saturday, inside 🇵🇭 EEZ. 👇🏼
CAUGHT ON CAM: A GMA Integrated News Exclusive: “Tama na, Lord!” Horror as China Coast water cannons Philippine resupply ship
@24OrasGMA
@gmanews
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At
#SLD23
:
@jaytaryela
asks 🇨🇳 Defense Minister about “the apparent disconnect between China’s words and actions related to its maritime interactions with the Philippines and others in the region,” referencing China’s recent coercion of Filipino fishermen and
@coastguardph
ships.
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In short, this guy is saying, gracefully give up your legitimate EEZ or there will be war with the PRC. Resisting PRC’s theft of your waters and resources = being vassal of the US.
How ridiculous.
The US is deftly nudging the Philippines towards a clash with China, while securing at least:
1. military bases to expand its sway and potentially mold Southeast Asian nations into its "vassal states";
2. lucrative arms deals to fuel its military-industrial complex.
Two birds
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Like this map published in China in 1811 by Qing Emperor Jiaqing. Oops, it shows Hainan as China’s southernmost territory.
Map is called, “The Great Qing Dynasty Complete Map of All Under Heaven.”
#Opinion
: China's sovereignty claim over the South China Sea is not a modern issue, nor is it directly related to the rise of contemporary China. Some Western scholars, especially those who do not understand the history, regard China's claim as baseless, which shows their
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Yesterday, I joined the
@coastguardph
in their reconnaissance mission over Thitu (Pag-asa), Second Thomas and Sabina Shoals in the South China Sea. Thitu is the largest 🇵🇭Philippine-occupied land feature in the Spratlys. 1/n.
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“The United States… reaffirms an armed attack on Philippine armed forces, public vessels, or aircraft, including those of the Coast Guard in the South China Sea, would invoke U.S. mutual defense commitments under Article IV of the 1951 U.S. Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty.”
We stand with our Philippine
#FriendsPartnersAllies
. 🇺🇸🇵🇭
Read
@StateDeptSpox
Price's statement on the recent incident in the South China Sea:
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China in Oct 2023:
“China attaches importance to the legitimate security concerns of all countries… follows a new path to security that features dialogue over confrontation…”
Also, China 👇🏼
Barko ng BFAR binomba ng water canon ng Chinese Coast Guard habang nagsasagawa ng resupply mission sa mga mangingisda sa Bajo de Masinloc.
@ABSCBNNews
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Surprise! US-Philippines Visiting Forces Agreement stays!
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Disinformation alert!
PRC propagandists are obviously here to confuse.
The truth: Submerged features & LOW TIDE ELEVATIONS like the 2nd Thomas Shoal cannot be subjected to territorial claims. 2nd Thomas Shoal lies within PH EEZ. PH has sovereign rights, not sovereignty over it.
the territorial limits of the Philippines are determined by a series of international treaties, including the 1898 Spanish-American Peace Treaty, the 1900 Spanish-American Treaty relating to the Ceding of the Outlying Islands of the Philippines, and the 1930 Treaty relating to
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The Political Geography of the South China Sea Disputes
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Out now: South China Sea, East China Sea and the emerging US-Japan-Philippines 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭 trilateral.
Special thanks to experts who joined us in Manila last December.
👇🏼
@PacificForum
@DavidSantoro1
@sweetcarolli
@BradGinTokyo
@Aaron_MatthewIL
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China also said it would not militarize artificial islands in the SCS.
China also said Mischief reef structures were just shelters for fishermen.
China also said there were no maritime militias in the SCS. 🤡
China says it will not sell weapons to parties involved in the conflict in Ukraine. Foreign Minister Qin Gang responded to concerns from the U.S. and others that China was considering providing military assistance to Russia.
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Very bad recommendations. will likely worsen the situation —weaken the standing of International Law by cutting deals with lawbreakers (create an exception for PRC), marginalize Southeast Asian interests, and embolden PRC to keep pushing the envelope in the SCS and beyond.
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@jaytaryela
The “Filipino scholar” interviewed here has no actual expertise. She has zero peer-reviewed publication on any reputable journal, not been a gov’t official, never joined any serious track 2 dialogues. It begs the question: Where does her expertise come from?
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With PRC propagandists out in full force trying to mislead Pinoys that 🇵🇭’s only options are either to submit to the whims and caprices of the PRC or become a battlefield of 🇺🇸🇨🇳 conflict, initiatives like this become very useful. 👇🏼
A child points at a picture of a China Coast Guard displayed at an exhibit about the West Philippine Sea in an Ortigas mall
@gmanews
@24OrasGMA
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“The
#Philippines
has the inherent and sovereign right to conduct joint air and naval patrols with its partners, allies and friends.”
Philippine response to China’s criticisms of 🇺🇸🇵🇭 joint patrols 👇🏼
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1) PH never advocated for Taiwan independence; 2) US access to bases of its treaty-ally does not mean Manila/Washington want Taiwan to declare independence.
Ridiculous to threaten your host country with the lives of their 150,000 citizens in Taiwan.
"The Philippines is advised to unequivocally oppose Taiwan independence rather than stoking the fire by offering the US access to the military bases near the Taiwan Strait if you care genuinely about the 150,000 OFWs,” he added.
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About time for the US-PH Alliance to discuss costs to impose on the PRC? Next re-supply should either be escorted by the US Navy or done in tandem with a FONOP! More statements of concern or rhetoric about “standing with 🇵🇭” and the MDT application will not change anything.
Just a short while ago - the same Philippine Navy-chartered supply boat damaged by water cannon last March 5 (and where 4 personnel sustained minor injuries) was again water cannoned by 2 China Coast Guard vessels near Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea, this time causing
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Duterte is alone in this decision. Both his Secretaries of Defense and Foreign Affairs did not want VFA terminated. Now senior military officers too are expressing dissent, albeit anonymously through the media.
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Singapore has its own EDCA with the US… and 🇺🇸 forces have access to 🇸🇬’s naval and air base facilities until 2035. What’s your point?
Singapore PM lays down the cards quite well… do we want to be the battleground? Are we ready?
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This is Philippine foreign policy without Duterte’s intervention.
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what about PRC’s deployment of pretend fishing vessels deep inside others’ EEZ? Like this? 🤣
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This is yet another PRC attempt to change the status quo. The Philippines should cut and remove it.
PCG and BFAR Condemn CCG’s Installation of Floating Barrier in the Southeast of BDM Shoal
The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) and Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources (BFAR) strongly condemn the China Coast Guard’s (CCG’s) installation of floating barrier in the Southeast
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Time for the Philippines and the US to step up.
-US should join the next rotation and resupply mission.
This reinforces the status quo (2T Shoal
is within 🇵🇭 EEZ; BRP Sierra Madre has been there since 1999, before the 2002 DOC, & under 🇵🇭 effective control and occupation. 1/n
Lots of US-Philippine and other multi-navy maritime exercises in the SCS in recent months. This may send a good diplomatic signal, but it may not be enough to deter PRC from continuing to aggressively prevent these resupply missions. US escort or US resupply of critical equipment
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While exercising freedom of navigation as allowed under international law— not claiming others’ EEZs, not claiming submerged features and low-tide elevations as sovereign territories, not deploying pretend fishing boats, not ramming others’ vessels!
Since Mar.27, USNS Henson has been operating to the south of Hainan Island in the
#SouthChinaSea
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🇵🇭President Marcos directly calling out 🇨🇳PRC (its militia, coast guard and navy) in this press conference. Time for Southeast Asian leaders to directly refer to Chinese activities as the source of instability in the region.
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@jaytaryela
Exhibit A:
Labeling defenders of PH interests as “Amboys” ✅
Justifying PRC coercion ✅
Misleading people into thinking the 🇻🇳 and the 🇲🇾 are behaving the same as PRC in the West Philippine Sea ✅
Amplifying PRC narrative that there are only 2 choices: war or accommodation ✅
@jaytaryela
Amboy Tarriela tries to fool the Philippine public once again.
1. So why are you Amboys in
@coastguardph
citing China only? Vietnam is more aggressive & has more occupied territories than the rest of claimants in SCS. Why quiet also on the military station of Malaysia which is
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Beijing couldn't have built all those fake islands if the U.S. acted in the South China Sea like how India is acting now in Doklam plateau
"when most are acquiescing be4 China’s assertiveness,India's defiance is something China finds unpalatable.Standing up to PRC has its costs"
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“Suspicious Chinese ‘grad students’ in provincial universities in Luzon (provinces facing Taiwan and the South China Sea) who can't speak English and insist on renting out hotels and homes for as long as 5 years.”
The Catholic Church in the Philippines is reporting an increase in suspicious Chinese "grad students" in provincial universities in Luzon who can't speak English and insist on renting out hotels and homes for as long as 5 years.
They appear to be concentrated in provinces and
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Catching up with Commo.
@jaytaryela
of 🇵🇭
@coastguardph
at Tokyo’s Haneda Airport, before his big West Philippine Sea/Maritime Security briefing with 🇯🇵Japanese PM Kishida in Manila this weekend!
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[Personal Update] New year, new title: I'm now Director of Maritime Programs,
@PacificForum
. Doing it remotely from
#Tokyo
, as I am not leaving TIU. Big plans and visions for 2020, but will remain constrained by funding! So folks, point me to grants! hah 😅 Happy New Year! 🌏
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Strong and resolute statement from 🇵🇭 Pres Marcos on the latest coercion by 🇨🇳: “I’m not aware of any such agreement… that PH will remove… the BRP Sierra Madre from Ayungin Shoal. And let me go further, if there does exist such an agreement, I rescind that agreement as of now.”
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"Asian values or the rule of law?" -- The kind of debate that PRC wants us to have! There is no such thing as Asian values! Esp if that means subservience to the Middle Kingdom!
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PRC propagandists have their new line! They all seem to have gotten their marching orders— portray the Philippines as “going full Ukraine” — simply for defending its legitimate rights & interests in the South China Sea against coercion & rejecting high interest loans from 🇨🇳. 🤡
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One positive effect of the 2016 Award is providing the United States (and others) clear legal basis to push back against the nine-dash line and PRC’s other excessive maritime claims.
The 🇺🇸 stands with our 🇵🇭 allies in the face of the PRC Coast Guard and maritime militia’s dangerous and unlawful actions obstructing an October 22 Philippine resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea.
Read:
#FreeAndOpenIndoPacific
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Two false information in one post by
@SCS_PI
:
1) PRC Maintaining the status quo in the SCS. — False! recent 🇨🇳 maneuvers were yet another attempt to change the status by coercion/intimidation.
2) 🇵🇭 Resupply mission failed — False! It succeeded! Proof:
PH's resupply mission on
#SecondThomasShoal
failed this time. It is clear that China is increasingly determined to maintain the status quo in the South China Sea
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Want rules-based order? Working on a database of maritime-related international legal instruments, bilateral and multilateral agreements, regional codes and guidelines, and national policies/domestic legislations in Asia. Help us populate this database 👇🏼
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Nope. The status quo when DOC was signed, in 2002:
1) Siera Madre already beached there (1999), manned by Filipino marines. — i.e., feature already inhabited/occupied!
2) It is an LTE— cannot be claimed as a land territory. It is inside PH EEZ. What’s the basis of PRC claim?
2nd Thomas Shoal is in an uninhabited state, that's the status quo.
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We (
@PacificForum
) hosted Young Leaders from 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇰🇷 this past 3 days here in Tokyo for site visits, dialogues & a TTX. Lots of substantive discussions on security issues. A great way to build inter-generational constituencies supportive of the relationship and the FOIP vision 1/2
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Joint statement after Marcos-Xi meeting earlier this year: “Both sides reaffirmed the importance of… freedom of navigation in & overflight above the South China Sea, and reached consensus on the peaceful resolution of disputes on the basis of” the 2002 DOC & 1982 UNCLOS. But 👇🏼
WATCH: The moment a Chinese coast guard vessel appeared to deliberately close in on a
@coastguardph
vessel, almost in the act of ramming before pulling back. Al Jazeera was on board the PCG ship, one of 2 escorting supply boats for troops at the 2nd Thomas (Ayungin) Shoal. Our
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China’s Wang Yi: “We should staunchly support all efforts that are conducive to peaceful settlement and management of disputes, and unequivocally reject words and actions that aim to stoke tension and confrontation in the region.”
China in the South China Sea 👇🏼
WATCH: PCG personnel swiftly positioned buoys to create a barrier preventing a Chinese coast guard vessel engaged in a dangerous maneuver from colliding with the Philippine vessel. (🎥 PCG)
@gmanews
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“We request your administration provide us with a full list of plans, branches, and sequels or other… options developed by the Departments of State and Defense to support the 🇵🇭 and ensure the resupply of the BRP Sierra Madre.” — from
@marcorubio
@SenatorWicker
@SenatorRisch
The most senior Republicans of US Senate committees on national security issues wrote a letter to Pres Joe Biden after the incident between China & the Philippines in the 2nd Thomas Shoal Oct 22. This shows
#SCS
is still an interest of American politicians
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Finally, some good news: got a three-year Kakenhi/JSPS research grant to study maritime security in Southeast Asia. The end of my lazy days. Hah. Meanwhile, really hoping and praying that we all get through these tough times.😷 stay safe!
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Principled approach to foreign policy is the only viable option for PH. There will be efforts to discredit UNCLOS, the 2016 Award, & the so-called “rules-based order.” BUT—the alternative is kowtowing to PRC & a ‘might is right’ maritime order. Who wants that?
🇵🇭 Secretary of National Defense Teodoro on why adhering to UNCLOS matters:
“It’s not a question of growth, it’s not question of supply lines or freedom of commerce or navigation, it’s a question of survivability, sustainability for future generations”
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Why is this problematic?
Art. 2 of PRC's 1992 Law on Territorial Sea and Contiguous Zone states “territorial sea refers to the waters adjacent to its territorial land. The PRC's territorial land includes the mainland and its offshore islands, Taiwan and the various…”
Vessels from foreign countries, including submersibles, nuclear vessels, entering Chinese territorial sea shall be required to report info such as their name, current position and next port of call to China’s maritime administration starting September 1.
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“Likeminded states” — frankly an abstraction to me, until last week’s 🇺🇸🇵🇭🇯🇵 South/East China Seas scenario exercise. Went from room to room, and realized there’s hardly any daylight between the US, Japan & the Philippines on ‘China threat’ and maritime security.
@PacificForum
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Great insights from Maritime Discussion Series No.4.
@JamesKraska
says
#Vietnam
would likely win against
#China
in a potential South China Sea arbitration, while Nguyễn Hong Thao insists that third-party judicial procedures remain the last resort for Hanoi. Snippets below.
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It’s hard to finish writing this book because the final two chapters (i.e. the past 10 years) are depressing.
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Great to see two US allies deepening strategic relations, ON THEIR OWN! Now, link up with Japan and the United States and we can have an impactful quadrilateral!
Today, President
@bongbongmarcos
made an historic address to the Australian Parliament.
This is our 🇦🇺🇵🇭🫱🏻🫲🏽 Strategic Partnership in action, where we work together and listen to each other on issues that are important to us.
Read more
@PhilstarNews
:
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It's out! Co-authored this report on
#ASEAN
Centrality and the Evolving US Indo-Pacific Strategy, from last month's
#USASEAN
Partnership Forum, organized by
@PacificForum
in cooperation with
@habibiecenter
and the
@USMission2ASEAN
. Download from here:
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🇨🇳PLA spy ship halted naval exercises by the 🇺🇸, 🇵🇭 and 🇫🇷 in the South China Sea yesterday.
Live-fire drills in South China Sea halted as Chinese spy vessel shadows Balikatan exercises.
@rikglauert
reports from on board a Philippine navy vessel.
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The project that I will be leading in the next several months - a track II dialogue on U.S.-ASEAN Relations. Dates will be confirmed soon! After some delays, it's finally happening. Hoping to gather some of the top experts and thinkers from Southeast Asia & the U.S. for this.
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Good move. Southeast Asian claimants should not allow PRC to establish new facts on the ground (water?). Some risk-taking is required to effectively push back against PRC’s attempts to change the status quo.
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The beached BRP Siera Madre on 2nd Thomas Shoal, and the regular rotation and resupply missions, have been ‘the status quo’ since 1999. Through the 2002 DOC, parties promised to not disturb the status quo. But here comes another coercive move by PRC to change the status quo 👇🏼
Today, the
@coastguardph
again assisted in the routine Rotation and Resupply (RoRe) mission in Ayungin Shoal conducted by the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP). The PCG deployed two 44-meter vessels, namely BRP Cabra (MRRV-4409) and BRP Sindangan (MRRV-4407), as escort ships
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US-Japan-Philippines Maritime Security Dialogue hosted by
@csis
@SoutheastAsiaDC
@AsiaMTI
and
@JIIA_eng
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Yup! This… while also stealing 80% of the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea, coercing Filipino fishermen and preventing energy exploration.
In 2019, China gave The
#Philippines
a pair of drug rehabilitation centers, free.
#China
spent $3.7 million.
Each has 150-bed capacity, clinics, admin buildings, multipurpose covered courts, visitors’ halls, mess halls & more.
#BeltandRoad
#BRI
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1st ever trilateral 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭 leaders’ summit happening next month !
Last year, we published a report on this emerging trilateral, following a 2022
@PacificForum
-hosted track 2 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭dialogue in Manila 👇🏼
.
@POTUS
will host Pres.
@BongbongMarcos
and Prime Minister Kishida Fumio on April 11 for the first trilateral 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭 leaders’ summit to promote inclusive economic growth and support a
#FreeAndOpenIndoPacific
.
#FriendsPartnersAllies
@JPN_PMO
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This video I took while we were hovering above Second Thomas/Ayungin shoal shows the
@Philippine_Navy
’s beached BRP Sierra Madre with a 🇨🇳 Coast Guard vessel sailing nearby. 4/4.
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Projecting much? China Coast Guard is the one that expanded significantly… now operating at least 1,275 ships, including its Zhataou-class patrol vessels which are the world’s biggest armed coast guard ships, larger than the US Navy’s Arleigh Burke-class destroyer!
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"Functional cooperation between Washington and its two Southeast Asian partners has considerably advanced... but differing strategic considerations still handicap some aspects of these relationships." 1/2
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BRP Sierra Madre’s presence at 2nd Thomas Shoal and the
@TeamAFP
's/
@coastguardph
's regular RoRe missions, had been “the status quo” since 1999. PRC and ASEAN signed the DOC in 2002, committing to respect the status quo by not doing anything escalatory.
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Because Duterte has no strategy. Almost everything is based on whatever comes to his mind (and comes out of his mouth). No deliberation. No consultation. No studies. Nothing! Just like his South China Sea policy.
If a COVID vaccine has really been given emergency use authorization in the Philippines, why would that information not be made public and why are our frontline healthcare workers sidelined again?
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China wants to cling to that “gentlemen’s agreement” which probably never existed, but ignores UNCLOS, a binding treaty that says submerged features cannot be claimed as a sovereign territory, and that one cant just draw lines arbitrarily on the sea to claim entitlements.
NSC Assistant Director General Jonathan Malaya said that the council is not aware of any “gentleman’s agreement” between the Philippines and China referred to by former Presidential spokesperson Harry Roque.
Malaya said Roque should be the one to explain his statement.
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Delayed but it’s out now! Really enjoyed working on this collection of policy papers written by up-and-coming scholars & policy experts from
#Vietnam
& the United States! “From foes to partners: rethinking 25 years of US-Vietnam relations” 1/9
Link:
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Another illuminating briefing on the Philippines’ transparency initiatives and the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea issue with 🇵🇭PCG Commodore
@jaytaryela
at his office in Manila.
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Still want to call it Wuhan Virus. Is that racist? Let’s make sure history will not forget this started in Wuhan, China, where doctors were censored/silenced by the Chinese Communist Party, at a crucial time when the virus could still have been contained".
#COVID19
#WuhanVirus
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@Zhengyimingdao
@SCS_PI
Incorrect! Falkland is a territory. It can be claimed. Second Thomas Shoal is not a territory. It’s a Low-tide elevation, cannot be subjected to territorial claims.
🇵🇭 has the right to patrol 2nd Thomas Shoal, as it is within its EEZ.
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Very insightful & engaging conversation on maritime security, the South China Sea, and US-
#Vietnam
relations. Special thanks to our speakers,
@TrangPhamVNU
&
@Alex_Vuving
. Also thanks to the
@StateDept
for sponsoring this series, and to our local partner,
@usshvnu
.
@PacificForum
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The emerging Security QUAD.
#SQUAD
Defense leaders from 🇺🇸🇵🇭🇦🇺🇯🇵 underscored their commitment to further improving interoperability between our forces and promoting peace and security throughout the
#IndoPacific
.
Read the joint readout:
#FreeAndOpenIndoPacific
@DNDPHL
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Kicking off
@PacificForum
’s 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇰🇷US-Japan-ROK Next-Gen Leaders Dialogue in Tokyo.
@roles_hq
@IR_TokyoIU
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Also, the PH warship has been there since 1999. ASEAN-PRC Declaration was signed in 2002, freezing the status quo. Only in 2014 did 🇨🇳 start to block the resupply mission, & only occasionally until early 2023, when it has become regular.🇨🇳 is trying to change the status quo.
The 2016 arbitral award under the auspices of UNCLOS, to which PRC is a state party, has invalidated the dashed line claim. So that’s just another falsehood to undermine a coastal state’s legitimate exercise of sovereign rights in its EEZ - which are not “Chinese territory”.
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“For Japan, the Philippines is a strategic partner sharing basic values, and to enhance cooperation in defense equipment and tech with the 🇵🇭 is important for ensuring peace and stability in 🇯🇵 and the region,” Japan’s Ministry of Defense said in a separate statement.
LOOK: Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. leads the ceremonial acceptance of Japanese-built air surveillance radar system to the Philippine Air Force at the Wallace Air Station in San Fernando City, La Union.
@ABSCBNNews
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Three years ago at the Shangri-La Dialogue. Time flies.
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Provided a quick overview of the remarkable turnaround in the 🇺🇸🇵🇭US PH relationship since Marcos took over from Duterte 👇🏼
Download the volume, here:
2/ 🌏 Introduction |
@JeffreyOrdaniel
:
Significant advancements in the U.S.-Philippine Alliance, exploring the period of transition and renewed American commitment to the Indo-Pacific. Emphasis on institutionalizing progress for a resilient alliance.
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Great to see two US allies strengthening strategic ties! This is the first time a foreign leader is addressing both houses of the Philippine Congress (
@HouseofRepsPH
and
@senatePH
) since 2006.
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Snippet of
@PacificForum
’s Maritime Discussion Series
#3
with
@GregPoling
of
@AsiaMTI
and
@martin_401912
of
@MIMA_MALAYSIA
. Great discussion via Zoom! Bob Girrier will moderate
#4
on the Impact of the 2016 Arbitration. Register here to get Zoom invites:
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We’re convening the Indo-Pacific MarSec Expert Working Group, next month, & we want to engage more women experts, esp. Japan-based! This will result in a volume, co-edited by me and
@MarSec_Bradford
on advancing rule of law in maritime Asia! Submission:
Happy to be partnering with
@JeffreyOrdaniel
to bring to life the 2nd Maritime Experts Working Group. Please apply to join us!
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PRC occupied Mischief (1995) & established presence on the Scarborough (2012), built artificial islands & militarized them (2013-2018), disrupted RoRe Mission over 2T Shoal (2013 & 2014, 2021 to now!)— US, since Obama, has been saying there’d be consequences! It’s time for one!
WATCH | China Coast Guard started blasting water canon directed at Unaizah May 4 around 7:59AM deliberately targeting and hitting the supply boat.
#OneAFPOnePHILIPPINES
#StrongAFPStrongPHILIPPINES
#AFPyoucanTRUST
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the mission confirmed the significant numbers of foreign flagged vessels, including 🇨🇳 Maritime Militia (CMM) and presence of People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy and Chinese Coast Guard (CCG) vessels, previously observed and reported. 2/n
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Americans have always been overly sensitive about what PRC will think/feel about its Taiwan policy, but PRC never reciprocated. Maybe time for a change in approach?
US moves Taiwan closer to becoming official partner: “Executive branch agencies should consider all ‘contact guidelines’ regarding relations with Taiwan previously issued by the Dept of State under authorities delegated to the SecState to be null & void.”
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Early this year, we convened track 2 dialogues on US-Viet Nam & US-Indonesia bilateral security relations. These reports tried to capture the rich insights & recommendations from the discussions 👇🏼1/n
1) US-Viet Nam:
2) US-Indonesia
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But is the United States even willing to give Taiwan Israel-level FMF?
Israel shows what a country deeply serious about its self-defense and protecting its freedom looks like.
Taiwan should take very careful note.
America is most likely to help those who help themselves.
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During the flight, the 🇵🇭 Coast Guard received a total of seven (7) radio challenges from CCG vessels: four (4) challenges while over Pag-asa Island’s territorial sea; and three (3) while over the vicinity of Ayungin Shoal. 3/n
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Super insightful two days!
A Second Thomas Shoal scenario would be instructive —
Fantastic two days
#wargaming
with so many great people. Personally, I learned a lot and enjoyed watching the teams manage strategic deterrence and escalation management. You know people are thinking hard when kinetic options are the last thing on the table.
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Excellent statement! The world should normalize this kind of statements and stop accommodating PRC’s tantrums and childish insecurities.
On behalf of the Filipino people, I congratulate President-elect Lai Ching-te on his election as Taiwan's next President.
We look forward to close collaboration, strengthening mutual interests, fostering peace, and ensuring prosperity for our peoples in the years ahead.
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Highly informative and insightful discussion with
@AsiaMTI
’s
@GregPoling
— covered US-Philippines VFA, the recent sinking of Vietnamese fishing boat, impact of the pandemic to PRC’s SCS policy, role of Japan, and more. Thanks to
@usembassytokyo
for organizing!
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🇵🇭President
@bongbongmarcos
:
Second Thomas Shoal is a low-tide elevation, located within Philippine Exclusive Economic Zone, “any foreign claim of sovereignty over it is baseless and absolutely contrary to international law." 👇🏼
The aggression and provocations perpetrated by the China Coast Guard and their Chinese Maritime Militia against our vessels and personnel over the weekend have only further steeled our determination to defend and protect our nation's sovereignty, sovereign rights, and
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Track 1 🇺🇸🇯🇵🇵🇭 Trilateral
LOOK: Philippine Foreign Secretary Enrique Manalo, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken & Japanese Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa hold trilateral mtg on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York.
@straits_times
@unraf
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