JMToWin
@JMToWin
Followers
24,533
Following
407
Media
370
Statuses
11,299
founder/developer OWS || high-stakes DFS champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) || we’ll teach you to fish
Joined September 2014
Don't wanna be here?
Send us removal request.
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I don’t typically
#screenshotlife
, but that was a fun one.
Congrats to CubsFan as well! 3 teams in the top 15 of the Wildcat.
Winning roster was:
Baker
Fournette
Lindsay
Landry
Parker
Hurns
Godwin
Ertz
Saints
I’ll find a time to talk through the builds this week, fam!
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Dear
@DraftKings
,
Removing SNF takes away one of the highest-quality games most weeks - which creates a lower-quality DFS product.
#Rethink
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The Bengals have faced the second fewest pass attempts in the NFL.
The Bengals have allowed the second most running back receptions in the NFL.
Imagine if they were set to play a pass-heavy team that likes passing to the running back and is missing one of its top two receivers.
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Dear
@RotoGrinders
Fam & NFL Edge loyalists:
It has been a pleasure and an honor serving you this year.
I’m fortunate to do what I do for a living.
Much love. I’m off to save Tibet.
-JM
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10 months of hard work. Two months of study. Very little sleep.
Week 1 of The One Week Season is here!
Huge chunks are free to non-subscribers for this week only. If my content has helped you in the past, please help me spread the word!
#FlyThePennant
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Anyone on Twitter?
Because I have a few games from the NFL Edge ready to go up...just as soon as I get the go-ahead that OWS Collective is fully ready to push live.
Stay tuned.
Today is a good day...
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OWS fam:
Two final (major) updates still coming.
This week: adding a new menu that will make navigation to ancillary content and tools a whole lot easier.
Next week: clickable player cards (with advanced metrics) will show up on players' names in the NFL Edge!
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If someone let me pay them $39 to do 90% of my NFL research for me every week for the entire season (while also providing ownership projections, player tiers, "square table" pod, & more), I would be on that in an instant.
Week 1 goes live tomorrow.
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😂
*The guy who literally flies to a legal DraftKings state every week during NFL season to reserve lineups in full compliance with the rules...loses DraftKings access while spending a week in Missouri (a legal DraftKings state)
DK customer support is aces, so I'm sure this
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In case you haven't noticed: we now have clickable player cards on every fantasy-relevant player in the NFL Edge.
"Celebrate good times. Come on!"
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We launched OWS in 2018 w preseason content from Silva, the "Square Table" pod w Levitan & me, & all other content, site maintenance, etc. provided by me (😂).
Over the last half-decade, the team has grown, the vision has grown, and the community has grown dramatically.
I'm
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This year’s top five defenses in the NFL, by points allowed:
1. VIKINGS
2. JAGUARS
3. (Chargers)
4. EAGLES
5. PATRIOTS
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Wow.
Just wow.
Announcement coming tomorrow. (Look for Lineup Builder page in Edge+ menu.)
OWS +
@FantasyCruncher
This is going to be so sick!
(& you wonder why subs are pumped to keep their entry price for life 😂)
11 days till price goes up!
Keep your entry price for life
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Because I love you:
:: Vikings // Rams
:: Bills // Packers
:: Lions // Cowboys
:: Eagles // Titans
:: Jets // Jaguars
:: Texans // Colts
Are all up early on One Week Season.
Week 4. Let's get it!!!
(P.S. Preliminary Ownership %s are up as well!)
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Matt Ryan in two games against Sean McDermott's defense last year:
55 of 70 (78.6%) for 780 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception.
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Whoa.
OWS Fam - just had a call with EV Analytics, hammering out this GPP ceiling tool they're building for the site. Going to be sick. Super simple; ridiculously useful.
Man, I love this time of year...
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Happy Thanksgiving, OWS Fam. Thanks for hanging out all season so far. Been a fun year with all of you. Looking forward to the stretch run!
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The countdown is on!
8 days until the first NFL Edge drops.
August 30.
#savethedate
#loveisintheair
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What will you be doing on Friday nights this football season?
I'll be doing a podcast with
@adamlevitan
, on
#BeThere
#HippyJokes
#InMyCanoe
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The wait is almost over! Christmas is almost here...
At 7:00 Eastern, the first game of the final preseason slate will kick off.
At 7:01, One Week Season will roll over to Regular Season View...and the Week 1 NFL Edge will go live!
#FlyThePennant
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Every week during football season, I write the majority of the NFL Edge on Wednesday. It is the most challenging work day of the week - but I swear, there are times when I hope the day won't end.
#LoveIt
!
Uncovering some awesome stuff this week.
Can hardly wait to share...
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You asked for it.
Here it is.
The Secret to Single-Entry Tournament Success: (Or: Busting the Mass-Entry Myth)
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An early NFL DFS "Must Follow" List:
@evansilva
@adamlevitan
@ScottBarrettDFB
@LordReebs
@GrahamBarfield
@Pat_Thorman
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If you have read my content in the past, I want to be honest with you and just let you know that I am really, tremendously proud of what we have built for you this year on One Week Season.
I hope you’ll have a look.
#EveryEdgeCounts
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( you have no idea how excited i am for the nfl season to get underway... )
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Months of hard work. Two months of study. Very little sleep.
Week 1 of The One Week Season is here!
Huge chunks are free to non-subscribers for this week only. If my content has helped you in the past, please help me spread the word!
#FlyThePennant
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Every night before i go to bed i wrap my Barbie dolls in balloons to keep them fresh. My psychologist told me i have ocd.
#MyBodyMyChoice
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Before we move too fully into the regular season, I'd be remiss if I didn't send out a huge shoutout to the legend
@evansilva
for crushing preseason content on One Week Season.
#SeeYouInThemStreets
!
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Growing up, I got to open my stocking on Christmas Eve.
Merry Christmas Eve. The NFL Edge is starting...
:: Rams at Panthers
:: Redskins at Eagles
:: Bills at Jets
:: Falcons at Vikings
:: Chiefs at Jaguars
+ OWS Collective
Let's go!!!!
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Well.
Probably a bit of a "structure" problem that others have spent six months getting this solved and I was able to get this solved in one day...
But nevertheless: shoutout to DraftKings support.
JM has been freed!
😂
*The guy who literally flies to a legal DraftKings state every week during NFL season to reserve lineups in full compliance with the rules...loses DraftKings access while spending a week in Missouri (a legal DraftKings state)
DK customer support is aces, so I'm sure this
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Still working hard over here (on two hours of sleep!) to make sure everything is as perfect as it can be. But I gotta tell you...
The suspense is killing me.
So freaking stoked.
#AlmostChristmas
#ItsPracticallyHere
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Dear AGs, Congressmen/women, and decision-makers in states that use the Predominant Purpose test...
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Odd day.
Highest-owned QB on my end: Howell.
Highest-owned RB: Kamara (Breece my 3rd highest-owned).
Highest-owned WR: AJB.
Highest-owned TE: Kittle.
Overweight Ja’Marr, CeeDee, Dotson, Shaheed.
End result: down 40% 😂
Shoutout to ptfd51 for taking down 1st in the Slant! 5
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Still six games left to write. But for anyone still awake and looking for something to do: I'm pushing the first 10 games out a little early.
Let's get it!
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THE SINGLE BIGGEST PROBLEM OWS HAS ::
The site is so good, subs don't want to share it 🤣
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"I'd rather have Jon Gruden than Khalil Mack."
-No one
(Well...almost no one.)
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Core roster: Set.
No A.B. Decided it's not worth the risk in cash games and smaller-field tourneys. As long as
@KevinRothWx
can limit the 30 MPH gusts, though (please? - thanks), he still carries tourney upside.
Time to crush some large-field tourney rosters.
#FlyThePennant
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I could not agree more.
On that note, here is the NFL Edge (duh):
Here is
@LordReebs
' Week 3 Worksheet:
Here is
@evansilva
's Week 3 Matchups column:
The most profitable way to research NFL:
Read
@LordReebs
worksheet,
@evansilva
Matchups and
@JMToWin
NFL Edge
Compare their analysis game by game and make your own call for your lineups.
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Notable % of team’s RB touches, early games ::
96.7% — CMC
94.4% — Fournette
92.0% — Le’Veon
76.0% — Chubb
67.6% — Cook*
55.6% — Gurley
37.5% — Miles Sanders
*80.8% before final 2 drives
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Just got my second tattoo. It’s a tiny butterfly on the small of my back.
#equality
#IAintNoTramp
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Happy Thanksgiving, OWS Fam!
The Bird Carcass Slate (trademark
@adamlevitan
) is live on the site:
:: Bears // Lions
:: Redskins // Cowboys
:: Falcons // Saints
All the fun. Here you go:
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Amari + Njoku 4x their combined DK salary.
25 minutes left.
Shoutout
@HilowFF
&
@LordReebs
for highlighting how sharp that combo was 🔥
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Winning in DFS requires more than just “knowing who the good players are.” It takes understanding how to optimize your play, and how to maximize your profit.
Here are 10 things on my mind heading into the 2018 season.
#EveryEdgeCounts
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I got you, bro!
You free on Friday!? I have ideas. We should hang.
I’m around at like 2 PM ET 🕑
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Hot off the press: The Week 2 NFL Edge!!!!
16 games, broken down from top to bottom.
Take this week seriously, fam. Find your edge.
I'll see you at the top of the leaderboards on Sunday.
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Good coaches scheme good players into beneficial matchups.
Against the slot coverage of Chris Harris Jr last week, PIT played JuJu in the slot a season-low 19 times & played him on the perimeter a season-high 47 times. He went 2-9-0 vs Harris Jr. He went 7-144-1 vs Bradley Roby.
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I don’t know if the NFL will go for this, BUT…
There’s been a motion filed requesting that from this point forward, Jonathan Taylor’s first half stats will simply be doubled, and his second half stats will be thrown out.
Will be cool if it goes through.
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Only seven players had more targets than Christian McCaffrey today. He also had 19 carries.
_____________________
Only one player had more targets today than Evan Engram.
_____________________
That player was Jamison Crowder. Who had 17 targets.
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Five different people have told me how they used the NFL Edge the week they won the Millionaire Maker.
The NFL Edge is free Week 1, every year.
Seriously. Don't play this week at a disadvantage.
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Finally, a love letter:
Dear MLB, MLB DFS, and MLB DFSers:
I miss you.
I love you.
I'll see you soon.
~JM
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NFL Air Yards leaders ::
Mike Evans (581)
Keenan Allen (522)
Marquise Brown (507)
DeVante Parker (487)
Kenny Golladay (482)
Julio Jones (474)
John Brown (473)
Curtis Samuel (464)
DeAndre Hopkins (462)
>> via
1
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In a group text on Sunday with
@xandamere
,
@mjohnson_86
,
@HilowFF
, &
@Roto_Maven
, I mentioned I had a sweat in the Slant, but said I couldn’t finish first bc there was a guy right behind me with 3 of the same players as me, + Danny Dimes.
Now, it all makes sense 😂
Incredible
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If you are NOT a full-time DFS player, this article is for you!
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So, so, so pumped for these guys!!!!
OWS Fam :: be sure to check out their site! You know they’ll bring the heat.
Mentioned last night it's time for next chapter.
Incredibly excited to re-team with longtime pal
@adamlevitan
to start a brand new independent football site of which
@TaylorCaby
,
@AndrewWiggins
,
@friscojosh
&
@Pat_Thorman
are also part.
More info here:
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2K
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The strangest stat I've uncovered this week:
Lamar Jackson is in his sixth NFL season.
The Steelers are in his division.
This week, he will be starting only his fourth career regular season game against them.
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OWS :: Angles Pod
It's here!
The Angles podcast takes a DFS-focused look at player pools and roster construction for both small- and large-field play.
Like...legitimately, I am so excited for this podcast this year.
Let's go!!!!
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All right, fam. Diffuser going. Salt lamp on. Earplugs in. Connections to the outside world turned off. About to build some Week 1 tourney lineups.
Let’s go!!!!
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My goodness.
OWS gonna take down the Slant for the third time this year 🔥
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*Used Musgrove on DraftKings and FanDuel today*
"I wonder what else is on TV tonight..."
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If you have to fly out of state in order to reserve DraftKings lineups, there are certainly worse places to go.
Shoutout to the Oakland airport.
#OregonDFSLife
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OWS Fam!!! ::
Just got off a call with
@CSURAM88
. Working on some cool stuff for you guys.
Big things coming!
#CrashTheLeaderboards
!
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Not a bad office view.
DraftKings entries for Week 7 reserved.
Time to fly back to Oregon.
Really looking forward to this week's slate. It's incredibly unique, with a lot of fun things to sort through.
WR presents unique components.
RB presents unique components.
QB
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Anyone awake?
The $39 Cadillac just got an update ::
Audio version of the NFL Edge is live.
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NFL Edge :: Wrapped up!
What a fun NFL slate this weekend is giving us. Super unique. One of my favorites in a long time.
And now, I sleep.
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Just recorded a ludicrously fun and valuable 70 minutes of NFL talk with
@ScottBarrettDFB
and
@GrahamBarfield
.
We'll be doing this every week this season(!!!!!) :: recording Monday afternoon and getting the audio to you guys Tuesday morning to start your week off right!
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Having a blast, fam.
Man. What an awesome site // team // community we have.
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4 weeks
3 second-place finishes on my end 😂 (Chop Block Week 1 // Slant Week 2 // Double Spy Week 4).
Thankfully grabbed my first 1st place this week as well (Chop Block).
Keep knocking on the door, OWS Fam
Big weeks coming.
Looking forward to shouting out some of the big
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Judging your weekend based solely on results would be like thinking poker is only about “Who gets the best cards.”
Be willing to call a poor-performing play a good play — if it was a good play.
And be willing call your roster highlight a bad play — if it was a bad play.
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Carolina is the only team in the NFL that has allowed as many receiving touchdowns to TEs as to WRs. It's not even close. They are tied for fewest WR touchdowns allowed, while only one team has allowed more touchdowns to TEs.
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OWS with 6 of the top 10 spots in the Slant, from 5 different users.
3 Slant take-downs this year for the OWS Fam 🔥
First in the Flea Flicker as well 👀
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I'm geeking out over this.
40 contributors from Around The Industry.
5 Pick'Em tiers.
Find the full cheat sheet here:
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“Josh Allen sux. 4 turnovers OMG.”
— seemingly every sports media outlet.
3 of those turnovers ::
• botched snap that Morse said was his fault
• low pass to Beasley that should have been caught; popped into the air
• pass swatted at the line
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On this week's Square Table with
@adamlevitan
:
I get hit by a bus.
Gerri angry-barks.
Christian Kirk and Josh Rosen share a building.
& Adam and I go position by position on the Week 5 slate.
This week's show is free to non-subs. Let's get it!!!
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2018
@DraftKings
points per touch ::
1.321 — kamara
1.289 — gurley
1.241 — cmc
1.156 — saquon
1.171 — ekeler
1.103 — a. jones
1.100 — conner
.976 — kerryon
.974 — chubb
.958 — breida
.922 — zeke
.912 — mixon
.908 — dalvin
.906 — henry
.829 — carson
.704 — michel
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Landed 3rd and 9th in The Slant.
(I’ll grab first one of these weeks 😂)
I count 14 OWS pennants in the top 100 of The Slant, from 9 different users.
Looks like we took down 2nd in the $100k Power Sweep, and 3rd in the Front Four (with three of the top 12 rosters represented
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In 138 hours, the Mistake Price on One Week Season goes away forever.
If you subscribe before the price change, you get to keep that price for life.
Current subs: please respond w your + or - reviews! This way, those on the fence have more info.
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Congrats to old pal
@headchopper
on his FD Milly win!
@JeffKCollins
had a sub win the DK Milly!
OWS next???
We had a 6th & 15th place finish Week 1!!
We should have a pod up late-week w 6th place: how he used Angles Pod // Player Grid // Edge to build.
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Only three teams in the NFL have allowed more touchdowns to running backs than to tight ends and wide receivers.
:: Cleveland
:: Miami
:: Arizona
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How’d we do, Fam!?
I put 7.8% of rosters in top 2% of the Wildcat.
38.5% in the top 20%.
& as you know...
...that doesn’t matter.
What matters is Process.
With that in mind: I’ll have an “Assess The Process” Roster Block review at top of the Edge on Tuesday.
See you there!
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Huge congrats to fatbadger34 for taking down the Showdown Championship!!!! Sick takedown.
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Twitter Fam ::
Best Ball player
@TodfromPa
put together a really cool piece for the site this week :: covering his journey to becoming a winning DFS player, and the process that helped him get there. 27 minute listen. Well worth the time.
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OWS Fam ::
Four Main Slate games are up early this week!
:: Seahawks "at" Raiders
:: Steelers at Bengals
:: Ravens at Titans
:: Jaguars at Cowboys
A few more games will go up throughout the evening. The rest of the slate will be up by morning!
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Congrats to One Week Season on crossing the 8,000 member threshold 🥳
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People who don’t watch games and just look at numbers think Josh Allen isn’t good, so you shouldn’t roster him.
He probably isn’t good. Who cares. There’s a reason he made us so much $ down the stretch last year. DFS is about so much more than just “who’s good.”
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OWS Fam :: Plenty of news today. I’m going to dig into some things this afternoon, chat with
@adamlevitan
this evening on the Square Table, and drop in some updates to the article at the end of the day.
Let’s get it!
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DFS is all about finding and hammering edges.
This is a premium subscription site that is free Week 1.
That's an edge.
It's crazy to me that there are people who don't hammer things like this.
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It would be difficult to overstate just how incompetent the Browns' coaching staff is.
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Lawd, have mercy!
We just pushed color-coding on the Key Matchups live as well. Sick!
(Haha - it's silly how much I'm enjoying doing my own research on this platform 😂)
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