Loic LeMener CFA, CFP®
@CfaDallas
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I like to post contrarian data points. Not advice! See important disclosures here: https://t.co/MA7VJvMMjU
Dallas, TX
Joined March 2020
This Chart Explains Why the Economy Feels Off This chart isn’t about a bad quarter or a quirky data revision. It’s showing a long, structural shift. For decades after World War II, workers reliably took a little over 60% of the economic pie. That wasn’t accidental. It reflected
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No-one is predicting a US recession in 2026 despite this simple indicator having a 100% track record of success. This time may well be different, but you've got to have a bloody good reason to ignore this. Are you feeling confident?
Société Générale's Albert Edwards points to a labor market chart with a flawless track record of predicting a recession since 1950. Is the US economy ignoring history, or is this time different?
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$PLTR Palantir's forward price-sales ratio (74.8x) is more than 2.5x greater than the 2nd highest price-sales ratio in the S&P 500.
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@EPBResearch "What is going on?” 👇🏼 “Yes, corporate profits and free cash flow are at record highs. They’re at record highs because government, households and foreign trading partners are running a massive net deficit. The distribution of the corporate profits absolutely reflects scarcity,
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Imagine telling someone 40 years ago that Japan would go from 40% of the global stock market to 5%. And the US would go from 30% to 64%. Where are we going over the next 40?
Global Equity Markets The weight of the US in the MSCI All Country World Index has roughly doubled in the last 35 years.
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“Sooner or later, valuations matter” - Warren Buffett
The US CAPE ratio ended the year at 40. Historical average 10-year real returns when CAPE > 40 across all counties = negative. Never once has a country's stock market ended the year above 40 and met the historical 10-year real return average.
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Notable sharp deceleration of FICA withholding into year end, suggesting labor markets may be softening more rapidly than many suspect.
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U.S. Equity Risk Premium is now negative 🚨 On a risk-adjusted basis, stocks offer zero return for investors 👀
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Home prices have quadrupled relative to incomes since 1975... And you wonder why the next generation is falling behind?
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Here's THE MOST incredible stat from Warren Buffett’s tenure as CEO of Berkshire: 98% of his current net worth of $151 billion was generated AFTER he turned 65. "My life has been a product of compound interest." - Warren Buffett
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No bubble, huh? The US #stock market is now narrower for longer than during the #TechBubble!!!
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The S&P 500 has outperformed the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index by 34% over the past 3 years, the widest 3-year performance gap in history. The prior record was 32% outperformance from 1997-1999 which was followed by a sharp reversal and 7 years of Equal Weight outperformance.
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Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway is now sitting on an all-time high $382 Billion in Cash, enough to buy 479 companies in the S&P 500 🚨🚨
Today is Warren Buffett's final day as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway! The greatest investor of our lifetime moves on to the next chapter. You'll be missed Warren 🫡
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Warren Buffett retires today, most likely in his mind at the closing bell, just minutes from now. Congratulations to the greatest investor the world will ever know. The returns speak for themselves - Berkshire earned 6,118,651% or 19.9% annually over his 60 years running the
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Today is Warren Buffett's final day as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway! The greatest investor of our lifetime moves on to the next chapter. You'll be missed Warren 🫡
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Investors have now plowed $239 Billion into Leveraged ETFs, the highest amount in history 🤯 Risk on folks, Risk on 🤑🫡🚀
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