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Charlie Bilello Profile
Charlie Bilello

@charliebilello

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Chief Market Strategist @ Creative Planning Investor | Writer | Reader | Thinker Trying to become a little wiser every day.

Joined May 2013
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
2 days
New Video is up:. The Week in Charts.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
2 years
Sales, 10 Yrs Ago. GM: $152 billion.Ford: $134 bil. Tesla: $0.4 bil. Sales Today. GM: $157 billion.Ford: $158 bil. Tesla: $81 bil. Net Income, 10 Yrs Ago. $GM: $6.2 billion.$F: $5.6 bil. $TSLA: -$0.4 bil. Net Income Today. $GM: $10 billion.$F: -$2 bil. $TSLA: $13 bil.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
6 months
Argentina's Monthly Inflation Rate. Dec 2023 (Javier Milei takes office): 25.5%.Jan 2024: 20.6%.Feb 2024: 13.2%.Mar 2024: 11.0%.Apr 2024: 8.8%.May 2024: 4.3%.Jun 2024: 4.6%.Jul 2024: 4.0%.Aug 2024: 4.2%.Sep 2024: 3.5%.Oct 2024: 2.7%. Afuera!
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Commodity prices over last year. Lumber: +265%.WTI Crude: +210%.Gasoline: +182%.Brent Crude +163%.Heating Oil: +107%.Corn: +84%.Copper: +83%.Soybeans: +72%.Silver: +65%.Sugar: +59%.Cotton: +54%.Platinum: +52%.Natural Gas: +43%.Palladium: +32%.Wheat: +19%.Coffee: +13%.Gold: +3%.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Total Returns over the last 10 Years. Bitcoin $BTC: +994,608%.Tesla $TSLA: +15,200%.NVIDIA $NVDA: +6,053%.Netflix $NFLX: +2,337%.Amazon $AMZN: +1,427%.Microsoft $MSFT: +1,280%.Apple $AAPL: +1,112%.Google $GOOGL: +937%.S&P 500 $SPY: +344%.Bonds $AGG: +35%.Gold $GLD: -6%.Next 10?.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Bitcoin Returns since 2010. $BTC
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Charlie Bilello
7 months
1. Stocks: all-time high.2. Home Prices: all-time high.3. Gold: all-time high.4. Bitcoin: all-time high.5. National Debt: all-time high.6. Core CPI Inflation: >3% for 41 straight months, longest period of high inflation since early 1990s.7. Fed: cutting rates again next week.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
3 years
2 years ago: 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.87% & average new home price in the US was $405k. Today: 30-yr mortgage rate is 6.02% & average new home price is $547k. Result: $28k increase in down payment (assuming 20% down) and 96% increase in monthly payment (from $1,343 to $2,628).
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
US Inflation Rate (CPI), YoY % Change. Jun 2022: 9.1%.Jul 2022: 8.5%.Aug 2022: 8.3%.Sep 2022: 8.2%.Oct 2022: 7.7%.Nov 2022: 7.1%.Dec 2022: 6.5%.Jan 2023: 6.4%.Feb 2023: 6.0%.Mar 2023: 5.0%.Apr 2023: 4.9%.May 2023: 4.0%.Jun 2023: 3.0%. 12 consecutive declines.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Returns over last yr. Dogecoin $DOGE: +15,720%.BinanceCoin $BNB: +3,819%.Cardano $ADA: +3,585%.Ethereum $ETH: +1,262%.Polkadot $DOT: +1,135%.Chainlink $LINK: +1,014%.Bitcoin $BTC: +719%.XRP $XRP: +680%.Litecoin $LTC: +554%.Bitcoin Cash $BCH: +345%.Gold: +4%.US Dollar Index: -9%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Stocks: bear market, down 25%.Bonds: worst year in history.Housing: prices falling for the first time in a decade.Economy: 2 straight quarters of negative real GDP.Nuclear War: on the table.Fed: hiked rates 3% so far this year and expected to hike another 1.25% before year end.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
In Jan 2021, the 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.65% and average new home price in the US was $401,700. Today the 30-yr mortgage rate is 5.78% and average new home price is $570,300. Assuming a 20% down payment, that's a 106% increase in the monthly payment (from $1,294 to $2,671).
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Returns over last year. Cardano $ADA: +3,290%.BinanceCoin $BNB: +3,058%.Polkadot $DOT: +1,353%.Ethereum $ETH: +1,171%.Uniswap $UNI: +953%.Chainlink $LINK: +875%.Bitcoin $BTC: +728%.XRP $XRP: +532%.Litecoin $LTC: +406%.Bitcoin Cash $BCH: +161%.Gold: +3%.US Dollar Index $USD: -8%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
2 years ago, the 30-yr mortgage rate was 3.13% & the median existing home price in the US was $283k. Today the 30-yr mortgage rate is 5.78% & the median existing home price is $408k. With a 20% down payment, that's a 96% increase in the monthly payment (from $972 to $1,909).
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
In Jan 2021, the 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.65% and average new home price in the US was $401,700. Today the 30-yr mortgage rate is 5.25% and average new home price is $570,300. Assuming a 20% down payment, that's a 95% increase in the monthly payment (from $1,294 to $2,519).
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Beyond Meat, Net Income. 2022 YTD: -$299 million.2021: -$182 mil. 2020: -$53 mil. 2019: -$12 mil. 2018: -$30 mil. 2017: -$30 mil. 2016: -$25 mil. $BYND stock is now down 95% from its peak in 2019. IPO Price: $25/share.All-Time High Price: $239/share.Price Today: $12/share.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Crypto Correction. Bitcoin $BTC: -54%.Ethereum $ETH: -57%.Cardano $ADA: -58%.Stellar $XLM: -62%.Solana $SOL: -63%.XRP $XRP: -64%.Binance Coin $BNB: -65%.Polkadot $DOT: -65%.Chainlink $LINK: -66%.Litecoin $LTC: -67%.Uniswap $UNI: -67%.Bitcoin Cash $BCH: -70%.Dogecoin $DOGE: -70%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Average US family health insurance premium. 2000: $6k.2002: $8k.2004: $10k.2006: $11k.2008: $13k.2010: $14k.2012: $16k.2014: $17k.2016: $18k.2018: $20k.2020: $21k.2022: $22k. That's a 249% increase since 2000 (5.8% per year). (Note: US CPI inflation has increased 2.5%/year)
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Dogecoin: -92% from the Musk SNL peak. $DOGE
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Total Returns over the last 10 Years. Bitcoin $BTC: +572,917%.Tesla $TSLA: +15,158%.NVIDIA $NVDA: +7,242%.Netflix $NFLX: +1,666%.Amazon $AMZN: +1,529%.Microsoft $MSFT: +1,328%.Apple $AAPL: +1,215%.Google $GOOGL: +975%.S&P 500 $SPY: +356%.Bonds $AGG: +35%.Gold $GLD: -5%.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Returns, Last 10 Years. Bitcoin $BTC: +1,150,000%.Tesla $TSLA: +14,376%.NVIDIA $NVDA: +6,298%.Netflix $NFLX: +3,485%.Domino's $DPZ: 1,935%.Amazon $AMZN: +1,358%.Microsoft $MSFT: +1,256%.Apple $AAPL: +1,108%.Google $GOOGL: +952%.S&P 500 $SPY: +348%.Bonds $AGG: +34%.Gold $GLD: +1%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
CNBC ran its "markets in turmoil" special last night, the only indicator with a perfect track record.
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CNBC
3 years
TONIGHT on CNBC at 8p ET — A CNBC Special Report: Markets In Turmoil. After the Dow plunged 1,000 points and the Nasdaq dropped 5%, what's next for your money? Our reporters and guests will bring you the latest.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Returns, Last 10 Years. Bitcoin $BTC: +2,092,923%.Tesla $TSLA: +18,725%.NVIDIA $NVDA: +8,742%.Netflix $NFLX: +4,798%.Domino's $DPZ: 1,758%.Amazon $AMZN: +1,512%.Microsoft $MSFT: +1,474%.Apple $AAPL: +1,126%.Google $GOOGL: +896%.S&P 500 $SPY: +351%.Bonds $AGG: +34%.Gold $GLD:- 1%.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time highs.2. Home prices: all-time highs.3. Bitcoin: all-time highs.4. Wages: all-time highs.5. Job openings: all-time highs.6. PCE Inflation: highest since 1990.7. Fed: we need to hold interest rates down at 0% for another year to boost asset prices and inflation.
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Charlie Bilello
5 months
Average US family health insurance premium. 2000: $6k.2003: $9k.2006: $11k.2009: $13k.2012: $16k.2015: $18k.2018: $20k.2021: $22k.2024: $26k. That's a 342% increase since 1999 (6.1% per year). (Note: US CPI inflation has increased 2.5%/year).
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Silicon Valley Bank was the 2nd largest bank failure in US history. Only Washington Mutual was bigger.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
% below 2021 high. Ethereum $ETH: -38%.Binance $BNB: -39%.Terra $LUNA: -41%.Bitcoin $BTC: -42%.Avalanche $AVAX: -47%.Solana $SOL: -50%.Chainlink $LINK: -50%.Crypto. com $CRO: -56%.Polkadot $DOT: -59%.Cardano $ADA: -64%.XRP $XRP: -64%.Shiba Inu $SHIB: -65%.Dogecoin $DOGE: -81%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
United Auto Workers proposal:.-40% increase in hourly pay over 4 years.-Reduced 4-day, 32-hour workweek.-Faster path to top pay.-Shift back to defined benefit pensions.-Cost-of-living adjustments.-5+ weeks of vacation, more paid holidays, extended parental leave.
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Charlie Bilello
6 years
Two revolutionary companies went public in the summer of 2004. These are their returns. Google: +2,228%.Domino's Pizza: +4,196%
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
In Jan 2021, the 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.65% and average new home price in the US was $401,700. Today the 30-yr mortgage rate is 5.65% and average new home price is $546,800. Assuming a 20% down payment, that's a 95% increase in the monthly payment (from $1,294 to $2,525).
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Charlie Bilello
7 years
1 Year ago. Twitter market cap: $13 billion.Snapchat market cap: $25 billion. Today. Twitter market cap: $25 billion.Snapchat market cap: $13 billion. $TWTR $SNAP
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Bitcoin returns since 2010. $BTC
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Charlie Bilello
3 months
Argentina's Monthly Inflation Rate.Dec 2023 (Javier Milei takes office): 26%.Jan 2024: 21%.Feb 2024: 13%.Mar 2024: 11%.Apr 2024: 8.8%.May 2024: 4.3%.Jun 2024: 4.6%.Jul 2024: 4.0%.Aug 2024: 4.2%.Sep 2024: 3.5%.Oct 2024: 2.7%.Nov 2024: 2.4%.Dec 2024: 2.7%.Jan 2025: 2.2%. Afuera!
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Crypto, % below 2021 high.Bitcoin $BTC: -54%.Cardano $ADA: -55%.Ethereum $ETH: -59%.Solana $SOL: -59%.Binance $BNB: -61%.Uniswap $UNI: -66%.XRP $XRP: -72%.Chainlink $LINK: -73%.Stellar $XLM: -73%.Litecoin $LTC: -73%.BitcoinCash $BCH: -75%.Dogecoin $DOGE: -77%.Polkadot $DOT: -78%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
DoorDash Revenue. 2022: $6.6 billion.2021 : $4.9 billion.2020: $2.9 billion.2019: $885 million.2018: $291 million. DoorDash Net Income. 2022: -$1.37 billion.2021: -$468 million.2020: -$461 million.2019: -$667 million.2018: -$204 million. $DASH.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Price increases over last yr (CPI report). Gasoline: +42.7%.Used Cars: +31.9%.Gas Utilities: +21%.New Cars: +7.6%.Overall CPI: +5.3%.Electricity: +5.2%.Food away from home: +4.7%.Transportation: +4.6%.Apparel: +4.2%.Food at home: +3.0%.Shelter: +2.8%.Medical care service: +1.0%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
The "Fed Put" is back with assets on their balance sheet increasing $297 billion over the last week, the largest spike higher since March 2020. Thus nearly half of the Quantitative Tightening since last April was undone in a single week.
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Charlie Bilello
8 months
Average US family health insurance premium. 1999: $6k.2002: $8k.2005: $11k.2008: $13k.2011: $15k.2014: $17k.2017: $19k.2020: $21k.2023: $24k. That's a 314% increase since 1999 (6.1% per year). (Note: US CPI inflation has increased 2.5%/year).
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time highs.2. Home prices: all-time highs.3. Job openings: all-time high.4. Wages: all-time high.5. Core PCE Inflation: highest since 1991.6. Fed: we need 0% rates through at least 2023 & trillions more in bond buying to boost asset prices & increase inflation.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
2 years ago, the 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.90% & the median existing home price in the US was $294k. Today the 30-yr mortgage rate is 5.71% & the median existing home price is $416k. With a 20% down payment, that's a 98% increase in the monthly payment (from $978 to $1,933).
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Price increases over last year (CPI report).Used Cars: +41.2%.Gasoline: +38.0%.Gas Utilities: +23.8%.Meats/Fish/Eggs: +13.0%.New Cars: +12.4%.Electricity: +9.0%.Food at home: +8.6%.Overall CPI: +7.9%.Food away from home: +6.8%.Apparel: +6.6%.Transportation: +6.6%.Shelter: +4.7%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Price increases over last year (CPI report). Fuel Oil: +98.5%.Gasoline: +59.9%.Gas Utilities: +38.4%.Electricity: +13.7%.Food at home: +12.2%.New Cars: +11.4%.Overall CPI: +9.1%.Transportation: +8.8%.Food away from home: 7.7%.Used Cars: +7.1%.Shelter: +5.6%.Apparel: +5.2%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Average price of a new home in the US. 2012: 288k.2013: 337k.2104: 325k.2015: 340k.2016: 369k.2017: 366k.2018: 385k.2019: 385k.2020: 360k.2021: 435k (+21% YoY).2022: 570k (+31% YoY).
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Silicon Valley Bank is now marketing themselves as the single safest "place to keep or transfer your deposits (fully insured with no limits or caps)."
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Charlie Bilello
7 months
"Keep your eye on one thing and one thing only: how much government is spending. Because that's the true tax. If you're not paying for it in the form of explicit taxes, you're paying for it in the form of inflation or borrowing." - Milton Friedman.
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Charlie Bilello
7 months
Average US family health insurance premium. 2000: $6k.2003: $9k.2006: $11k.2009: $13k.2012: $16k.2015: $18k.2018: $20k.2021: $22k.2024: $26k. That's a 342% increase since 1999 (6.1% per year). (Note: US CPI inflation has increased 2.5%/year).
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
3 years ago: 30-yr mortgage rate was 2.97% & average new home price in the US was $360k. Today: 30-yr mortgage rate is 6.39% & average new home price is $562k. Result: $40k increase in down payment (assuming 20% down) & 132% increase in monthly payment (from $1,209 to $2,809).
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Charlie Bilello
1 year
Price increases over last decade. McDonald's: +100%.Popeyes: +86%.Taco Bell: +81%.Chipotle: +75%.Jimmy John's: +62%.Arby's: +55%.Burger King: +55%.Chick-fil-A: +55%.Wendy's: +55%.Panera: +54%.Subway: +39%.Starbucks: +39%.US Government Reported Inflation (CPI): +31%
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
The average family health insurance premium in the US has more than tripled since the "affordable" care act was signed into law back in 2010. The biggest beneficiaries: health insurers. United Health Group (the largest US insurer) is up 1,750% vs. a 389% gain for the S&P 500.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time high.2. Home prices: all-time high.3. Crypto (Bitcoin/Ethereum): all-time highs.4. Inflation expectations: highest since 2008.5. Fed: we need 0% rates through at least the end of 2023 & trillions more in bond buying to boost asset prices & increase inflation.
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Charlie Bilello
6 months
Bitcoin Returns since 2010. $BTC.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time highs.2. Home prices: all-time highs.3. Incomes: all-time highs.4. Job openings: all-time high.5. US Core Inflation: highest since 1991.6. Fed: we need 0% rates through at least 2023 & trillions more in bond buying to boost asset prices & increase inflation.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
The percentage US home for sale that have cut their asking price over the last 4 weeks is at the highest level we've seen since Redfin started tracking the data in 2015.
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Charlie Bilello
1 month
The $VIX ended the week at 45.3, among the highest weekly closes in history. What has happened in the past following the highest $VIX levels?. Stocks rallied 100% of the time over the next 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years with returns far above historical averages.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Carvana Net Income. 2022: -$1.59 billion.2021: -$135 million.2020: -$171 million.2019: -$115 million.2018: -$55 million.2017: -$18 million.2016: -$93 million.2015: -$4 million.2014: -$15 million.$CVNA.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Average price of a new home in the US. 2012: 274k.2013: 313k.2104: 326k.2015: 346k.2016: 342k.2017: 371k.2018: 374k.2019: 384k.2020: 386k.2021: 408k.2022: 511k (+25% YoY).
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Charlie Bilello
1 year
Nvidia's market cap is now over $200 billion higher than all of the companies in the S&P 500 Energy sector . combined. Meanwhile, the total net income of the Energy sector is $147 billion vs. $19 billion for Nvidia. Video:
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Returns, Last 10 Years. Bitcoin $BTC: 1,957,880%.Tesla $TSLA: +17,692%.NVIDIA $NVDA: +9,591%.Netflix $NFLX: +6,618%.AMD $AMD: +2,971%.Domino's $DPZ: 1,927%.Amazon $AMZN: +1,735%.Microsoft $MSFT: +1,565%.Apple $AAPL: +1,305%.Google $GOOGL: +888%.S&P 500 $SPY: +369%.Gold $GLD: -1%.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Wall Street Week. Koss $KOSS: +1,740%.Blockbuster $BLIAQ: +1,233%.Dogecoin $DOGE: +513%.GameStop $GME: +405%.AMC $AMC: +280%.Express $EXPR: +234%.Novavax $NVAX: +74%.Volatility Index $VIX: +51%.---.Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: -3.3%.S&P 500 $SPY: -3.3%.Apple $AAPL: -5.2%.Tesla $TSLA: -6.3%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Lumber prices are at their lowest levels since June 2020, down 78% from the peak in May 2021.
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Charlie Bilello
3 months
% of NBA Shots that are 3-Pointers. 1985: 4%.1995: 19%.2005: 20%.2015: 27%.2025: 42%
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
The average family health insurance premium in the US has more than tripled since the "affordable" care act was signed into law back in 2010. The biggest beneficiaries: health insurers. United Health Group (the largest US insurer) is up 1,864% vs. a 350% gain for the S&P 500.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Squid Game Crypto Coin Today. 1:35am: $38.19.2:35am: $89.91.3:35am: $93.64.4:35am: $434.70.5:35am: $2,856.64.5:40am: $0.0007926.$SQUID
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Charlie Bilello
6 years
2018 Crypto Returns. Qtum: -96%.ICON: -95%.Cardano: -94%.Lisk: -93%.IOTA: -92%.NEM: -92%.Bitcoin Gold: -91%.Dash: -90%.OmiseGO: -90%.Bitcoin Cash: -89%.NEO: -88%.Litecoin: -86%.zCash: -84%.Ethereum: -83%.Ethereum Classic: -81%.Monero: -81%.XRP: -79%.TRON: -76%.Bitcoin: -67%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Hiking rates to bring down inflation is not a "policy mistake," it's the Fed's mandate. The true policy mistake was believing that 0% rates, buying billions of mortgage bonds in a housing bubble, & increasing the money supply by 40% in 2 yrs would have no negative consequences.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
Asset Class Returns over the Last 10 Years. Data via @ycharts
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Charlie Bilello
6 years
Crypto, % Below all-time high. BitConnect: -100%.Qtum: -99%.ICON: -98%.Cardano: -98%.Bitcoin Gold: -98%.Bitcoin Cash: -98%.NEO: -97%.Lisk: -97%.NEM: -96%.IOTA: -96%.Dash: -96%.TRON: -95%.zCash: -94%.Ethereum: -93%.Litecoin: -93%.XRP: -92%.EOS: -92%.Monero: -90%.Bitcoin: -83%.
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Charlie Bilello
3 months
Berkshire Hathaway is holding over 27% of their Assets in Cash, the highest percentage on record.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
The median American household would need to spend 44.5% of their income to afford payments on a median-priced home in the US, the highest % on record with data going back to 2006.
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Charlie Bilello
1 month
The $VIX closed above 50 today which is in the top 1% of historical readings. What has happened in the past following closes above 50?. S&P 500 gains over the next 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years every time with above-average returns overall. $VIX $SPX.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
% Increase over last year. Ethereum: +683%.Bitcoin: +363%.Lumber: +115%.Soybeans: +59%.Silver: +55%.Copper: +46%.Corn: +45%.Cotton: +30%.Coffee: +25%.S&P 500: +20%.Gold: +17%.Crude Oil: +16%.Wheat: +16%.US Home Prices: +10%.--.US Consumer Price Index (reported today): +1.4%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
US Banks borrowed over $150 billion from the Fed's discount window last week, blowing past the previous record during the 2008 financial crisis ($112 billion).
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Bitcoin returns since 2010. $BTC
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Charlie Bilello
5 years
Since its IPO in 1997, Amazon has made $30 billion in cumulative net income. Apple has made $36 billion in net income in its last 2 quarters. $AMZN $AAPL.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Disney in 2004….Revenues: $30 billion.Net Income: $2.25 billion.Net Profit Margin: 7.4%. Disney in 2023….Revenues: $88 billion.Net Income: $2.25 billion.Net Profit Margin: 2.6%. $DIS
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
2022 Returns.$TWTR: -10%.$AAPL: -11%.$MSFT: -22%.$TSLA: -22%.$GME: -23%.$AMZN: -24%.$GOOG: -25%.$ADBE: -34%.$TEAM: -35%.$CRM: -39%.$AMD: -41%.$SNOW: -47%.$MRNA: -48%.$NVDA: -49%.$PYPL: -50%.$META: -52%.$ETSY: -52%.$SPOT: -54%.$ZM: -56%.$SQ: -57%.$NFLX: -63%.$SNAP: -77%.$SHOP:-77%.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
2020 Returns. Tesla $TSLA: +743%.Peloton $PTON: +434%.Moderna $MRNA: +434%.Zoom $ZM: +396%.Bitcoin: +304%.$AAPL: +82%.$AMZN: +76%.Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +49%.$MSFT: +43%.$GOOGL: +31%.Gold: +24%.Small Caps $IWM: +20%.S&P $SPY: +18%.LT Treasuries $TLT: +18%.Bonds $AGG: +7%.Oil: -21%.
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Charlie Bilello
1 month
The S&P 500 fell 10.5% over the last 2 trading days which was the 5th biggest 2-day decline since 1950. What has happened in the past following the biggest 2-day declines?. Stocks were substantially higher over the next 1, 3, 5 years every time.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time highs.2. Home prices: all-time highs.3. Crypto market cap: all-time highs.4. Wages: all-time highs.5. Job openings: all-time highs.6. Inflation: highest in 30 years. 7. Fed/Government: we need to hold interest rates down at 0% and borrow/spend trillions more.
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Charlie Bilello
8 months
The most absurd number in CPI?. According to the US Government, the cost of health insurance has declined 31% over the last 2 years and 10% over the last 5 years.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
3 years
Price increases over last year (CPI report).Used Cars: +40.5%.Gasoline: +40.0%.Gas Utilities: +23.9%.Meats/Fish/Eggs: +12.2%.New Cars: +12.2%.Electricity: +10.7%.Overall CPI: +7.5%.Food at home: +7.4%.Food away from home: +6.4%.Transportation: +5.6%.Apparel: +5.3%.Shelter: +4.4%.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
Median bank account balance in the US: $5,300. FDIC insurance limit: $250,000. Congress could raise that limit but let's not pretend that will help "average Americans." There's no free lunch: more FDIC insurance = higher costs. Those with high balances should bear that cost.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time highs.2. Home prices: all-time highs.3. Crypto (Bitcoin/Ethereum): all-time highs.4. Inflation expectations: highest since '08.5. Fed: we need 0% rates through at least the end of 2023 & trillions more in bond buying to boost asset prices & increase inflation.
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Charlie Bilello
5 years
Apple has bought back $319 billion in stock over the past 7 years, which is greater than the market cap of 490 companies in the S&P 500. $AAPL.
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Charlie Bilello
4 years
1. Stocks: all-time high.2. Home prices: all-time high.3. Core inflation: highest since 1992.4. Job openings: all-time high.5. Junk bond yields: all-time low.6. Fed: we need 0% rates for a few more years & trillions more in bond buying to boost asset prices & increase inflation.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
1-Year Returns.Dogecoin $DOGE: +9412%.Cardano $ADA: +2218%.Binance $BNB: +2174%.Solana $SOL: +2128%.Ethereum $ETH: +756%.Uniswap $UNI: +593%.Polkadot $DOT: +591%.XRP $XRP: +348%.Bitcoin $BTC: +332%.Litecoin $LTC: +214%.BitcoinCash $BCH: +142%.Chainlink $LINK: +92%.Gold $GLD: -9%.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
5 months
Bitcoin Returns since 2010. $BTC.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Bitcoin Market Cap. Oct 2011: $30 million.Oct 2012: $122 million.Oct 2013: $1.6 billion.Oct 2014: $5.4 billion.Oct 2015: $3.9 billion.Oct 2016: $10 billion.Oct 2017: $95 billion.Oct 2018: $109 billion.Oct 2019: $145 billion.Oct 2020: $212 billion.Oct 2021: $1.08 trillion.$BTC.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Amazon Net Income (Millions). '20: 21,309.'19: 11,620.'18: 10,070.'17: 3,033.'16: 2,371.'15: 596.'14: -241.'13: 274.'12: -39.'11: 631.'10: 1,152.'09: 902.'08: 645.'07: 476.'06: 190.'05: 359.'04: 588.'03: 35.'02: -149.'01: -567.'00: -1,411.'99: -720.'98: -125.'97: -31.$AMZN.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
2 years
Commodity price changes over the last year. Sugar: +10%.US CPI: +6.4%.Heating Oil: -3%.Gold: -6%.Corn: -6%.Soybeans: -8%.Copper: -11%.Gasoline: -11%.Brent Crude: -14%.Silver: -15%.WTI Crude: -18%.Zinc: -19%.Coffee: -21%.Wheat: -23%.Cotton: -29%.Natural Gas: -45%.Lumber: -63%.
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
4 years
Bitcoin returns since 2010. $BTC
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@charliebilello
Charlie Bilello
3 years
Global Inflation Rates.
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Charlie Bilello
2 years
You can now buy a 1-Year US Treasury bill and earn 5% on your money. When was last time we saw yields that high?. July 23, 2007.
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Charlie Bilello
5 years
The first 10 trillion-dollar company will be a conglomerate of Tesla, Virgin Galactic, Beyond Meat, and Tilray. A battery-powered space-traveling restaurant serving fake meat burgers infused with THC/CBD. Ticker Symbol?.
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