
Brad Bowman
@Brad_L_Bowman
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@FDD_CMPP Senior Director @FDD. Previously: NSA to SASC/SFRC members, USArmy, CFR IAF, & West Point Ast. Prof. (Grand Strategy/Foreign Policy/American Politics)
Joined January 2019
Arsenal of Democracy: Arming Taiwan, Ukraine, and Israel While Strengthening the U.S. Industrial Base. In our comprehensive @FDD @FDD_CMPP report, @RyanBrobst_ and I examine 25 weapon systems, assess the ability of the United States to simultaneously arm Taiwan, Ukraine, and.
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On ATACMS for Ukraine, don’t settle for a job half done. Washington should deliver remaining APAM missiles & send as many ATACMS w/ unitary warheads as possible w/o jeopardizing US readiness. @JohnH105 & I make the case in this new @BreakingDefense op-ed.
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Putin's not crazy and the Russian invasion is not failing. This outstanding @FDD piece by @billroggio may be the most important thing you read today on #Ukraine: . . @LongWarJournal @FDD_CMPP #NATO @NATO @DeptofDefense @thejointstaff.
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Cognitive Combat: China, Russia, and Iran’s Information War Against Americans . Our new @FDD monograph with introduction and conclusion by yours truly and excellent country chapters by @CraigMSingleton, @ivanastradner, @JohnH105, @mdubowitz, & @SGhasseminejad.
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Thanks @general_ben. The administration's excuses for not sending the longer range ATACMS with unitary warheads don't withstand scrutiny. I discussed ATACMS & more w/ ASD Celeste Wallander here: @FDD @FDD_CMPP @JohnH105.
Excellent by Brad Bowman and John Hardie. ATACMS with 300km range will make Crimea untenable as soon they arrive in Theater. No place for Russian Navy, Air Force, Logistics to hide in Crimea. On ATACMS for Ukraine, don’t settle for a job half done
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Looks like we don't need to rush the F-16 paperwork either.
Turkey won’t ratify Sweden’s bid for NATO membership until autumn, President Erdoğan told reporters in Vilnius. “There is a two-month parliament holiday (…) but our goal is to finish this process as soon as possible”. Turkish parliament will be on summer break until October.
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In Ukraine, the United States has a partner willing to fight for our shared interests and principles. They aren’t asking Americans to do the fighting for them. They are simply asking for the means to defend their homes. Our piece in @BreakingDefense: .
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The U.S. should have provided ATACMS to Kyiv by now to target invading forces, as we argued in Aug.: . Biden should AT LEAST now tell Putin using Iranian SRBMs in Ukraine will trigger provision of #ATACMS to Kyiv. Interesting thread by @Aviation_Intel.
Just in terms of deterrence, one theoretical option (not endorsing it) could be to tell Russia directly, if you use Iranian ballistic missiles against Ukraine, we will give Ukraine ATACMS. Even steven. If Iranian SRBMs are put to use, it will be devastating. See thread below:.
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It's time for the Biden Administration to stop dragging its feet & make a decision to send the Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb to #Ukraine. Report worth reading by @ForeignPolicy's @JackDetsch. Appreciated the opportunity to share my thoughts.
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If reporting is accurate, Israel did with 3 missiles what Iran could not do with 350 missiles and drones. Israel has demonstrated the political will and military capability to strike inside Iran – something Israel had to do. Israel picked a very meaningful target,.
Israelis fired 3 missiles in limited strike, @ABC reports, citing a "senior US official":. Summary:. -3 missiles fired from Israeli fighter aircraft outside of Iran;. -Targeting an air defense radar site near Isfahan that’s part of the protection of the Natanz nuclear facility;.
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Tehran plans to go ahead w/ ballistic missile deliveries to Russia for use in Ukraine, @BarakRavid in @axios. If that happens, there is NO credible argument for refusing to provide Ukraine ATACMS to target invading Russian forces:
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Countdown to counteroffensive: Give Ukraine️ ATACMS before it's too late. In our latest @BreakingDefense op-ed, we explain how ATACMS could help Kyiv & scrutinize the arguments in Washington for not sending this vital capability.
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Politicians who used the misleading phrases "endless war" or "forever war" at a political rally in pursuit of cheap applause & are now expressing outrage regarding the catastrophe that policy predictably created should take a timeout & conduct some serious self-reflection.
With their fighters emboldened, their ranks replenished (w/ former prisoners), & their arsenals overflowing w/ new weapons, the Taliban-al Qaeda terror syndicate responsible for 9/11 once again enjoys a largely uncontested safe haven in Afghanistan.
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1/13: THREAD. Disregarding precedent, @POTUS has asked all of the previous administration’s appointees to the military academy advisory boards to resign. Jen Psaki says Biden wants “qualified” nominees who are aligned w/ the president’s values.
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Biden said "don't" and then Iran shrugged and proceeded to launch a massive direct attack against Israel. A major threshold has been crossed by Iran. It would be a serious mistake for Israel & the United States to only play defense at this point. The nature and scale of.
Iran launches drone attack at Israel, expected to unfold 'over hours', @Reuters reports. Iran, the world's worst state sponsor of terrorism, is directly attacking Israel, our closest and most reliable ally in the Middle East. Now is the time for the United States to stand with.
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Turkey is at again, a NATO ally not acting like one. It’s admittedly not exactly new behavior for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, but the actions over the last 2 weeks have been particularly troubling. My latest in @thedispatch w/ @SinanCiddi 👇
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Ukraine: What comes next? . I sit down with LTG (ret.) Ben Hodges & Rear Admiral (ret.) Mark Montgomery to discuss the strategies, stakes, & path forward in Ukraine in this episode of @FDD's Foreign Podicy. @general_ben @MarkCMontgomery @CliffordDMay .
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#ICYMI for anyone in the party of Reagan wondering whether we should continue to support a beleaguered democracy confronting an unprovoked Kremlin invasion. If you didn't like the consequences of the Afghanistan withdrawal, you REALLY wouldn't like a Russian victory in Ukraine.
🚨 BENEFITS OUTWEIGH COSTS 📊. Aid to Ukraine is a wise investment that advances U.S. interests. @FDD_CMPP's @Brad_L_Bowman, Ryan Brobst, & @JohnH105 have crunched the numbers 👇
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We risk helping Putin when we put pressure on Ukraine to negotiate. Who invaded whom? . Kyiv coming to the negotiating table under pressure from Washington would almost certainly be viewed by Putin as weakness and an opportunity to exploit.
Our support for Kyiv is not charity. It supports our core national security interests and democratic principles. We aren’t doing Ukraine favors. We have a partner willing to fight hard to defend our common interests and principles.
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Senator Tom Cotton introduced legislation Thursday to ensure DOD takes proactive steps to eliminate delays b/w Israel’s receipt of its own KC-46s & their availability for missions. Our new @FDD Insight has the details 👇.. @TomCottonAR @FDD_CMPP #Iran.
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Politicians who parroted the misleading "ending endless war" mantra & pushed for a conditions-ignoring withdrawal from Afghanistan are now blaming Biden for the current chaos. They need to look in the mirror. I explain why in this @NBCNewsTHINK piece:.
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A failure to support Ukraine would embolden Putin & authoritarian bullies elsewhere, invite addt'l aggression, & ultimately impose greater costs on the U.S. Let's hope the party of Reagan doesn't abandon a free people fighting for survival against an unprovoked Russian invasion
Why should Americans care about the outcome in Ukraine? . Why is U.S. security assistance to Ukraine a wise investment and not charity?. My thoughts on @cspanwj last August:.
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Here's my answer to Americans arguing against supporting Ukraine or arguing that we can't afford to do so.
🚨BENEFITS OUTWEIGH COSTS 🚨. U.S. assistance to Ukraine is a wise investment that advances American interests. @FDD_CMPP's @Brad_L_Bowman, Ryan Brobst & @JohnH105 have crunched the numbers.👇
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Thank goodness the Kurds didn't say "not our problem" when we asked them to help defeat ISIS's caliphate. 11,000 casualties later, the Kurds deserve much better. (U.S. reputation as unreliable partner)+(empowered adversaries) +(ISIS detainees returning to battlefield)=our problem.
"It's not our problem," Trump says in Oval Office of Turkey's invasion into Syria. He adds that the Kurds are "not angels." Also, he says this: "They've got a lot of sand over there. There's a lot of sand they can play with.".
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Breaking: US lifts arms embargo on Cyprus, @lenaargiri reports. @JSchanzer & I explained -- in May 2019 -- why this is the right move:.
Breaking:US lifts arms embargo on Cyprus/@SecBlinken determined & certified to Congress that Cyprus has met necessary conditions under relevant legislation to allow approval of exports, re-exports, transfers of defense articles to Republic of Cyprus for fiscal year 2023.
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The Biden administration is holding up some weapons deliveries to Israel, @laraseligman reports in @politico. If this reporting is accurate, the administration is making a disturbing, counter-productive, and short-sighted mistake. Purposefully delaying the delivery to Israel.
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Actually, it's worse than that @CENTCOM. Not 3 in 3, but 4 in 4. We have seen four terror attacks in four days on commercial vessels by the Iran-backed Houthis. Most are U.S. owned. Those 4 attacks don't include the Jan. 14 anti-ship missile launched toward the USS Laboon.
Third Houthi Terrorists Attack on Commercial Shipping Vessel in Three Days. On Jan. 18 at approximately 9 p.m. (Sanaa time), Iranian-backed Houthi terrorists launched two anti-ship ballistic missiles at M/V Chem Ranger, a Marshall Island-flagged, U.S.-Owned, Greek-operated tanker
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Recognizing that Hamas, Hezbollah, & the Houthis have the same benefactor and share many of the same goals, methods, & weapons is an essential prerequisite for developing a more effective regional response. #ICYMI, our Feb. '22 @DefenseOne analysis:.
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Biden weighs striking Iranian proxies after attacks on U.S. troops, @DanLamothe reports. Appreciated the opportunity to share my thoughts:
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Congressional inaction damages both Ukrainian and US militaries . My latest in @defense_news with @JohnH105: .
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Houthis have launched >40 drones & missiles at Saudi Arabia in Feb alone, a senior U.S. defense official tells @NBCNews' @dandeluce. Don't expect to resolve the Yemen conflict & humanitarian crisis if the Houthis enjoy a steady supply of Iranian weapons.
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We just abandoned a besieged democracy in Afghanistan & totalitarian terrorists are taking over. Perhaps figuring out how not to do that again would be a good agenda item for "The Summit for Democracy" in December that @POTUS is hosting. I'll wait for an invitation to present.
Biden’s pro Democracy policy doesn’t extend to Afghanistan. An elected govt is about to fall to a fascist gang.
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3/13: It is incredibly petty, unjustified, & damaging for @POTUS to ask Lieutenant General (Ret.) H.R. McMaster to resign from the USMA advisory board.
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The Philippines has confirmed it is in the process of canceling a contract to acquire Russian-built transport helicopters, citing changes in priorities brought on by world events, @TheBaseLeg reports in @defense_news. Smart move.
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When not murdering innocent Iranians, threatening the U.S. & Israel, & sending weapons to Russia to kill Ukrainians in their homes, the Islamic Republic of Iran is smuggling arms to the Houthis, fueling conflict and humanitarian crisis in Yemen. .@WSJ.
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The Biden administration's latest weak excuse for not sending ATACMS to Ukraine. What's the argument & why does it not withstand scrutiny?. We've got the details in our new @dcexaminer op-ed:. . @FDD @FDD_CMPP #Ukraine #ATACMS.
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Most Americans support US arming Ukraine, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows, @Reuters reports. That's good because U.S. support for Ukraine is a wise investment & not charity. Context here from discussion w/ @CliffordDMay & @LTGHRMcMaster:
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What do Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis have in common?. Spoiler alert: They have the same benefactor and share many of the same goals, methods (e.g., human shields), and weapons. Details from our 2022 piece in @DefenseOne:. @FDD @FDD_CMPP @JoeTruzman.
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A positive development for the U.S., Israel, Greece, and regional security in the Eastern Mediterranean. For additional context, read this piece by Ambassador Edelman & Aykan Erdemir: @aykan_erdemir @sfrantzman @FDD_CMPP @FDD .
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Send #Ukraine C-RAMs and VAMPIREs to help defeat Iranian drones. My latest with @MarkCMontgomery in @C4ISRNET.
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Which additional military capabilities will help Ukraine the most & the quickest?. @Aviation_Intel & @CombatAir help clear up common confusion in this @thedrive piece: .
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NSA @jakejsullivan says @POTUS wants a full Pentagon review of U.S. military posture worldwide. Here's what former Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta & @LTGHRMcMaster told me on the topic:. Watch & read here: @bopinion @FDD_CMPP.
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The situation in Afghanistan has deteriorated rapidly. In this @WSJOpinion piece, @FDD_CMPP Chair @LTGHRMcMaster & I detail the steps the U.S. should take to help avert disaster. h/t to @billroggio at @FDD's @LongWarJournal for the district details.
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đź§µRecognizing that Hamas, Hezbollah, & the Houthis have the same Iranian benefactor & share many of the same goals, methods, & weapons is an essential prerequisite for developing a more cooperative & effective regional response. Our latest in @DefenseOne:.
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A transparently cynical move by Putin. I suspect most Russian soldiers would prefer a permanent end to the unprovoked invasion, a departure from Ukraine, and a one-way trip home to their families in Russia rather than a 36-hour ceasefire.
Pres Putin ordered a ceasefire in Ukraine for 36 hours on Jan. 6 and 7 to allow Orthodox Christians to attend Christmas services, per the Kremlin. No signal as of now that this was brokered or agreed to beforehand with the Ukrainians.
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đź§µIran caught in the act. @CENTCOM: U.S. forces seized on Jan. 11 Iranian-made ballistic and cruise missile components - including propulsion, guidance, and warhead components - being sent from Iran to the Houthis. Initial analysis: same weapons being used in attacks. 1/5.
USCENTCOM Seizes Iranian Advanced Conventional Weapons Bound for Houthis. On 11 January 2024, while conducting a flag verification, U.S. CENTCOM Navy forces conducted a night-time seizure of a dhow conducting illegal transport of advanced lethal aid from Iran to resupply Houthi
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Washington tried a timeline-based withdrawal from Iraq in 2011, and it did not go well. We should not make the same mistake again. The primary beneficiaries of a premature U.S. withdrawal from Iraq would be Tehran and ISIS. @barbarastarrcnn @cnnbrk @CNN.
BREAKING: US military commanders are anticipating that a formal order will be given by Trump as soon as this week to begin a further reduction of US troops to just 2,500 in Afghanistan and 2,500 in Iraq before Trump leaves office. @barbarastarrcnn reports.
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On the 9/11 Anniversary, Americans should demand an end to self-delusion in Washington regarding the nature & objectives of our adversaries. Otherwise, we should expect more disasters. My latest in @ForeignPolicy with @FDD_CMPP Chair @LTGHRMcMaster: .
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1/3: Every American should watch this video. @GStephanopoulos was essentially asking whether @POTUS was going to abandon Americans in Afghanistan. Biden's difficulty in answering reveals the depth of his commitment to ignoring conditions on the ground.
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A good day for regional security and a bad day for the Islamic Republic of Iran and it’s terror proxies: . Americans, Israelis, and Arabs conducting an overt multilateral maritime security exercise together in the Red Sea, one of the world’s most important waterways.
🇦🇪⚓️🇧đź‡âš“️🇮🇱⚓️🇺🇸 .Forces assigned to the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Israel and U.S. Naval Forces Central Command began conducting a multilateral maritime security operations exercise in the Red Sea, Nov. 10.
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THREAD: >1,000 veterans & Gold Star Families are asking @POTUS to not lift or suspend any sanctions on Iran "until all outstanding judgments and pending claims against Iran and the IRGC have been fully satisfied," as @NBCNews's @dandeluce reports.
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The regime in Tehran specializes in oppressing the Iranian people & exporting terrorism - while deepening ties w/ Moscow & Beijing. Supporting the Iranian people advances democratic principles & US interests. Specific ideas from @FDD colleagues on how 👇.
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Finland in #NATO is a strategic asset rather than a liability. #ICYMI from last year, here's why: NATO is NOT a threat to Russia. Putin doesn't like NATO expansion because it is more dangerous to bully & invade countries once they're in the alliance.
The accession of #Finland to #NATO is a positive step towards bolstering our collective resilience against any threats to our shared security. Finland's membership will significantly enhance our posture in the High North and our ability to reinforce our Baltic Allies. #WeAreNATO.
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Why should Americans care about the outcome in Ukraine? . Why is U.S. security assistance to Ukraine a wise investment and not charity?. My thoughts on @cspanwj last August:.
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đź§µThe Islamic Republic of Iran is the leading threat to freedom of navigation in the Middle East, perpetrating at least 26 harassments, attacks, or seizures between January 2021 and July 2023. Explore the details here in our new @FDD Visual:. (1/4).
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President Biden’s decision to pursue a calendar-based withdrawal from Afghanistan that ignores conditions on the ground is a dangerous mistake. I explain why in my @washingtonpost op-ed.
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Oh my goodness. That's a bad day for an expert or scholar when the Kremlin cites your work to justify an unprovoked and bloody invasion designed to overthrow a democratically-elected government and oppress a free people trying to defend their homes.
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We should be increasing defense spending each year at least 3 to 5 percent above the rate of inflation. Suggestions that we should cut defense spending are ill-informed & wildly disconnected from the reality of the threats & challenges we confront.
Emerging deal McCarthy is discussing would cut defense spending by $75 billion --@bpolitics. This would be a foolish self-inflicted wound that would undermine urgent efforts to build US military strength, support Ukraine, & oppose Chinese aggression.
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1/3: Patriots to Ukraine provocative to Putin? . Give me a break. Context: Comments by Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder (@PentagonPresSec) were🎯:.
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We are seeing the tragic toll in Afghanistan of self-delusion in Washington. The catastrophe in #Afghanistan will NOT remain confined to that country. @FDD_CMPP Chair @LTGHRMcMaster and I explain why in this @WSJ op-ed:.
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Putin offers Russian and Ukrainian rare minerals to US, @BBCWorld reports. How generous of Putin to offer minerals that he is stealing from Ukraine.
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The Islamic Republic of Iran caught red-handed by the @US5thFleet trying to smuggle to Yemen enough explosive material to fuel roughly a dozen medium-range ballistic missiles. My latest piece in the @dcexaminer w/ my @FDD @FDD_CMPP colleague Ryan Brobst.
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