@shumochu Same thought dude. Google/DeepMind is the only AI company that strikes a great balance between short-term wins and long-term research goals.

@MichaelAArouet Northern Italy's proximity to Central European markets, existing medieval commerce hubs (like Venice/Genoa), and the early adoption of hydroelectric power allowed industry to rapidly cluster in a "Golden Triangle." The South, meanwhile, was held back by feudal-style absentee

The rebellion against compassion, kindness, empathy, care, and other-directedness - against, in other words, the awareness of the full three-dimensionality of the Other - is the real quote unquote Civilization Destroyer. Related, people need to read more Wallace.

Part 1: anachronous thinking (flowing present values backwards) Part 2: later

Agency > Intelligence I had this intuitively wrong for decades, I think due to a pervasive cultural veneration of intelligence, various entertainment/media, obsession with IQ etc. Agency is significantly more powerful and significantly more scarce. Are you hiring for agency? Are

Hinton is no longer afraid of superintelligence.

Schumpeter was never awarded the Nobel (he died in 1950). But he won the Nobel today.

Here's a great paper by Nobel winner Philippe Aghion (and Benjamin F. Jones and Charles I. Jones) on AI and economic growth. The key takeaway is that because of Baumol's cost disease, even if 99% of the economy is fully automated and infinitely productive, the overall growth

Many people do not seem to understand that subjective experience is born *way* before consciousness (thus easy to create in machines) and consciousness arise from simple mechanical neural activation (thus possible to create in machines) Read Hofstadter for more.

In 1950 Italy had 17 children under the age of ten for every person over the age of 80. 17! Today, by contrast, that ratio is approaching one to one. We have a political conversation completely unable to understand, and explore, the implications of this.

Yeah, I am as excited as the next guy about creating an “AI scientist”, but I know all too well that for decades intelligence has not been the main bottleneck for creating better and more advanced scientific breakthroughs. We’ve been churning out more science PhDs than we knew

Probability is just an epistemological trick used to manage and work with uncertainty of a deterministic process where information is either lacking or intractable

But that stochasticity is not a property of the subject/object but its a property of the system affecting the final output of interest. This can happen also in deterministic systems (see Lorenz attractor).

In complex systems - or in simple systems but in absence of lowest possible level of information (say at smallest particle level) - we can never get to 100% or 0%

To understand how De Finetti was right we can just think of looking at ensemble probability at the highest possible level; say prevalence of a disease in a population and adding at lower and lower and lower level information so as to tend closer to 100% or 0% for the individual

It is *so not* a property of the coin; it is a property of the unknown force/spin applied to the coin in an imaginary world where fluctuations around this mean means coin will land tail/head the same number of times over a large enough sample

Must read cc. @gianlucac1bis @chiadegli @fsaraceno @elenavilla3 @AndreaRoventini

@threadreaderapp unroll

to add to this; we are over reliant on seein intelligence as pure computation derived from a conscious machine (our brain) but cosciousness doesn't exist it's just a strange loophole (Hofstadter); this is a limited view on intelligence as a whole

these are just some sparse thoughts; I hope I get the time to write a substack soon on my pov