Branislav Slantchev
@slantchev
Followers
18K
Following
9K
Media
4K
Statuses
30K
Professor of Political Science at the University of California San Diego IR theory and conflict, formal modeling. All views expressed here are strictly personal
Del Mar, CA
Joined January 2022
Friends: Hein Goemans and I have a piece in Foreign Affairs explaining why negotiated peace is very unlikely because of Russia. https://t.co/EglsXh8PNv
foreignaffairs.com
Russia’s extreme demands—and Ukraine’s desire to survive—make negotiations unlikely.
69
177
514
And of course, as usual, Trump simply made up a claim that, according to some supposed polls, 82% of Ukrainians “demand” that Zelenskyy reach a “deal” with the Kremlin -- clearly implying that they want this “deal” now and at any cost, up to and including full capitulation, which
38
123
463
THIS!!! NDAA just passed the House by a vote of 312-112.
NEW!! US Congress Loads Defense Bill With Europe-First Muscle Bill locks in long-term support for Ukraine, mandates troop levels in Europe, and codifies the Baltic Security Initiative as US strategy hardens against Russia. 👇 https://t.co/XhP9FDzlfH
13
192
808
Unclear why the West should be rebuilding Russia’s economy. Again. All it’s going to do is blow up in our faces when the next Russian revanchist decides everything is the West’s fault and starts invading neighbors again.
"The documents detail plans for U.S. financial firms and other businesses to tap roughly $200 billion of frozen Russian assets for projects in Ukraine—including a massive new data center to be powered by a nuclear plant currently occupied by Russian troops"
2
12
52
We should form a Wolf Party and run on “Release the Wolves!” platform.
2
0
8
For those keep track of facts rather than creative interpretations and selective memory, Bennett walked back his claims soon after he made them. Moreover, from the wealth of material released about these negotiations, we know that the gap was vast, and that it was due to
businessinsider.com
Naftali Bennett, Israel's prime minister at the start of the war, said that peace talks broke down after Russia massacred civilians in Bucha, Ukraine.
@Endeavor4ever23 @loociddreem @slantchev 1/ Look, we know - because we have a direct testimony by Naftali Bennett - that in 2022 Biden / EU undermined 🇷🇺🇺🇦 peace talks because they wanted this war to continue. No friend of 🇺🇦 would do it.
2
6
26
I have ordered economy to accelerate immediately. If economy fails to accelerate to global rates, economy will be arrested and economists will accelerate to terminal velocity from window. I remain a master strategist.
56
314
2K
Brand new study demonstrates a material-independent universal scaling collapse for Wiedemann–Franz violations across three distinct hydrodynamic quantum materials. For over a century, the Wiedemann–Franz law has been treated as a baseline constraint in condensed matter. Our
1
0
1
Wonder if he really believes this, about "sanctions-driven economic era" coming to an end. Because if he does, it shows a mind-boggling naiveté about the direction the world is going in.
I told FM Sergei Lavrov that we fully support the US-Russia dialogue and trust it can lead to peace. If that happens, the sanctions-driven economic era will finally end. The new global economic environment will bring huge opportunities & Hungary wants the best starting position.
5
4
61
Mearsheimer is lying like most of us breathe. The idea that someone is pushing for “total victory” for Ukraine or to overthrow Putin is absurd. It wasn’t even true under Biden, let alone now. As with his academic work, John is great at erecting imaginary strawmen that look
Unprecedented amount of pressure is being put on Trump from within the U.S. (Blob) and outside (Europe) to “save” Ukraine. This is their biggest project + moral crusade since the Cold War ended and won’t accept anything less than total victory for UKR…1/2 https://t.co/YKVSCNm1Xz
9
20
176
It’s never a good idea to be raging at the voters for not voting the way you want them to. These people seem to be perpetually confused as to who is supposed to be selecting whom. You want votes, pursue policies voters want instead of bitching when they see through your game of
Dear Miami Republicans Y’all had one muthafuckin job. Go out and vote to keep our city red. And what the fuck did yall do? Stay home and let it turn blue for the first muthafuckin time in over 30 muthafuckin years. Congratulations geniuses. Yall just handed the keys to
0
1
12
It’s amazing how people fail to grasp some very simple things about war termination. It takes both sides to agree to end the war. The Russians are demanding things the Ukrainians — not “hawkish voices outside Ukraine” — are unwilling to concede, and with good reason. a the
It was inevitable that hawkish voices outside Ukraine would actively oppose Ukrainians who try to build support for war-ending negotiations It was not inevitable, however, that Western “progressives” would stay silent about fellow travelers’ foolish opposition to diplomacy
2
7
47
New exclusive details of the revised peace proposal have emerged: three documents are currently on the negotiating table - the plan itself, the security guarantees, and the economic recovery framework, according to The Washington Post. What they include: – A demilitarized zone
10
20
156
SBU’s “Sea Baby” naval drones struck the Russian “shadow fleet” tanker Dashan in the Black Sea. The vessel, sailing under the Comoros flag, was moving through Ukraine’s exclusive economic zone toward the port terminal in Novorossiysk. As a result of the attack, the tanker
77
424
3K
Again with the demands on Ukraine. What I’m not hearing is a plan to get the Russians to agree to stop fighting. You do understand that it takes two to make peace, right?
There is only one way for Ukraine to win and the only win that can be just now is actually to finish this war and try to recover.
2
4
45
If you don’t believe me that the Russians have leapt off the demographic cliff, perhaps you can believe the Russians themselves telling you this?
Россия вымирает! Статистика не врёт. Это не просто проблемы с демографией — это катастрофа. Как повышать рождаемость? Делать жильё доступным! Не ипотека с конскими процентами, а стройсберкассы. Дать людям материальную поддержку и стимул рожать больше! Так изменим ситуацию!
1
0
5
So let’s do some simple maths: 190,000 Russian troops invaded Ukraine in 2022 + 40,000 from the banana republics + 300,000 mobilized in the fall + 150,000 who signed new contracts or volunteered that year + 350,000 who signed up in 2023 (conservative estimate, as Russians claim
Medvedev writes that "over 400 thousand" contract soldiers were recruited by the Russian army in 2025 and the goals for this year are practically achieved.
29
121
528
Посол Украины в Израиле Евгений Корнийчук в интервью Ynet прокомментировал заявление премьера Биньямина Нетаниягу о его хороших отношениях с Путиным: «Я здесь не для того, чтобы советовать вашему премьер-министру, что ему говорить, но хочу напомнить вам, что Россия, эта так
ynetnews.com
Speaking to ynet, Yevgen Korniychuk slams PM's remarks, citing horrors of war, Moscow's support for Hamas and Hezbollah, and October 7; 'Anyone who has experienced terrorism needs to know who is on...
89
427
2K
🇪🇺 EU ambassadors have agreed to expand sanctions against Russia. New measures will target nine individuals and entities linked to Russia’s “shadow fleet,” along with 43 ships, 12 people, and two companies accused of destabilising the EU. Formal approval is expected Friday,
15
217
772
The Russian economy is growing in a negative direction.
Some numbers from the Russian budget for January-November 2025: ▪️ Oil and gas revenues fell by 22.4%. In November alone they fell by 34%. Urals crude oil plummeted by 18% compared to October. ▪️ Revenues over the first 11 months of 2025 grew by just 0.7% compared to the same
0
3
33