Simply go the the Springer site for the book, and enter discount code "BGE25", and you'll get 25% off the definitive guide to last year's general election - with many lessons for the current mess we are in. Here's the website:

How often do you think about how India went from a third of their railway being electrified a decade to all of their railway being electrified today?

Scottish By-Election in Whitburn and Blackburn Result 🧵 This is Reform's first council by-election victory, which in itself is quite significant. I've created the table below which shows the vote allocation at each stage.

URGENT QUESTIONS ❓What REALLY happened in the 2024 election? @robfordmancs ❓What’s business like in Ukraine?@jockmw ❓What’s the politics of Christmas parties? @keiranpedley @ConsultancyLiz 🎧 https://t.co/pJaiJT1SfV

I'm no epidemiologist, so really interested in view of those who are. Is this really showing a "worst case scenario"; "a tidal wave of flu ripping through our hospitals", etc? Genuine question.

From this eagerness to punish universities and younger graduates you might infer Labour doesn’t need their votes. You’d be wrong: younger graduates are or were the core of the Labour electorate

Note that a graduate in late 20s earning £30k pays a marginal rate of 37%: income tax + NI + loan repayment. Someone in late 60s earning £30k pays income tax at 20%. That’s all. And they’ll have a c£12k state pension.

And perhaps a third paradox is unrolling now: Starmer's "Basil Fawlty" strategy - "Don't Mention The Brexit" - delivered electoral triumph, yet persisting with this strategy may, by storing up frustrations & baking in economic weakness, set the scene for a disaster to come?

And here's a second paradox: for Johnson's Tories promising Brexit was the route to electoral triumph (by getting Farage to stand down), yet delivering it put them on the road to disaster (by creating the conditions for Farage's return)

The peculiarities of FPP hence help to produce a remarkable paradox: in 2019, 2 parties campaigned for Remain in majority Remain electorate - Labour & LDs but lost heavily; in 2024, the same two parties barely mentioned Brexit and won three quarters of the seats they contested.

Finally, strong seat performances of both Labour & the LDs reflected greater Remain tactical co-ordination , while the deep, even split in Leave vote magnified Tory losses, with Reform typically winning enough Leave votes to defeat Tory incumbents but not enough to win themselves

Meanwhile, though Lab tried to bridge Brexit divide, it won majority support from Remainers (52%) but only one in eight Leave voters. Its anaemic overall vote was in part because v modest (though well distributed) gains from Leavers were offset by large Remain losses to Grns/LDs

The most consequential political shift in 2024 happened entirely on one side of the Brexit divide, as the rise of Reform split the Leave vote. The relationship between 2016 Leave voting & support for the party fronted by Nigel Farage, Mr Brexit, in 2024 was extremely strong

Brexit is not just an outcome, it is a state of mind. A large majority of voters ID as Leavers or Remainers and these IDs are linked to basic differences in demographics & values. The two tribes of Brexit live on in the minds of voters, and shape which parties they consider.

Lib Dem support was also nearly 4x higher among Remainers, Greens 6x higher & SNP & Plaid also did much better among Remainers. It seems even though we were through with Brexit, Brexit was not through with us,still shaping voting choices into two barely overlapping blocs. Why?

Despite little focus on Brexit by voters, support for every single one of the larger parties received was concentrated among either Leavers or Remainers/Rejoiners.Tory support was 4x higher among Leavers, Reform support 11x higher. Labour suport was 4x higher among Remainers

Brexit was off the agenda in one sense - after 2020, when Boris Johnson "got Brexit done," virtually no one regarded it as one of the top issues facing the country. It was fast displaced by COVID and never returned as a top issue through the whole Parliament. And yet...

Time to look behind another "British General Election of 2024" advent calander window. As is tradition in every post 2016 Christmas, Brexit is in the air, with speculation abt whether Lab might push to move closer to the EU. But what role did Brexit play last July? Read on!

Starmer’s net approval is at -48. Badenoch’ approval reaches another new high for the year at -14. With Davey and Farage down slightly at -11 and -12 respectively it’s now a virtual three way tie for most approved (or least disapproved of).

Scottish Westminster Voting Intention: SNP: 33% (+2) RFM: 20% (+4) LAB: 17% (-5) CON: 11% (+1) GRN: 11% (+1) LDM: 8% (-1) Via @IpsosScotland, 27 Nov - 3 Dec. Changes w/ 12-18 Jun.

Yes, we do have an enormous tax burden. But here’s what most people don’t know: Average Brits pay the least income tax in the developed world - including the US! So why is the overall burden so high? We absolutely rinse higher earners… 🧵 👇 https://t.co/BN2dYVtdQ3