18 years ago, I moved to DC to be a junior fellow at Carnegie (first day pic below!). What a dream to now join the team as a nonresident scholar!

Effective deterrence in the Taiwan Strait means more than bases. It’s about capabilities that matter: submarines, bombers, and antiship missiles in the right places, with the flexibility to move fast. My latest with Brandon Yoder in @ForeignAffairs:.

Decoupling from China may feel tough, but it could backfire. A smart Taiwan strategy keeps selective interdependence to preserve U.S. leverage in a crisis. More in @ForeignAffairs with Brandon Yoder:.

Military buildup alone won't prevent war over Taiwan. Deterrence requires investing quietly in its military readiness, diplomatic reassurance, & maintaining economic resilience & some interdependence. Read my latest with Brandon Yoder in @ForeignAffairs:.

Great piece by ⁦@arzandc⁩ in ⁦@ForeignAffairs⁩ about how the U.S. also needs to work to build partnerships to counter China in the Indian Ocean. We have a lot of work to do!

Reminder that applications are now open for the @stanfordbosp Winter 2025-2026 quarter in Florence. Join me for my course exploring China-Italy relations, from cultural connections to NATO and global politics. Deadline: April 21 at noon PT. Apply here:

Excited to share I'll be teaching a class on China-Italy relations in Florence during Winter 2026 with @stanfordbosp. We'll dive into history, culture, and current events, including NATO and China-Russia ties. Applications now open - deadline is 12:00pm PT Monday, April 21.

RT @g_natalizia: 🇺🇸🇨🇳Bella discussione con @osmastro, @LorenzoTerm, @StefanoPelaggi e tanti studenti al @DiSpSapienza sulle modalità con cu….

RT @FSIStanford: If you missed @osmastro's testimony before the Senate on the role of alliances in the security landscape of the Indo-Pacif….

@VictorDCha You can also read the full submission on my website:

Insights on Indo-Pacific alliances and burden sharing from my latest testimony with experts Randall Schriver and .@VictorDCha can be viewed here: You can also read the full submission on my website:

My testimony on Indo-Pacific alliances and burden sharing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee starts in a few minutes. Join me, Randall Schriver, and @VictorDCha at 10:00 AM today.

I'm honored to testify tomorrow before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee alongside Randall Schriver and @VictorDCha on Indo-Pacific alliances and burden sharing. Watch it live here on Wednesday at 10:00 AM EST: .

RT @StanfordCISAC: As U.S.-China competition intensifies, CISAC center fellow @osmastro argues that a smarter move could mean fewer warhead….

In my latest @TheEconomist piece, I argue that China’s nuclear modernization must be understood in the broader context of its “upstart” strategy to build economic, political and military power over the past three decades.

Competition between US and China will only heat up during Trump’s second term. Arms-control talks would not only create greater stability in Asia, but would also allow US a better assessment of Chinese intentions & motivations. My latest on @TheEconomist:

In my latest @TheEconomist article, I suggest that given China's reluctance to engage in arms control, US might consider asymmetric arms control measures. Trading fewer nuclear capabilities for limits on conventional threats could redefine power balances.

Potential military conflict in the Pacific could see PLA opting for attacks on nearer American bases rather than strikes on US soil from day one. Guam's strategic location makes it ideal for US to stage operations & regroup for counterattacks. @Reuters.

A fascinating discussion with @CindyXiaodanYu @spectator on the recent upheavals in China's military. Are Xi Jinping's purges a crackdown on corruption or prep for action on Taiwan? .Tune in to the podcast here 🎧⤵️.

My book 'Upstart' was featured in the Claremont Review of Books @ClaremontInst, with @davidpgoldman's detailed insights highlighting the strategies I explore about China's rise to power. Read the review here:.

What can we learn from China's path to becoming a global power?. Tune into the Departures podcast as I explore this question and more with @robertamsterdam, drawing from my latest book, 'Upstart.'.