@neelkashkari
@nope_its_lily
i cant see how you can be in constant contact with small business owners and miss the entire inflation pulse. people were screaming it since the first import tariff. well before Covid
@neelkashkari
The problem isn’t that you missed as much as how careless you were about that possibility.
The Fed doesn’t appreciate that it’s tools are dangerous and should be used with extreme caution.
@neelkashkari
Did you really need an updated model to figure out that if the US gov't was going to spend $5 Trillion in such a short time period with the Federal Reserve financing most of it that we would have a major spike in inflation? Economics 101 was not even needed to forecast this.
@neelkashkari
You were cheerleader for ZIRP and QE, an epic policy failure over the past couple years. You and Fed cronies ignited the inflation spike. The mistake was obvious. Fed making the same mistake now in reverse. Will over tighten into a bad recession worsened by Fed. Whole Fed stinks.
@neelkashkari
Appreciate the essay
@neelkashkari
but trying to understand the logic. Isn’t ‘Surge Pricing Inflation’ by definition transitory? What evidence do you have it is entrenched other than increasing wages, which early in the essay you lament doesn’t keep up with surge price inflation?
@neelkashkari
The solution is to spend less time in models and more time at the grocery store.
Now, it’s pretty obvious you’re about to go too far in the other direction. These hikes will destroy supply and eventually lead to panic easing, which will feed the second round of inflation.
@neelkashkari
Federal Reserve Note is a Bill of Credit. Congress has no authority to borrow or emit Bills of Credit. The Federal Reserve District Banks Subvert the Constitution. Goodbye.