 
            
              Michael Bauer
            
            @michaelbauer_hh
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              Economist @sffed working on monetary policy, macro-finance and climate finance, via @unihh, @UCSDEcon, @HSGStGallen. Husband of @PadulaAmy and proud dad of two.
              
              San Francisco, CA
            
            
              
              Joined September 2015
            
            
           Excited for the next @cepr_org & @sffed Virtual Seminar in Monetary Economics. @RefetGurkaynak @KlodianaIstrefi @michaelbauer_hh Ricardo Reis @R2Rsquared will present today at 4pm (UK). If not already signed up, but want to join, registration is here:  https://t.co/HvfC83Aiys 
          
          
            
            cepr.org
              The Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics is a monthly online research seminar. Its focus is the study of monetary policy, covering topics such as central banks’ goals and frameworks, design of...
            
                
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             Great advice here! Reminds me a lot of the lessons I learned from day one at the SF Fes from my mentor, boss, serial coauthor and friend @GlennRudebusch
          
           I’ve been thinking about lessons I’ve picked up over the last five years about research and publishing for policy-oriented research. I’m not an expert here, these are just things I had to figure out on my own, and maybe they’ll be useful to others. 👇 
          
                
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             New paper: “Beyond the Taylor Rule” joint with Emi Nakamura and Venance Riblier. Emi presented this paper at the Jackson Hole Symposium. We investigate how descriptive and how prescriptive the Taylor rule is. 1/  https://t.co/ag3IAJGPQg 
          
          
                
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             We hope you had a nice summer, the Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics is now in session! Please join us this Thursday at 8am PT / 11am ET for our first seminar. Zoom webinar registration here: 
          
            
            cepr-org.zoom.us
              The Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics is a monthly online research seminar. Its focus is the study of monetary policy, covering topics such as central banks’ goals and frameworks, design of...
             The Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics begins 4 Sept 2025, co-hosted by CEPR & the @sffed’s Center for Monetary Research. 🎙️ First speaker: @IvanWerning @MIT 📄 “Tariffs as Cost-Push Shocks: Implications for Optimal Monetary Policy” Register:  https://t.co/B3WvniaNb0 
            
            
                
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             Apropos, we regularly update our measure of market-based monetary policy uncertainty, published via our @sffed Center for Monetary Research:  https://t.co/Ni3YdGbFcM 
          
          
            
            frbsf.org
              Market-Based Monetary Uncertainty provides daily indicators of the uncertainty about future short-term interest rates based on prices of money market derivatives
            
                
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             In a nutshell, the paper proposes a taxonomy for economic risks and uncertainties, reviews various measures and models available for quantitative assessments, and discusses ways how central banks can communicate uncertainty to the public. 2/3 
          
                
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             🧵It was a great pleasure to work with excellent colleagues across the Fed system on a paper for the FOMC framework review. Thanks to my coauthors Travis Berge, Giuseppe Fiori, Francesca Loria, Molin Zhong. You can find the paper here:  https://t.co/JEELzabqqW  1/3 
          
            
            federalreserve.gov
              The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
            
                
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             Interested in top-notch research in monetary economics? Join us for this new online seminar series, co-hosted CEPR's Monetary Economics and Fluctuations program and our @sffed Center for Monetary Research! @IvanWerning will kick things off on September 4. 
           Starting Sept 2025: CEPR & @sffed launch a monthly Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics. Focus: central bank goals, policy design, transmission, & international dimensions. 🗓 First session: 4 Sept | 5PM CET Details 👉  https://t.co/B3WvniaNb0  Organisers: @michaelbauer_hh
            
            
                
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             🚨Friendly reminder that Saturday, May 31 is the deadline to submit (a) papers to our fall macro-finance conference and (b) nominations for the new Janet Yellen Award for Monetary Research. Details are here:  https://t.co/eqDkzkOIrh 
            @sffed @ThomasMMertens @pascalpaul
          
          
            
            frbsf.org
              Submissions due by May 31, 2025, for the 2nd Annual Conference on Macro-Finance Research, to be held in San Francisco on October 10, 2025.
            
                
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             🚀Stay ahead of the curve! If you're interested in our events, new papers, and data updates at the @sffed Center for Monetary Research, you can sign up for our quarterly newsletter here:  https://t.co/mFhUqr5KO9 
            #MonetaryPolicy #MacroFinance #CentralBanking #EconTwitter
          
          
                
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             Excellent papers at the Second Thomas Laubach Conference of the @federalreserve. Follow Ben Bernanke's presentation on Central Bank Communication live now, or watch the recording later. Great stuff!  https://t.co/oCliBpzhQV 
          
          
            
            federalreserve.gov
              economic Conference - The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
            
                
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             📢Call for Nominations📢 The @sffed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new annual Janet Yellen Award. This award will be conferred upon an exceptional scholar at our macro-finance conference this fall. The award recognizes an early-career researcher who has 
          
            
            frbsf.org
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             The keynote will be given by @schnabl_econ ! 
           Our Center for Monetary Research is hosting the 2nd Annual Macro-Finance Conference at the @sffed this fall. If you have a recent paper on the linkages between financial markets, monetary policy, and the macroeconomy, please submit by May 31!  https://t.co/eqDkzkOaBJ 
            
            
                
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             Our Center for Monetary Research is hosting the 2nd Annual Macro-Finance Conference at the @sffed this fall. If you have a recent paper on the linkages between financial markets, monetary policy, and the macroeconomy, please submit by May 31!  https://t.co/eqDkzkOaBJ 
          
          
                
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             Congrats Christoph and Johannes! Strong German/European representation among incoming AER board members. 👍 
           Congratulations to newly appointed AER Board Members (starting in July ‘25): Max Croce (@MCroce_MacroFin), Garance Genicot (@GGenicot), Yusufcan Masatlioglu (@Masatlioglu), @IsabelleMejean, @moseshayo, Johannes Stroebel, and Christoph Trebesch (@Ch_Trebesch) @AEAjournals
            
          
                
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             Cool new research by one of my favorite high-frequency identifiers! 
           Looking forward to giving this online seminar on Thursday @imtcd I am presenting a brand new project about the macroeconomic effects of bank regulation Registration link below: 
          
                
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             The @sffed Center for Monetary Research is cosponsoring a session at the 2025 @CebraOrg meeting. Do you have a recent working paper on international macro-finance/monetary issues? Then please submit by March 20! We look forward to your submissions! #CEBRA25 #CFP
          
          
              #CFP: We’re excited to invite submissions for Session 14: "International Macro-Finance and Monetary Policy" at the CEBRA 2025 Annual Meeting, organized by the Center for Pacific Basin Studies and Center for Monetary Research at the @sffed . 👏 Organizing Committee: Zheng Liu,
            
            
                
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             Our new Economic Letter provides new evidence of monetary policy perceptions by the public, using both surveys and financial market data. Huge thanks to my coauthors @CarolinPflueger and Adi Sunderam. 
           How does the public perceive Fed policy actions? Our Letter looks at professional forecaster surveys and the financial markets to get a better understanding of the public’s current perceptions about monetary policy actions and what they expect.  https://t.co/tR8OOmF9lD 
            
            
                
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             Some questions triggered by the release of DeepSeek R1 on January 20. These are formulated as questions, because I do not know the answers and it may well be that most of these answers are only things we can find out over time. First, perhaps the most important question is this: 
          
            
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