Breakout soon? Over the past 3 months, the S&P 500 has closed within an unusually tight 1% range (6840, 6849, & 6845). Historically, when $SPX compresses like this for 3 consecutive months, it was almost always higher 2–4 months later. h/t @SJD10304

VIX closed below open for 8 consecutive days and VIX is less than 15. A sign of persistent intraday volatility selling and market complacency. Since 1990, there were 15 such cases. S&P 500 was higher 93% of the time 3M later and 100% of the time 9M and 12M later. $SPX $SPY $VIX

Today, both of our independent measures of inflation, CPI and PCE, have fallen back below the 2% target after some months of post-tariff increases: 🇺🇸 Truflation U.S. headline CPI inflation 1.99% 🇺🇸 Truflation U.S. PCE: 1.84% We aggregate millions of real price datapoints from

$VIX has Closed below its Open for 6 straight sessions and is under 14 Similar instances saw $SPX rally 24 out of 28 times over the next 3 months. The 1 year average maximum drawdown is 6%

Consumer spending, not gov't purchases, drove the big increase in the economy last quarter:

About that surge in personal consumption: it's all health insurance

Wow. US Q3 GDP: +4.3% vs 3.3% exp. Recession from Q1 canceled. Strong growth.

📌 Equity Systematic strategies are sitting at the 78th percentile, but discretionary investors remain stuck at the 49th percentile, leaving plenty of dry powder for another leg higher 👉 https://t.co/Lec7q11jIB @DeutscheBank $spx #spx #equity #stocks

Volatility felt high in 2025. But in reality? It wasn’t extreme at all. The $VIX has averaged 19.1 this year, which is slightly below its historical norm. Video: https://t.co/2QwFpczesd

Cash is now more than 7% of total household financial assets, the most since 1950 🤯👀

Most disappointing bubble ever

Did the Santa Claus Rally start today? December seasonality turns quite bullish, right around now. Chart from @RyanDetrick

WORST. BUBBLE. EVER. Tech may finish the year with a lower Forward P/E than it began the year. The bubble that never was and likely never will be. $SPX $COMPQ $NDX $XLK $MSFT $AAPL $SOXX $NVDA $AVGO $PLTR $MU $AMD $BTC

JUST IN 🚨: Stock Market says Goodbye to Fear for the first time since early October 🫡🥳🫂

AAII Bulls has now been above 44% for 2 weeks in a row — the first time this has happened in over a year. Sentiment is improving, and historically that’s been bullish for $SPX

🇺🇸SPX Seven winning months in a row? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has pulled that off 16 times and history says momentum like this rarely cools: nine out of ten times, the rally kept rolling over the next 6 months, posting an average 7% gain 👉 https://t.co/yIk7SZYp6p ht @RyanDetrick

VIX has fallen over 40% in just 10 trading days for only the 8th time since 1990. After such volatility decline in prior 7 instances, the S&P 500 was positive 12 months later 100% of the time, with an average market gain of 17.4% and an average max drawdown of just 8.5%. $VIX