Seth Golden
@SethCL
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I specialize in VIX, Retail, Consumer Goods. Hedge fund consultant, chief market strategist Finom Group
Ocala, FL
Joined May 2012
When 1st announced, our rolling 12-month price target objective would take $SPX through Q2 2025. We understood it didnt look appetizing at the time. SPX finishing 2024 at 5,881, our price objective looks more realistic to onlookers, representing +5% upside. For all the data and
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Took the kids and wife to Cocoa Beach for her birthday getaway. We left this morning after watching the beautiful sunrise 🌅
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Boom!💥 . As it was in 2024 it has rejuvenated in 2025!. In the last 75 years, when the Quattro Model is at a maximum bullish +4, the market had never made a bull market top (ex-Covid). Markets didn't get here without recognizing the fiscal/tariff and monetary backdrop. $SPX
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Our expectation this past week and as outlined in last weekend's, best-in-class Research Report was for the pullback to commence, and so it has. No guess work, just the best works! See what the coming weeks outlook is by subscribing!. $SPX $ES_F $SPY $QQQ $SMH $NYA $IWM $VIX
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The stage is now set for Taco 🌮 Mania! . #Trump #tariffwar
"Tariffs associated with Canada, Mexico, China, and EU, additional tariffs above 10% will be suspended indefinitely, so long as negotiations continue to move forward with earnest intentions favoring mutual trade benefits." . At some point in the next couple of months; be on the.
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2 of the major themes in last weekend’s macro-market Research Reported were overbought/overextended/overheated conditions creating a market pullback to some degree and the willingness to buy ANY pullback based on weight of the evidence from the data and trend! Outlook realized!.
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Where there is a will there is a way!. " $LLY appears to be fattening its stockpiles of GLP-1s as the threat of tariffs on pharmaceuticals looms.". I would suspect Eli Lilly is not the only pharma company front-running #tariffs. $SPX $XLV $IBB $MRK $PFE h/t @edwrdmoreno
🇺🇸💊 US tariffs on pharma could hit Ireland hardest. Our European Investment Strategist @SavaryMathieu told @euronews:. 📉 Ireland is the most exposed EU economy if pharma is targeted, with US exports equal to 18% of GDP and pharma making up 55% of exports.📊 A full tariff hit.
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3 of 4 legs for the Golden Bull have triggered in 2025, w/only $SPX %age of stocks > 50-DMA equaling 90% yet to trigger. I would keep the Golden Bull composite signal handy through year-end and monitor for 4th leg. 2023s last Golden Bull signal delivered +25% 12-mon gain.
The Golden Bull has signaled for only the 7th time since 1975. This is a composite, bullish signal with a 100%, forward 12-month positivity rate. May the probabilities be ever in your favor 2024. $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA $NDX $RTY
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Just sayin'
Market complacency evolved from "TACO" and "nothing ever happens" to now "everything is priced in" (like 50% tariffs and letters to EU/Canada). Correction is coming.
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"Tariffs associated with Canada, Mexico, China, and EU, additional tariffs above 10% will be suspended indefinitely, so long as negotiations continue to move forward with earnest intentions favoring mutual trade benefits." . At some point in the next couple of months; be on the.
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Nasdaq 100 $NDX $QQQ is most closely tracking the monthly cycle and now only .3% off as of 7/11, also nearly 900pts above Presidential Cycle. Good to know all cyclical trends, but adhere to the right cyclical analogue of the year. Decennial Cycle is the wrong cycle in 2025
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A significant BULLISH signal triggered Thurs. NYSE Summation Index achieving 900+. Deemed broadest measure of market breadth momentum, with 89% 6-month and 96% 12-month positivity rates. Positivity rates across all time periods above average. (Chart depicts prior 4 signals, all
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