Mike Madrid
@madrid_mike
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“The Latino Century” author Latino GOP political consultant; Data & numbers for breakfast @TheLatino_vote podcast 🐿
Sacramento, CA
Joined December 2011
I am at war with this squirrel. For the past week he’s decided to make a home in an eave above my ceiling and I can hear his every move. All day.
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The whole thing is imploding. Heritage staff in open revolt over leader’s defense of Tucker Carlson
washingtonpost.com
At least five members of Heritage’s antisemitism task force resigned after Roberts defended Carlson’s interview with antisemitic white nationalist Nick Fuentes.
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The civil war at the Heritage Foundation is far more consequential than most people realize. The divide seems irreconcilable and it could splinter the American right irreversibly
One major donor, who contributes more than half a million dollars annually to the Heritage, told CNN they lost faith in Roberts’ leadership. “I’m waiting to see how things play out, but if Kevin remains as president we will not be giving to Heritage."
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The anti-GOP shift could boost Democrats’ chances of winning two or three of the five Texas seats that Republicans redrew And there could be more opportunities because to create the new seats, Republicans had to cut into previously safe GOP districts
theatlantic.com
Gerrymandering efforts look different after Election Day.
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Lotta wealthy whites swung to Miyares. But the working-class minorities moved back to Democrats as the pendulum on economic dissatisfaction has swung the other way. More at
projects.statenavigate.com
Live Election Night Results for the Virginia State Legislature.
This 2024->2025 swing map for Henrico County shows pretty clearly that ancestral Republicans were so disgusted with Jay Jones that many of them came home to vote GOP for probably the first time since 2016. Miyares did 10-20 points better than Trump in the west end of Henrico
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Republicans in 2024: “I have never seen a more stunning and clear rejection of an entire political party.” Democrats in 2025: “I have never seen a more stunning and clear rejection of an entire political party.” 🙄
I have never seen a more stunning and clear rejection of an entire political party. The public is willing to tolerate some authoritarianism in exchange for material benefits but not as an end in and of itself. Trump outsourced his admin to the most psycho fascists (Stephen
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The Virginia gubernatorial election results show that Latino voters are abandoning the Republican Party, GOP strategist @madrid_mike said. #Election2025 #LatinoVote
newsweek.com
Mike Madrid said the Virginia gubernatorial election results indicated that Latino voters are moving away from the Republican Party.
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This 👇🏽
@umichvoter It’s becoming clear that a lot of the big swings last year were entirely due to economic reasons rather than any sort of permanent realignments…
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#ICYMI: CPF Co-Dir. @murphymike joined voting experts @madrid_mike, @ChuckRocha & @HelenIrisTorres for a talk on Latino voters & how @TheDemocrats and @GOP can connect with them for the 2026 midterms and beyond. Watch: https://t.co/iBIjyo54HH
@USC @HOPELatinas @TheLatino_Vote
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Don’t laugh. Very possible.
Hispanics gonna spend the next three years being D+40 again before voting for JD Vance in 2028
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The Centrist Democrats weigh in. Ten Reasons Why Mamdani Politics Won’t Win Outside of NYC
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I wrote about this and @madrid_mike has flagged this: while yes, Latinos don’t like Trump‘s deportation policies, his approval among Latinos started to decline during Liberation Day tariffs. Latinos have faced the brunt as consumers and businesses owners on tariffs.
The notable Hispanic swing back to the Dems, I would think, is a direct result of the Trump administration’s aggressive deportation policy & ICE tactics. Was across the board — in VA, NJ and NYC.
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The official term for this is “Terremoto”
New Jersey municipalities that are 60%+ Hispanic where we currently have results:
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I help people operate at the highest levels and master confidence. I will test you.
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Found a precinct in heavily Hispanic Paterson, NJ that swung 78 points right from 2020->2024 and 77 points left from 2024->2025. 2020 President: Biden 88.8% Trump 11.2% 2024 President: Trump 50.3% Harris 49.7% 2025 Governor: Sherrill 88.0% Ciattarelli 12.0% #NJGOV
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This is absolutely psychotic. Republicans had a 7-4 majority now it’s 8-3 for Dems. What the fuck is happening.
ANOTHER PENNSYLVANIA FLIP: Democrats will control Luzerne County Council, a Trump stronghold
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The real ones know there was never anything real about a "Racial Realignment"
"The Great Hispanic Realignment Theory is no longer operable and the polling on Hispanic disapproval of Trump is as real as it gets. And it will get worse, because Trump is now pot-committed to his deportation reign of terror." https://t.co/QOhLmW4e3m
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And they're living it up with dancing girls at Mar-a-Lago and drinking bubbly at the new Café de Rose Garden and hitting companies up for Trump's opulent ballroom and squeezing a 747 from Qatar and selling watches and crypto and sneakers and otherwise making a mint. It shouldn't
None of this is complicated. The GOP ran on affordability in 2024. They gave sanctimonious lectures on cable news on election night about how the "silent working class majority" had spoken. Then they governed as reckless authoritarians, punishing the working class.
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Big question for California data nerds: How did Prop 50 do in the current 5 GOP congressional districts that were just redrawn? Possible these Republicans would lose without a redraw?
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Election results show ‘Latinos abandoning GOP’—Republican strategist - Newsweek
newsweek.com
Mike Madrid said the Virginia gubernatorial election results indicated that Latino voters are moving away from the Republican Party.
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More data that Latino voters are rejecting both parties
What does New Jersey tell us about Latino voters & whether they swing back to Dems without Trump on the ballot? Let's look at the 3 most Latino counties in NJ: PASSAIC County (43% Latino) HUDSON County (41% Latino) CUMBERLAND County (35% Latino)
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Good take from Bonier
None of this is complicated. The GOP ran on affordability in 2024. They gave sanctimonious lectures on cable news on election night about how the "silent working class majority" had spoken. Then they governed as reckless authoritarians, punishing the working class.
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