Josh Kraushaar
@JoshKraushaar
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Editor in chief, @j_insider . @foxnewsradio political analyst. Political reporting & analysis, without fear or favor.
Washington, DC
Joined February 2009
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Last Seen Profiles
Hawley approval rating in solidly-red Missouri: 36% approve, 49% disapprove.
Just 63% approval (and 21%) disapproval among REPUBLICANS. Via Morning Consult.
Big red flags.
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Holy wow: NBC/WSJ poll finds Biden up 27 (!) among SENIORS.
“The biggest declines for Trump in the poll come from seniors who are now backing Biden by a 62 percent-to-35 percent margin”
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Chris Wallace, on FOX: "I'm going to say something, and folks, I'm just trying to give you the truth. Scott Atlas is not an epidemiologist... he has no training in this area at all. There are a number of top people on the WH task force who have grave concerns about Atlas"
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Pelosi, on Trump & the press: “May I say something you’re not going to like? I think the press loves him. All day on TV —and I don’t even watch TV, except sports. But he says somebody had a horse face —all day we hear about that. You just give him all day”
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Here’s the scary news for Team Trump in the FOX poll:
Trump polling below *40* against every tested D challenger.
Biden 50, Trump 38.
Sanders 48, Trump 39.
Warren 46, Trump 39.
Harris 45, Trump 39.
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Stat of the day, via NBC News: “In 2010, Dems had a 10-point lead among women with college degrees; it’s now ballooned to 38 points.”
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Emotions running high among McConnell-aligned Republicans early Wednesday am — after reality of what transpired in Georgia settled in.
May be the heat of the moment, but mood is for declaring war on Team Trump. Want to marginalize Trump as they marginalized Steve Bannon in 2017
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Quite the quote from Joe Manchin, in new statement:
"My Democratic colleagues in Washington are determined to dramatically reshape our society in a way that leaves our country even more
vulnerable to the threats we face.”
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BIG FOX NEWS call: JOE BIDEN wins ARIZONA.
Huge development for Democrats.
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Dana Bash now reporting Congressional Rs debating between supporting independent prosecutor or independent commission. Major development.
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So based on the secret Cheney vote, the kraken wing of the party makes up 30% of House Republicans.
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These Virginia results -- more than Flake speech, more than Corker, more than Russia news -- will do more to put a brake on GOP embrace of Trump than anything else. Elections matter.
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Just spoke to a GOP source close to McConnell, on the politics of impeachment: "This is shaping up to be a very dark moment for the Trump White House."
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Fun little $$ nugget: Justin Amash easily lapped the field of Republicans and Dems in fundraising as an independent ($595K). Best fundraising quarter in his career since LEAVING the Republican party.
Sign of the times.
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Bill Maher, on Real Time last night: “They don’t know what America is supposed to be because we stopped teaching history and stopped teaching civics. We teach bullshit.”
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Totally missed this last night: Democrats didn't pick up a single House seat in Texas, despite all the hype. Stunning.
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In “60 Minutes” interview, Sanders goes out of his way praise elements of Castro’s reign of Cuba.
“We’re very opposed to the authoritarian nature of Cuba but it’s unfair to say everything’s bad. When Castro came into office you know what he did? He had a literacy program.”
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Journalism isn't activism; it's presenting the facts, honestly and objectively. It's this mentality that's killing trust in our profession.
"Journalism is a form of activism," says Rebecca Schneid, co-editor in chief of the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School newspaper
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Rand Paul coming close to outing the whistleblower at this Trump rally. Deeply irresponsible.
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He was appointed Ambassador by Trump, handpicked by Pompeo
President Trump on Ambassador Bill Taylor: "Here’s the problem. He’s a never-Trumper and his lawyer is a never-Trumper."
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Lindsey Graham says on CBS that his voters will need to experience a little pain over the tariffs in order to win trade war with China.
Good luck with that message for the long haul.
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This is hard to believe: Dems didn't pick up a single state legislative chamber in 2020.
Republicans, against expectations, won the New Hampshire state Senate and the Alaska state House.
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John King, on CNN: "In a different political age, Amy Coney Barrett would win 70 or more seats in the Senate."
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NY lawyer Victoria Ruiz resigns after tearing down posters of Israeli hostages:
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Liz Cheney: Officially 3-0 in her Democratic endorsements this year.
Donald Trump: 0-3 in toss-up Senate races (per Cook Report ratings), 0-5 in toss-up House races.
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Kinzinger, in tears: "Democracy is not defined by bad days. We're defined by how we come back from bad days."
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CNN reporting the Biden AG job between Doug Jones and MERRICK GARLAND.
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Important question from
@PaulaReidCBS
that stumped Trump: “What did your administration do in the entire month of February?”
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“Reade’s friend admitted to lying to a reporter to fit Reade’s narrative.”
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Sen. Sasse: “Personality cults aren’t conservative. Conspiracy theories aren’t conservative. Lying that an election has been stolen isn’t conservative. Acting like politics is a religion isn’t conservative."
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GOP donor Dan Eberhart, to CNN: “Trump has figured out how to weaponize the machinery of government post-election. This is something that happens in a banana republic, not George Washington’s republic.”
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On ABC News, Sec/State Tony Blinken said the elderly woman seen dragged by Hamas terrorist in her wheelchair is a Holocaust survivor.
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Chris Christie, to
@hughhewitt
this am: "Let’s face it. Let’s call this what it is. January 6th was a riot that was incited by Donald Trump in an effort to intimidate Mike Pence and the Congress into doing exactly what he said in his own words last week – overturn the election."
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CNN promoting teenage activist Greta Thunberg as an expert panelist for its next “Coronavirus: Facts and Fears” town hall.
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At 9 am, former WH physician/future congressman Dr. Ronny Jackson went on FOX saying he "expected" the president to remain asymptomatic. Minutes later, WH confirmed president had mild symptoms.
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Trump national security adviser Robert O’Brien, on the Israel-UAE peace deal: “I think the only two people who were against this deal are the Iranian ayatollah and Ben Rhodes.” (“Meet the Press”)
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Not a SNL sketch.
"You are incredibly safe to go out" Republican
@SpeakerVos
tells his constituents, in full gown, gloves and mask.
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AOC said she thought her district had as many residents as West Virginia, on “Morning Joe” today.
West Virginia pop: 1.79M residents
NY-14 pop: 750,000 residents
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NYT: Trump’s *own polling* shows him losing to Biden among seniors by a double digit margin.
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Three elected Republicans — Romney, Hurd and Sasse — have spoken our against Trump’s behavior today.
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How Kyrsten Sinema won: She picked off 12% of Republican voters in Arizona // more than any other D Senate candidate except Joe Manchin (17%).
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This.
“They will be paying for our generation’s decisions the rest of their lives”:
@JanCBS
explains why she thinks 2021's biggest underreported story was the devastating impact of COVID policies on children
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Joe Biden, to NBC: “I think we should open schools, as rapidly as we can.”
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“Two-thirds of all respondents [in Miami-Dade, Florida] who chose to conduct their interviews in Spanish support Trump”
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Overlooked from NBC poll: Republicans now hold the largest partisan advantage on "dealing with the economy" (R+18) in the history of the survey, since October 1991.
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Scary: “After Mr. Trump tweeted that Mr. Pence ‘didn’t have the courage to do what should have been done,’ dozens of messages on Gab called for those inside the Capitol building to hunt down the Vice President”
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Tim Scott: "South Carolina voters judged me not by the color of my skin, but the content of my character."
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“There has been considerable speculation that many of the students at the forefront of the anti-Israel protests on campuses across the country are not US citizens. The MIT statement is the first time a university has acknowledged that this may be the case”
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Looking like Biden margin in Pennsylvania will be greater than his margin in Michigan and Wisconsin.
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Another remarkable quote from GOP Rep. Francis Rooney:
"I’ll be looking at my children a lot longer than I’m looking to anybody in this building."
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NBC News: "Vice President Kamala Harris’ net-negative rating (-17) is the lowest for any vice president in the poll’s history."
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Only six states with mask mandates left, per CNN. Not to mention the District of Columbia.
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CNN’s
@ForecasterEnten
says Biden’s first midterm performance for president is one of the best in modern history:
Only 1934 (FDR), 1962 (JFK), 2002 (W Bush) did President’s party not lose Senate seats and less than 10 House seats.
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NYT's Bret Stephens, on Gay: "How did someone with a scholarly record as thin as hers — she has not written a single book, has published only 11 journal articles in the past 26 years and made no seminal contributions to her field — reach the pinnacle of American academia?"…
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"Union households in Ohio now favor Biden by eight points, 52 to 44 percent. In 2016, Trump carried that same constituency by 13 points, 54 to 41 percent, according to exit polling. That’s a whopping 21-point turnaround."
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NEW Fox polls:
Biden up 9 in Michigan
Biden up 11 in Pennsylvania
Biden up 13 in Minnesota
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“As a Marine, I fought in Iraq & Afghanistan & participated in Katrina relief efforts. As a journalist I covered the war in Syria. Never have I witnessed a greater, swifter collapse of competence than what I have seen with the US evacuation of Afghanistan”
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John Fetterman’s favorability rating with PA Democrats:
76% favorable
7% unfavorable
Social media isn’t real life.
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Hispanic Democratic lawmakers express frustration with their party’s base (via
@nytimes
)
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This is how elites / “experts” lose credibility.
All the warnings about spreading coronavirus now immaterial — if you support the right cause.
Good grief.
Dozens of public health and disease experts have signed an open letter in support of the nationwide anti-racism protests.
"White supremacy is a lethal public health issue that predates and contributes to COVID-19," they wrote.
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“When running for office boosts your income tenfold in a mere four years, it’s clear that the incentives are perverse.”
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Cheney, responding to Rep. Elise Stefanik’s criticism of select committee, to
@jaketapper
: “If I was saying the things you just played, I’d be deeply ashamed of myself.”
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AP: Minneapolis defund the police referendum *fails* in deep blue city.
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Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC): “The country is in danger of imploding. Democracy is in danger of disintegrating. And I don’t know why people feel that this country is insulated from the historical trends. These trends are just clear to me.”
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Trump: "How can Democratic party lead our country when they spend so much time tearing down our country?”
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Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.), on Pelosi attack: "As we wait to hear more, every single American needs to be lowering the temperature. This is increasingly obvious: Disturbed individuals easily succumb to conspiracy theories and rage — the consequences are bloody and un-American"
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Pennsylvania R strategist David Urban called Dem PA-GOV nominee Josh Shapiro “incredibly popular” and predicts he’d easily defeat Mastriano (if he wins GOP nomination) — on CNN.
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“Savage, who worked as the office’s systems administrator, told the NewsHour that Reade was fired for her poor performance on the job, which he witnessed — not as retaliation for her complaints about sexual harassment.”
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Trump down 8 in Michigan
Down 8 in Pennsylvania
Down 4 in Florida
I’m sensing a pattern...
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Former Republican House Speaker in TEXAS
The lawsuit attempting to disenfranchise more than 100,000 voters in Harris County is patently wrong.
#txlege
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Kentucky AG Cameron: “If we simply act on emotion or outrage, there is no justice. Mob justice is not justice.”
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GOP Sen. Pat Toomey on CNN says Trump likely faces “criminal liability” over what transpired Wednesday.
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Biden ad during the NFL opener (it’s one of their most effective, IMO)
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NBC News’ Dasha Burns: “In small talk before my interview [with Fetterman], it wasn’t clear he understood what I was saying.”
#PASEN
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Elizabeth Warren's strongest constituency, according to the NV entrance poll: Democrats who regularly use Twitter (19%).
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Rep. Nancy Mace, conservative Republican from South Carolina: “Some people are in severe denial of what happened Wednesday... There were folks in my own party that were stoking the flames of violence and lives were at risk.” (just now on CNN)
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.
@jaketapper
, on CNN: “New Jersey doesn’t allow ballot harvesting — that’s a Dem state. Delaware doesn’t allow the kind of early voting that other states do. The journalist in me as well as the cynic says how come Ds only complain about strict voting regulations in red states?”
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Breaking, from UNRWA:
“The Israeli Authorities have provided UNRWA with information about the alleged involvement of several UNRWA employees in the horrific attacks on Israel on 7 October.
“To protect the Agency’s ability to deliver humanitarian assistance, I have taken the…
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GOP Rep. Rooney in a solidly-red 59% Trump district:
"I’ve been real mindful of the fact that during Watergate, all the people I knew said, ‘Oh, they’re just abusing Nixon, and it’s a witch hunt.' Turns out it wasn’t a witch hunt. It was really bad.”
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CNN’s Barbara Starr reports that Pentagon officials have been hard to reach “because they were sent home early for what was supposed to be a major snowstorm.”
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UF President Ben Sasse, on his Ivy League/MIT colleagues: "They revealed themselves as having drunk the Kool-Aid of a new and cultlike worldview. Along with so much of higher education, especially outside the hardest of sciences, they have become acolytes of a shallow new…
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Georgia's REPUBLICAN LG Geoff Duncan, on CNN, says there is *no* credible evidence of voter fraud or disenfranchisement in the state.
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Signs for GOP alarm:
-- Tillis with lowest job approval of any senator, facing $$ challenge from right
-- Ernst didn't hit $1M fundraising, approval declining
-- McSally outrased for 3rd straight Q, already down 5 to Kelly
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Threatening a witness?
Rep. Taylor Greene unloads on Rep. Herrera Beutler, calling her fellow Republican "a tool as a witness for the Democrats" and warning that Trump allies "are watching."
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Trump now UP by 2.4 points in OHIO -- with GOP E Day vote still left to count. Ohio's going for Trump, boys and girls.
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Elise Stefanik = elected as moderate, new wave Republican who evolved into as a Trump loyalist.
Liz Cheney = a principled conservative, voted party line frequently in last four years, but spoke out against Trump after Jan. 6.
Proof positive that Trump loyalty > policy.
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CNN quotes Ukrainian official saying: “This remark potentially gives the green light to Putin to enter Ukraine at his pleasure. Putin senses weakness.”
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New NBC/WSJ poll also breaks out Trump-Biden matchup in 11 battlegrounds (AZ, CO, FL, ME, MI, MN, NV, NH, NC, PA, WI).
Biden 49, Trump 43.
Not meaningfully different than Biden 49-42 edge nationally.
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The political evolution of Arizona Sen. Sinema is remarkable.
“Sen. Kyrsten Sinema pushes program to streamline removal of migrant families without valid asylum claims”
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One provision in Green New Deal:
“Expanding high-speed rail to ‘a scale where air travel stops becoming necessary’”
Wonder how that will poll.
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A little puzzled by the WH focus on Paycheck Protection Program as an analog to student loan forgiveness since the former was actually implemented through *legislation in Congress*.
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Look: Trump may end losing this election because of his irrational grudge against John McCain. Would be quite a dramatic flourish.
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Trump hits 60 percent disapproval in GOP polling —>
2/5:
Trump’s disapproval👎 rating is now at 60%, up 6 points from May. The gap between this and his approval👍 rating is the largest it’s been all year at 23 points.
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Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), to CNN’s
@jaketapper
: “A lot of [young] people are getting their perspective from TikTok. If you get your perspective on the world from TikTok, your views are going to be warped.”
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Asked Youngkin abt his reax to McAuliffe calling critical race theory a “racist dog whistle”:
“I’m not going to be lectured by a guy on race who literally called for Gov. Northam’s resignation for blackface & then turned around and accepted his endorsement & campaigns with him”
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Confirmed: Republicans pulling out — and all but surrendering — against Dem Rep. Marcy Kaptur, per R source familiar with House strategy. A Trump district.
Majewski’s Jan 6 baggage and lying about military service sunk his political prospects.
FLASH --
#OH09
: NRCC IE is canceling TV ad schedules that it had booked for the final six weeks of the campaign (9/27-11/8)
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