Kirill Shamiev
@kirlant
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RU politics, civil-military relations, governance. PhD in PoliSci. Policy Fellow at @ECFR. Tweets in personal capacity only.
Joined January 2011
Would you like to know how Russia managed to adapt to its war in Ukraine and even expand the war machine? Thanks to the @CNA_org research project, my new report is answering this question https://t.co/S7p48s0cF5 1/9
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Where was the European diplomatic initiative? You cannot hope to shape outcomes if you’re sitting on the sidelines. 2/2
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Showcase your portfolio in style. Chat with Caffeine to create it in minutes. No cost to start →
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“A senior U.S. official said that [Umerov] significantly changed one of the 28 points. In an apparent move to expose alleged corruption, the draft had called for an audit of all international aid Ukraine had received. The language was changed to say all parties will receive “full
wsj.com
The proposal would demand territorial and security concessions from Kyiv while offering Moscow major incentives.
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Trump on Mamdani: I feel very confident that he can do a very good job. I think he is going to surprise some conservative people actually.
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Reporter to Mamdani: You referred to Trump as despot… Trump: I've been called much worse than a despot. So it's not that insulting.
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The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has just issued a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM) for the entirety of the Maiquetía Flight Information Region (SVZM), which covers all of Venezuela and a large section of the Southern Caribbean, stating that operators should exercise
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For those tweeting at me about POTUS - I remain unconvinced he’s seen it, let alone approved it. You have @SecArmy dispatched to Kyiv. Movement on Graham-Blumenthal sanctions bill. Approval of over $100m of patriot parts announced. Feels very incongruent.
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It was great to be on the show
🎙️ New on #NatSecMatters: Host @michaelallenJMA speaks with @kirlant about Kremlin fractures, elite skepticism, & Russia’s civil-military rifts. Is Ukraine headed toward a “semi-frozen” conflict? 🎧 Listen:
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Today, I learned that a Russian technocrat is an official with at least one of the following: 1) a Western degree 2) multinational corporate experience 3) an independent think tank background. I realized that I tick all three boxes, but I still can't see Moscow out of my window.
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Roman Kostenko says the number of soldiers who have gone AWOL or deserted will soon be equal to the number of soldiers in the army and that most of them go AWOL from the training centers. Ihor Lutsenko estimates that 95% of AWOL cases are from soldiers who were just mobilized
According to Ihor Lutsenko, there were 21,602 AWOL cases officially recorded by the Ukrainian Prosecutor General's Office in October, which is the highest recorded monthly number. https://t.co/vMHJ5YLfHp
https://t.co/99sNby0TeJ
https://t.co/KPGUO6Vyav
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Обязательно почитайте новую колонку Баданина @RBadanin. Она про журналистику, про расследования, про документацию истории и прочее. Мне по работе приходится искать и читать очень много «старых новостей». Из них мы собираем контекст. Из них мы складываем портрет героя любого
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💥Viktor Orbán’s media doxxed 200,000 opposition supporters by publishing stolen personal data, including names & addresses – unprecedented in Hungarian politics. Opposition leader Péter Magyar reacted at a rally in Győr, saying they are the majority — and they’re not afraid.
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We believe this is the first documented case of a large-scale AI cyberattack executed without substantial human intervention. It has significant implications for cybersecurity in the age of AI agents. Read more:
anthropic.com
A report describing an a highly sophisticated AI-led cyberattack
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Since there is a lack of heavy Rus drones at the front, one company is now selling large frames made from plywood for attaching 2 to 4 10-inch FPV drones: "Vobla", "Tyoschya" (Mother-in Law) and "Driada". DIY is the way to go now if Rus soldiers want an heavy drone.
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1/ THREAD: Rus media interview with Col. Sergei Ishtuganov, Deputy Chief of the Unmanned Systems Forces branch: "Today, it's extremely difficult to find a unit in the Russian military (fighting in Ukraine) that doesn't have drones." https://t.co/frJHcRY36O
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An excerpt (RUS but AI tools can help with the translation) of my coming book 'From Sovereigns to Servants' (in Russian, will be out in December 2025, in English later in 2026), on how a new 'agreement' between business and Putin was made https://t.co/l78ggT2Jub
thebell.io
Имеретинская низменность — фантастически красивое место на побережье Черного моря. Горы, море, уникальная природа — недаром и
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MOSCOW, Nov 11 (Reuters) - Russia has maintained a steady pace of oil shipments from its sea ports at the start of November despite fresh U.S. sanctions imposed on the country's largest oil companies, traders said and LSEG data shows.
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ИЛЛЮСТРАЦИИ К ИНСТИТУЦИОНАЛЬНОЙ ТЕОРИИ Журналисты Проекта проделали отличную работу, собрав в одном месте данные о кумовсте и коррупции государственной власти – сотни примеров! - при Путине. Читайте сами – там много чего интересного даже для тех, кто внимательно следит за
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The Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI) is pleased to welcome Dr. Emily Holland as the Director of its Eurasia Program. Read more on our website. https://t.co/nqtELnv5x3
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Switzerland is joining Horizon Europe! We are uniting two research powerhouses. For cutting-edge innovation that will boost our energy security, digital transformation, health and so much more. Today is a good day for science, and for our EU-Switzerland partnership.
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