What predicts Colorado Supreme Court justices' vote on Trump disqualification? Not party—all are Democratic appointees—but law school. All Ivy League grads voted to disqualify. All Denver Law grads voted not to disqualify.
Some executive actions on pandemic come from strange sources. Eviction moratorium—CDC. Masks in schools—Office for Civil Rights. Vax mandate—Department of Labor. This is one sign of their flimsiness. Outcome is sought, then pretextual agency authority identified.
Yuval Levin on
@Commentary
podcast: "The smallest majority we've ever seen in our politics is trying to change the rules for how people get elected in every state in the United States... That's just about the best argument for the filibuster you could possibly imagine in theory."
Nope, can't impose qualifications on holding the presidency by statute—the qualifications are set out in the Constitution. The search for "one weird trick" to banish Trump from politics will have to continue.
Guys, the Constitution created a bicameral legislature. Just one of the houses was meant to represent people directly! The other was meant to represent states. That’s not crazy or arbitrary—the Constitution is in part a compact between states.
We ran the numbers, and the Senate is currently around *6 to 7 points* (!) more Republican than the country as a whole, based on the position of the median states relative to the national average. That means Dems need ~landslide margins to win the Senate.
‘Misinformation’ is one of the most anti-democratic concepts promoted by the ‘defend democracy’ movement: It supposes that voters don’t or can’t even know what their preferences are
January Quinnipiac poll had Fetterman +3 in Pennsylvania and Biden -18. Idea that Israel is what is bogging Biden down has very little support outside elite/social media opinion.
Demand Hamas to surrender.
Demand release every hostage.
Demand to seize billions of dollars Hamas stole from Gaza.
Demand those stolen billions to rebuild Gaza and compensate true victims- Israelis and Palestinians.
Demand Hamas eliminated or permanently exiled.
President Biden’s nominee for Comptroller of the Currency admires the Soviet economic system and thinks the Fed should “effectively ‘end banking,’ as we know it.” via
@WSJOpinion
The presidents didn’t give good answers, but they were right to not answer categorically. There is no “genocide” exception to the First Amendment. In America (unlike many countries) you can say, “Hitler was right.” Either campuses tolerate 1A speech or they don’t.
The presidents of
@Harvard
,
@MIT
, and
@Penn
were all asked the following question under oath at today’s congressional hearing on antisemitism:
Does calling for the genocide of Jews violate [your university’s] code of conduct or rules regarding bullying or harassment?
The…
2 senators cannot be allowed to defeat what 48 senators and 210 House members want. We must stand with the working families of our country. We must combat climate change. We must delay passing the Infrastructure Bill until we pass a strong Reconciliation Bill.
1/ THREAD: Harvard rescinded my acceptance.
Three months after being admitted to Harvard Class of 2023, Harvard has decided to rescind my admission over texts and comments made nearly two years ago, months prior to the shooting.
I have some thoughts. Here’s what happened.
This is sad to see. Hillary asking supporters to support something called “crush the coup” by falsely telling them the “right wing controlled Supreme Court” could let state legislatures overturn votes. Liberal election misinformation now competing with “stop the steal” right.
NBC sympathetically writes up YouTube's removal of a DeSantis Covid roundtable.
YouTube scrubbed the same video when posted by NBC South Florida. Are we reaching the point where American media starts to champion the suppression of its own news reporting?
"If the FBI had plotted to catch National Security Adviser Susan Rice in a lie in order to create pressure for President Barack Obama to fire her, would Democrats have reveled in her misfortune as they have reveled in Flynn’s?" via
@EliLake
“A future left-wing threat to liberal democracy is much more likely to wear the clothing of liberalism while changing its meaning from within, rather than to stage a frontal attack on basic democratic institutions and principles.” Francis Fukuyama, 1992
Last year Facebook was allegedly causing racism, this year vaccine hesitancy. A convenient scapegoat for whatever social problem is consuming elites at any given time
“FBI agents, prosecutors and judges wield awesome power that can destroy families and careers. They have to be held to account as much as unpopular Presidents.” via
@WSJ
I think this is the only real takeaway from today's drama. As Pelosi's rule showed, Democratic "disrupters" are still firmly under their party's control. As Trump's tenure showed, the GOP landscape is much wilder.
These GOP holdouts are doing what the Squad never has the courage to do: use their power to defy party leadership in order to extract concessions.
Not sure why it's a source of pride to show how you always submit to Party orders like good soldiers. Not much dignity in that.
Law professor argues Mueller indictments reaching beyond narrow Russia collusion matter are invalid under Morrison v. Olson unless issued by “principal officer” of U.S.:
As a former public defender… you want it to be *easier* for prosecutors to send teenaged defendants to prison for life? Or only teenaged defendants with the wrong politics?
As a former public defender, I saw these failures in our criminal justice system up close and personal, every single day. We will continue to work for a future where our justice system is truly blind, and actually holds the guilty to account. (2/2)
A Harvard law professor suggests the U.S. scrap states' equal representation in the Senate. He concedes that "ignoring a clear constitutional provision would trouble many Americans."
If Electoral College and Senate are undemocratic, states themselves are undemocratic. Why should a person in Wyoming get more of a say over the laws he lives under than a person in California?
“The military is a rare American institution that commands bipartisan confidence. If that trust is torpedoed over the next few years, Gen. Milley and his colleagues will share responsibility for the long-term damage.”
Turns out when people are accused of sexual assault and they believe they are innocent, they respond angrily. Was absurd to lecture Kavanaugh on "judicial temperament" while he was being destroyed.
I asked LG Fairfax's team what they make of the Post denying there were "red flags" with allegation story.
"The Washington Post, acknowledging that it had no corroboration, just smeared an elected official." Full statement from staff is attached.
I just vetoed my first bill.
This bill would risk your retirement savings by making it illegal to consider risk factors MAGA House Republicans don't like.
Your plan manager should be able to protect your hard-earned savings — whether Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene likes it or not.
The incitement by political leaders; the unlawful mob assemblies; the effort to obstruct operations of government—the progressive assault on the Supreme Court shares many features with MAGA's Jan. 6 assault on the election. A GOP Congress should treat it accordingly.
How can the Democratic message be that voters should decide the Supreme Court in November if Biden won’t tell voters what his Supreme Court policy would be?
It’s ridiculous to have no public view on court-packing, given how radical and momentous it would be. And if Biden said he opposes it, it wouldn’t be “a big issue” (except for vocal elements of his base)
Yikes. Before SCOTUS in the Trump immunity case, Jack Smith appeals to the DOJ manual as a bulwark against political prosecutions. Yet his own prosecution, by trying to rush a trial ahead of an election, probably defies that same manual.
“In Milwaukee, homicides are up 37% so far this year, on pace to break the record of 167 in 1991, which included 16 murders by convicted serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer.”
She didn't take a position on whether felons "should" be able to vote. She distinguished civic rights like voting & serving on jury from individual rights like speech & 2A. She said there's less leeway to permanently restrict individual rights for felons.
The 'next' Jan. 6 is happening, and the Supreme Court is the target. Progressives are deploying a mix of incendiary rhetoric, procedural extremism and mob assemblies to try to intimidate their targets — echoing the Trumpist tactics of last year.
Conservatives warned against politicizing business but that didn’t work. The only thing that worked was retaliation. This is where the ‘illiberal’ right gets its power vs. traditional conservatives. Power has worked more than persuasion.
Think this overstates a bit-Blackrock is still making bank—but the phenomenon is real: companies that used to be mostly afraid of lefty younger employees are now afraid of conservatives too.
So much for idea that Netanyahu wants "a war to shore up his own crumbling political base," as Tom Friedman warns today. Sometimes I think Netanyahu hatred is even more distorting to foreign-policy people than Trump hatred.
Very interesting breaking piece by
@BarakRavid
on Israel’s possible retaliation - both Gantz and Eizenkot wanted to immediately attack. Bibi did not.
Yeah, you read that right
The takes that Facebook have scrubbed Stewart endorsing the lab-leak theory a few months ago miss the point. If people like Stewart were endorsing it, Facebook wouldn’t have a policy against it. If Facebook had a policy against it, people like Stewart wouldn’t endorse it.
“In the documentary a frustrated expert exclaims, ‘They should be outlawed,’ and we’re uncertain whether she means data markets, social media, the entire digital universe, or maybe the mutinous public.”
+32 approval, compared to +20 on ABC-Ipsos. If the Sotomayor-Jackson-Kagan decision had prevailed, the Supreme Court’s legitimacy would have been in peril. Is that how this works?
Jan. 6 cmte presents itself to public as protecting the constitution from political assault. A message somewhat undermined if it also calls for altering the constitution for political purposes.
SCOOP: The Jan. 6 committee is privately split over what actions to take after the public hearings.
Some members want big changes on voting rights — and even to abolish the Electoral College — while others are resisting those sweeping proposals.
Russia helped Trump win the 2016 presidential election.
Trump welcomed Russian help.
Trump's intimates sought even more help.
Trump's campaign manager shared information.
All repeatedly lied about it.
In office, Trump supported Russian policy goals
Saved you 24,000 words.
Democrats won 53.3% of House votes per Cook Political Report (this figure is inflated by ~1% because of districts where no Republican was on the ballot). They won 54% of seats in Congress (235/435).
Today liberal twitter seems to be trying to collectively convince itself that actually it’s conservatives who tend to use the judiciary as a legislature and threaten to pack courts. I don’t think this is gonna work.
Searing analysis of Biden so far from
@HolmanJenkins
: He “is lending his presidency to unrepresentative activist groups to pursue an agenda for which he has no mandate. So much for the talk of a modest and dignified ‘transitional’ presidency.”
Twitter’s user growth hit “all-time highs” last week, according to an internal sales team FAQ I've seen. The company has added more than 15 million daily users since it stopped reporting financials in July.
Cotton was key to quashing effort to decertify the 2020 election results in the Senate. Jack Smith is earning the ire of the institutional GOP that stopped Trump.
Every time a Republican won the presidency this century, Democrats tried to stop the certification.
Yet none of them faced criminal charges over what is obviously First Amendment protected activity.
So Labour dominated Facebook and lost big. Maybe Facebook—despite “allowing politicians to lie” and run targeted ads—isn’t all-powerful in determining election outcomes.
I continue to think that an under-appreciated dark horse scenario is Mueller issues report in 2018 largely exonerating Trump of criminal wrongdoing and then we have a Comey redux—Democrats turn on him, say he was always a Republican, after all.
Task force suggesting West Coast (Seattle, Los Angeles) has better outcomes than NYC because of early mitigation but I suspect density and climate is at least as important
The Economist had a wide range for its House forecast: Democrats would win anywhere from 227 to 264 seats. The result is not even in that range. The lack of humility some prognosticators are showing after 2020 misses—wow.
In November 2022, high water mark of Ukrainian military success, Gen. Mark Milley floated a negotiated settlement only to be scoffed at by most of official Washington. Now we learn that Russians were also open to negotiations at the same time.
Kagan: “the Court today exceeds its proper, limited role in our Nation’s governance.” Or did the president do that by seizing Congress’s spending power?
Californians are learning to love fossil fuels as stores experience runs on oil lamps and emergency generators fueled by gasoline, propane or diesel.
CDC testing delays were a bad mistake, and Trump’s messaging is poor. But unfortunately the comparative evidence suggests it may not make a difference.
If
#Coronavirus
spreading in US because of
@realDonaldTrump
, as so much of media would have us beleive, why the hell is it raging in Italy, France, and spreading pretty much everywhere else?
Secretary Cohen: "I think the Taliban are going to need our help. Economically to be sure, but they may come under severe attack by Al Qaeda or ISIS-K. They may need intelligence that they don't have, that we may be able to provide them under certain conditions..."(1/2)
#AMRstaff
Never forget the early-2010s fad among academic social scientists for ‘asymmetric polarization,’ meant to suggest only Republican extremism could explain opposition to Pres Obama’s policies.
For reference, here is the shift over time. Both sides have become more polarized, but it's rather clear one side has moved much further in terms of policies and ideology.
Remember when Secretary of State elections in 2022 were closely watched for the possibility that GOP secretaries of state would create electoral mayhem?
The perceived abruptness of these reversals has been one of the most polarizing aspects of the Covid years… gives impression of a memo going out from some barricaded central command.
not that I would ever want someone else to have this experience, but man it's surreal to see the thing you were dragged for even *suggesting* two weeks ago suddenly become sayable
NYT report violates YouTube’s Covid-19 misinformation policy, which prohibits “content that contradicts WHO or local health authorities’ guidance” including on “transmission” and “social distancing and self-isolation guidelines.”